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Forums => Baccarat Forum => Topic started by: alrelax on October 04, 2016, 11:53:28 AM

Title: What many seem to forget
Post by: alrelax on October 04, 2016, 11:53:28 AM
So many seem to forget and the newer players do not know, the long term results generally mean zip-nothing in a few shoe live casino play.  (I do not and never will comment on the on-line gambling as I never done it and never will).

People read and research, all good.  But where the Banker prevails in the long run, thus the 5% winning Banker commission on all games except the newer EZ Bac version, has many newer players saying--Banker is stronger and Banker prevails more.  True in the long run, absolutely false in the few shoes here and there every day or a few times a week casino play. 

I have seen many nights where it is shoe after shoe of winning Player dominated shoes, like 8 to 15 constant hands of Player ahead of Banker.  Then again, people say, just keep wagering on the Banker it will rebound.  Well sometimes that is true but the problem then is, it will bounce back and forth until it nearly catches up.  So wagering one side a person will go in the hole maybe 10 to 20 wagers of whatever they are wagering and then, when the catch up happens, it will still hurt the person as it will generally bounce back and forth.  Meaning, say 3 wins for the side behind and then another 1 or 2 wins for the side that was ahead. 

So when you sit down at a bac table, for the majority of your decisions, try not to base them on the so-called proven statistics of the game where Banker wins more than Player, etc.  And try if you can---wager only on short sections of the shoe--especially if you are doing well--once you fall off the gravy train its hard to get on-IMO from my experience.  All, IMO.
Title: Re: What many seem to forget
Post by: VLS on October 09, 2016, 07:47:24 PM
I like to see it as a multi-colored wall of bricks being built.

You are betting on HOW the bricks are being laid in the current moment you are witnessing. Nothing more, nothing less. You are watching them being placed one after the other, and you bet: next will be a blue one, next a red one... a green one next perhaps.

The guy lying all the bricks knows for sure there are 5% more red bricks, so he obviously wagers for this to be the result. He's going to stick there until it happens, so he's betting this event for sure.

Since you're there only while having lunch, you better focus on how the clumping of bricks you are witnessing is going; "here and now". Yes. You will be right, you will be wrong. Your mission is to come out at least +1 up on this very focused attack while you're there.




Made this a sticky topic; it is 100% recommended to learn the math of the game inside-out, yet at the very moment of sitting at the table to bet an actual chip, this lesson may be what actually makes the difference hence it can be worth more.

Thanks for this Glen.