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People Only See What They Are Prepared to See

Started by alrelax, January 15, 2023, 11:35:53 PM

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alrelax

"People only see what they are prepared to see". Ralph Waldo Emerson.

What a perfect 'catch line' for the game of baccarat! Absolutely the brutal truth though.

It's only a single shoe at a time.  One shoe.  About 80 hands. Nothing else matters, before and after results do not apply to the shoe in front of you, NONE. Zero.

Do not dilute the shoe down. Do not add to it. Do not throw averages in or reduce it down in any way whatsoever. Do not envision anything except what the shoe is doing (presenting).

There are certainly advantages that are offered and can be taken advantage of. Two of the best and largest player advantages.  Equalization. Limits of Balancements. There are also disadvantages that shoes will present as well. The Illusion of Perspectives. Reversed Engineering. Problem normally is, those strong two advantages are usually squashed by the two disadvantages. Be careful, be smart, excel and prevail.

It doesn't matter how you win.....

But to the highest majority at the tables, it sure does. Either to show the others or to attempt to satisfy their own ego that they have it figured out, etc.

The keys to winning are narrowed down to two things:

1)  What wins this session/shoe/section, probably will not (possibly even throwing a harder ball at you, might go a very limited similar degree) but overall producing greater loses than wins in the following ones;

2)  Anything, including the presentments you have not experienced many times, can and will occur and create the winning hands. 

Remember, at least try to anyways, the above two things because baccarat is a game of presentments that make appearances as well as disappearances without any type of agenda in the majority of the cases. You are trying to catch the presentments in the minority events where you can capitalize easily.

WHEN IT MATTERS THE GREATEST—-YOU HAVE TO RECOGNIZE IT AND WAGER ACCORDINGLY.

You don't know—-what you don't know.  Think seriously—-seriously think!

The shoe will not give you an agenda as to what it's going to do.  Cannot, will not, never did and never will. The brutal honest truth.

Ever how you spread it out, chart it, software it, etc., problem is—-it is already done. You are analyzing the past, not what's going to happen in an order that will unfold with certainty.

The Downfall of all Methods

A method allows you to follow a plan that should give you an advantage. And the keyword out of all of that is 'SHOULD'. You have to tolerate the negative when it occurs, and it most certainly will in the highest majority of all attempts when using any method. Be aware, be conscious of that very thing.

Most all players 'chicken out' or change up what can help them at the table, because they cannot be in the dark without realizing immediate profits. Been there and done that too many times, I speak and write from sheer experience. 

Equalization. Is real and the number of times, shoes will 'equal out' is enormously over 50%.  If I had to put a number on the amount of times, I would have to say 85-90 out of 100.

As well the 0-1-2-3 low ties, is also a very very strong sign of clumping and consistency within a section, whatever the shoe is presenting. Chops, doubles, triples, streaks, etc., and so on.

Equalization is real, recurring and solid.

Limits and Balancements.  Wins and Losses.

Both will happen.  Everyone of us are individualistic within this important area of gaming.  You have to figure out what your offsets need to be when losing and how to place into positive progressions to capitalize on what is occurring. 

Remember wins influence you to wager larger, longer and harder. Casinos favor that type by huge amounts. People play that way for comps and other things that really do not matter. But it's part of gaming. 

Reversed Engineering.  Re-created events from statistics that DO NOT APPLY WHATSOEVER to the limited amount of shoes you will play. Reversed engineering is used as a fictional support tool for most all systems sellers, theory 'make quick money' book and manual authors and self-proclaimed gambling experts of all types. Be leery and be careful, do not apply it to your gaming as it will generally hurt you the highest percentage of all times.

The Illusion of Perspectives.  While the subject is huge and very complex, I will sum it up for you and it's an essential you must use it to combat false beliefs at the table. Ignore the information and data from; #1) The 'external stimuli' that will lead you to incorrect and false perceptions of what is being presented; and #2) Be 100% conscious that when your eyes and brain try to speak to each other, your brain will forbid you the advantage to take control with clear neutralism and player advantaged wagering, if you allowed your eyes to use their visual perception to limit your beliefs. 

That is exactly why few of us can wager on and profit hand after hand on 12 consecutive chop-chops, a player streak of 14, doubles appearing 6 times followed by 6 chop-chops followed by 6 bankers and then 6 players, and so on. 

Remember there are a total of 4,826,809 possible combinations within a shoe of baccarat cards (8 decks).  What has happened as well as, what did not happen at any time throughout a shoe can easily work either way, for or against you repetitively throughout the shoe.

Think about it, you certainly don't at the table, IMO.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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KungFuBac

Many good thoughts in the above post.

"Most all players 'chicken out' or change up what can help them at the table, because they cannot be in the dark without realizing immediate profits."

    What is somewhat perplexing is that I see more players "chicken out" when winning with a pospro vs negpro or flat betting. The same players that will lose big simply will not "take-the-juice" out of a gravy-train shoe and allow themselves to win a monster shoe.
I've been guilty of this very thing in the past.

Years ago I witnessed the longest streak I've ever played (same-event streak in a single shoe): 16iar Opps.
I was wagering a parlay the first W and then immediately going into a 20% exponential press regime continuously until it lost.

I was fortunate to get on this streak early and at or near the 11th bet I saw a tie for first time or something and chickened out--holding up on wagering, then, won a hand. Then same thing I saw something "that was different" and held up again. in other words I chickened out, or started seeing things, or thinking about losing,...etc. Bottomline: I was "afraid to win"  or win big.

The two wagers I skipped cost me dearly as they were obviously at upper end of my wager size.  I ended up catching 13wins i believe on this pressed-up wager and won >Buyin. However, I learned from this (In other words don't overthink a strong trend or insert whatifs). It was likely my largest ROI up to that point/ though I remember it fondly. I also realize I should have won much more as even a 5th-grader could have followed that trend and won alot.

Today I would have undoubtedly won many times over that amount.

Cheers,
"There are many large numbers smaller than one."