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Messages - esoito

#706
"You'll find me being called names by a guy who hasn't got the balls of a runt mosquito!"

Who is it, Sam? And where? (Give me the page link so I can follow up on this.)


[Edit:  Sam has since contacted me privately.]
#707
General Discussion / IS THERE SUCH A THING AS THIS?
January 23, 2013, 05:57:12 AM
Just wondering....   

Is there such a thing, d'you think, as a STRESS-FREE roulette bet?

If yes, then what are some of its characteristics?

[ We'd need to consider the type and source of the stress before answering, of course.]





#708
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: The Solidus
January 23, 2013, 03:02:16 AM
Bally


All is well -- no need to mess around re-doing it!!

I downloaded it OK.   I can easily read it OK.

Thank you for taking the trouble to make it available.




#709
Buy BV before you make them bankrupt !!  ;)

Very impressive test results. 
#710
General Discussion / MILESTONE -- 200 MEMBERS
January 22, 2013, 06:55:26 AM
Slow but steady...

Here's to the next 200.  :beer:
#711
General Discussion / Re: Carelessness Costs!!
January 22, 2013, 06:36:43 AM
Hang in there, Sam.  :nod:

Take heart from this:


Nothing in the world can take the place of Persistence. 

Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. 

Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb.

Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. 

Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent.

The slogan 'Press On' has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race.

[Calvin Coolidge]

#712
General Discussion / Carelessness Costs !!
January 21, 2013, 05:43:24 AM
Quote from: albalaha on January 21, 2013, 05:38:23 AM
Sam,
       My advice is to play with bot mostly setting your desired win target and bearable stop loss.


Excellent advice!

And to avoid another 1500 loss <gasp> here's what to do with the bot BEFORE you start it:

CHECK. ALL. THE. BOT. SETTINGS. FIRST.

Take your time doing that... no rushing...
#713
Quite right, Ralph.  :thumbsup:

You beat me to it -- it's something I was going to mention to members.

It's a bit daft quoting huge strings of numbers as part of a reply. As you say, the thread becomes too long. And too hard to navigate as well.
#714
We're looking for participants to help develop this:

http://betselection.cc/the-pipe-dream/brainstorming-straight-up-strategy/


[Edit:  it's now making good progress.]
#715
General Discussion / Carelessness Costs !!
January 20, 2013, 10:56:39 PM
"I simply must learn to quit making stupid mistakes. "

OK. Fine.

But HOW exactly will you do that?

Because unless you've worked that out, then you'll keep doing it.   :nod:


And that's a fact -- not a fallacy!! LOL
#716
General Discussion / Re: Wheel movements
January 20, 2013, 08:54:08 AM
Quote from: ignatus on January 19, 2013, 04:17:51 PM
Someone had a request, so I made it.


Ah....  that explains it!

Anyway I'm working on the street system now. But it's very frustrating because I can't figure out how to use a statistical program that I need for this! Would be thankful if someone could help me out with this.

I suggest you send a PM to Bayes.

He has the maths and statistical skills to help you with this.


http://betselection.cc/the-pipe-dream/project-find-most-hit-street-distance/
#717
If you look carefully you'll see the Fallacy is alive and well here, in some of the methods posted!!

The following quote comes from:  http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/betting-systems/

It should give us all pause for thought...


Gamblers' Fallacy


The biggest gambling myth is that an event that has not happened recently becomes overdue and more likely to occur. This is known as the "gambler's fallacy."

Thousands of gamblers have devised betting systems that attempt to exploit the gambler's fallacy by betting the opposite way of recent outcomes.

For example, waiting for three reds in roulette and then betting on black.

Hucksters sell "guaranteed" get-rich-quick betting systems that are ultimately based on the gambler's fallacy. None of them work. If you don't believe me here is what some other sources say on the topic:

A common gamblers' fallacy called "the doctrine of the maturity of the chances" (or "Monte Carlo fallacy") falsely assumes that each play in a game of chance is not independent of the others and that a series of outcomes of one sort should be balanced in the short run by other possibilities. A number of "systems" have been invented by gamblers based largely on this fallacy; casino operators are happy to encourage the use of such systems and to exploit any gambler's neglect of the strict rules of probability and independent plays. — Encyclopedia Britannica (look under "gambling")

No betting system can convert a subfair game into a profitable enterprise... — Probability and Measure (second edition, page 94) by Patrick Billingsley


The number of 'guaranteed' betting systems, the proliferation of myths and fallacies concerning such systems, and the countless people believing, propagating, venerating, protecting, and swearing by such systems are legion. Betting systems constitute one of the oldest delusions of gambling history. Betting systems votaries are spiritually akin to the proponents of perpetual motion machines, butting their heads against the second law of thermodynamics. — The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic (page 53) by Richard A. Epstein
#718
Community Software / Re: My first program
January 19, 2013, 11:58:24 PM
BRILLIANT SOFTWARE!!

I can't believe it's only your first try...!!

You are obviously very clever and very talented.

Well done!  :thumbsup: :thumbsup:
#719
Off-topic / Scottish Pragmatism
January 19, 2013, 10:45:15 PM

A Priest, a Doctor, a rich Businessman and a Scotsman were waiting one morning for a particularly slow group of golfers in front of them.

The Doctor shouted to them, "I've never seen such poor golf!"

The Scotsman chimed in, "Och aye! We ha' been waitin' for nigh on fifteen minutes!"

The Businessman called out, "Move it on you guys, time is money."

The Priest said, "Here comes George the green-keeper. Let's have a word with him."

"Hello, George!" said the Priest, "What's wrong with that annoying group ahead of us? They're rather slow, aren't they?"

George the green-keeper replied, "Oh, yes.. That's a group of blind fire fighters. They lost their sight saving our clubhouse from a fire last year, so we always let them play for free, anytime they want to."

The group fell into an embarrassed silence for a moment.


Then the Priest said, "That's so sad. I think I will say a special prayer for them tonight."

The Doctor said, "Good idea. I'm going to contact my ophthalmologist colleagues and see if there's anything they can do for them."

The Businessman replied, "I think I'll donate £50,000 to the Fire Brigade Benevolent Fund in honour of these brave souls."


And the Scotsman asked, "Why kin they no play at night?

#720
General Discussion / Re: roulette programs videos
January 19, 2013, 06:50:43 AM
Welcome.

These clips could be very handy, Bandi!


1  Why are the videos playing for fun money and not for REAL money?   :(


2  If you own a roulette website you may post its link here if you wish.