I was reading on one of the baccarat forums how a player was having success betting against the majority of players at a table. (a sure way to make new friends :fight: )
So it got me thinking.....
What if you created 5 random streams before you went into the casino.
I will use RED/BLACK for this example.
R -1 R -1 R -1 R -1 B +1
R -2 B +0 B +0 R -2 R +0
B -1 R -1 R -1 R -3 R -1
R +0 R +0 B -2 R -2 R +0
B -1 B -1 R -1 R -1 B -1
B -2 R +0 B -2 R +0 R +0
B -3 R +1 B -3 R +1 R +1
B -2 B +2 R -4 B +2 R +0
R -1 R B R R
B +0 R B R R
B -1 R B B B
B -2 R B R B
R -3 B R B B
R -4 B B R R
R -3 R B B B
B -4 R R B R
B -3 R B R R
B -4 R B R R
B -3 R B R R
B -2 R R R R
B B B R R R R B R B R R B B R R B R B B. (Here are the 20 results)
The analysis stuff.....
Player 1 never gets ahead.
Player 3 starts a losing streak.
Player 4 is on a win streak of 5.
Player 5 goes back and forwards between +0 and -1 or +0 and +1. (The trick here would be to wait for it to go to +1 or -1 and then bet for it to go back to +0.)
Looking at the next bet......
Player 2 who is on a win streak of 3 would be betting RED next.
Player 3 who is on a losing streak of 3 would be betting BLACK next.
Player 4 who is on a winning streak of 5 would be betting RED next.
So my intuition tells me to bet RED. :nod:
It's RED. :applause:
(I am enclosing a neater version of the chart as a screenshot)
I am just wondering if anybody has ever thought of using something like this just to try and gain some sort of insight into what to bet next. It may be a load of hocus pocus but you never know.
cheers
I tried a similar thing a while ago. I wrote a program which tracked many bet selections (100's of them) and also kept track of how each one was performing. If the majority of them (60% or more) were doing well, I (or rather, the computer) would look at the next bet of each BS and if there was overall majority agreement then that was the next decision. E.g. if 60% or more indicated a bet on Red, that would my next bet. I suppose you could call it a democratic system. :P
Unfortunately, it didn't work as well as I'd hoped. Maybe dictatorship is better. :))
Bayes
A neat idea. A shame it didn't work. I guess Mr Random is the ultimate dictator. ;)
Bally
I'd really like to see that work out OK for you. We'll see if Mr Random has other ideas, won't we? ::)
Quote from: esoito on December 13, 2012, 01:37:54 AM
I guess Mr Random is the ultimate dictator.
Mr. Random and his pet
Epifanio :D
-yes, just kiddin'.
Lovely...from one of your children?
Ah! nope dear Max. My kiddo doesn't know Mr. random... (and I'm unclear if I would introduce it to him... I would like him to know Mr. Work and Mrs. Persistence instead).
Hey! You gotta give it to Epifanio eh! :)