BetSelection.cc

Please login or register.

Topic: MARKET REPORT  (Read 38290 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline XXVV

  • Moderator
  • *****
  • Posts: 1624
  • Gender: Male
  • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
    • View Profile
Re: MARKET REPORT
« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2015, 04:15:31 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • I want to be very clear about my position and interest in this Market Report.

    My role is an observer and an enthusiast with access to private valuable professional expert insight. I am an Investor, a Client. I am not an active personal Trader, and do not have the experience or skill to act as such. However I do have access to the very best of professional Managed Fund Traders in New York. They trade at their discretion, not my direction. I participate by pooling my investment capital to their pooled accounts which are very substantial.

    That is what I meant when I stated I was a novice, an amateur, relative to true top professionals.

    My observations and reported credited statements are derived through my fascination with the finest trading markets in the world.

    I am amazed and thrilled at the skill of what I see, and I endeavour to share that enthusiasm.

    However let us be clear. So many views and statements made by experts in their financial fields are subjective and vary wildly. The recent interpretations of the Federal Reserve Committee and the remarks about Janet Yellen range from respect to wildly abusive almost sexist cheap shots. It all adds to the variance, confusion and opacity of the financial markets at this time. It is very volatile and falls do seem increasingly likely.

    My second hand suggestion for the Fitbit stock at $31 USD from last week went to $40 USD today in strong upward correction mode. That bet alone was a winner, as was the American Airlines stock at $43 USD close up from $37.50 USD on August 25. Wise to sell out now. It was a massive volume trading day with quadruple expiries on option trades by close and within 30 mins of closing there was $2 Billion USDollars worth of stock to sell. It is amazing to watch the Traders try to soften such pressure with a lot of matched buying and in the end by the closing bell the damage was not too bad but extremely hectic. Such volume occurs 2-3 times a year and my observations were through the eyes and ears of the Head of Floor Trading for UBS who is a NYSE legend.




    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #16 on: September 19, 2015, 07:45:23 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • My personal view is that I would be very nervous about the DJI on NYSE on Wednesday 23 September. We shall soon see. The comment is based on technical analysis and market sentiment/ volatility.

    Offline Tomla

    • Sr. Member
    • ****
    • Posts: 459
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #17 on: September 23, 2015, 03:47:09 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • well here we are 23rd ,,, lets see what happens today....I won't blame you if it's a normal day:) ...lets see

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #18 on: September 23, 2015, 06:16:16 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Well as I write the market NYSE is down with two hours to go and there seem to be many signals which are relatively negative/ unstable and would suggest/ recommend to step aside and be cashed up might be best. Volume is small today because of Jewish holiday. The Aussie market is being hammered because of resource prices and the AUD in relation to USD, and to a lesser extent NZD to USD continue to slide.

    In NZ equities, am holding on to quality stock such as airport and port categories because we are a trading nation and travel increases through trade and tourism. I would take the view here to buy on weakness in this microscopic view.

    What is recommended is to have strategies in place where through risk management exposures can be wisely spread in category, mode and location and profits are taken exactly as a roulette pro would act and play tightly with house money. Selected niche areas may be a possible fall back position and such as the Indonesian, Vietnamese and Iragi currencies enable access where re-valuation might be a possibility. Of course much has been written on this over some period but there are signals some change may be underway.

    Back to the markets even CNBC commentators are acknowledging that a slip to 1800 level on the S+P is quite possible. Previous cycle V corrections after a slide this time are not working and of course in the bigger picture this  illustrates a bigger correction is underway.

    Lets see what happens with bigger volumes by end of week.  In Europe both VW and especially Porsche got hammered down 25-30% but with buying today. All motor brands are down and there may be trouble ahead there.

    I do not think we could label recent weeks and days and the current sentiment as 'normal' (if by that we mean bullish). We are heading for the woods.


    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #19 on: September 26, 2015, 04:04:58 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • Carlitos has asked me about Bitcoin and also about Chris Dunn and Bitcoinwealthalliance.

    In my view Bitcoin is very much alive but I refer you to RT.com and Max Keiser who has been at the forefront of controversy and questioning of the current economic system. His network of expert guests and commentators on his show are essential research for investment in the next cycle, and I recommend study of many back programmes on the website.

    Chris Dunn provides expert insight and technical analysis experience in the trading of Bitcoin at various levels depending on your fee scale choice. In my personal dealings with him I have found expert knowledge and immediate communication to deal with any query.

    I recommend you conduct thorough due diligence however with any market product. In his products that I am aware of you do your own trading (day trading) but his team will provide key alerts as to significant trading opportunities. At this time I am not a client but I still receive his market signal emails.

    My personal approach is to recommend the serious investor hire the very best professionals to do trading, and not trade at all personally. Reason for this is the expertise available of the top 20 managed account traders in USA for example but in order to access into their pooled funds a unit value input may be at least $20,000 USD or multiples thereof.

    There are ways to access this level of investment and over the coming months I may start a new thread on my personal experiences working with true trading and investment professionals in USA and Australia. Why do this?  Well my intention as always is to encourage others to explore ways to improve personal income, especially areas that are already proven. Also it is one in the eye for the cynics.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #20 on: September 28, 2015, 08:24:35 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Okay.

    The week started in NY with a slide on US markets and in one word - through bio-techs and the appalling attitudes from some CEO's who seek excess profit at outrageous levels. 

    An inside view is that many of the bio-tech stocks, stars in recent performance, have been leveraged by margin traders ( ie borrowing to extend positions) and as the margin calls come in ( with a diving market thanks to a variety of triggers ranging from CEO of the year-not, to VW, to the Fed, to HClinton) they have to sell and this may accelerate further triggers. They have been caught out from darlings of the market to villains.

    Volatility still seems to be increasing, and it would be wise to listen to Carl Icahn and hedge.

    There are ETF's available with names under the umbrella 'sell the dow short'. Buyer beware of course.

    It is the bio-techs and the energy stocks/ commodities which are the disasters and the fall of Glencore is like the trajectory of a falling failing Investment Bank.

    In my home country 111 is an emergency call. Place another 1 to the line (1111) and you have the number of this post, symbolic.

    Valeant is the company that has attempted to hike prices and has paid dearly with steep falls in shareprice over the past 7 days worldwide and this has reflected poorly on the entire bio -tech sector.

    Consider the effect that VW has had on auto manufacturers and observe Peugeot was very hard hit in France. Perhaps the exhaust pollution control fraud is widespread or so the market is speculating.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #21 on: October 03, 2015, 10:19:28 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Volatility is increasing and all I can see is take the markets a day at a time. My most respected advisers say step aside or remain cashed up for there will be big corrections ahead over the next months. Over the coming weeks though I will  try to provide snapshots of various views within the CNBC/Bloomberg vista, but also wider more unconventional views and links to more advanced contemporary economics such as www.BankToTheFuture.com and my facebook friend Simon Dixon.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #22 on: October 09, 2015, 08:09:41 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Just as I have noted in dealing with people where sometimes you encounter the inexplicable response, likewise the markets. Ten days ago we had oil heading down and 'experts' were suggesting $50 USD/ barrel next year. Well it happened just a few days later thanks to Putin. Worst performing section on the Dow this week ( closing bell has just rung after 5 straight winning sessions) was Healthcare. Even Hillary Clinton may repeal TPP if she wins in 2016. The drug companies though through their own obvious greed shot themselves in the foot. And VW it just gets worse - not a $7B USD cost but more likely a $70 B USD fine/ cost which may actually sink diesel world wide and hasten electric cars. But even the champion designers at TESLA this were down 10% for the week. Yet car sales are booming in the US market. The disconnects, the dysfunctional rationales are everywhere. How can you order/ rationalise/ reason with such complexity? There is great resentment everywhere regarding Washington government control they advise me yet the Federal and State combo, as in Australia you would think is a great idea, but no it just adds another level of bureacracy.

    De-centralisation will be a coming force in years ahead. If it is not advocated it will be forced by necessity and possibly disasters.

    CNBC contributor advised Clinton has a 41% chance of winning the Presidency. She has never forgotten how in a previous campaign and as a politician for so many years how Big Pharmaceuticals treated her. It is likely there will be payback if she wins and already the Market is factoring this in.

    Human optimistic bias prefers 'normal' rising markets and the past week has seen palpable relief from many. All I can also note though is that volatility and the seeds of correction are only just below the surface. Sadly the markets seem to thrive on war and the profits therefrom. This may be one of the factors that will have to be changed in a new financial system that actually thrives on de-centralised individual choice and personal freedom, not centralised madness from power crazed tyrants and sociopaths.

    Already we have some hedge  fund managers (one of the brightest and best recently interviewed was a Frenchwoman who advised her fund refuses to invest in tobacco products for ethical reasons) who avoid and shun the investment 'opportunities' in arms manufacture R+D. Let's invest in a healthy and prosperous free humanity that champions education, opportunity and fulfillment on all levels.

    There will be major change in years to come, whether now, next year, or ten years, or twenty.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #23 on: November 06, 2015, 12:25:29 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • Over a month since I last posted because I was quite surprised by the +10% gain on the DJI in one month.

    Well it has hit the previous ceiling again at approx 18,000.

    A contrarian view suggests more of the same, but caution. Nevertheless Facebook, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Disney will steam ahead.

    Note the success at last of Bitcoin, and perhaps the Chinese may account for this.

    Note the great success of https://banktothefuture.com

    Highly recommended.

    I love the professionalism and passion of many presenters and ceo's/ economists/ traders on www.cnbc.com

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #24 on: November 06, 2015, 08:36:21 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • This has been a very interesting week in the US markets.

    Currently 72% vote for rate hike in December by the Fed Reserve.  Thus banking stocks in US are up. USD stronger.

    Brilliant show on CNBC today from Dallas with interviews from..

    Kyle Bass

    Mark Cuban

    These individuals are great examples of the best application on US Capitalism and Business. My personal goal is to see the ideas of Ronnie Moas and the fairer re-distribution of wealth and prosperity.

    Curious the recent emphasis on Dallas/ Ft Worth/ Houston - best possible promotion from Entrepreneur MC.

    May be there soon as Air NZ has direct flights to Houston from December.

    Another major billionaire investor is shorting international banks often Asia based and dealing with China ( such as but not necessarily only Standard Chartered and HSBC). This is a warning sign for entities dealing with China trade and relying too heavily on that source. In NZ I am concerned over the bias Dairy Giant Fonterra exhibits in trade reliance. NZ needs to spread its agricultural intellectual property, focus and production to a wider world.

    Volatility Index is at 15 lowest since early northern summer.

    Long positions on key ETF's featuring leading US banking stocks were clearly signaled strong.

    Long position on Disney seems solid.

    One of my favourite US banks Wells Fargo seems well balanced and positioned.

    Alphabet seems one of the very best buys, and sure in this case would accumulate on dips.


    * note these are subjective views but frequently mirror/ reflect expert opinion by market specialists - seems to me a full replay of the Friday CNBC show would be most rewarding.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #25 on: November 07, 2015, 01:00:21 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • Compare Fitbit at $37.80  and American Airlines at $45.34 to my recommendations when priced in mid September. Up 10-20% on today prices.

    As earlier stated I do not trade personally- I invest in large managed accounts in several locations to spread risk.**

    I find the best CEOs and Presenters are outstanding on the US scene, and less so in UK or Europe. However I was MOST impressed with the UK CEO of GlaxoSmithKline and that would be an outstanding buy during corrections or bear markets to hold for 5-10 years. What a future, as with Disney, but the Big Pharmas although extremely unfashionable at present because of the behaviour of one CEO in particular, actually should and do really assist humanity in fundamental ways.

    In coming weeks and increasingly so, I will give a twice weekly mention of best performances and picks. I love to share that brilliant passion those very best CEOs present.

    ** one of eight principles to manage and mitigate risk
    these will be outlined in subsequent posts

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #26 on: November 09, 2015, 03:53:48 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • Over the year ahead, in fact a clear plan for 2016 for my priorities is to expand this section in this context (ie a gambling forum), and also in a personal blog space, and maybe in due course a dedicated website.

    I want to introduce members of this forum, and my readers, to the worthwhile links and paths that I have found through much prior hard work and searching. There will be no financial benefit for myself in providing these introductions. My motivation is to assist others to assist themselves and indirectly others further along the line.

    One quality I admire through the work of the professional business and economics journalists on CNBC is that they 'live and breathe' this work. Such passion and focus always wins, no matter what field is chosen.


    Offline Mare

    • Rising Member
    • **
    • Posts: 33
    • Gender: Male
    • Roulette is not play the system than a player.
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #27 on: November 09, 2015, 12:16:00 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Must admit that I almost stop to comes on forum except in situation to check out if XXVV have to say  something. :) 
    It might be very inspire when we find out that somebody on other side of globe thoughts on almost the same way.

    I personally studying roulette almost 4 years, last 6 mounths I explore FX market.  Even though seems like  these two area doesn't have similarity, experience from roulette has been very useful for fast mastering of trading on FOREX market. On the same way FX has been very helpful for some aspects in roulette especially in risk- reward and money management area.

    Soon I will finish roulette test maraton of my methodology. I plan to make some post  with detailed graphically display of results in purpose of proper understanding how much is important that we have right approach and right attitude if we really want to achieve professional level. No matter what we do.

    Richard, big regards for you.
    Your work and dedication is commendable.
    People are mostly victims their own insecurity to cross the border of known.

    Offline XXVV

    • Moderator
    • *****
    • Posts: 1624
    • Gender: Male
    • Legio XX Valeria Victrix LVX
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #28 on: November 09, 2015, 10:29:44 pm »
  • ReplyReply
  • Thanks Mare

    That is really kind, and most appreciated.

    What goes on in my private life and my R+D and teaching is continually expanding and very exciting. I have fabulous students and we are getting to end of year. Curiosity is life giving, and we are always searching, seeking and finding new goals.

    You are so right. There is a lot of cross -referencing and application/ use when it comes to the market trading, and our more professional work in roulette ( and other casino games). I am no card player but adore roulette, and the potential leverage of its results. This year I reached a new benchmark in receiving the highest payout ( exceeding previous best by 50%) in the form of roulette that is rapid ( a spin per minute) and screen based viewing a live dealer and wheel. The ability to instantly repeat bets and load up increasing leverage for key opportunities is a market phenomenon and occasionally occurs with wheel results such as a short cycle of finales grouping combined with say street patterns. For example 7-8-9 finales and the number 30, with 'B streets and say C streets. 7,8,9,17,18,28,29,30  - and in these situations, especially after earlier defaults or no shows, there may be 3-4 repeats in short/ close proximity.

    A phenomenon I see in the US markets that amuses me are the short selling strategies where an entity releases a report that really hammers a pharmaceutical for example and the market price dips from say $28 down to $19.90. This happened this morning in New York to one company that was gulity of  price hikes on earlier patented drugs that used to be cheap. They loaded the price by 3000%. So it was fair karma they got hammered in a short squeeze today. Imagine the return to the short seller. It was the short seller who released the report from its own research analysts.

    Ronnie Moas and Max Keiser have promoted short selling strategies to attack unethical behaviour by Starbucks, Apple, Amazon et al. Of course Wall Street is still populated by mainly greed merchants so ethical concerns are still in the minority, but this is changing.

    Am currently reading the classic 2010 Michael Lewis - The Big Short. Also I really recommend Al Jazeera as a well resourced media channel. They played today a superb documentary film on the history of the US Federal Reserve and its banking policy. That Greenspan was so effective for a time, and yet always the wheel turns, and his theories adjusted to political expediency and led to much confusion.

    We await the inevitable rate hike for December and already the ensuing 3-4 steps over the following 12 months or so. It is a dark science, Economics. Where is all this heading?  Worth seeing this doco several times just to get that historical perspective clear.

    Best wishes to Mare.


    Offline Mare

    • Rising Member
    • **
    • Posts: 33
    • Gender: Male
    • Roulette is not play the system than a player.
      • View Profile
    Re: MARKET REPORT
    « Reply #29 on: November 10, 2015, 11:36:08 am »
  • ReplyReply
  • I'm glad for your success on all fields of life, ultimately that is essence, if man do everything what can do inevitably before or later comes into state of full life potential.

    Absolutely, the roulette is king of casino games and even many other financial games :) But actually this abundance of possibility is the sweet honey and sharp blade at the same time  for all novice.
    And yes the secret weapon laying in short cycle and right timing, we were always agree about this fact.

    As a matter of market the reports actually have a major role in bigger momentum of price movement. Nowadays traders almost ignored fundamental analysis, but precisely therein lies great potential for bigger risk-reward ratio.

    Thanks for your recommendation, where I can find that documentary, sounds very interesting, what is headline ?
    People are mostly victims their own insecurity to cross the border of known.