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Topics - alrelax

Myself and a couple others decided to do something a bit out of the ordinary today. 

We pulled out before 5a.m., and went to a nice spot down by a lake on a road we can continue down for the casino we eventually desire to wind up at later today.

We brought our breakfast and will discuss our thoughts and ideas as well for the sessions we will be engaging in.  Watch the sunrise and make some 'good time' life observations. 

Here are some pictures from a little bit ago. 

Will post pictures of the score boards if possible after the play.
Off-topic / Dinner and discussion of autos
April 03, 2024, 04:45:52 AM
A few of us (that regularly play baccarat together) met for dinner at a steak house tonight and we got talking about weird and strange autos that were produced a while back. 

It was actually a nice change for us, as we didn't talk a word about baccarat or the casinos.  We all had steaks with those huge old school shrimp cocktails.  We all enjoyed a superb glass or two of some great cognac as well.

Here the are with some pictures attached for your reference. 

Ford Pinto
Chevrolet Vega
VW Bus
AMC Pacer
AMC Gremlin
AMC Rambler
AMC Concord
1974 Ford Mustang II
Chevy Citation
Chevy Chevette
Chevy Corvair

And the Baker's Dozen special stupidity award goes to Cadillac for their, "rebadging of a Chevrolet Cavalier" into a CADILLAC CIMARRON!

From Motor Trend: "The compact Caddy was touted as "a new kind of Cadillac for a new kind of Cadillac owner" in its day. Certainly. Cimarron by Cadillac was built on GM's J platform at plants in South Gate, California, Lordstown, Ohio, and Janesville, Wisconsin between 1981 and 1988. Depending on the model year, Cimarrons were powered by 1.8- or 2.0-liter four-cylinder engines good for 86-88 horsepower. But if you were really livin' large—as one did in the Eighties—there was a 125-hp 2.8-liter V-6 available. Transmission options included a sad three-speed automatic for the V-6 and a sweet four- or five-speed manual for fours. Not impressed yet? Have you seen the Cimarron's thirteen-inch wheels and seriously classy hubcaps?

The Cimarron, introduced for the 1982 model year, became an instant icon of badge-engineered mediocrity, a mean stew of cynicism and desperation tinged with the sour stench of wheezy four-bangers and cheap velour," is howAutomobilesang its praises, adding, "In the early '80s, Cadillac still stood for a certain large-scale American bombast, but the Cimarron drove an 88-hp, four-cylinder stake straight through the heart of Cadillac's brand identity.

Inside, the front-wheel-drive sedan came standard with a leather-wrapped steering wheel, a tachometer, perforated leather bucket seats, hand lever parking brake (sporty!), air conditioning, Trianon deep-pile carpeting, and an AM/FM radio—with four whole speakers! The cabin offered 89 cubic feet of passenger volume, per the EPA, which also pegged the Caddy's mileage at a decent 26 mpg city, 42 mpg highway."

Baccarat Forum / Beautiful Shoe-Great Quick Profit
April 01, 2024, 01:12:43 AM
It was an astonishingly beautiful shoe for those that played the banker and stuck with it. Setting aside that nasty 'cut' and has to go back to '50-50' type of belief. And believe me, there was a tremendous amount of verbal stupidity going on at the shoe by people with that mentality.

Players was only producing a single win each time for eight times.  I snapped the picture at hand 23. After the 4th single player was made.  What happened after this, was almost a replica of what you see here in the picture up to hand 40 something, a bit more than the entire first half of the shoe.

On the 8th hand was the first F7.  Had 2 three card 9-0s in the bankers favor for wins on the dragon bonus as well.  The next section produced more F7s, three card 8-0s and three card 9-0s in the bankers favor as well.  A quick $20k or so, wagering $200-500 most hands and more on others, $50 on Dragons and $25 on F7s.

There are so many emotional factors that are mixed in a Baccarat Players decision making process, most do not understand or know the proper way to deal with them. But when shoes happen the way this one did, it very seldom hurts the casino because most all baccarat players either cannot believe it is happening or they are scared to wager the right way with large bets and capitalize on it.  And the highest majority of all winning patrons, unfortunately give it back to the casino in pursuit of larger and greater wins. 

When it is there and you are on it, you have to set aside all the variations, strategies and allow yourself to win and win handsomely.

Yes, not all shoes will produce what you see below in the picture. But, when it is there-it is there. That happens quite often in the game of baccarat, you just have to be open enough to allow yourself to see it.

In order to catch the 'Now Vs. Now', you have to forget about the 'Before Vs. Now' at the table. If you do not, you will always-always-always give back your winnings along with your buy-in and most likely your bank roll if you keep playing that way.  Or, you will not capture an easy and quick 20-30-40 times your buy-in.

As I figured, later in the evening after I left the casino, I got a few phone calls.  Most all that did win stayed and gave it right back in their pursuit of larger and continuous winning. 

Without a solid MMM and knowing how to color up, stop and reset, you will have the fight of your life to hang on to any kind of bankroll let alone profits.

Baccarat Forum / Be Careful of Presetting
March 25, 2024, 04:10:10 AM
Be very very careful of believing in the preset, I'm going to wait for 'such and such' and I'm only going to wager for 'so-and-so'. Meaning a series of chops, long streaks, doubles, and numerous other events that happen in the game of baccarat.

What is Presetting?  A setting or value automatically assigned to something.  Example:  Wagering for the cut after a tie, or wagering for the same side after a natural, or continuously wagering for the cut after 3iar, etc., etc.

And usually the above is engaged in, because of previous experiences and your desire for those to return so you can wager correctly. Be careful, real careful and conscious of this! Before Vs. Now, is dangerous to your buy-in most of the time. Keep it Now Vs. Now. A concept so simple, yet so difficult to most.

H-Money and myself talked about this after his quick $15k win the other night.  https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11712.0 He did discover that the highest majority of what he normally wagers, are preset decisions based upon previous experiences.  He realizes that those experiences have almost nothing to do with what a different shoe is presenting.
Alrelax's Blog / Don’t Think Just Do It!
March 24, 2024, 10:20:21 PM

Last night it was simply beautiful!  Simply amazing, flawless and a touch of stomach wrenching, even thou I wasn't technically playing.

Here's what happened.  I went to the casino to pick up H-Money my buddy. He was dropped off there by a family member and we were going to go out to eat, after I picked up and then give him a ride home. I get to the casino and I'm standing there with H-Money, he is into the place for about $3,400. Asks me how much cash I have on me. I go in my pocket and I have $820 plus a folded up $450 that I had to drop off to somebody on the way home. I tell him $1,270. He asks for it and I give him $1,200 even.

Understand what was going on, as I was standing there watching for about 10 hands. Everybody was losing.  No matter what side they were wagering on the majority of the people were losing. There were hands such as the following ones I will write out.

P=2/face B 10/7 and P pulls a 6. Everyone on bankers.
P=4/9 B face/6 and P pulls a 4.  Everyone on bankers.

Everyone switched to players. 
P=10/8 (of course quick hi-5s) B turns over 10/9.

Most all the serious bettors switched back to bankers.
P=9/8. B=5/A.

Most stayed bankers.  P=9/9. B=9/8.

Then hands such as: P=face/4. B=face/face. P pulls a 6 and bankers pulls a 10.  Most were on bankers and that, "darn can't even beat a zero" was said out loud in frustration.

Everyone on players with large wagers. 
P=5/9. B=2/10. Players turn over a 7.  Bankers turn over a face card.  Another frustrating hand for most.

H-Money says, "let's do this" pretty loud.  Throws in the $1,200 I gave him and he had a few hundred left in chips.  He was attempting to get some camaraderie going, but most were down in their buy-ins and multiple re-buys. You know heads in their hands type of aura going on. 

It is a $2,000 max table. H-Money puts $800 on the bankers side and slaps the table. Most follow with a couple being on the players side.  Players open an 8 and a 2, Bankers open a 9 and a 10 for the win.  H-Money quickly parlays it all and adds the other $400 he had for the table max.  Dealer says table max out loud, the pit person sitting down with her back to the baccarat table turns her head and says OK, because she saw all the regular players.  One other person is near table max and the others on bankers are probably $50 to $200-ish.  Cards dealt, players total of 6 and bankers had a two card total of 7.  H-Money lets out a loud "Sweet Whispering Geronimo" and lots of laughter and happy faces. 

Understand this is an EZ Bac table, no bankers commission and most are regular patrons and friends anyway.  H-Money is staying at table Max and I will make sure he colors up and leaves if his winning streak continues or whatever he is feeling. Lots play for the cut or doubles and then the cut as we all know. 

Well a good 15 minutes later if not 20 minutes or so, seven more winning IAR bankers were made for a total streak of 9.  H-Money stuck at table max on every single one, from the 2nd one on, with lots of fanfare from numerous people playing.  Of course he lost the last one.  By the way, the hand that fell off was, P=N9 and B=N8. 

H-Money got his $3,400 back, gave me my $1,200 and walks with $10K plus a few hundred.  Nice dinner off casino property paid for as well as a gas fill up, both courtesy of H-Money. 

Side Note:  Lots of people playing cannot capitalize handsomely on streaks, extended chop chop, extended doubles or countless other events because of the drummed in belief of, "it can't or shouldn't happen" so they wager continuously for the cut and then when the cut comes, they go for the IAR, etc.  Or, they stop wagering all together. 

But H-Money hit it hard, stuck with it and I made sure he colored up and cashed out.  I can't say what he would have done if I was not there.  But I do know, wins like that give unhealthy beliefs that a continuation of winning has to happen and quick winnings are very quickly given right back and additional buy-ins are attempted to win again.   
I wrote about it before and I think it's just simply amazing how Fred Smith kept this company alive for one more week to cover his fuel bills, that led him to $5.8 billion dollars net worth as of this year. Which included taking $5,000.00 to Caesars palace in Las Vegas and winning $27,000.00 to cover a week's extra business life!

Quote from a magazine; "I asked Fred where the funds had come from, and he responded, 'The meeting with the General Dynamics board was a bust and I knew we needed money for Monday, so I took a plane to Las Vegas and won $27,000.' I said, 'You mean you took our last $5,000-- how could you do that?' He shrugged his shoulders and said, 'What difference does it make? Without the funds for the fuel companies, we couldn't have flown anyway.' Fred's luck held again. It was not much, but it came at a critical time and kept us in business for another week."


In 1970, Smith purchased the controlling interest in an aircraft maintenance company, Ark Aviation Sales,[5] and by 1971 turned its focus to trading used jets. On June 18, 1971, Smith founded Federal Express with his $4 million inheritance (approximately $29.8 million in 2023 dollars)[17] and raised $91 million (approximately $690 million in 2023 dollars)[17] in venture capital. In 1973, the company began offering service to 25 cities, and it began with small packages and documents and a fleet of 14 Falcon 20 (DA-20) jets. His focus was on developing an integrated air-ground system. Smith developed FedEx on the business idea of a shipment version of a bank clearing house where one bank clearing house was located in the middle of the representative banks and all their representatives would be sent to the central location to exchange materials.[5]

In the early days of FedEx, Smith had to go to great lengths to keep the company afloat. In one instance, after a crucial business loan was denied, he took the company's last $5,000 to Las Vegas and won $27,000 gambling on blackjack to cover the company's $24,000 fuel bill. It kept FedEx alive for one more week.[18]

In 2003 Smith, along with Robert Rothman and Dwight Schar, purchased a minority share of the Washington Commanders, an American football franchise belonging to the National Football League. The three owned a total of 40% of the team until 2021, when they sold their stake to majority owner Dan Snyder following discontentment with Snyder.[19][20] Smith also owns or co-owns several other entertainment companies, such as Alcon Entertainment.

In 2000, Smith made an appearance as himself in the Tom Hanks movie Cast Away, when Hanks's character is welcomed back, which was filmed on location at FedEx's home facilities in Memphis, Tennessee. A DKE Fraternity Brother of George W. Bush while at Yale, after Bush's 2000 election, there was some speculation that Smith might be appointed to the Bush Cabinet as Defense Secretary.[21] While Smith was Bush's first choice for the position, he declined for medical reasons — Donald Rumsfeld was named instead.[22] Although Smith was friends with both 2004 major candidates, John Kerry and George W. Bush, Smith chose to endorse Bush's re-election in 2004. When Bush decided to replace Rumsfeld, Smith was offered the position again, but he declined in order to spend time with his terminally ill daughter.[23]

Smith was a supporter of Senator John McCain's 2008 Presidential bid, and had been named McCain's national co-chairman of his campaign committee.

Smith was inducted into the Junior Achievement U.S. Business Hall of Fame and also awarded the Golden Plate Award of the American Academy of Achievement in 1998.[24] He was inducted into the SMEI Sales & Marketing Hall of Fame in 2000. His other awards include "CEO of the Year 2004" by Chief Executive Magazine[25] and the 2008 Kellogg Award for Distinguished Leadership, presented by the Kellogg School of Management on May 29, 2008.[26] He was also awarded the 2008 Bower Award for Business Leadership from The Franklin Institute in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.[27] He is the 2011 recipient of the Tony Jannus Award for distinguished contributions to commercial aviation.[28]

While CEO of FedEx in 2008, Smith earned a total compensation of $10,434,589, which included a base salary of $1,430,466, a cash bonus of $2,705,000, stocks granted of $0, and options granted of $5,461,575.[29] In June 2009, Smith expressed interest in purchasing the controlling share (60%) of the St. Louis Rams from Chip Rosenbloom and Lucia Rodriguez.[30] In 2009, Smith earned a total compensation of $7,740,658, which included a base salary of $1,355,028, a cash bonus of $0, stocks granted of $0, options granted of $5,079,191, and other compensation totaling $1,306,439.[31]

In March 2014, Fortune Magazine ranked him 26th among the list of the "World's 50 Greatest Leaders".[32]

In March 2022, Smith announced that he would step down as CEO and become executive chairman. He named long-time FedEx executive Raj Subramaniam as his successor.

Baccarat Forum / 7 Fortune 7s Within One Shoe
March 13, 2024, 07:05:59 AM
7 Fortune 7s in this suburb shoe!  :)

F7s at hands:  2-15-46-55-66-70-79.

Look at the start and the finish.  Exact same.
Hands 1-2 and 79-80.  Player-Banker F7.  Banker F7-Player.  First F-7 was players 2 face cards and bankers blackjack, players pull a 6 and bankers pull a 6.  Last F7 was players had a face card and a 10 and bankers a blackjack, players pull a 6 and bankers pull a 6.

Note:  I had a friend that was there and was wagering ($1,000.00) on every 2nd line bet, from the very beginning.  And that was his only wager.  Won 18 and lost 10.  Pocketed a nice $8,000.00 for a bit over 2 hours of time.  Not bad huh?

Note:  Also how every one but one F7 came about on a cut from the players side.

Note:  Also just prior to the 9 banker streak it was 35 players to 24 bankers.  Classic and Consistent Equalization occurred!  Loved that one!
Let's cut the chase and understand the power of influence. Bad influences will affect your wagering and profitability.

1).  Expectations that will prevent you from winning and might increase your losses greatly. There are plenty of expectations that players believe in, for example, believing that statistical averages will appear in their favor during the few shoes they play within a session. But there are plenty of other unrealistic expectations and you better define what they are and get rid of them;

2).  Oblivious states of mind, where as you convince yourself you can win and buy-in past initial risk capital buy-in over and over. You better come to grips with what the initial risk capital and your buy-in should be and look at it as your chance to win or call it an attempt to win and walk away;

3).  Continuously telling yourself excuses for losing hands or not wagering larger amounts on your winning hands. Very dangerous influences that will put you into a completely wrong state of mind you don't want to be in;

4).  Senseless play that only leads to grinding you down. There's no way I could define them all because we all have different expectations we believe in, therefore you better think about what grinds you down and how to avoid falling into senseless play.  If you think it doesn't happen to you, you are not ready to define it and improve your game yet;

5).  Have some type of MMM/PLAN, that you strictly adhere to, with 100% belief.

When winning, never walk away unless you used up the allocation for additional play within your MMM.

One thing I repeatedly tell myself when I get to my personal win amount and my MMM kicks in is that; "If I held onto my winnings with a plan as well as controlled my losses, I would have a hell of a lot of money that I gave back in reckless pursuit of winning more". I consciously say that during most all sessions when I get into the win status, when I do. 

Remember, you are responding to what you cannot control. Meaning you're facing a shoe that will produce anything and everything and not adhere to anything you believe in or not and in random order. Therefore results will affect your inner thoughts, with or without your conscious permission. Remember that while at the table!

MMM is not bet selection, such as 1-1-1-2-2-3, or wagering on any number of triggers, etc., etc. Those are bet selection and wagering beliefs. not MMM.

A true MMM Plan, is a solid concrete method that will dictate what to do with your winnings as well as limiting your play when you lose. Period. It also can allocate larger clump wagering with a certain portion of your winnings giving you an advantage, especially with positive progressions allowing you quick profitability in much larger amounts, that most do not engage in or find it difficult to. 

Think and think hard about what I am bringing forward here.
Here it is from the government.  And I will tell you, it is no game.  The casinos enforce it.  The world of the SAR is very strong and goes into play between $2,000.00 and $3,500.00 if the player is not a regular known ID on file player, etc.

Just thought some of you would like to know (as if we already all did not) where the majority of the new members signing on, first or second posts, attempting to insert their Links, Phishing, Spamming and everything related to those 'low-life' computer journey livelihood ventures people originate from.


There are others, but those are the top 3, that I catch, when I run their IP Locations.  Yes, some do use USA or other country 'Proxy' servers, but there are ways to catch those as well. 

And to reiterate myself and my policies here, I am not against well known and regular posting members inserting links to their posts.  However as far as links to online gambling websites, I rather those are not inserted for various reasons. 

One of those reasons is that I feel most of them are not honest in their business practices.  I tried to deal with a couple of them that are on other forums as well.  I have proven their business practices to be dishonest in many ways.  If they are dishonest in their business practices, I can only imagine what they engage in with their players. 

As far as someone that is honest coming on board here, posting and promoting honest and reputable gaming sites, I am open to that.  But, I want to know who the member is beyond an anonymous, by proxy, email contact only, as well as whom the gambling site is with references and certifications, etc., etc.  Then the person can sponsor our forum and promote business in a real and open way. 

Most likely won't happen because the way I look at those attempting to Link, Spam, Phish, etc., is the same as those that call our cell phones with their robot or off-shore call centers trying to sell after market car warranties, house warranties, burial insurance policies, etc., etc., etc.  And if you attempt to redial and call 99% of them back, your cell phone carrier will tell you, the number you reached has been disconnected and is out of service.  The more creative ones actually have started using your own area code and first three digits as their originating business number, and it is not.  Others have found computer programs to actually show call back numbers of real live businesses and others, that are in no way connected to them.  Oh yeah, I almost forgot.  Right along with those texting they are from the USPS or UPS and there is a package waiting, etc.,etc., just click the link to get it delivered.  Oh yeah one more.  The one about the $1,537.17 charge to Walmart or Amazon and if we made it there is no action required, but if we did not click the link to stop the pending credit card charge, etc., etc.

So, I have nothing against someone that desires to promote honest and reputable online gaming, but I want to know who the person is as well as the business.   

Baccarat Forum / Great Shoe
February 29, 2024, 11:07:28 PM
Absolutely great shoe. Will post later tonight.

But I will tell you one thing if people don't start posting and posting something viable about baccarat I'm going to change the way that the membership signs in and has access to the forum.
Here are two more great shoes.  First one was a Bankers paradise finishing with +20.  One Fortune 7 near the beginning. 

Second one had another 13 hands after this picture.  Streak of 12 Players occurred, followed by the last hand which was the 6th Fortune 7! 

Fortune 7s at hands; 23-31-45-60-65-80.

38 Bankers, 40 Players, 7 Ties.

First Banker of the shoe (hand 6) opens with a banker 30:1 3 Card 9-0.  See picture. 

One of the Fortune 7s, (I snuck a picture) I had a $250 base bet (first of a new base series bet) black chip on bottom, $50 dragon bonus and $25 fortune 7 wager.  Dealer is cutting out my $1,000 F7 win-$500 black and $500 green.  2:1 for the dragon bonus, win by 5, already laid out, $100.
Played 3 nights this past week.  One night I had 2 shoes, first with a Players 9 Streak and 3 Ties and the next shoe had an opposite Bankers 9 Streak along with a 3 Tie as well.  Fortune 7s are circled.

And after the steak of 9 Bankers I started my F7 wagering.  Here is a quick snapshot of the 7 flop.  After this the Bankers side just inundated the game for the next 25 hands with only about 4 or so Players winning.  2 more fortune 7s also came out.

Seat 5 was mine.  Base unit of $300 or so with $25 Fortune 7s.
Off-topic / Photo Ops
February 06, 2024, 01:10:57 AM
ADulay gave me the idea for this thread.

I do like sunrises, sunsets, rainbows and unique sky colors.  Here are a few.  Could not resist to capture them.

First one was about 20-25 minutes earlier than the second one.  It was a fantastic coloring of the sky with a gradual relief of the dark black cluster of clouds.

KungFuBac's pick is the 49'ers.

My pick is the Chiefs.

I have to go with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get it done.

Any thoughts?

Baccarat Forum / 6 Fortune 7s and 39 B-30 P
January 13, 2024, 02:13:29 PM
My 0-1-2-3 0/Low Tie applies here 100%! 

Clumping and Chop in first half.

End of shoe everyone is at $500-$1,000 a hand (1k max table) losing most every hand, literally calling for their believed upon chop-chop that had to appear, etc., etc.  Most people made $2,000 to $5,000 but gave it all back with wagering against those side-by-side B-5iar and P-3iar and the final B-4iar (there was 3 additional Bankers making a 4iar but I snapped the pic at hand 77 instead of hand 80). 

Interestingly, the last 4iar Bankers were, P natural 8 Bankers natural 9, P-6 and B-7, P natural 8 Bankers natural 9, and the final hand was Players 4 and Bankers 2 then the Players pull a 9 and the Bankers pulling a 2. 

Fortune 7s at hands: 3-4-5-21-35-50. 

Again, anything and everything happens at the table.  I have never witnessed a 3 back-to-back Fortune 7.  I have seen 2 back-to-back with a 3rd in the same Banker streak, but never 3iar.

No matter what you use to guide you through playing Baccarat, will ever repeatedly work and allow you to win with consistency. Nothing at all!

Your wins will be the result of a proper Money Management Method, that gives you advantages with concrete buffers (which include buffers to cut down, increase safely as well as stop), if you have the wherewithal to follow it-without thinking it will turn around losses or allow you to continue Wagering shoe after shoe after shoe.

Even when you are winning and you have multiplied your buy-in numerous times, mistakes are unavoidable. Do not blame yourself, if you do you will allow disadvantages to enter your play very quickly. Then you will be off track and you are certain to lose, or give back large portions of your win money.

I will tell you something, from years of baccarat play reference mistakes. It is not a problem to make them. The only problem is, if you never learn from them. And learning from them is not figuring out the placement of a wager after a trigger occurred. It is a bit more complex than that. It is actually reading randomness, capturing what is being presented and being guided by a real Money Management Method. Call me out on that, but I don't really see any other way one can make money at the game Baccarat. At least on a continuous basis.

I witness players actually fear failure at the tables all the time. I know if you are afraid of failure, you cannot win at the game Baccarat and do what needs to be done with wagering.

It took me a while to figure out the difference between a successful master and a beginner at the game of baccarat. And that is not always measured by the years of play. But I do know for sure, that a Baccarat Master has failed more times than the Beginner has even tried.

If you are a beginner, drum it into yourself you will fail. If you can recognize that and use that, you will add valuable pieces to the puzzle of baccarat most all people can never ever recognize, let alone use.

There is no rock-solid way, trigger system, or scheduling of wagering to continuously win, or even win small hit and run sessions with 51% +, as so many seem to believe. The same goes with triggers and scheduling that wins a few hands, but every person playing that way will lose far in excess of what he has won attempting to re-capture the wins with the beliefs subconsciously adopted for all the wrong reasons.

But, just because it is not happening at a certain time, one shoe, three shoes, eight shoes, a few weeks here or there, in no way means it never will. You have to learn the way while you are playing. Some things will be wrong at varying and unknown times, mistakes and losses must occur before you will have the confidence and be able to tackle the shoe challenges, doing it all with sheer passion and purpose along with a way to consciously understand randomness, employ a good GREAT M.M.M., and leave your emotions/frustrations at the door. 

FINAL THOUGHTS:  1) To myself, success is being able to win greater amounts monthly than I lose.  2) Being able to maintain my true passion and purpose when I play. 3) Maintaining my bankroll with occasional increases from wins.  4) Using my win money (cashed out win) for other things than gambling.  5) And most importantly, accepting both mistakes and losses with a Baccarat Masters frame-of-mind and attempt to learn from those.

(Taking advantage of presentments you understand, with a M.M.M., you follow results in the attachment I posted here).
What so many people do not, or will never recognize is the minimum and maximum numbers versus real numbers.

For the math freaks there is something called 'Set Theory'.  But, that can only apply if there are no 'real/reality numbers'. 

In mathematical analysis, the maximum and minimums of a function are, respectively, the largest and smallest value taken by the function. Known generically as extremum, they may be defined either within a given range (the local or relative extrema) or on the entire domain (the global or absolute extrema) of a function. >>>But not how each hand, or the order of each hand will be presented from any shoe.<<<

As defined in set theory, the maximum and minimum of a set are the greatest and least elements in the set, respectively. Unbounded infinite sets, such as the set of real numbers, have no minimum or maximum.

In statistics, the corresponding concept is the sample maximum and minimum.  Please Note:  Statistics are a theoretical sampling of 80 hands of Baccarat, played out approximately 1,000,000 times. 80,000,000 hands and then each minimum and maximum result figured out for whatever valued defined, etc. 

So in reality and more importantly, in relationship to wagering at the game, you can have maximum and minimum in statistical analysis.  However............But............in the game of baccarat and how each and every shoe will present its presentments, 80 + - times a shoe, will be 'real numbers'. 

And 'Real Numbers' have zero corresponding adherence to statistical results the highest of the highest amount of times.  And more likely, IMO the relationships, if any, can safely be classified as coincidental rather than statistical presentment.
Wagering & Intricacies / Empowering Yourself 2024
January 01, 2024, 04:45:48 PM
Get rid of your False Hopes-False Confidence and Blindness within your baccarat play.

Put the time and trouble into improving yourself/your play.  I read it takes an average of 60-90 days for self improvement change to begin.  As far as application of change to gaming, I am not sure, but it's worth a try IMO.

1) Begin with a ritual of REFLECTION on your play. Please see my thread:  https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11679.msg71756;topicseen#msg71756.

2) Push the fallacy out!  Misleading and deceptive data, stats, methods and beliefs are super dangerous to your play. Be careful whom you listen to and trust.

3) Do not get hung up on certain triggers as a wagering point. You must learn and deeply understand randomness and how it is presented with or without any clue from a shoe.

4) Dedicate time each and every day to learn about the game.

5) Engage in a real Money Management Method (MMM) that benefits yourself, your play and control with the  sessions you engage in. But engaging in it with a solemn adherence.

6) When Frustration, Emotions and Stress sets in at the table note it and write about it later on. Find the reason so you can ultimately reverse it. It is more than a lost wager, I promise you.

7) Concentrate on yourself, as in You-Vs-You at the table. It is all about you and only you. Do not let yourself be distracted with all the verbal and physical doings at a table.

-8- Allow your Money Management Method to have the last words at a session. Win, Lose or Draw. This is different than engaging in the MMM, (#5 above), this is the faith, grace and priority of applying a session closure, which is vital and the most important.

9) Do not have expectations when you sit down. Learn how to center yourself with extreme and dedicated focus.

10) Engage yourself in the reversing of negative actions you learned you have in regards to playing Baccarat.

Recognize and Practice.  Learn what real consciousness, focus and neutrality mean and how you can possess them and apply them at the table with your decision making ability.

Do not hold yourself down with anything you cannot control. But you MUST be totally conscious of the fact every wager and  decision you make, you can control.
Baccarat Forum / Reflecting
December 31, 2023, 07:50:38 PM
Stop burying your head in the sand and looking the other way!!  We have all done it; myself, you and all others playing the game of baccarat. We all have said/say, "get it back tomorrow", "next time", or "later today", etc.  Each and every single one of us.

You should award yourself time to reflect your play, your decisions, your results, your experiences  playing, and more. There is NO COST to do this and all it can ultimately do, is add a bit of advantage to your play. 

If you do, you will add important and hopefully "mindful holding" experiences to your play. Remember False Hopes-False Confidence and Blindness are added to your decision making process because, lack of factual experience and consciousness (you literally drum into yourself) related to experience is causing you confusion—while falling prey to the downfall of the game. 

*  IDENTIFY what you have done with your session.  Example:  Win, Lose, Drawdowns, Buy-in, Cashout, Number of hands/shoes played, etc.

*  INDENTFY why you took the course of action you did.  Example:  Decisions because of patterns/trends, guessing, following others, dealer enticements,  statistic belief, etc. 

*  INDENTIFY what events were conscious with pre-thought and which ones were not.  At least the larger wins and loss events.  Simply, if you consciously thought about it or not and the reasons why.

*  INDENTIFY what you should have done to reverse the negativity that you engaged in.  Take a step outside of yourself and your play to accurately be able to identify those plays you lost at.  Specifically write out the emotions, frustrations and stress you had as well. 

Writing It Out.  Sit down and write a report or a  series of notes, identifying your answers to the above four areas. You cannot reverse or resolve unless you are able to reflect the proper way.

If you do, you will be adding advantage to your play, IMO.
General Discussion / New YEAR 2024
December 29, 2023, 01:03:44 PM
Well guys, it's almost here! Hope to meet with a few forum members, once and for all.  Although we are not a heavily trafficked forum, mostly because I refuse to have/allow the drama, spam, systems solicitation and posting all types of nefarious links, etc., we do have some great members here and lots of readership.

Wishing everyone a fantastic year filled with love, laughter, along with all your favorite things and lots of $$$ from gambling! May this year be your best one yet, full of amazing surprises and great moments of all types.

For all of you to have a wonderful year filled with good health and success!

Administrator & Forum Owner
General Discussion / Answer to Question
December 27, 2023, 08:20:15 PM

"Say you target streaks of 3s and 4s (or 2s and 3s or anything like that): when a superior streak happens (that is a 5+ streak) you have to reset the plan then waiting for new streak classes in the hope they'll come clustered (obviously singles and streaks of inferior lenght do not count).

Long streaks are relatively rare to happen, so it's likely that inferior streaks will come out clustered; sometimes (often) an entire shoe is formed by streaks not surpassing the 4 value.

Now we'll play with a 'sky's the limit' approach because the number of shoe rich of low value streaks overcome those rich of long streaks.

It's a plan derived from what you've written in your posts."


You say target. I do not 'generally' target in anything-except what the shoe is doing when presentments are forming with something I can detect and/or just plain feel good about placing a wager on. 

Streaks.  Yes-5/6 iar begins the streak, 1s, 2s, singles-chop, doubles, triples, quadruples are absolutely the most common with/within every shoe. Anyway, with that said......

I have a written about it before. I like to reiterate-as reiterating, reinforces!

Here Goes:

Long streaks 9-10-12-14, and more.  Certainly do happen. Posted many of them when I can snap a picture.  True not every session. But they certainly do. 7-8-9 iar, is almost common, not every shoe, but again not rare by any means at all.

I have adopted the, "It Is What It Is", play persona-protocol. Might not mean much to most, but helps on the frustration and emotions end with myself.

'Skys the limit'.  That has to be based/applied around your MMM and wagering win/risk chips already in your possession, or a small piece of your buy-in, etc.  But..........and However, when it happens you do want to be right there, on it, with a few positive progressive wins prior to the take off and then just pull down each win, only losing the last one when it does cut to the other side. 

Here is an example just below.  (I have attached 8 B&M score board pictures to reinforce what I am trying to get across).



When it's like that or anything similar and you see one more two more iar forming, I sure want to be on it!  So many will risk wagering on/for the 'cut' again and again and get sucked into-the 'cut' has to come, etc. But......shoes do not operate that way. Shoes do everything  and anything, at anytime. Shoes are weak, clump strong, stay strong, weak and strong in distinct patterns, as well as spread out although-out the entire shoe, etc. Take that into consideration and being conscious of that, onward.

I have caught so many great longer streaks 7/8-10/15 + iar because of being on it when it went one more and then just continued iar repetitiously.  Then after a few positive progressions, I just enjoy pulling down each win and gladly surrendering the last one in the streak.

Ref 'One More' Mentioned In The Above Paragraph:

One More, as what I described above are 1s, 2s and 3s, and then a 4th was made. Or 1s and 2s, 3s and 4s and then a 5th was made, etc.  Just throwing a written explained picture out there.

You have to remember, you cannot control what the shoe is producing, but you can control the way you respond to what is happening, if you are conscious of it. So many players fail to practice what I just said the the previous sentence.  Why do I say that?  Because everything comes and goes in the game of baccarat and thus, confuses the highest of the highest amount of players.  What the shoe is producing, what the shoe has not produced, what the player desires, what they player believes in, what the reaction is by others present, etc., etc., etc., and many more. 

And you truly want to know something? When I have two really good options to choose from, I challenge myself to wager with the one that scares me the most.  (And I am not just referring to a B or P wager, might be a small or large wager, a flat Vs a pos progressive, a series of wagers, etc.  Because seriously, that is likely the one(s) that is/are going to help me grow. Re-read the paragraph I just wrote, think about it in detail!

I do not know, probably our methods of play are different, but I generally 'look for/wager with' whatever is happening.  Doesn't matter chop-chop, doubles, streaks, triples, 1s and 2s, etc. But I do look for those traditional streaks which are long repetitious iar Bankers followed by repetitious iar Players.

With all that said/laid out, let's go back to the above example:


Now let's say one of those 9 iar Bankers came along.  It would look something like this:


(For example purposes, I was wagering $250.00 as a base risk wager)

Banker bet 1) $250 win $250. ($250 back to buy-in)

Banker bet 2) $250 From win. 

Banker bet 3) $500 Full parlay press from #2.

Banker bet 4) $1,000 Full parlay press from #3.
              $1k win pulled down.

Banker bet 5) $1,000 Pull down the $1k win.
Banker bet 6) $1,000 Win pressed to bet #7.         
Banker bet 7) $2,000 Pull down the $2k win.

Banker bet -8- $2,000 Pull down the $2k win.

Banker bet 9) $2,000 Pull down the $2k win.

Banker bet 10) $2,000 Lose as Cut to Players.

$8,000 won.  Initial $250 recouped after first wager. 

My reasoning is, if I was at least ahead the win of $250 after hand 1, hands 2 and 3 are on the casino, not affecting my buy-in at all. 

My reasoning regarding hand 4, pulling down the $1,000 all win money, I would have a complimentary 4 additional attempts on the casino to build out 4 wagers of $250 each.  That is playing a bit conservatively, we all agree it's tough after hand 4.  But a lot of the times, not all, I would stick with that wager amount. 

If that happened, I would set my buy-in sideways for hold. The $8,000 won, I would dedicate $2,000 to 8 additional $250 attempts. I would put $1,000 additional into my original buy-in (of $1,800-$2,500)and lock up, no double thoughts whatsoever, the $5,000 remaining from the win money.

Once again my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd (about) with win money. That is what I call a M.M.M.  It has to govern you. Not maybe, not possibly, but has to 100%.


Adjust. Be totally conscious. Be super careful of desires, but don't forgo a trend-pattern-happening, etc., that is flowing and you see it or are capturing it easily. Most will say those are intangible events to be involved with, but they are not. To myself, they are tangible, but we just do not know when they will begin and end while we are in play at the table in front of a live shoe.

Eight attachments posted below from previous brick and mortar live shoes.

4th one down.  Note the 5B and the 5P next to each other in the beginning.  Then the 7 iar B, 6 iar B, the 5 iar B, the 4 iar B.  No one basically believed, most saying, "no way, players coming out next strong", over and over.  I did extra handsomely on all those  bankers!  Then the 4 players right next to the last 4 iar Bankers to match their 5 iar side-by-side in the beginning.  Note the extreme weakness for the rest of the shoe, all 1s and 2s. 

6th one down.  Classic and exactly what I was attempting to convey to you above.  WOW-O-WOW!  Beautiful!!!  Bang it on the 3rd winning one down with a nice parlay to the 4th hand. Then just pull down each winning payout. Stack one more time at least around the 7th or 8th hand and 'happily' lose the last one, when it cuts to the players. What's the problem?

7th one down.  The 9 iar Bankers, I gave in the example above, I have regularly experienced 8-12 iar, not rare at all IMO.  Yes, said countless times, not every shoe, but not in the rare department at all.  Anyways, here is a 9 iar with 3 5-iar Bs as well.  One players with 7 iar, but otherwise players 3 or less.
Wagering & Intricacies / Triplets Determining Your Play
December 26, 2023, 05:55:31 PM
Insights From My Experience:


Now, IMO, comes the hardest things to become habitual doing.

You have to break the habit of allowing yourself to automatically interpret every experience by believing, what happened-happened for a reason, (because within the game of baccarat, it simply does not). That is what turns off so many so quick and so ruthfully off. Period. Plain and Simple!

Interpret every experience by practicing anchoring your attention, your attention solidly within the instant experience.  Notice any physical sensations and emotions that are rising from yourself and observe the state of your mind. Is it racing, agitated, fuzzy, becoming emotional, or is it perfectly clear?

Become conscious of what you are feeling, because your feelings will not keep you consistent solid and profitable play.


Your conduct produces the result of your decisions. Those decisions will either generate losses or wins, simple. You have to remember you are the one that makes the decision if you win or lose.

Majority of baccarat players fall prey to what the game represents and how it is presented by most all casinos. Players become senseless, callous and outright stupid. There are no rhymes or reasons that could make sense for doing things that seemingly could never work.

Realize you cannot change what is going to happen with any shoe. When you genuinely do, then you accomplished what the highest majority of players take a very long time, as well as cost to realize. 

Look at the scoreboard and see what has happened, do not believe it will reappear or continue.  Dive much deeper into the possibilities of presentments happening for continued and upcoming hands. 

The bottom line is, being able to clearly see and focus using the game presentments and your recognition of the flow and outcomes that are being formed.


Every single brick that you place on the wall in front of you-makes it harder to penetrate-makes it harder to profit-makes it harder to stay with the shoe presentments.

Information that is worthless and absolutely false in many senses, will be a brick YOU ALLOW to be inset into a wall in front of you-directly between you and every hand, every group of hands and every shoe you play itself.

When those bricks are there-they are there. No matter what, no matter how strange, weird, not ordinary, against all odds or how much you believe in them and how great they seem; They are bricks and will be there as well as remaining there.

Bricks are intangible. Same as systems, counts, data, mechanical wagering based on anything, charting, etc., etc.  Because none of it will allow guaranteed hand after hand wins. None.  In fact, none of it can even guarantee one for sure win. 

You know, but you really do not know. That's what you have to remember and be totally conscious of.
Baccarat Forum / 2023-2024 Be All You Can Be
December 25, 2023, 06:49:33 PM
I see it all the time, most every session when I pay attention to others playing falling into the various traps of the game.  Like to share some things I believe in now.  Many changed my play and thinking for the better, clearly held winnings because of and improved some of my deficiencies and negatives without a doubt!

The 22 Things I Believe Will Help Us:

1)  It's not what you say or think to others outside of the casino that determines your game. It's what you tell yourself with your chips in your hand at the table, that has the greatest power upon yourself and your decision making process;

2)  Your goal should not be to get rid of all of your negative thoughts and beliefs-that is impossible! Your goal is to change your response to them and be conscious of them while you are at the table playing;

3)  Be absolutely conscious that you alone get to choose what to wager, not wager and how to progress with positive or negative wagering. Attempt not to follow the crowd with camaraderie, unless you are far into a win status;

4)  The five words that so many decline to believe. IT IS WHAT IT IS. Accept that, learn from it and grow into greater and better beliefs and play with what you do. What truly matters is, that you do (accept it) from the instant time on; 

5)  Stop beating yourself up. You are a work in progress. That means you will get there a little bit at a time, not all at once. Simple. Factual. And that will never ever change;

6)  Do your best, adopt a 'Whatever Happens, Happens' mindset. Do not attempt to force large wins, make up wins, etc. etc.;

7)  Your most powerful weapon against emotions, frustrations and stress, is your ability to choose. Train your mind to see the good you have done or the good that is waiting for you to capture. Put all of the bad, sad and evil aside, as you cannot think about those at the table. What I said here is extremely important IMO;

-8-  Your most rewarding and important moment in your game is, when you finally find the consciousness to let go of what you cannot change or capture within the shoe and the session;

9)    You have to let go of all the senseless drama, time wasting events and purposeless clutter that keeps getting up in your way. You realize it is time to focus on what truly matters and governs your bank roll, buy-ins, losses and wins;

10)  You must notice and appreciate the present moment at the table, all the time, with true consciousness and clear interpretation of what is in front of you;

11)  Show yourself you can grow and get better. You have to think and process decisions without competing with others or because of what someone else said or does. In the end it's just You Vs. You;

12)  Remember, believe and be conscious of not hearing only what you want to hear. LISTEN to what you DO NOT want to hear also;

13)  Learn how to gracefully walk away from situations that threaten your 'peace of play', your self-respect, your values, your morals and your buy-in and/or win amount.  (IF YOU CANNOT-YOUR DONE!);

14)  You have to be conscious of what you cannot control within a game, within a shoe or within a session. When you realize that, you will realize that you have the consciousness to change the things you cannot control within your play. And, that changes everything for the better;

15)  Realize you cannot start each shoe with broken pieces of another. So many people do and that throws off the highest majority with their decision making process in my opinion. Begin again and allow the pace to set itself with you being conscious of it. Do not apply fake hopes to the game in front of you. If you do, you set yourself up for disaster the highest majority of the times;

16)  If you are winning and winning handsomely, look around. Be totally conscious and realize nothing last forever.  (SO SIMPLE, YET THE HIGHEST OF THE HIGHEST MAJORITY BELIEVES THEY CAN CONTINUE THEIR WINNING EVERY-TIME!);

17)  Remember you cannot hold on to any form of wagering while playing the game of baccarat. Nothing is permanent. When you truly understand this, you can do almost anything you desire because you are not holding on to anything any longer;

18)  You have to realize and ingrain in yourself, that everything in the game gets a bit uncomfortable especially when it's time to change. Things will get better, be patient;

19)  Be totally mindful without frustration and other emotions, that you are not in control of the way a shoe presents its hands;

20)  You will become a true master of the game of baccarat, when you learn how to master your focus, as well as where your attention goes (meaning, actually applying it). When you master what you give your energy to and why, you change your game for a huge advantaged play;

21)  Realize patience is a genuine expression of confidence, experience, knowledge, positiveness and faith in your own abilities with the game of baccarat. It is a true sign of strength. Practice it and be conscious of it;

22)  Do not wait too long to take meaningful action. Take responsibility and control. Do not sit around looking for Holy Grails that will magically give you a triggered mechanical wager to always win in Baccarat. There are no such things existing, never has been and never will be.

CONCLUSION:  Understand what a Bankroll (BR) is, what a Buy-In (BI) is and develop a Money Management Method (MMM) that gives you advantages. Be conscious of what is truly important in the game with beliefs, presentments, statistics, decision making, understanding consciousness, sections, equalization  and other factors. Learn what focus really is and how to apply focus with your decision making process while leaving say-so and falsities aside.

Most of all, find your Level and Plateau of play, while applying yourself on and in those two with complete consciousness while playing. 

Alrelax's Blog / Here’s One For You
December 18, 2023, 02:05:09 PM
Think about it. 

If you do not play, you cannot win.

If you play, you will not always win.

If you play, you also have to lose. 

If you claim you do not lose and/or you always recover and walk even or with a little win, I say you are lying. 

Simple and Period.