Thanks for the reply Turner -- I've just done a quick 250 live spin analysis of Dublin bet and looked for an even chance of 3 x series of 2 or more hits e.g using red as an example,
RR B RRRR BB RRR B so here we have 3 series of 2 or more reds ( 2,4,3 ) and then bet for a single red to appear ( so we would wait for the next red to appear and then bet black )
Results for the 20 even chances were + 13 units , however , + 11 units came from betting on the " cold " partner alone and only + 2 units from the " hot " partner of the even chances.This makes sense as the hot partner will have more hits of 3 and above and vice versa.
This is 18 wins and 7 losses , a 72% strike rate for an even chance, of course its only a small sample and the problem lies in determining which is the hot and which is the cold partner of the even chance, maybe someone with more experience could assist in helping identifying this , maybe a checkmark at 10 , 20 spins to determine hot or cold partner ?
Maybe this filter will help with your profitability Turner.

Cheers.

@Chris -- I really don't see a problem with me calling myself an I-d o t although after the censorship the end of my original post now looks idi otic !

@Turner  --- You've most probably already noticed but if you are looking for a single or a series of 2 to hit they are usually more common in an even chance that is hitting less than it's partner and vice versa with a series of 3 or more , they tend to hit more often in the even chance that is hitting more than it's partner , this alone brings other betting opportunities in to play.
Is this your main betting system for roulette now ?
Keep up the good work.
Cheers.

Hi Turner -- Great thread and I love the idea of creating more even chances = less waiting for bets.
@ buffster can you explain in more detail what you mean by this
"  I'm talking about balancing your left column and your right column "
and this
"  These are the only sets that have 3 of each line. "
explaining unintelligent fashion for this unintelligent would be just fine, many thanks.

Cheers.

Hi Tomla  -- I know next to nothing about baseball but those stats are interesting. The results in your first post are for ALL games betting on dogs home and away ?

Better results from home games makes sense , home crowds , playing for new contracts etc. , thanks for the info.


Cheers.

Hi Dragoner .... Why don't you just bet yourself using your obvious mathematical talents ? Another option might be work out your + EV bets and publish them on the forum here I'm sure there would be some interest in following them.


It's a win win situation.


Cheers.

Hi Dragoner ---  EV has been used in poker for years multi player pots being an example of where the maths boys will use EV to target these pots but how does it help us in roulette ? It's just our money versus the games payouts,as you have stated a negative EV. Re. The Betfair example from your site surely it is only 0 EV on the outside bets , the inside bets still attract a lesser payout than the appropriate odds of hitting so therefore is still a negative EV ?


Anyways interesting stuff all the same, nice site and welcome to the forum.


Cheers.

Quote from: klw on August 09, 2013, 09:08:53 AM
Hi Gizmotron  -- Thought provoking posts as usual. Can you elaborate on what the 3 states are and give some examples ?


Cheers.

Just read some of your past posts , I understand what you mean by the 3 states , good , moderate and poor conditions right ?


Cheers.

Quote from: Gizmotron on December 07, 2012, 08:27:06 PM
I did this in twenty minutes, $25, $50, and $100 bets.

Practice Log: Dec/7/2012
spin 13 to 21, $100  ----- Singles only to continue on column 1
spin 13 to 29, $100  ----- Dominance dozen 3 ?
spin 13 to 49, $200  ----- The only dominants I see at spin 13 are doz 3 and col 3, col 3 would have been a disaster , doz. 3 The only pattern trigger by spin 13 is singles to continue on col 1 but would have thought the 2 series repeats in the middle would have stopped you betting these.Interesting to find out.
spin 13 to 14, $100  ----- Single to continue on column1
spin 13 to 20, $100  ----- Not sure on this 1 and running out of analysis time lol.
spin 13 to 16, $100  ----- Run on Highs
spin 13 to 15, $100  ----- Run on Doz. 3
spin 13 to 19, $100  ----- Absence of Doz. 1

I'm taking a stab with my limited knowledge of what you bet on, would love your comments.


Cheers.

Hi Gizmotron  -- Thought provoking posts as usual. Can you elaborate on what the 3 states are and give some examples ?


Cheers.