Imo to win at baccarat itlr, our plan must be considered in cycles adhering at most by taking into account just two steps:
1- winning the first hand wagered is of outmost importance;
2- winning the second hand whether the first was lost.
This simple two step wagers plan considered by cycles must have each a higher 75% of success.
When it happens to be wrong at both opportunities, we need to be very careful to place more bets as strong negative variance is going to come out more often than we think.
Thus waiting to get a fictional positive outcome is not sufficient to restart the betting.
The reason is that baccarat is very similar to a coin flip endless proposition, therefore WW, WL, LW and LL sequences are presenting whimsically but itlr they'll be equal.
We cannot guess the lenght of the streaks, therefore we should simplify the problem by considering columns as singled or streaky (any streak).
It doesn't matter what strategy we like to adopt, what really counts is whether how many times we'll win the first or the second hand (really or fictionally), then classifying the results.
Since any bac shoe is a finite limited model, we know that more often than not a losing series won't be balanced by a perfect counterpart and the same is true taken in the opposite direction.
I mean that some shoes cannot be played at all as we do not want to find us in the position to guess the opposite of what our plan is dictating.
In a word, we'll be in a far better shape not playing certain shoes not fitting our plan at the start than trying to follow the actual shoe or, even worse, trying to hope to get balanced outcomes that have no room to show up.
Professional players like to bet a lot on very few spots and they never want to chase previous losses and it's not a coincidence that they'll stop the betting after two consecutive losses.
You are so correct in so many ways. Great summation, but as I have problem also---is explaining it in detail so all understand. Just too much.
BTW, the first two wagers or three in fact are almost always vital to the real-serious player, unless you are grinding small min amounts of wagers of course.
Here is something I found from my Blog that I believe fits in here well, IMO:
"And, in my book--you are NOT going to accomplish that by what the highest majority of players say here on this board as well as the other message boards. No possible physical way! I have truly been there and done that thousands and thousands of times. You know, baccarat is strange--extremely strange because tonight you can win or lose by doing same exact thing you did last time. Baccarat is NOT like cooking--where there is a certain and a proven way to prepare a dish. It doesn't change--unless you the chef changes it. You have a perfect recipe and you repeat it, it will come out the exact same every time. Same thing with, troubleshooting a motor vehicle. Same equipment, same procedure, same results doing the same thing. You know, baccarat is more like hunting. Exactly. Different course, different outcomes, different chases, different rewards, different amount of success and different amounts of failure. Same game! Also, two hunters can start at the same line with the same equipment, and finish with drastically different results at the end of the hunt session. Just like the game of baccarat. It is how we, myself and you and them--handle ourselves, our money--our thought process and our visions-desires-wants--our realization and how each accept the losses or the wins within each shoe and session we play."