Is there anyone among us who do it better than average people? Well skilled, well informed and well experienced.
This is an interesting topic because you can genuinely have an edge on your competitors depending on the skill and experience you have.
I know several people from the Betfair forum who are 'experts' in their chosen field.
The thing is however they are not just betting before the match/event.
They 'trade' throughout the match. This offers them a lot more scope because they can keep evaluating the situation.
It's a little bit like 'situational play' in roulette. Someone might decide to go to the casino and bet on number 5 all day long. However we all know it's possible that number 5 may not appear for hundreds of spins. The situational player might see number 8 getting hot and decide to switch over.
So you can see that a trader needs to put in the hours because he is constantly monitoring whatever event he is involved in. I believe this is the best way to go with sports betting.
cheers
I know one person who is an expert in sports betting and does it professionally and daily. He has been a member in all Victor's forums including this: Tomla01
Al
Could you clarify the thread's question?
I'm asking because it can mean any of several different things to different readers.
Thanks.
Esoito,
I am looking for members having skill, experience or expertise in sports betting. One can provide daily tips on what to bet upon. I know at least Tomla does it very well. There must be other guys of that level too who can assist us picking best bets. One can even enrich our knowledge by giving inputs from sports betting forums.
I tried some sportbetting . Betting only one game (all low odds,20+ games). Lost almost all games. But I think the odds are manipulated. Better to bet AGAINST the lowest odds, against common sense. I will try that next time. I will bet against the odds. On all games. (only single 1 game/bet,20+ games) Always betting on the highest odds gives more profit also.
I'm not sure it would work. Atleast I lost when betting according to the odds, so why should the opposite not work?
One thing you need to remember when sports betting is that unlike other types of gambling (such as roulette), the outcome is not random. That is where you can find your advantage.
And there are a few good sports "experts" among the crowds, but I will see if they come forward themselves (not sure some of them are even on this site yet).
MM
Look at Alexandros correct scores for last night
Both correct.
Nick
Yeah. He is giving nice "picks". I believe there are many others having good knowledge of picks.
not too shabby
I started for fun about two weeks ago playing only total odds max of no more then 3.0
Usualy 2-3 picks taken on internet from some experience "connosieurs" of sports betting. Nice that we have one here also.
I took bonus, just today wagered it, and all in all I am now at 3x my starting bankroll.
I don't win every time I bet of course, but MM handles the difference. It hasnt been actualy challenged with 1/5 of max strength..
Nice fun and one can earn like this I am sure.
Best
Drazen
Betvoager has a betting exchange, (There may be others as well) offer your own odds and balance it, so you never lose. The charge some commission from the winner.
If you deposit 1000 Euro, you can offer game for 10000 Euro, probably due to they want safe theire share.
Setting odds on all outcomes, and if all are taken, you can not lose.
Quote from: ignatus on December 27, 2012, 05:36:30 PM
I tried some sportbetting . Betting only one game (all low odds,20 games). Lost almost all games. But I think the odds are manipulated. Better to bet AGAINST the lowest odds, against common sense. I will try that next time. I will bet against the odds. On all games. (only single 1 game/bet,20 games) Always betting on the highest odds gives more profit also.
I'm not sure it would work. Atleast I lost when betting according to the odds, so why should the opposite not work?
I have to agree favorits are very often at unfair odds, the bookmaker knows the punters will play it. They win most of the time, but betting second and third, gives better result at the end. Then it depends on how much valid information you can gather.
Quote from: Ralph on February 21, 2013, 01:00:25 PM
Then it depends on how much valid information you can gather.
Excatly that. It isn't enough just to play any opposite bet thinking you will do better, becasue you loose many time on lower odds. It is gamblers fallacy. I have spoken with one professional sport betting player who plays this on betfair and without any doubt digging and searching some informations is DUE to be successful in the long run.
You must search and find reason why bookies maybe overestimated such bet.
Sports betting can be tricky at some point. What I would suggest is to self study, then learn from mistakes and experience. (https://imagicon.info/cat/10-3/1.gif)
I can do that if there is some interest.
Go for it!!!
Agesta
Not a lot in the offering until the world cup starts as I prefer to bet only on sports that I know and relish watching. I don't know how many are into horse racing here, but couple of bets that offer value for today.
1445 Newton abbot racing
The favourite is Nomadic storm by a long distance. Understandably so, with a win here earlier and a seven length victory in Southwell when last seen. But I have some interesting competition with a good ground, in IslandMagee in the mix and Olympian Boy returning to a mark which is fair. I sense the horse giving me more value struggling to reach the line first with one of Islandmagee or Olympian Boy beating this gelding. Laying the favourite at 2.3
1515 Newton abbot racing
More or less a three way competition between Manjakani, Rolling Maul and Sergeant Thunder. Manjakani slightly preferred with Champion jockey in charge but a closer look suggests that he is not suited for McCoy's style of riding. Another one to note in the trio is Rolling maul who finally came off the mark with a 13l advantage going in favourite at Market rasen. But I can't see him replicate that in a very tough competition here. However, the conditions best suit Sergeant thunder and with Sam in charge, looks more likely to progress further. My vote is to lay Rolling Maul at 3.1 and back Sergeant thunder at 4.
10th June 2014 - Ghana vs S Korea - International Friendly
Count down is closing down and we are only a couple of warm-up games away from the most awaited event. Somehow the hype at England seems to be well managed this time around and is near to zero when compared to what I remember from the last two world cups. Perhaps we have come to terms with what our team can deliver. Ghana vs South korea is a very interesting clash. One team completely down with a virus and other team who has not won in my recent memory. Am sure Ghana will be looking to forget their own hand of god from last time around, which should give them some motivation. This looks clearly a Ghana win with a clean sheet and I will go for a parlay on both of them with 2.52 and 2.62. Those interested in playing safe might as well combining this with laying Ghana win to nil at 4.3.
1545 Newton Abbot racing
Its written Makari all over. Market is suggesting no different. 11l win sure does mean some thing. But see the jockey in form on it's a Gimme. With Close chases and win in the opening race definitely McCoy is up to something. The horse he is riding is not an easy one to train and hasn't won for two years now. Eventhough it represents some value at 3.4 and am going for the favourite at 2.1.
1645 Newton abbot
Only today I wrote about streaks and here comes a race with a streak. Neverownup, has a streak in hatrick of wins and often I have seen a horse completing a hatrick go and on forever. In handicaps it comes with a penalty and the handicapper has not been light with a 17lb penalty. Also, the trainer is going with the saying that strike it rich when its hot with the fourth run coming in a space of couple of weeks. Will he be able to own up to such a heavy work load. I bet no. that's why i am going to go for a safer bet in Lord of dunes to place at 2.4 who carries the weight that looks fair and have had sufficient rest from his third at plumpton around a month back. A hidden diamond is Kirbys Glen who is long in the market but looks good on cards. I am putting small money on it chancing my luck at 22.
And to end the day, here is another long bet to back Tortoise in the 1630 Ayr. I am not quite sure whether dropping in distance will have a say, but definitely a dropping in weights by 9lb should definitely have a say. I am playing it safe for him to place at 2.74.
Quote from: Leapyfrog on June 09, 2014, 01:09:27 PM
1445 Newton abbot racing
Laying the favourite at 2.3
All worked out good as predicted. Nomadic Storm could not keep up to the market hype surrounding his previous win and came 9l short in an interesting competition. Second favourite Respectuex came out the winner with a surprise 2nd for Mon chevalier.
Quote from: Leapyfrog on June 09, 2014, 01:31:00 PM
1515 Newton abbot racing
My vote is to lay Rolling Maul at 3.1 and back Sergeant thunder at 4.
It turned out to be three way race all along justifying the form and market predictions, but Rolling maul proved a a neck too strong for Manjakani and it was not the day for Sam and his horse.
Quote from: Leapyfrog on June 09, 2014, 02:40:26 PM
1545 Newton Abbot racing
am going for the favourite at 2.1.
It was indeed Makari written all over in the results. One of the most predictable races in the recent past and at 2.1 represented a great value.
Quote from: Leapyfrog on June 09, 2014, 03:04:40 PM
1645 Newton abbot
Lord of dunes to place at 2.4
chancing my luck at 22.
Tortoise to place at 2.74.
1630 turned out to be a contest where winners came from unlikeliest quarters and it is the race of the day in betting terms. Bookies love such races. Our selection of Tortoise indeed did not disappoint chasing Monel to the line.
1645 didn't throw up surprises either. I was hoping for Neverownup to end the streak, but turned out that today is not the day. What a race the horse had. Our choice Lord of dunes sure did place with Kirbys glen following it.
To wrap up, all flat staking the output from the day is 1.44 units from 7 bets.
I would like to recommend you a website http://myarbets.com/surebets.html there you can get list of sure bets for free & can know more about Sports Arbitrage.
Is that your site?
Hi John, do you administer that site by any chance? (https://imagicon.info/cat/10-3/1.gif)