I was reading on one of the baccarat forums how a player was having success betting against the majority of players at a table. (a sure way to make new friends  )

So it got me thinking.....

What if you created 5 random streams before you went into the casino.

I will use RED/BLACK for this example.

R -1 R -1 R -1 R -1 B +1
R -2 B +0 B +0 R -2 R +0
B -1 R -1 R -1 R -3 R -1
R +0 R +0 B -2 R -2 R +0
B -1 B -1 R -1 R -1 B -1
B -2 R +0 B -2 R +0 R +0
B -3 R +1 B -3 R +1 R +1
B -2 B +2 R -4 B +2 R +0
R -1 R B R R
B +0 R B R R
B -1 R B B B
B -2 R B R B
R -3 B R B B
R -4 B B R R
R -3 R B B B
B -4 R R B R
B -3 R B R R
B -4 R B R R
B -3 R B R R
B -2 R R R R
　
B B B R R R R B R B R R B B R R B R B B. (Here are the 20 results)

The analysis stuff.....

Player 1 never gets ahead.

Player 3 starts a losing streak.

Player 4 is on a win streak of 5.

Player 5 goes back and forwards between +0 and -1 or +0 and +1. (The trick here would be to wait for it to go to +1 or -1 and then bet for it to go back to +0.)

Looking at the next bet......

Player 2 who is on a win streak of 3 would be betting RED next.

Player 3 who is on a losing streak of 3 would be betting BLACK next.

Player 4 who is on a winning streak of 5 would be betting RED next.

So my intuition tells me to bet RED. 

It's RED. 

(I am enclosing a neater version of the chart as a screenshot)

I am just wondering if anybody has ever thought of using something like this just to try and gain some sort of insight into what to bet next. It may be a load of hocus pocus but you never know.

cheers 

I tried a similar thing a while ago. I wrote a program which tracked many bet selections (100's of them) and also kept track of how each one was performing. If the majority of them (60% or more) were doing well, I (or rather, the computer) would look at the next bet of each BS and if there was overall majority agreement then that was the next decision. E.g. if 60% or more indicated a bet on Red, that would my next bet. I suppose you could call it a democratic system. 

Unfortunately, it didn't work as well as I'd hoped. Maybe dictatorship is better. 

Bayes

A neat idea. A shame it didn't work. I guess Mr Random is the ultimate dictator.   


Bally

I'd really like to see that work out OK for you.  We'll see if Mr Random has other ideas, won't we? 

Quote from: esoito on December 13, 2012, 01:37:54 AM
I guess Mr Random is the ultimate dictator.

Mr. Random and his pet Epifanio 

-yes, just kiddin'.

Lovely...from one of your children?

Ah! nope dear Max. My kiddo doesn't know Mr. random... (and I'm unclear if I would introduce it to him... I would like him to know Mr. Work and Mrs. Persistence instead).

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Hey! You gotta give it to Epifanio eh!