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Messages - alrelax

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Wagering & Intricacies / Drawdowns and Stop Losses
« on: July 28, 2021, 01:00:28 am »
You need to be acclimated to Drawdowns and accept they are a part of almost every session.

Drawdown what is it?

It is technically the amount of money you lose before you start drawing of profit from your buy in.

First.  When does it occur. It can be in the very beginning of your session or it can equally be in the middle or towards the end, when you are on your last few wagers before exhausting your buy in money.  Drawdown can happen at any time. The only time it will not happen is if you win in the very beginning and keep winning and cash out never losing any of your buy in.

Second.  In my opinion it should only be viewed with the amount in front of you. Not collectively from previous sessions or running tallies, etc.

Third. Again in my opinion the Drawdown must not be viewed and compared to previous Drawdowns either. The presentments are different and there is no reason to compare. You have to remember Drawdowns fluctuate and will always fluctuate with no rhythm and no reason to attempt to define anything more than what I just said. They are completely random and will always be random.

Fourth.  Emotions, pressure and other feelings will be triggered within yourself that will not and cannot be avoided. You tell yourself you will not let the pressure and anything else get to you, but it will. The larger the Drawdown the greater and more intense those feelings will be. Be ultra conscious of that, stop getting sucked in.

Fifth.  Do not confuse Drawdown with Stop-Loss. Many will fail to see the difference but there really is. Drawdown is an undetermined, unplanned amount of money that will be lost before you realize a profit that is within your horizon of, "winning this session and it is time for me to stop", thought and belief. A better way to describe it is, you realize your buy in is your risk money and you will play until you win or lose and you are not doing what some people do, which is ridiculously sit down say with $1,000 and if you lose $300 you're done. Or if you lose say 3 or 5 wagers, your done, etc.  All that does is put an undue amount of pressure on you, because you have money there you are saying you're not willing to wager and you cannot wager and you have to make money on a certain percentage of it. Trust me it's a huge negative in sitting down at the table.

Stop Loss is simply like I said, a set amount of money if you lose out of your buy in money you will stop playing, no leeway, no questions asked.  That is if it's truly a set Stop Loss amount.

Realize that there will be fluctuating Drawdowns at any time prior to winning a decent amount of money or getting a profit, that you had in mind and one that you have to risk on a continual basis. Allow it to be so and you will take off a lot of pressure and a lot of frustration from your frame of mind in handling your money at the table.

Baccarat Forum / Re: 5 Basics About Baccarat From Experience
« on: July 26, 2021, 02:36:41 am »
Absolutely. You put a multi thousand-dollar bet up there say $4,000 or $5,000 and you win two, three or four of them in a row, your emotional state will be to the hundredth power how you figured it all out.  Then subconsciously you just know inside of yourself you can do another 10, 15 or 20 and you're seeing hundreds of thousands of dollars of win money.


Alrelax's Blog / Factual Material As Absolute?
« on: July 26, 2021, 02:23:07 am »
People normally render the factual as absolute, because of their own failure to understand and decipher the positiveness and negativity of randomness and what the real meaning of it is, as well as what it is not.

You have to understand what are just beliefs such as your emotions and your thoughts, and the various types of behavior generated by those two. They will perpetuate themselves to a projection of your decisions outside of your  consciousness in most cases.

It will absolutely feel real to generate real behavior and not generating behavior based on a fact. It is in all essence a prescription that parallels reality but in most cases when gambling, that is a suspended state that we allow our emotions and thoughts to overcome and send us sideways.  Therefore you fail to allow yourself the proper frame of mind to benefit your wagering decisions.

We need a connection to a source and let the information flow into our decision-making process and for each of us, that is not going to be the same. Do not get caught up as most do with all the 'factual information' out there from the highest majority of the people writing on the forums who state that they are translating factual events into a mechanical type of system or schedule. It cannot be accomplished in any manner. In my opinion that comes from years of experience, that will only throw you sideways like I said from really allowing yourself to understand and develop rock-solid wagering techniques and a better understanding of the presentments coming from the shoe.

At most I would recommend viewing information as a channel. And use that channel as one of many in order to find successful wagers that can benefit yourself.

You cannot perceive what you do not understand. And my opinion is, that you will never understand or be able to transfer into your frame of mind and thought process, countless factual information/material that will translate itself into successful scheduled triggers for yourself. 

And most of all, you have the freedom to choose positivness, negativity or neutralism and how to apply each of those three in the countless situations that table games present within its presentments.


AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: July 26, 2021, 12:58:20 am »
Two things come instantly to mind reference your last few posts.  Copy and pasted from a post of mine.

1)   First and foremost, anything and everything can continue or cease within a shoe;

5)  You cannot adjust your emotional level on the better and larger wins (and losses) as easy as you might believe you can. This is super important and that emotional level will send you into another realm of belief, that you should not be in and one you cannot understand at the table.


Good show on the side of casino related info/entertainment.  Enjoy.   8)

Part 1:

Baccarat Forum / 5 Basics About Baccarat From Experience
« on: July 25, 2021, 03:03:49 am »
1)   First and foremost, anything and everything can continue or cease within a shoe;

2)  One unit or two units win and done with virtual bets and then a trigger applied for something that has not appeared or against something that has appeared too many times;

3)  Several things point to something going happen and you become hell-bent on capturing it;

4)  You are wagering against what is actually happening and become hell-bent on continuing to do so until you recover losses and win a bunch of cash;

5)  You cannot adjust your emotional level on the better and larger wins (and losses) as easy as you might believe you can. This is super important and that emotional level will send you into another realm of belief, that you should not be in and one you cannot understand at the table.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Time, winning, losing and being influenced
« on: July 20, 2021, 05:56:04 pm »
It really does appear most all players at the highest majority of all live B&M gaming tables have very very little or zero MMM skills.

As well, they continue their winning until they turn to losses and go broke, or they continue losing until they have no funds left.

People say baccarat is not a game of MMM, but if you are winning it most certainly is 100%.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Time, winning, losing and being influenced
« on: July 20, 2021, 02:46:50 am »
Hi al "the real deal" relax   :)

Money Management Methods must be made up of six sections
     Will you please reiterate what you mean by six sections of money management(or provide a previous link if applicable ), as although I have read all your articles I do not recall you speaking of Six sections on MM.
Thx in advance.

Continued Success To All,

Try this.


AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: July 19, 2021, 01:57:36 am »
As ASYM said in the post above:
 "Baccarat is not a game of math results, baccarat is a game of card distributions favoring this or that."

I add:

Exactly.  And once a player is well acclimated with the game of baccarat, he can generally find that those very distributions are contained within Sections.

Problem continually arising is the change of the presentments or the extended continuance no one believes is actually happening. 

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: July 06, 2021, 02:18:26 pm »
Hint: streaks of any lenght are going to our favor no matter what and for that matter most part of chopping situations or short patterns will go to our favor too.
It's a strict math based evaluation plan challenging sym spots vs asym spots.


Certain things will happen and will not happen, no matter what. 

If its being presented, wager on it.  If not, don't  wager on it. 

There is a huge difference in what I am saying versus trying to change the presentments. 


AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: June 28, 2021, 01:55:08 am »
And summarizing in layman's terms/actual brick and mortar casino players results, the drawdown will kill most players buy-ins and/or bankrolls before their opportunities are presented for those 'spots' you so technically define in the above post.

Please do not take it the wrong way, I'm not criticizing your writing and your comments, I'm just making an observation to stress the drawdown, the patience required, the frame of mind and everything else that is mandatory in trying to catch all of this, which I've learned over the years.

However as I talked about and write about there are opportunities and entrance points that I repeatedly remind everybody of, called SECTIONS WITHIN SECTIONS and the key to really profiting and preserving your bankroll and minimizing risk with your buy ins, is being extremely conscious and remaining neutral in your frame-of--mind when you are playing. Not easy to do, not at all.

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: June 23, 2021, 11:56:39 am »
Thx AsymBacGuy--good thread/ post.

Your sentence:
"... An average card distribution will more likely produce clustering win situations. The more we are considering winning clusters by strict parameters, higher will be the probability to win.  ..."

Can you clarify the phrase in bold? or give an example. thx

Continued Success,

"For that matter, many high end casinos know very well the baccarat vulnerability, they'll simply hope that players like to get huge winnings within too short intervals or liking to wager the insourmountable negative edge apllied to side bets.

Simple back to back outcomes and complex back to back outcomes"

My Response:

I've tried to detail it out and show pictures of it and mark up scoring boards repetitively. What I entitled and discussed; SECTIONS WITHIN SECTIONS. Small sections can be extremely profitable however, it will play with our minds and we (generally) attempt/try to keep following and not cash out or go back to a neutral position, which we MUST do to be extremely profitable.

It all boils down to, our frame-of-mind.


General Discussion / Happy Father's Day
« on: June 20, 2021, 03:14:07 pm »

Happy Father's Day to all with kids.

Stay safe and be well.

Always, Alrelax
Administrator/Board Owner

General Discussion / Re: New forum version / Rebuilding
« on: June 09, 2021, 03:23:27 am »
Just signed on, looks great!   :thumbsup:

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