Quote from: Wheelwatcher on February 11, 2014, 03:23:04 PM

STDEV		% COR	1 in COR
1	0,84134474606854300000	15,86552539314570000000%	6
1,01	0,84375235497874500000	15,62476450212550000000%	6
1,02	0,84613576962726500000	15,38642303727350000000%	6
1,03	0,84849499721165600000	15,15050027883440000000%	7
1,04	0,85083004966901800000	14,91699503309810000000%	7
1,05	0,85314094362410400000	14,68590563758960000000%	7
1,06	0,85542770033609000000	14,45722996639100000000%	7
1,07	0,85769034564406100000	14,23096543559390000000%	7
1,08	0,85992890991123100000	14,00710900887690000000%	7
1,09	0,86214342796796400000	13,78565720320360000000%	7
1,1	0,86433393905361700000	13,56660609463830000000%	7
1,11	0,86650048675725300000	13,34995132427470000000%	7
1,12	0,86864311895726900000	13,13568810427310000000%	8
1,13	0,87076188775998200000	12,92381122400180000000%	8
1,14	0,87285684943720200000	12,71431505627980000000%	8
1,15	0,87492806436285000000	12,50719356371500000000%	8
1,16	0,87697559694865700000	12,30244030513430000000%	8
1,17	0,87899951557898200000	12,10004844210180000000%	8
1,18	0,88099989254479900000	11,90001074552010000000%	8
1,19	0,88297680397689100000	11,70231960231090000000%	9
1,2	0,88493032977829200000	11,50696702217080000000%	9
1,21	0,88686055355602300000	11,31394464439770000000%	9
1,22	0,88876756255216500000	11,12324374478350000000%	9
1,23	0,89065144757430800000	10,93485524256920000000%	9
1,24	0,89251230292541300000	10,74876970745870000000%	9
1,25	0,89435022633314500000	10,56497736668550000000%	9
1,26	0,89616531887870000000	10,38346811213000000000%	10
1,27	0,89795768492518100000	10,20423150748190000000%	10
1,28	0,89972743204555800000	10,02725679544420000000%	10
1,29	0,90147467095025200000	9,85253290497479000000%	10
1,3	0,90319951541439000000	9,68004845856103000000%	10
1,31	0,90490208220476100000	9,50979177952390000000%	11
1,32	0,90658249100652800000	9,34175089934718000000%	11
1,33	0,90824086434971900000	9,17591356502808000000%	11
1,34	0,90987732753554800000	9,01226724644525000000%	11
1,35	0,91149200856259800000	8,85079914374021000000%	11
1,36	0,91308503805291500000	8,69149619470850000000%	12
1,37	0,91465654917803300000	8,53434508219670000000%	12
1,38	0,91620667758498600000	8,37933224150143000000%	12
1,39	0,91773556132233100000	8,22644386776690000000%	12
1,4	0,91924334076622900000	8,07566592337711000000%	12
1,41	0,92073015854660800000	7,92698414533924000000%	13
1,42	0,92219615947345400000	7,78038405265464000000%	13
1,43	0,92364149046326100000	7,63585095367392000000%	13
1,44	0,92506630046567300000	7,49336995343271000000%	13
1,45	0,92647074039035100000	7,35292596096484000000%	14
1,46	0,92785496303410600000	7,21450369658938000000%	14
1,47	0,92921912300831400000	7,07808769916856000000%	14
1,48	0,93056337666666800000	6,94366233333318000000%	14
1,49	0,93188788203327500000	6,81121179667255000000%	15
1,5	0,93319279873114200000	6,68072012688581000000%	15
1,51	0,93447828791108300000	6,55217120889166000000%	15
1,52	0,93574451218106400000	6,42554878189359000000%	16
1,53	0,93699163553602200000	6,30083644639784000000%	16
1,54	0,93821982328818800000	6,17801767118119000000%	16
1,55	0,93942924199794100000	6,05707580020590000000%	17
1,56	0,94062005940520700000	5,93799405947930000000%	17
1,57	0,94179244436144700000	5,82075556385531000000%	17
1,58	0,94294656676224600000	5,70534332377543000000%	18
1,59	0,94408259748053100000	5,59174025194694000000%	18
1,6	0,94520070830044200000	5,47992916995580000000%	18
1,61	0,94630107185188000000	5,36989281481197000000%	19
1,62	0,94738386154574800000	5,26161384542521000000%	19
1,63	0,94844925150991100000	5,15507484900893000000%	19
1,64	0,94949741652589600000	5,05025834741037000000%	20
1,65	0,95052853196635200000	4,94714680336481000000%	20
1,66	0,95154277373327700000	4,84572262667229000000%	21
1,67	0,95254031819705300000	4,74596818029474000000%	21
1,68	0,95352134213628000000	4,64786578637201000000%	22
1,69	0,95448602267845000000	4,55139773215498000000%	22
1,7	0,95543453724145700000	4,45654627585430000000%	22
1,71	0,95636706347596800000	4,36329365240319000000%	23
1,72	0,95728377920867100000	4,27162207913290000000%	23
1,73	0,95818486238640500000	4,18151376135950000000%	24
1,74	0,95907049102119300000	4,09295089788073000000%	24
1,75	0,95994084313618300000	4,00591568638171000000%	25
1,76	0,96079609671251700000	3,92039032874827000000%	26
1,77	0,96163642963712900000	3,83635703628713000000%	26
1,78	0,96246201965148300000	3,75379803485169000000%	27
1,79	0,96327304430127400000	3,67269556987263000000%	27
1,8	0,96406968088707400000	3,59303191129258000000%	28
1,81	0,96485210641596100000	3,51478935840388000000%	28
1,82	0,96562049755411000000	3,43795024458899000000%	29
1,83	0,96637503058037200000	3,36249694196283000000%	30
1,84	0,96711588134083600000	3,28841186591640000000%	30
1,85	0,96784322520438600000	3,21567747956137000000%	31
1,86	0,96855723701924700000	3,14427629807528000000%	32
1,87	0,96925809107053400000	3,07419089294659000000%	33
1,88	0,96994596103880000000	3,00540389611998000000%	33
1,89	0,97062101995959100000	2,93789800404094000000%	34
1,9	0,97128344018399800000	2,87165598160019000000%	35
1,91	0,97193339334022700000	2,80666066597726000000%	36
1,92	0,97257105029616300000	2,74289497038368000000%	36
1,93	0,97319658112294500000	2,68034188770550000000%	37
1,94	0,97381015505954700000	2,61898449404527000000%	38
1,95	0,97441194047836100000	2,55880595216387000000%	39
1,96	0,97500210485177900000	2,49978951482205000000%	40
1,97	0,97558081471977700000	2,44191852802226000000%	41
1,98	0,97614823565849100000	2,38517643415086000000%	42
1,99	0,97670453224978800000	2,32954677502119000000%	43
2	0,97724986805182100000	2,27501319481792000000%	44
2,01	0,97778440557056800000	2,22155944294315000000%	45
2,02	0,97830830623235300000	2,16916937676468000000%	46
2,03	0,97882173035732800000	2,11782696426723000000%	47
2,04	0,97932483713393000000	2,06751628660701000000%	48
2,05	0,97981778459429600000	2,01822154057044000000%	50
2,06	0,98030072959062300000	1,96992704093769000000%	51
2,07	0,98077382777248300000	1,92261722275173000000%	52
2,08	0,98123723356506200000	1,87627664349378000000%	53
2,09	0,98169110014834100000	1,83088998516590000000%	55
2,1	0,98213557943718300000	1,78644205628166000000%	56
2,11	0,98257082206234300000	1,74291779376571000000%	57
2,12	0,98299697735236700000	1,70030226476328000000%	59
2,13	0,98341419331639500000	1,65858066836050000000%	60
2,14	0,98382261662783400000	1,61773833721661000000%	62
2,15	0,98422239260890900000	1,57776073910905000000%	63
2,16	0,98461366521607400000	1,53863347839255000000%	65
2,17	0,98499657702626800000	1,50034229737323000000%	67
2,18	0,98537126922401100000	1,46287307759893000000%	68
2,19	0,98573788158933100000	1,42621184106689000000%	70
2,2	0,98609655248650100000	1,39034475134986000000%	72
2,21	0,98644741885358000000	1,35525811464200000000%	74
2,22	0,98679061619274400000	1,32093838072562000000%	76
2,23	0,98712627856139800000	1,28737214386020000000%	78
2,24	0,98745453856405300000	1,25454614359466000000%	80
2,25	0,98777552734495500000	1,22244726550447000000%	82
2,26	0,98808937458145300000	1,19106254185470000000%	84
2,27	0,98839620847809700000	1,16037915219035000000%	86
2,28	0,98869615576144700000	1,13038442385528000000%	88
2,29	0,98898934167558900000	1,10106583244114000000%	91
2,3	0,98927588997832400000	1,07241100216758000000%	93
2,31	0,98955592293804900000	1,04440770619511000000%	96
2,32	0,98982956133128000000	1,01704386687197000000%	98
2,33	0,99009692444083600000	0,99030755591642500000%	101

Wheelwatcher, how do you read this box?

I guess, the answer you long for might be from a math guy.
Bayes should do.

Hi xxvv, nice to read your posts
To be a pro gambler takes to have got an actual advantage over the house or other regular gamblers
I believe, you, as being australian too are closer to his work, as well as Jason Chan
Few mathematicians/phisicics have become AP , I guess
Maths and physics matter the most in being a succesful professional roulette player. It saves time and money.
Knowledge is treasure

Warm regards

Hi xxvv,
I was not pretending to offend any member.
As an AP I know that no mathematical system will suceed long term.
MB systems is one of it.
Probably MB was a player, I doubt he won long term with his technique explained in his book.
Without an edge you cannot stand years of play.
I am not polarased, I felt I should tell that we cannot win this way.
Surely, MB was a prominent and nice professor in Australia and other places, to win at roulette you need much more.
I apologize in case I was unpolite in my comments
warm regards

Kav, no system will work if it does not work flatbetting.
No matter what you do, you need an actual edge to succeed.
Then, Kelly criterion prevents you from bankrupcy.
In case table limits are not high, you just flatbett ever
warm regards

I can`t believe how a mathematician could state this Gamblers Fallacy

Knowing the TRUE edge is not an easy job.
Math part is not difficult.
You first must know wether youhave got an actualedge or not.
Suppose you pick a dozen and play 200 spins winning 200 units, you won 8.333% of total money wagged.
Does it mean you have got 8.33%? no
Not yet to be more precise.
True edge comes after long studies and data. The more experience you have the less data you need.
This realm can be developed by  actual APs.

[quote auAt or=Blood Angel link=topic=2299.msg19022#msg19022 date=1376832337]
Can some one please explain to me how to work out your edge? (I am NOT saying I have one)

I guess there must be some kind of formula based on units won in x amount of bets divided by amount of numbers covered ( I am probably miles out here lol)  ..... or something like that.
Would really appreciate some help with this.
[/quote]
First, you must cut out random fluctuations
Then, establish that your play is not random
You need at least 4sd  to start
It is a hard task to determine your exact edge

So,  how does prediction formula work?