08 Allocation-Decision Making Too Late & That Ridiculous Psychological Cushion

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Topic: Allocation-Decision Making Too Late & That Ridiculous Psychological Cushion  (Read 2890 times)

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Offline alrelax

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I will try to make some brief notes and explain how and why we wagered on what we did. We profited about $22,000.00 on the 25 or so hands we won out of 30.

We got most of the Players correct in Sections C and D of the second shoe and Section B of the 3rd shoe. 

Likewise we did extremely well with the Players in Sections C, D and E of the first shoe.  If there was total table camaraderie it would have been awesome but the few that made big money on the Bankers in the first half gave it all back and went deep into their buy ins and sorry to say, it held the table back.  And that was a great and easy shoe to profit on, especially after the first half of strong Banker. 
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
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Offline Jimske

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I will try to make some brief notes and explain how and why we wagered on what we did. We profited about $22,000.00 on the 25 or so hands we won out of 30
. 80% hit rate I impressive!  Average bet size $1k to get 22k.  Looking forward to the explanation.  Thanks

Offline alrelax

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Great shoe from an hour ago, we are at a restaurant so thought I would post a shoe with 3 sections.


My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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My buddy, another person and myself went to the casino late last night.  We arrived at the casino property and we kind of had a huddle and a before game meet in the parking lot.  What is strange is that we all looked at each other and laughed.  I said, you first, the other shrugged his shoulders and the third person, says--hey tonight is the night. 

Now, I have tons of experiences playing for a solid 30 plus years, since the days of kick-behind boardwalk get down and dirty Atlantic City.  Huddles on the boardwalk, meets out on the Black Horse or White Horse Pikes prior to getting to Atlantic City, meets up on I-95 at the service areas prior to getting off to go to Mohegan Sun or Foxwoods Casinos, all of that stuff.  Nothing new, nothing at all.  Most are just pre-arrival bull stuff, but you know, once in awhile those meets do add thought, conscious alertness and allow one to think a bit clearer and set things aside that do distract us, or at least let us be aware of such. 

We stood there and talked.  The three of us said, follow what the shoe is presenting, do not fall prey to the people and the side line stuff, be conscious, be aware.  Follow, no matter if chopping, 2s, streaks or whatever.  Just lets overpower the shoe. 

What happened inside was just that and yes, we did get side tracked and yes, we did also follow what we said.  I just wish we totally tuned out the side line stuff. 

Just reality.  Real events, real play and real baccarat.

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline Jimske

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Gee, Al, you sure you're not from Philly?  Whatyadoin' on the White Horse, pickin' blueberries in Hammonton?  I-95?  If yer comin' from Jersey City/NYC you'd take the Turnpike>Pkway>ACXpressway.  Maybe you just liked the scenic route?  Route 9 is a fun ride further south taking in a lot of the Jersey coastline.  I come back that way sometimes just for gigs if I got time to kill.  New Jersey gets a lot of jokes but it really has some great spots!  It's not called The Garden State for nuthin'.  Can't beat Jersey tomatoes or corn as far as I'm concerned!

When I was a kid my dad would give me a whole roll of pennies!  Man, I was in heaven walkin' the boards and playin' those arcades!  Ahh, the good old days! 

Anywho, what I thought you were going to do (besides drawing lines after the fact) was to give some examples.  Everybody needs a reason to bet, right?  So you just got to pick a few spots on the shoe and say what and why you bet there and, if you like, you could say how much and why?  What's so hard about that?

Thanks

P.S. Lugi's favorite series?  Boardwalk Empire!


Offline alrelax

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Oh yeah, the X-wife and I did have a restaurant in Center City on South 18th street at the time, also had our boat docked in Somers Point.  But yeah, on the GSP to Philly and then back on 30 or 40 (the White or Black Horse Parkways).  A couple family members in and around Hamilton to Mays Landing.  Always a stop over for something before the few min ride from GSP to AC.

Those were definitely the days!
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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There are no set waves or sequences.

There are no set Sections and Turning Points.

There are waves and sequences yes, but they are not set and have no agenda.

When they are there, they will appear, however an equal amount of time or greater, they will not, and that is what almost all players do not realize, do not want to realize, will not admit until it happens and what makes it worse, is those very same sequences, waves and Sections will reappear like clockwork in testing.  They do not and will never carry over to a positive cash flow in real life gaming.

Just remember, do not fall in that trap because it will cost you and you will win and then lose it all and more so, it is a start but there is so much more that the vast majority just does not grasp.  Be smarter, believe with an open mind, study and engage in reality. 
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline Jimske

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There are no set waves or sequences.

There are no set Sections and Turning Points.

There are waves and sequences yes, but they are not set and have no agenda.
LOL.  I'm pretty sure everyone gets that part.

Offline alrelax

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B-B-B-B-P-P-B-P-P-P-B-B-P-P-P-B-P-B-P-P-B-B-B-P-B-P-P-B-P-B-B-P-B-P-P-B-B-B-P-B-B-B-B-

P-P-P-P-P-P-P-P-B-P-P-P-B-B-P-B-B-B-P-B-B-P

Plus there was 13 Ties

4 Panda 8s and 3 F-7's.  2 three card 8/9s.

Banker 32
Player  33

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline Jimske

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I will try to make some brief notes and explain how and why we wagered on what we did. We profited about $22,000.00 on the 25 or so hands we won out of 30.

We got most of the Players correct in Sections C and D of the second shoe and Section B of the 3rd shoe. 

Likewise we did extremely well with the Players in Sections C, D and E of the first shoe.  If there was total table camaraderie it would have been awesome but the few that made big money on the Bankers in the first half gave it all back and went deep into their buy ins and sorry to say, it held the table back.  And that was a great and easy shoe to profit on, especially after the first half of strong Banker.
What's the matter Glen, decided not to say how and why? ;)

Offline alrelax

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What's the matter Glen, decided not to say how and why? ;)

Not exactly.  But I will try to tonight.  I need time at the computer rather than a few mins here and there, as it has been the past several days. 
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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Bump.  Stand by this post in my opening here.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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Really good insights Al, yet not sufficient to get a long term edge.
Surely they are worth to restrict the losing amount up to the math expected value or, at best, to reduce the HE.
And 99.9% of bac players will lose a lot more.

Anyway good points we shouldn't forget when playing this silly game.

as.

Asym,

Long term will be determined by how one sticks to his Levels & Plateaus and how that same person employs a money management method that will be strictly adhered to and believed in.  Nothing else can ever govern a player except himself. 
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline AsymBacGuy

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I agree, but those tools help the player to lose less and not to win.

To consistently win we have to play a game where we'll get more winning hands than losing hands. Imo, no MM could get the best of it unless it's actioned into an unrandom (beatable) game.
 
 
as. 

Next to edge sorting it's me