I try to simulate,
Albalaha's claim,
that after around 3700spins,
[on and off betting,
different tables,
different time bet session],
to see whether it is true,
that,
the hit will always whithin expectation.
Though the samples, are too small,
for me to make a true hypothesis,
but I see that it is true.
below, ten tables result,
of real spins result.
You may do the calculation, yourself.
==========================
total=3707spins
dz1=1213hits=32.72%
dz2=1240hits=33.45%
dz3=1167hits=31.48%
zero=87hits=2.34%
====
Anzahl Spiele: 340spins
H剈figkeiten:
single-number....hits
0 8hits
1 9hits
2 8
3 15
4 6
5 7
6 6
7 8
8 8
9 5
10 9
11 7
12 11
13 8
14 5
15 9
16 9
17 8
18 13
19 11
20 13
21 3
22 7
23 7
24 10
25 11
26 15
27 11
28 6
29 10
30 10
31 16
32 8
33 10
34 12
35 10
36 11
Schwarz 166
Rot 166
Pair 167
Impair 165
Passe 181
Manque 151
1. Dutzend 99
2. Dutzend 103
3. Dutzend 130
1. COL 112
2. COL 106
3. COL 114
====================================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 338
H剈figkeiten:
0 7
1 13
2 8
3 4
4 8
5 11
6 9
7 5
8 8
9 9
10 5
11 4
12 14
13 12
14 7
15 8
16 6
17 9
18 8
19 11
20 11
21 9
22 11
23 10
24 5
25 9
26 10
27 12
28 10
29 15
30 12
31 8
32 6
33 13
34 12
35 9
36 10
Schwarz 163
Rot 168
Pair 160
Impair 171
Passe 183
Manque 148
1. Dutzend 98
2. Dutzend 107
3. Dutzend 126
1. COL 110
2. COL 108
3. COL 113
=============================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 448
H剈figkeiten:
0 10
1 16
2 14
3 12
4 15
5 16
6 14
7 9
8 16
9 13
10 11
11 9
12 11
13 12
14 20
15 16
16 11
17 9
18 9
19 13
20 12
21 6
22 17
23 10
24 13
25 12
26 6
27 11
28 10
29 10
30 7
31 13
32 16
33 14
34 11
35 13
36 11
Schwarz 224
Rot 214
Pair 224
Impair 214
Passe 205
Manque 233
1. Dutzend 156
2. Dutzend 148
3. Dutzend 134
1. COL 150
2. COL 151
3. COL 137
===================================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 370
H剈figkeiten:
0 5
1 9
2 8
3 13
4 9
5 17
6 11
7 11
8 11
9 14
10 11
11 10
12 7
13 5
14 7
15 13
16 15
17 22
18 10
19 7
20 4
21 8
22 6
23 8
24 8
25 17
26 13
27 8
28 9
29 9
30 7
31 10
32 10
33 6
34 10
35 8
36 14
Schwarz 173
Rot 192
Pair 170
Impair 195
Passe 162
Manque 203
1. Dutzend 131
2. Dutzend 113
3. Dutzend 121
1. COL 119
2. COL 127
3. COL 119
=============================
Anzahl Spiele: 386
H剈figkeiten:
0 13
1 15
2 14
3 10
4 14
5 12
6 9
7 8
8 4
9 11
10 15
11 8
12 12
13 8
14 11
15 17
16 11
17 11
18 13
19 11
20 11
21 11
22 12
23 8
24 6
25 8
26 8
27 7
28 8
29 13
30 7
31 13
32 7
33 12
34 13
35 8
36 7
Schwarz 191
Rot 182
Pair 182
Impair 191
Passe 170
Manque 203
1. Dutzend 132
2. Dutzend 130
3. Dutzend 111
1. COL 136
2. COL 115
3. COL 122
====
====
Anzahl Spiele: 331
H剈figkeiten:
0 8
1 16
2 11
3 4
4 9
5 6
6 7
7 8
8 10
9 9
10 7
11 17
12 9
13 6
14 10
15 7
16 8
17 10
18 10
19 8
20 10
21 7
22 6
23 9
24 11
25 11
26 16
27 12
28 10
29 6
30 9
31 7
32 8
33 12
34 4
35 4
36 9
Schwarz 166
Rot 157
Pair 164
Impair 159
Passe 159
Manque 164
1. Dutzend 113
2. Dutzend 102
3. Dutzend 108
1. COL 100
2. COL 117
3. COL 106
=================================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 376
H剈figkeiten:
0 10
1 8
2 10
3 16
4 6
5 11
6 9
7 4
8 12
9 9
10 10
11 15
12 8
13 12
14 8
15 14
16 12
17 13
18 18
19 7
20 11
21 13
22 13
23 14
24 14
25 8
26 6
27 9
28 11
29 7
30 5
31 11
32 13
33 7
34 5
35 7
36 10
Schwarz 188
Rot 178
Pair 181
Impair 185
Passe 171
Manque 195
1. Dutzend 118
2. Dutzend 149
3. Dutzend 99
1. COL 107
2. COL 127
3. COL 132
===============================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 385
H剈figkeiten:
0 11
1 17
2 13
3 7
4 8
5 7
6 7
7 18
8 17
9 13
10 10
11 8
12 8
13 11
14 12
15 8
16 13
17 14
18 12
19 6
20 17
21 6
22 8
23 10
24 6
25 14
26 13
27 7
28 6
29 8
30 14
31 9
32 4
33 10
34 13
35 11
36 9
Schwarz 184
Rot 190
Pair 190
Impair 184
Passe 171
Manque 203
1. Dutzend 133
2. Dutzend 123
3. Dutzend 118
1. COL 133
2. COL 134
3. COL 107
=============================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 382
H剈figkeiten:
0 10
1 8
2 9
3 11
4 13
5 12
6 11
7 10
8 10
9 14
10 5
11 10
12 9
13 10
14 16
15 14
16 14
17 10
18 6
19 9
20 16
21 6
22 10
23 16
24 13
25 7
26 9
27 12
28 11
29 10
30 8
31 4
32 9
33 12
34 8
35 10
36 10
Schwarz 187
Rot 185
Pair 187
Impair 185
Passe 180
Manque 192
1. Dutzend 122
2. Dutzend 140
3. Dutzend 110
1. COL 109
2. COL 137
3. COL 126
===================================
====
Anzahl Spiele: 351
H剈figkeiten:
0 5
1 10
2 9
3 13
4 14
5 10
6 10
7 9
8 9
9 4
10 3
11 12
12 8
13 14
14 7
15 7
16 7
17 16
18 13
19 8
20 8
21 15
22 5
23 14
24 11
25 8
26 9
27 7
28 8
29 7
30 10
31 13
32 10
33 11
34 10
35 12
36 5
Schwarz 178
Rot 168
Pair 156
Impair 190
Passe 171
Manque 175
1. Dutzend 111
2. Dutzend 125
3. Dutzend 110
1. COL 109
2. COL 123
3. COL 114
================================
total=3707spins
dz1=1213
dz2=1240
dz3=1167
zero=87
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
THUS,
if it is 'true',
that 3700spins,
"always",
beget ,
"within-expectation"
s very easy to build a HG around this theory!!!
While 3700 spins might not be so good indicator of RTM in action for very small bets like singles or splits, it is enough to saturate Variance to an acceptable limits for bigger bets like EC, dozens, columns etc. I have simulated millions spins to see all these.
Only theoretically. If you know that in 3700 spins RTM works, maybe we should use the very delicate progressions, so raising the stake only if we are -20 losing bets from the positive balance.
Using Albalaha variance avoid strategy .Virtual win after three losses.
Progression looks like this
0 to -20L 1 unit
-20L to-40L 2 units
-40L to-60L 3 units
................
Max bet 10 units
Stoplose -1000 units
Whenever we have a positive balance reset the progression
I do not think it worked, but maybe this is a step in the right direction.
Quote from: Albalaha on March 29, 2016, 03:59:30 PM
While 3700 spins might not be so good indicator of RTM in action for very small bets like singles or splits, it is enough to saturate Variance to an acceptable limits for bigger bets like EC, dozens, columns etc. I have simulated millions spins to see all these.
Ain't nobody gonna live long enough to buck up against millions of spins so why bother, hey hey????
Dear Albalaha,
Since, you have,
"simulated millions spins to see all these.."
May you please,
publish,
what the "VIRTUAL LIMIT"...
for 3700spins?
eg.
worst ever DOZEN, in 3700spin=?
worst ever EC , in 3700spin=?
worst ever STREET, in 3700spin=?
etc.
Seriously...
This will be very helpful!
To build a sustainable strategy...
When we, at least, understand the acceptable,
virtual limit, of what possible,
then we could "ready" for the eventuality,
with a 'hardened' progression.
Thanks in advance..
For more references read this: http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/13069557/Virtual-limits-of-dispersionvariance#.VvthSeJ97IU
Remember, a virtual limit is only an expected or experienced limit. There is no actual limits so, that info may help you or may not.
The real art is being prepared for something that is too horrible temporarily, whether you seen that earlier or it is happening for the first time.
Trying to have a foolish progression that will win all cases upto virtual limits is neither possible nor desireable. In attempt of that you will land on idiotic stuff l
like martingale or labouchere or HP Johnson type silly variations of that.
We can play and fight only upto a limit and over that it is useless to work. RTM and Law of large numbers are perfect theories and they do
work but their span can not be pre-guessed. If you are aspiring for an MM that will beat all the probabilities to step into the casino, you will keep waiting
your whole life. Unless you take risk to win, there is no chance. We can't make a random game pay us always.