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Even money bets above 50% strike ratio

Started by Sputnik, January 06, 2015, 10:32:57 AM

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Sputnik


I did not think this could be done - but i use a wheel signature with a bias and random algorithm and i strike above 50% at all times.
Sure there will be varaince and fluctation, but this is the best i ever seen with a 50/50 bet situation.

This method play numbers with physical parameters.

WWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWWWLWLWLLWLWWWWWWLW


greenguy

Hi sputnik.

Above 50% is not enough. Even at 55% you are still not out of trouble. If you can get beyond 55% and push toward 60% then things start to turn in your favour.

Cheers.

Sputnik


I will continue testing and if it hold up - then i will ask Bayes to check the method - so there is no curve fitting.

Albalaha

Quote from: Sputnik on January 06, 2015, 10:32:57 AM
I did not think this could be done - but i use a wheel signature with a bias and random algorithm and i strike above 50% at all times.
Sure there will be varaince and fluctation, but this is the best i ever seen with a 50/50 bet situation.

This method play numbers with physical parameters.

WWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWWWLWLWLLWLWWWWWWLW
How much did u simulate, so far?

QuoteAbove 50% is not enough. Even at 55% you are still not out of trouble. If you can get beyond 55% and push toward 60% then things start to turn in your favour.

Cheers.

How can you say this? Even if I am at 51%, I will expect to earn 1 unit every 100 trials.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Sputnik


I will only do 300 trails and now i reach 4.83 Z-zcore, i have never done that before.
And hitting 8 9 10 11 12 13 in a row is also pretty rare strike ratio.

If it holds up - then i will ask Bayes to code it ...

greenguy

Quote from: Albalaha on January 06, 2015, 10:53:17 AM
How can you say this? Even if I am at 51%, I will expect to earn 1 unit every 100 trials.

Variance will eat you up at 50%

greenguy

Quote from: Sputnik on January 06, 2015, 11:13:23 AM
I will only do 300 trails and now i reach 4.83 Z-zcore,

That's a good z-score to be sure, although at 300 trials it is meaningless. But you already know that.

Good luck with your testing!

Sputnik


Sure, but i have never seen anything like this before.
104 placed bets and 84 wins is 6.83 Z-score.

Maybe i am curve fitting - i have to ask Bayes - its to good to be true.

Rashid

Math is great like that, once it's been proven that no method exists to do what you claim, it's not necessary to go through the details of your system to prove that it doesn't work. You claim that it does something which can be proven impossible, therefore, your claim is false. The details don't matter. 

Sputnik

Quote from: Rashid on January 06, 2015, 06:03:12 PM
care to explain the bet selection?

No - but i send it to does i trust to let them test and see for them self.

Cheers

Sputnik


I was curve fitting and miss match results ...

Cheers