08 Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays

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Offline XXVV

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Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
« on: May 30, 2014, 02:23:14 am »
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  • As this is a Studio Blog- an experimental section of colliding ideas -  five essays ( work in progress)


    #1 Shaping Rivers -patterns in the landscape - Christchurch, New Zealand

    #2 La Grande Bellezza -creative matrix - Rome, Italy

    #3 Wall Street - trading patterns - New York, USA

    #4 Melting Icesheets - cause and effect - Antarctica

    #5 Confidence and Capability - very different poles for male and female - California. USA






    Offline Vic

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #1 on: May 30, 2014, 03:40:04 am »
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  • Looking forward to it

    Amazing how all of them inter-connect with the games -and life-. Reminds me about Manrique and his life-roulette connections (1% philosophy).

    Please continue wide and prosper.
    100% Free PUBLIC DOMAIN releases at: www.patreon.com/publicdomain


    Email: betselectiongmail.com
    -- Victor

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #2 on: May 31, 2014, 01:24:20 am »
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  • SHAPING RIVERS - shifting water patterns in a changing landscape


    I spend a lot of my time in Christchurch, NZ.

    Where I live is close to the centre of this sprawling city which is the second largest in New Zealand. However put this in perspective as the entire population of the nation is less than 4.5 million and kiwis are like the Scots and Irish - forever roving and popping up everywhere in the most amazing situations and regularly the tide seems to come in and go out regarding net migration/ immigration.

    One of the most senior officials at the UN in New York is our retired Prime Minister Helen Clark, and the number two to Richard Branson in the Virgin empire is a kiwi ex London lawyer. These are two examples but of course we always love to hear of kiwis doing well overseas as it balances our natural somewhat self conscious stance in the world. Nevertheless we are famously blunt and direct, honest.

    Every society is an ongoing experiment, and some progress more than others, while some stall, and the others just seem to be waking. It is a connected and wired world, and even more so in the coming age. Here it is another experiment and we have reached a critical phase of increasing separation in society with like so many western societies growing divisions between rich and poor. For a large extended family and an extended paradigm of the whanau ( the extended family in Maori), and the spirit of the place, the land ( the land of the ancestors), then this problem we have is a very special opportunity. That is, to help one another in the spirit of family, in a unique way in this unique place, rather than be increasingly separated and isolated, and for some, extremely vulnerable. We care with our hearts and minds.

    In a small society it is so much easier to change direction and improve values - the analogy is steering a small pleasure boat on the harbour as opposed to changing course for a giant supertanker.

    So elections are coming up and the opportunity for (big) change lies ahead. This year we have a blending of billionaire Mr Dotcom funding an Internet Party that has joined with an activist Maori Party. This is potentially very dynamic in a small society where the political system is a German model of amalgamations and tenuous associations. No one party can govern alone.

    So right now we might be at a cross roads for change and further experiments ( the last set of imported Reagan and Thatcher 'trickle - down' theory political economics caused social havoc in the 1980's and it is widely acknowledged has brought about the widening divisions we now experience).  This is the human scale, but about the planetary scale where national borders mean nothing?

    What are the odds?  Meteors land, tsunamis beach, volcanoes erupt and earthquakes release some vast planetary energies. There are massive earthquakes sometimes particularly Japan, Chile ( with wide spread consequences) and China and many rings of fire upon the planet but who would have thought nearly four years ago now an E/Q event ( always now I know this is a long extended series of aftershocks) would be centred in this pretty, sleepy, small city by world standards. Little did we know the system of faults running below the city were like a spaghetti junction on motorway systems in Los Angeles, and sure enough as all energies inter-connect, four and nine months after two other massive and even more centralised events hit.

    Many lives were lost , and over a three year period most of the central city has been demolished through E/Q damage, and even now we still feel the occasional shock either as a rolling wave or a sudden vertical acceleration if the epicentre is close, and by close I mean a few kilometres.

    As always with disasters, initial estimates of costs are way out, and in fact the cost of this event may roll to +$80 Billion NZD ( about 70 Billion USD). Much damage is underground and every street in the city has to be methodically and often several times replaced as all underground services were terminally damaged.

    With all the shaking the land sunk and consolidated ( ex marshland) 500mm to one metre, and rivers flooded with their fall confused and silted and estuaries clogged. Now every heavy rain causes widespread flooding and with it much pollution.

    The new office buildings are now all base isolated in the Japanese/NZ best engineering practice and I have met Kit Miyamoto the brilliant Engineer ( and his associates) who handle worldwide E/Q disasters. They are very cool. The technologies atop Tokyo office towers are astonishing, elegant and effective.

    Amongst all the demolition, the confusion, and the stress, one piece of work has been proceeding the past six months, as a statement for the future. It is an experiment also. The river Avon that runs through the central city, the river that is at times a slow stream, and at others a flood swollen mighty torrent, this river is having a make-over.

    A river is always a symbol of renewal, and life. It heals, make whole again, But first it needs to be repaired and cleaned. You have to go back to priorities and find the place to start the healing process.

    The river is a natural way that water finds its way to the ocean from an inland source, and gravity provides the direction.

    The river used to peacefully meander through this city, often sparkling and clear, with fish and birds in abundance.

    The shakes modified all that and in recent years the river become silted, polluted and because of confused levels, increasingly prone to flooding and destruction. It was no longer a pure symbol.

    So it was an inspired move for the City Council to take a first step and spend millions to clean, dredge, replant, re-shape the river and repair all bridges and adjoining walkways and reserve recreation areas. In some cases narrowing the channel but always with natural fractal meanderings.

    Day by day I have watched teams of  specialist hydraulic engineers and workers temporarily dam, modify and direct waters to speed or slow flow, to clean the stony river bed, to remove silt, mud, sandy grey liquefaction from earthquake pressures. and to re-position boulders, stones, planting, and adjust stream and river width and depth, playing with levels and measuring volumes and velocities. Teams of workers, diggers, steel plates, air cushions and planting mats in place to safeguard new planting and prevent stripping when the next raging flood torrent comes through.


    Short rapids, races have been created ( as with lowland rivers), deeper more still pools, and safe re-organisation of whirls and eddies, with sometimes a key massive boulder in place to spread patterns depending on the river flow, volume and depth - everyday a different display as the variables adjust, as do the light conditions. Nearby native vegetation will be introduced, some flowering. This will attract native pigeons and songbirds. The pools will encourage fish and river freshwater crayfish. As often with nature, all this work of enriching quickly multiplies and bio diversity accelerates, as long as the purity of the water from upstream can be enforced ( dairy runoff and leaching of phosphates). This is why the programme has to interact on the bigger scale, and also downstream so that natural wide spreading estuaries can be expanded to control flood risk. Every variable is interactive as in chaos mathematical models.

    What delighted me watching from the bridge was the tuning, the positioning of some of these stones put in place by science and massive engineering technology. Of course it may be swept away within 6 months. We shall see. But it is a demonstration of a common will to modify nature and create a more beautiful and balanced environment. Great ambitious work and it operates on many levels. Many respond with curiosity; some are scathing in criticism; others note the gradual change for the better, in effect playing with patterns which will actually make us better, whole again.

    The theory behind this is mimicking nature and it's variety and richness of solutions and opportunities where short cycles, small patterns, are put out to see which prosper and which fail, and to encourage an interaction of social life in the city with the natural forces of the river and its daily variations. We are fascinated by patterns and so many stand and watch, or sit and reflect watching the water flow with its currents, eddies and pools.


    While this is going on ( with some irony) 5 minutes walk beside the river you come across the Christchurch Casino building and for those who have the interest a similar stream of patterns and eddies unfurls from the roulette wheels. Again, with a trained eye and some knowledge, there is fascination in the outcomes just as beautiful as the river, once you learn to see.

    On many levels the city rebuild works are a series of experiments to bring pleasure, comfort, some peace and beauty but also restore confidence in present and future life. Experiments have risk of failure, but will always provide opportunities from which to learn. On all scales, patterns and clusterings, fresh groupings and associations are major aspects of life. As humans we assemble, build and work with these- in between the really big natural events that may break it all down again, as with what appears to be two opposing sets of forces.

    A reasonable question may thus follow, but that is beyond the scope of this essay or this context.


    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #3 on: June 01, 2014, 02:21:31 am »
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  • La Grand Bellezza - The Great Beauty ... a portrait of a creative life in Roma
    Italian/ French 2013  by Paolo Sorrentino


    A matrix, a cluster, a sphere, a knot of overlapping ideas. This works on many levels and it may be worth a second visit or more to access layers of subtlety. What you bring to the film will also be rewarded. Just for music alone it is old and new, sacred and worldly, as with the insights into this ancient city whose secret places are gradually unlocked. In order to see inside though you must be trustworthy and true. Contrasted are many charlatans of supposed art.


    The world weary writer who never achieved his potential and who has lived in a mad social whirlpool for over forty years is given fresh insights and an opportunity for a new beginning as those around him fade, leave or die. Inspired by the roots of our heartfelt images, the deepest emotions, our own limitless detail memories, we can draw upon inspirational moments to renew ourselves and reach to new heights and insights. This is the product of experience and age. On his 65th birthday party ( the rooftop apartment adjacent the ruins of the old Forum and Colosseum ) the writer commences a new journey and to use the recent Bryan Ferry analogy, a third coming.


    To see freshly and powerfully, to see as children, to be free, to travel in the imagination, then the new work, the new novel will follow. Seize the opportunity while fresh and clear in the mind. Do not hesitate, or it may be lost.
    Through the mass of experience, of society, and learning to see through the mirror, the writer sees the simplicity and tricks that enable access to the Great Beauty.  Time, patience and experience is necessary.








    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #4 on: June 01, 2014, 05:45:16 am »
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  • Trading Patterns - Managed Trading Accounts on Wall Street


    The best professional traders achieve results that outsiders believe are too good to be true, but a handful  ( about two dozen professionals) can provide verified and audited accounts for the past ten years or more that show astonishing success and opportunity to leverage.


    I always like to hear true stories ( ie verified and kosher) that shatter the myths of mediocrity. So much is possible and it is unnecessary to limit yourself when abundance is all around us when you look for it, or know what to look for. Tell that to a homeless beggar in any world city or dust bowl abandoned farm. These are not easy or glib answers, but there is a way for improved distribution of resources like water and improved food crops like rice, and for better communications, transport and market organisation, for banking like Grameen Bank in Bangladesh, and for education to teach how to do, grow and deliver.


    To achieve what is 'too good to be true' the traders use maximum efficiency strategies and among those are 'trend stacking' options on the financial, equity and commodity markets.


    What is a trend stack?  It is a convergence, an overlay of two or more trends in one short cycle position where the trader achieves a return in excess of 50% return more than 67% of the time. The primary trend may be the market direction, say down in a bear market, with a short sell on a doomed stock, or double vice versa.


    The analogies with the efficient roulette bets are worth considering thinking laterally. Traders use short cycle technical patterns constantly. Everything moves in cycles, whether markets, roulette outcomes, weather, fortunes.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #5 on: June 01, 2014, 09:21:08 pm »
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  • Antarctic Ice Sheets Melting


    The most recent study has shown this is now much faster than previously recognised and that within 50 years there will be a sea level rise of 300mm or more and within 100 years 2metres or more. This is happening before our eyes and has immediate implications as most current world cities will be impacted. Many implications in nature have chaotic consequences so small changes in one location can have increased implication elsewhere. We have to learn that all is inter-connected and this is a practical implication for us with vast implications.


    The detail however which i want to focus on here is that the latest research study showed why the acceleration of ice sheet melting. Large waves. Waves over 3 metres high have massive force impact and shatter ice. The current phase of southern ocean weather has been a washing impact of great southern win storms whipping up giant waves and also as a further side effect bringing colder water to the surface in a stirring action which itself has slowed apparent global warming ( temporarily).


    Buoys set on the ocean for measurement of tsunami activity ( after the great tsunamis of the past 15 years) in the southern ocean have shown there are far more rogue waves than ever realised. This was the same discovery even in the North Sea where oil platforms registered wave sizes previously not known.


    All actions inter-connect and thus in a dramatic illustration there are major implications to consider which may eventually enable some societies to get beyond their differences and realize we are all neighbours and cousins, and we just have to get along, to survive. Some Pacific Island nations are already threatened with submersion. Implications for Europe, UK and USA are not far off.


    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #6 on: June 01, 2014, 09:39:27 pm »
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  • Confidence and Competence

    Claire Shipman  ( ABC / Good Morning America) + Katty Kay ( BBC USA)- The Confidence Code -The Science and Art of Self Assurance

    Men have a higher ratio of confidence to competence ( say 60:40) than Women who by comparison may exhibit a ratio inversely proportional ( say 40:60).

    These are fundamental realisations based on current research analysis, and may make you reflect next time you hop on a plane, bus or train.


    Recently I traveled on an Air NZ flight with a crew of three. Female pilot, female first officer and female hostess/ attendant. Smoothest flight and landing ever since travelling on Thai ( the smoothest silk pilots).

    Women are more self questioning, self doubting and able to empathise.  Turns out testosterone as the bio chemical may be one primary reason.

    I took the survey as promoted by these media savvy women ( note 80% of respondents were female because they are more curious on this subject) and was assessed above average self confidence. In my view the questions were over simplified and it is easy to skew your answers to provide the obvious result.


    One of the principles the researchers ( brain science) found was that we all have huge flexibilities to re-program our brains. The more shortcuts, by-ways, connections the better, and one simple and repeating attitude/ emotion can assist.


    That is gratitude. The almost child-like simplicity and openness of such can accelerate change and welcome growth seeing all experience, painful or pleasing, as instructive. Particularly the unpleasant stuff as material to deal with and literally turning problems into opportunities.


    This psychology can also be extremely helpful to the researcher and player in roulette. Also to the writer on roulette forums.







    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #7 on: June 01, 2014, 09:49:41 pm »
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  • Five Essays

    These are five subjects somewhat randomly assembled from my workshop of current data input.

    The principle I am trying to illustrate is that all these ( as any number of extra themes I could discuss) are subjects that overlap and inter-connect in various ways, and indirectly can relate to professional playing attitudes in roulette, being......

    #1  pattern analysis and implications on all levels

    #2  creativity blocks and creativity breakthroughs into beautiful realisations

    #3  use of short cycle trend overlays

    #4  observe for the unexpected influences that can accelerate trends

    #5  balance confidence and competence as a professional


    Best
    XXVV
    June 2014

    Offline esoito

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #8 on: June 02, 2014, 12:00:27 am »
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  • A neat summary of the interactions between all five very interesting and thought-provoking explorations.

    The forum is indeed extremely fortunate to have someone of your calibre posting quality information and reflections. A refreshing change. [I wish there was more of it, perhaps from the silent majority who lurk on the forum but contribute nothing at all.]

    I hope the notion of 'stacking trends' caught some attention -- it has enormous application and potential in all sorts of financial endeavours.

    You'll recall the details I sent you recently of 27 out of 27 winning, profitable sessions. The software I've written to achieve that success uses elements of stacking trends in short-term cycles within cycles within...

    [Feel free, of course, to move this post to a separate, discussion thread if you prefer to.]



    Offline XXVV

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    Re: Melting Pot of Ideas - Five Essays
    « Reply #9 on: June 02, 2014, 12:15:45 am »
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  • Thanks Esoito


    One of the points I am trying to illustrate is that a 'Forum' is actually a dynamic meeting place, and a centre, a place to exchange and trade ideas, to learn, to yabber and jabber, and have fun.


    Of particular interest is the notion of adding value, layering and stacking of ideas, and worthwhile tips and tricks to access what is a treasure chest of abundance, and that is what our life should be.


    So it is roulette +, and when I say roulette is a miniature of life, a small wheel, then if life is represented by the Wheel of Fortune, and why not, then this can be a turning point, a focus on the big wheel.


    and so on....


    Best


    R.
    XXVV