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Comparing and Analyzing Shoes

Started by alrelax, April 04, 2017, 06:39:14 PM

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alrelax

Comparing and Analyzing Shoes IMO is useless.  If you take your score card and compare and analyze it against others it means nothing.  Go ahead and take one and statistically analyze it against hundreds of thousands or millions of shoes.  It will still mean nothing.  For the simple reason, the 'thing' you just found that caused those 2 hands to have a winner and a loser will do the same thing in exact order 10 times and then refuse to do that for 20 times.  Or any number in place of that 10 and 20.

Once you have played this game long enough, you will realize that virtually every possible situation that did develop and either prevailed or lost (each hand) for the entire shoe, could be the same or different or never come about with other ones.  At least to the point of being able to find something solid enough to wager on that you can surely win with betting it happens.  Great thought, but you are barking up a thousand mile high tree, hoping a person sitting at the top of it can hear you. 

Just as many times as you see that a tie cuts because of 'so and so', you will also see that tie stuck because of the same exact thing!  The same thing with point values, one side winning with a certain number versus the losing side.  You will observe the same thing as well as the opposite of it not happening.  The same with naturals that prevail or lose.  The same with a streak/run of so many occurring after such and such an event or placement in the beginning or middle or end of the shoe.  Just as many times as it happening, you will see just as many that did not happen.

Take hundreds of thousands or a million shoes and you will see there is no mechanical wager that will prevail on a certain number or situation that will allow you to win within the few shoes you will be sitting down to play.  Whether that play is every day, or a couple times a week or any thing else.  In this game the same thing that won in the shoe you just played may or may not happen in the following shoes or when you compare that shoe to any other cluster or amount of shoes.  Every single scenario with any trend, pattern, point value, order of cards coming out, or other happening may win or lose and cannot be determined in a future shoe based upon past order of hands that prevailed or lost in comparative shoes. 
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