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This should be interesting...

Started by Patience777, April 27, 2017, 04:08:40 AM

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Patience777

If you have a betting method or a betting system that can beat the game of Baccarat in the long run then please post it.

I do have a betting system that can beat the game!

However,  I will post mine only after four other people have posted theirs. So my post will be #5

Serious posts only please as I will be the judge, the jury and the Pit Boss.

Remember the TV show hosted by Chuck Barris called The Gong Show?  Don't make me Gong You! LOL

DevilsAdvocate

Here's my progression.

When I'm winning: 1,2,1,3

When I'm on the verge of a streak: 1,1,5,1,1,8,1,1,13

When I'm losing: 1,2,1,1,2,3,4


>:D

Patience777

Quote from: DevilsAdvocate on April 27, 2017, 09:00:52 PM
Here's my progression.

When I'm winning: 1,2,1,3

When I'm on the verge of a streak: 1,1,5,1,1,8,1,1,13

When I'm losing: 1,2,1,1,2,3,4


>:D

Very Interesting... Thanks for sharing.

tdx

I occasionally use the mongoose progression :

http://diceinstitute.mxf.yuku.com/topic/15211654#.WQKKusa1vIV

it's a little complicated but you can get used to it.

It stays at 1 unit to start off with if you get those ugly 7 or 8 losses in row when  the shoe from hell appears.

caddy

Hello Patience777,

This is a good positive wagering method for even chance play.

Go up 30% on a win, and stay on a loss.

Play for 1 unit. Then restart or go home.

2 losses in a row-- stop until you have 2 of 4 virtual wins, then begin on the scale where you stopped.

           5-7-9-12-16-21-27-35-46-60-78-101-131-170

Patience777

I may have to divulge my famous "Lawn Mower" Hit & Run System.

We are talking about proprietary stuff all invented by me. :)

Mars Rocks

Talking about lawn mowers, there's a new lawn mower out called the Victor Schappelle.  It's guaranteed to hold 3kg of grass.  Only Australians will likely get that joke though.
Are you sure your lawn mower isn't the standard baccarat model Victor Stall and Restart?
The main skills I use to beat the casino are ignorance and confidence, it amazingly works just like Mark Twain said it would.

Show me a happy loser and I'll show you a loser!

Mars is the God of War btw, and I'm at war with the casino.

alrelax

IMO, progressions (positive and negative) do not and cannot beat the game or allow you any insight to winning (as in beating the game) bet-selection whatsoever.

Don't get me wrong, I do well when I win with my 1-3-2-6 and my 1-3-2-4 positive progressions and my 1/3rd money management system, I never lose---if I won and stick by it.  But, the progressions offer me no insight or help to win, UNLESS and only unless I won, then it enables me to realize more win $, but nothing at all with bet/wagering decisions.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Patience777

Quote from: Mars Rocks on May 02, 2017, 12:11:11 PM
Talking about lawn mowers, there's a new lawn mower out called the Victor Schappelle.  It's guaranteed to hold 3kg of grass.  Only Australians will likely get that joke though.
Are you sure your lawn mower isn't the standard baccarat model Victor Stall and Restart?

When I use my Betting System against the casino on choppy shoes....

The casino's A$$ is Grass and I'm the lawn mower!

Hence the name lawn mower betting system. :)

Patience777

I have already told you guys how to beat the game of Baccarat....

Some of us have forgotten so I will tell you guys again.....

You go into the casino with a $2,000 bankroll.

As soon as I get $10 ahead I quit and go home for the day. (So I was in the casino for about 5 minutes)
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner... I have beaten the casino!

Now obviously nobody is going to drive 30 minutes to go to the casino just to win $10.

But do you see the point I'm trying to make?

With 10K in chips I would be able to beat the casino out of $90 bucks everytime I go there.
Because I know what I'm doing!

Does the logic make sense here?

   

RouletteGhost

Yea

Take your one win and leave

But. How are you betting
QuoteBecause the house always wins. Play long enough, you never change the stakes. The house takes you. Unless, when that perfect hand comes along, you bet and you bet big, then you take the house.

Patience777

Quote from: RouletteGhost on May 03, 2017, 01:01:58 AM
Yea

Take your one win and leave

But. How are you betting

I use negative progressions in order to beat the game.
Flat betting does not work.
And anybody who uses positive progressions on a choppy table will end up in the homeless encampment soup line in no time!

I use two different Betting Systems...
So I go into the casino with two different Bankrolls.
One Betting System is used on choppy tables and the other Betting System is used on streaky tables.

My definition of a choppy table is where Banker is not going past three repeats.
So on a choppy table I wait for two Bankers to appear then I run a 6X Martingale on Player.
There is no need to bet Banker on a choppy table and pay 5% vig. because Player is holding its own.
My favorite choppy tables is where Player is slightly ahead of Banker and there is slight domination by Player.
On these types of choppy tables sometimes I will wait for Banker to appear only once and then place a 6X marti on Player.

My favorite 6X Marti is $15 - $30 - $60 - $125 - $250 - $500
My favorite 5X Marti is $25 - $50 - $125 - $250 - $500

156 times in a row is the most my marti's have went without busting out. (because the choppy trend was in my favor)
I know of a couple of professional gambler's that recommend this type of pick your spot mechanical betting...
Because there is no guessing involved,  and the odds are in your favor!
(Buyer beware...) Choppy Tables can sometimes become streaky near the end.
Then of course once I get ahead about 90 bucks... I hit and run their A$$'es. :)

Cheers!
 

   







Mars Rocks

Quote from: Patience777 on May 02, 2017, 11:31:31 PM
I have already told you guys how to beat the game of Baccarat....

Some of us have forgotten so I will tell you guys again.....

You go into the casino with a $2,000 bankroll.

As soon as I get $10 ahead I quit and go home for the day. (So I was in the casino for about 5 minutes)
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner... I have beaten the casino!

Now obviously nobody is going to drive 30 minutes to go to the casino just to win $10.

But do you see the point I'm trying to make?

With 10K in chips I would be able to beat the casino out of $90 bucks everytime I go there.
Because I know what I'm doing!

Does the logic make sense here?


No.

Assuming no house edge...
If you take $10 to the casino and want to win $10 you have a 50% of winning.  You would just bet $10 once.  There are other ways of winning $10, such as continually betting $5 until either you end up $10 up or lose your $10, but if you analyse this you will find the probability of winning $10 is still 50% every time no matter what the strategy.

If you take $30 to the casino and want to win $10, you have a 75% chance of winning.  You would bet $10 and if it lost you would bet $20. Probability of losing is the probability of losing both bets, which is ½ * ½  = ¼.

If you take $70 and want to win $10, you have a 7/8 chance of winning.

The formula for chance of winning is...BR/BR + $10.

If you take $2000 to the casino you have a probability of200/201 of winning $10 (assuming you leave when you get your $10 up of course).  However, you have a probability of 1/201 of losing your $2000.  So do this around 201 times and you will lose your $2000 one day.
You should win $10 often enough though to get your $2000 back in the long run.  Note though that you will not actually make money in the long term, because the day will come when you lose your $2000.

ALSO HOWEVER, in reality there is a house edge.  But with your betting strategy of only making the minimum number of bets, then this house edge is small.  But come out with a strategy that keeps you there all afternoon every visit betting and you will be donating your money to the casino staff, who need their wages to pay their bills.
The main skills I use to beat the casino are ignorance and confidence, it amazingly works just like Mark Twain said it would.

Show me a happy loser and I'll show you a loser!

Mars is the God of War btw, and I'm at war with the casino.

Patience777

Mars, you must be the type of guy who can go into the casino with $5 bucks and turn it into $1,000 bucks every time.

First thing to do... Go put your $5 Bucks on Black instead of Red.

Are you from Planet Mars? LOL

BYE

Mars Rocks

You can win but you need the gods to help you.  And I do have them to help me haha.  Mars is the god of war BTW and I'm at war with the casino.
The main skills I use to beat the casino are ignorance and confidence, it amazingly works just like Mark Twain said it would.

Show me a happy loser and I'll show you a loser!

Mars is the God of War btw, and I'm at war with the casino.