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Messages - alrelax

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Other Casinos / Re: Macao detains Suncity boss on China gambling charge
« on: December 02, 2021, 10:07:36 pm »
Here is additional information.

HONG KONG—Macau’s casinos have shut down the VIP rooms of the city’s largest junket operator, and its leader, Alvin Chau, has resigned following his arrest on illegal gambling and money-laundering allegations.

Casino operators informed Macau’s Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau that they have ended their relationship with the junket operator known as Suncity, and suspended its rooms for high rollers starting on Dec. 1, the regulator said in a statement late Wednesday.

Wagering & Intricacies / Re: The Players Side Advantage
« on: November 29, 2021, 03:07:02 pm »
The majority of the tables here are no vig, non commissioned baccarat. 

EZ bac, 5 Treasures bac (5 Treasures available in both commission and non commission) and others etc.

Wagering & Intricacies / The Players Side Advantage
« on: November 28, 2021, 03:06:18 pm »
Among all the things, after years and years of playing, I do believe there’s a player side advantage more so than a banker side advantage. I am not gonna get into the math statistics about the hundreds of thousands or millions of shoes tested with bankers side having a slight advantage, as it has been proven repetitively it does not apply when you pull out the chair and get up to the felt and putting your money on the table.

99% of all players lack the patience to adhere to any trigger or presentation series appearing. They will literally and physically crash and burn as they think they can wait between sections to offer them the ideal wagering chance they developed and proven or they subscribe to from a reliable source that is players or bankers or any combination profitable better than 50% of the time. Once you get over that, you can read on because if you believe in what I just said YOU WILL NEVER make money and retain your profits.

Especially those 2-3-4 hand ultra player positive, mini forward progression wagers, that almost always win type of bets. There are not many of them, where even multiple shoes are played, just be conscious of that and remember just that all the time. To play is not a relaxing event, it is a stressful and a serious time to focus and stay focused and not sit back and wait for one opportunity. There is a saying and you better adhere to it. That is, “when it’s there it’s there”.

Most all people create a huge problem for themselves by judging their courses of action or others by the outcomes, often irrespective of the decision making process. It really takes planning, foresight and a solid base to adhere to and get what you really want because what you want may not quickly fall onto you or in front of you at the table.

You have to judge decisions you are making on the process rather than immediate outcomes. Because if you judge it on the outcomes, you falling sucker to the board at the casino installed for you to follow by and you will not make money by it. The board does not make the presentations, it records them the shoe makes the presentations before the board records it.  Think about that and remember that if nothing else.

Don’t get me wrong you can’t totally ignore or push aside clear results and the outcomes that is positive or negative, just use it to improve or change the course if needed. Here is a fantastic shoe that happened last night with ultra positive player presentations that out did the bankers in every way whatsoever for better than the first half of the shoe.  The sad part of it is, only a couple people made money and the rest of the lost huge amounts of money.   The losing people were all reciting the famous words, ‘bankers is stronger than the players and all the other fallacy believes about baccarat’ and failing to simply follow sections and presentations with a focus on randomness and variance that works in unaccountable and uncontrollable ways. 

Shoe from 11-27-2021:

I took several pics of the board, don’t know why the above one is a bit blurred and the word text inserted,  but I will post another one of the first half below this.

Remember Asym, remember KFB, when I claim 0-1-2-3 ties hold their presentation presentments.  Also almost every time the players had a natural the bankers had 1 point less, players natural 8 bankers 7, players natural 9 bankers natural 8.  Also those last five naturals for the players had everyone on bankers, super heavy bets and I mean almost everyone was table max bet on bankers, wiped them all out.  And these are not billionaires, they are small business owners or regular working people with $40-$50-$60k bank rolls.  I mean I witnessed at least $300,000.00 going into the racks of the casino from the pockets of the people that subscribe to the fallacy, that it has to cut next hand. 

If you had a couple thousand to risk, this was an easy shoe to make $10k, give back $2k, make another $10k and give back $2k, make $15 to $20k and give back $4k and make another $10k and give back $4k before walking.

Just two things most don’t possess playing the game.

1)  Self control and the willingness to get up a winner and walk away.

2)  A proper M.M.M. USING 1/3rds as the key guideline.

Also count the total players and bankers hands and remember what I said, wrote about and claimed reference the + -10 to the + -20 configuration after half way or a bit greater.  To me, it is the single most valuable tool a baccarat player can learn. 

Other Casinos / Macao detains Suncity boss on China gambling charge
« on: November 27, 2021, 06:19:39 pm »
BEIJING -- Macao police on Saturday detained the head of Macao’s biggest casino junket organizer and others after Chinese authorities issued an arrest warrant for them over accusations that they ran an illegal cross-border gambling syndicate.

Al, have you ever encountered interesting players in Midwest?
Do you have some stories to tell about them?


There sure are, lots of regular players with distinct and amusing personalities.  Let me outline a bunch of them the next few days. 

Yes and others in the Midwest.


There are numerous casinos here that allow up to $1,000.00 on side bets, that is One Thousand Dollars on Panda or Fortune 7s.  I saw a guy a wile back hit a $800 f7 and he seldom wagers side bets, $32k won.  And table max on B or P is 5k at the particular casino.

Another large chain here with $10k max table allows $125.00 on their side bets, which are the p8, f7, or the 7s or the 9s which can pay 50 to 1 or 75 to 1 and an astronomical 200 to 1.  So yes high paying side bets do exist at plenty of casinos here.

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: November 19, 2021, 12:46:56 pm »
You said:

“ It's a sure fact that casinos will make tons of money from baccarat tables as players cannot realize how many bets are placed into the 'negative territory' (almost always by improperly increasing the wagers) and how many bets are placed into the 'positive territory' by low or too low amounts.

The math edge is just a 'booster' for casinos and not the main cause for they are collecting millions from baccarat”

Which a whole lot and I do mean a whole lot of casino patrons have no real clue as to what the real odds or house advantages are at any given table at the time they buy in and begin their play. 

Also, I don’t care what at any math nut claims, those numbers do not apply to me because I am only going to play 20 or 30 or 40 hands out of 2 or 3 or even more shoes. 

A second also is, those numbers come from (if done correctly) millions of hands.  Not 25 or 100 or 200 and so on.

So if I sit down and lose my buy in within 20 hands, I did not lose 1.06% on the Banker or whatever’s being claimed these days, I lost 100%.  As well, if I lost  I never had a 99% chance to win.  I had a 100% chance to lose.  There, fuel for the math nuts to talk how stupid we are here.

The sad story comes on as patrons choose so often to believe those math nut’s numbers.

Wagering & Intricacies / Re: 19 Topics Discussed Among Baccarat Players
« on: November 01, 2021, 04:38:45 pm »
You need to be acclimated to Drawdowns and accept they are a part of almost every session.

Drawdown what is it?

It is technically the amount of money you lose before you start drawing of profit from your buy in.

First.  When does it occur. It can be in the very beginning of your session or it can equally be in the middle or towards the end, when you are on your last few wagers before exhausting your buy in money.  Drawdown can happen at any time. The only time it will not happen is if you win in the very beginning and keep winning and cash out never losing any of your buy in.

Second.  In my opinion it should only be viewed with the amount in front of you. Not collectively from previous sessions or running tallies, etc.

Third. Again in my opinion the Drawdown must not be viewed and compared to previous Drawdowns either. The presentments are different and there is no reason to compare. You have to remember Drawdowns fluctuate and will always fluctuate with no rhythm and no reason to attempt to define anything more than what I just said. They are completely random and will always be random.

Fourth.  Emotions, pressure and other feelings will be triggered within yourself that will not and cannot be avoided. You tell yourself you will not let the pressure and anything else get to you, but it will. The larger the Drawdown the greater and more intense those feelings will be. Be ultra conscious of that, stop getting sucked in.

Fifth.  Do not confuse Drawdown with Stop-Loss. Many will fail to see the difference but there really is. Drawdown is an undetermined, unplanned amount of money that will be lost before you realize a profit that is within your horizon of, "winning this session and it is time for me to stop", thought and belief. A better way to describe it is, you realize your buy in is your risk money and you will play until you win or lose and you are not doing what some people do, which is ridiculously sit down say with $1,000 and if you lose $300 you're done. Or if you lose say 3 or 5 wagers, your done, etc.  All that does is put an undue amount of pressure on you, because you have money there you are saying you're not willing to wager and you cannot wager and you have to make money on a certain percentage of it. Trust me it's a huge negative in sitting down at the table.

Stop Loss is simply like I said, a set amount of money if you lose out of your buy in money you will stop playing, no leeway, no questions asked.  That is if it's truly a set Stop Loss amount.

Realize that there will be fluctuating Drawdowns at any time prior to winning a decent amount of money or getting a profit, that you had in mind and one that you have to risk on a continual basis. Allow it to be so and you will take off a lot of pressure and a lot of frustration from your frame of mind in handling your money at the table.

Wagering & Intricacies / Re: 17 Topics Discussed Among Baccarat Players
« on: October 31, 2021, 01:17:46 pm »
Reference #6.

Probably a great topic for itself that very few even think about.


There is most definitely a drawdown the highest majority of times in your buy in at the table prior to any real profit coming your way.  You have to figure in and calculate the loss and the impact to your buy in as you wager to survive the drawdown harm.

Again, not a stop loss but a conscious and expected drawdown of your buy in prior to your profit section coming your way.

Other Casinos / Re: Canterbury in Minnesota
« on: October 30, 2021, 05:27:00 pm »
Playing there tomorrow night in fact.

Some reason, lots of side bets, pandas and fortune 7s hit there.

Will report on the session.

Other Casinos / Re: Canterbury in Minnesota
« on: October 24, 2021, 06:58:57 pm »
Baccarat in the Twin Cities is either Canterbury on the south end or Running Aces on the north end. 

Canterbury has two tables going which are the larger style tables like 9 or 10 people can be seated. 

Running Aces has the more traditional ones but they are the higher style rather than the standard lower baccarat height table.  Running Aces has 5 or 6 tables all the time and a bit more baccarat action because the Twin Cities has more Asians in the northern suburbs than the south ones.

But both casinos you can place up to three $300.00 wagers if no one is occupying the seats.  Or, you can place your chips up to the $300 per spot max for as many people are playing.  Say 6 other players have $50.00 each on their spots.  You can place $250.00 on as many as you want.  Also you can wager banker with your $250 even if they had their wager on players. 

Also you can wager $25.00 for $1,000 win on Fortune 7 or $25.00 for a $625 win on Panda.  You can also wager as many spots with no limit on those two wagers that are unoccupied or up to the $25 limit if someone else is wagering on a spot.

Yes the Twin Cities sees a lot of baccarat action.

For some reason Mystic Lake has never had baccarat.

I would have to say mostly because of unrealistic win goals and giving back winnings and the consistent chase of spending their own money to win back what they gave back.

Baccarat Forum / Shuffling at the Baccarat Table
« on: October 16, 2021, 06:50:04 pm »
With so much talk on the forums these days whenever I look, people are claiming that the cards are set up and they come stacked in the casinos favor. Whatever that means.

But I will tell you at almost all the places I play, I see them shuffle the cards on the table after they unlock them from the case that they come in pre-shuffled, before they go into the machine.

This was done because the players want to see a quick shuffle.  I snuck a couple pictures last night at one of the places I do play of them doing the shuffle.

Casinos that will not shuffle their cards by hand after they unlock them from the cases can be changed by players getting together and not playing until they cater to the player’s desires.  We did and here is the result of such.

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: October 14, 2021, 02:13:21 am »
Last sentence says it all.  That is, for the absolute real live serious player.

Which was: “ The fact that it's very very difficult to win 3 or 4 shoes in a row means that things change in way or another, otherwise casinos would be out of business.”

100% spot on.  Real life at the felt. 

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