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Messages - muggins

#46
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Longshots
September 05, 2014, 04:05:00 AM
No winners again yesterday, a nicely priced one wasn't too far away, unfortunately this happens.....A LOT:'(



Todays selections attached.
#47
I must be cutting my hair too short, the last few posts have gone straight over my head.  What are you lot on about here?
#48
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Longshots
September 03, 2014, 09:25:18 PM
No winners today.



Selections for today attached. Note three of the 4 selections are in the same race, this happens occasionally.
#49
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Interesting Article On Grails
September 03, 2014, 09:32:43 AM
Inclined to agree with her on this, all to do with the players head attituded towards the game.

Look at all the people who play sport such as Cricket or Football, how many represent their Country or go on to make real money.  Was it luck or do they have a different attitude and therefore this makes them more successful?  Same thing goes for gambling I think.  If your head is not in it you will lose.
#50
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Longshots
September 03, 2014, 01:30:16 AM
Thank you for the nice comments esoito.

A good session is when a 500/1 tip comes in.  :nod:
So far the best BFSP I have had is 403.35 on 15th June 2013, the horse was Hawaiian Freeze, it actually went out to 1000 in running and paid just over $38000 after commission for my $100 bet.  It was a nice surprise when I logged in to check results.  :o

Punting on the horses has been a hobby of mine since I was about 13 years old I think.  I got the bug from my father, who is now very old.

Today's tips are attached, password is same so no need to PM me if you already have it.

A NOTE OF CAUTION TO ANYONE FOLLOWING OR THINKING ABOUT FOLLOWING, THERE HAVE BEEN TIMES WHERE I HAVE GONE 30+ BETS WITHOUT A WIN USING THESE SELECTIONS. AT $10 A BET THAT IS $300+.
#51
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Longshots
September 02, 2014, 10:33:09 PM
Thanks Leapyfrog.  Hopefully you had a bet on the selections.

Results for day one follow.



This was an OK result, but not one that happens every day.

The way I bet with these selections is to start with a bank of $1000 and bet $10 per selection until my bank hits $3000. Obviously, it can take some time to hit this target.  Once the bank gets to $3000, bets are increased to $20.  Bets are continually increased by $10 for each $1000 increase in bank.  When the bank hit $11000, bets are now $100 and that is where I stop increasing until the end of the cycle.  Cycles are calendar year, so 12 months.  On 1st January each year I start again with a bank of $1000.

I use BFSP (Betfair Starting Price) for my bets. Set and forget style. Obviously this will all fail if the people on here who get the tips get greedy. 

This happened on another board in 2009/2010 where I freely supplied tips, so I stopped supplying them. One of the forum members informed me that a member of the forum was using them for their paid tipping service. This is why I am restricting who gets them. If the prices suddenly start plunging all the time I will stop supplying the tips.

Sorry if any of you don't like this, but I really don't have to share these tips at all.

This is just a hobby of mine.

#52
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Longshots
September 02, 2014, 06:32:49 AM
Not sure how this will go down and if unacceptable I won't bother.

I am going to share my daily picks for a system that I have been using since late 2011 for selecting longshots in UK horse racing. 

It only has a strike rate of between 11-12%, but based on a $1 level stake it has returned just over $1300 since the beginning of 2012 based on Bookmaker starting prices.  I don't use bookmakers anymore and only use Betfair because the returns have been a lot better. Also bookmakers have a habit of banning me.
So far this year I have had 4 selections pay over $100 based on a $1 outlay, the highest paid $300 when I got on it, but the BFSP ended up being $160.  Most selections are in the $5-20 range, but then there are a lot of losers.  This needs to be remembered with any longshot system.

There are A LOT of lurkers on this forum looking for a free lunch who can get any attachment without being a member. For this reason I am going to password protect the selections and only give the password to members with at least 10 posts and a 1 month membership of the forum.  Looking through the membership list this seems like a good set of conditions. Most people will not be interested anyway.

I will post the results the next day.

Todays selections attached, if you meet the conditions mentioned above PM me for the password.
#53
General Discussion / Re: Those were the days my friends
September 02, 2014, 04:05:26 AM
The thread is an interesting read.  Especially the bit about concepts mentioned in the film being claimed to have been invented by an author of gambling books 20 years later.
#54
Off-topic / Re: Re: Our Player's Edges
September 01, 2014, 07:34:34 PM
Quote from: Albalaha on September 01, 2014, 07:22:54 PM
and what kind of social service you are doing Muggins here?

LOL absolutely nothing of service to you Albalaha, someone who knows everything can not be taught.
#55
Off-topic / Re: Re: Our Player's Edges
September 01, 2014, 07:20:39 PM
Albalaha, maybe you are just being obtuse intentionally, maybe not, but as usual you just do not get it and from what I have read you never will.  NO ONE is asking you to share your so called HG.  Just try posting something original and helpful for once.  The waffle you post most of the time is just that, waffle that has been repeated for 1000s of posts.
#56
Off-topic / Re: Re: Our Player's Edges
September 01, 2014, 06:42:18 PM
Quote from: Albalaha on September 01, 2014, 04:57:18 PM
@Muggins,
           You are a very new kid in the block and before mudslinging on others have a look at yourself. Daily waking up and writing a raw idea as a system is not what I do. Have a look at my blog that has about 190k views from lurkers and frustrated players like you who look at my writings for reference. Many of the biggest names that you have heard over many forums have been members over there.

:)) :)) Don't you ever get sick of typing out the same answer? Do any of the 190k of lurkers have anything to learn from your blog, have you ever shared anything of value on there?  Based on your replies on here and other forums where you have been banned I have doubts. What was it you called me previously, "old wine in a new bottle", wasn't that it?  Now I'm the new kid in the block. Had a giggle when I read that.  Literally made me laugh really hard, thank you.

If I was mudslinging it wasn't intentional, I was seriously just wondering and asking when you might be demonstrating how we should be playing.  You have a HG after all, don't you?

Instead you resort to your usual nothing reply that makes up most of your 1000+ posts on here. 

To be honest I can not recall reading anything of substance in any of your posts on all the forums that I have seen them.  In your defence I have to admit that I normally skip your posts based on that observation, so I might have missed a useful post somewhere along the line.

You have a nice day now.
#57
Gambling Philosophy / Re: Our Player's Edges
September 01, 2014, 03:09:32 PM
Quote from: gr8player on September 01, 2014, 02:33:41 PM
I have only numbers and statistics that satisfy ME.  So be it.

That is the only thing that matters.  Proving yourself to people who post the same old arguements in an attempt to make you post the way you bet is not important.

This happens a lot and Albalaha is a master of this without contributing anything of substance to any forum he is part of.

Before you object to what I have written Albalaha, please show me one post of your 1000+ posts on this forum where you have given any indication by demonstration of how you bet.   You have a HG don't you?  Therefore you don't need these forums anymore.
#58
Off-topic / Re: The usual suspects
September 01, 2014, 01:08:51 AM
Quote from: Archie on August 31, 2014, 07:41:07 PM
P.S.  Giz left after I pointed out that his supposed event in a live casino had an impossible chance of occurring in reality.  Simple as that.  Don't blame me for his getting caught making things up.  Lol.  Gamblers want to believe.  If I had a nickel for every guy who mouthed off, but left w/o a goodbye after I told him that it was a bad system, I'd still be rich.

Which one of the NON CONTRIBUTING DISRUPTIVE DROPKICKS are you Archie?   
From what I can see Gizmotron is still posting, so you might need to take your head out of your behind and rethink your "I am so wonderful, look at me, I contribute nothing." comment.
#59
Street / Re: Simple Street System
September 01, 2014, 12:59:10 AM
Excellent Sam, just take it slow, it hasn't crashed and burned for me yet, but I am still cautious with any system or method.  Roulette has a habit of biting unexpectedly.
#60
Street / Re: Simple Street System
August 31, 2014, 05:14:00 PM
I haven't looked at it warrior, something you could try if you are interested I suppose.