If you have a maths degree, or a solid maths background as part of a related discipline, then you'll be able to follow this.
If you don't then click away.
Saliu fully explains his formula: http://saliu.tripod.com/Saliu2.htm (http://saliu.tripod.com/Saliu2.htm)
Fairbrother refutes it in considerable detail: http://www.lottoposter.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=677&PID=1273#1273 (http://www.lottoposter.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=677&PID=1273#1273)
Conclusion?
That's your call...!!