Perhaps it will bust in casino games, but not in sports betting.

Quote from: VLS on October 01, 2016, 04:54:04 PM
Thanks Nathan,

-7.69% for the player... What can we say about it?

(other than people still play the lottery )}

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Hey! Lay your bets: How long until 0000? 

I play Lottery, Mega Millions and Powerball. It costs me $6 per week and about $500 per year. When the jackpot goes up, I buy more tickets. This is the money I can afford. This is the only way for me to be a multimillionaire, however small the chances are.

Is there any selection that is most suitable for "The Boxer"?

It is presumed that the systems taught will apply to roulette with 2 zeroes.

Wish you continued success.

However, Bumble bee can not fly argument comes in the realm of pseudoscience. For further discussion see the article below:

http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Bumblebee_argument

I respect the opinions of GR8 and B_A that some progressions can make money in a negative expectation game.

If you google, you will find equations by mathematicians why progressions will not work in a negative expectation game. If you can prove mathematically to the contrary, you will get accolades from mathematicians, but you will not see any money. There is more money using the progressions to make money than all the accolades.

Quote from: MarkTeruya on July 30, 2016, 09:40:28 AM
Firstly your English is pretty good.. 

Not going after a bet selection that produces an edge, good to hear that, because there are none, it is not mathematically possible.

Stable?  I would view a stable bet selection as one being were the "losses in a row" are manageable to an extent.

If no bet selection produces an edge, can progressions give an edge mathematically?

Thanks GR8 for your post. The efficiency of VDW will be greatly enhanced by keeping the count of DBL and ODBL in two separate columns in the spreadsheet. For example in the spreadsheet shown in post 193 the count is 23 for DBL and 17 for ODBL at the end of the shoe and VDW won in the shoe. If the ODBL count is high wait for the shoe to turn to DBL and refrain from betting.

VDW is selective in betting and hence your loss will be reduced. For example in the shoe in post 193, there are 42 decisions and if you bet DBL/ODBL you will be betting 40 decisions. But VDW in this sample bets only 28 decisions, so your loss is reduced by 30%.

In the final analysis VDW is calculated guessing!

Thanks for posting the shoe.
Decision 26 is shown as a win betting on P. Actually this is a mutual bet. You can bet on P based on decisions 24 and 25 or bet on B based on decisions 20 and 23.
Decision 27 is shown as a win betting on P. This is also a mutual bet. You can bet on P based on decisions 25 and 26 or bet on B based on decisions 19 and 23.

9th result guarantees a mutual bet and 8 does not. See also the theorem discussed here in detail.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Van_der_Waerden%27s_theorem

You are right. 9th bet is always a mutual bet if there is no win before. All other bets are 50/50. There is no guaranteed bet.

BBPPBBPPB- You lose 7 bets in a row betting DBL and only 4 bets betting VDW.
BBBBBBBBB- You win 7 bets in a row betting DBL and also 7 betting VDW.
BPBPBPBPB- You win 7 bets in a row betting DBL and only 5 betting VDW.

In the final analysis all bet selections are 50/50. However, since less bets are placed in VDW the theoretical loss will be less. Thanks to all those who are trying to tweak VDW to get positive expectation.

At 7, either R or B would complete the AP. So it is a No Bet situation. You will skip the bet.

Looking forward for your additional information.

Thanks.

After WLWLWL you already lost the first 3 bets in the progression and now you have to bet the fourth bet in the progression.

Soxfan progression requires two consecutive wins in 11 attempts. This is not easy to achieve. For every parlay win there are three losses. Actually with HA the parlay losses will be slightly more than three. At every bet level for every win there are 3+ losses and the losses at higher bet levels will be more.

I believe in precognition and some people with subjective bet selection can achieve a parlay hit within 11 attempts. For those not gifted, this is a dangerous progression.