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Messages - alrelax

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1
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials
« on: February 24, 2021, 04:29:01 am »
Ref #6: 

You are exactly right and I said it many times, stop loss does not help at all and all it does is prematurely stop people from winning if they are going to win. You never know when the point is that you really encounter the best section of your session or not. But you're buyin has to be risk capital rather than closely watched and stressed upon. 

2
Alrelax's Blog / Asian New Year
« on: February 14, 2021, 02:17:41 am »
Happy NewYears to all of my wonderful Asian members & friends!

2021 and beyond will be great!

Stay safe and God bless you guys. 

Happy New Year.

4
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: February 11, 2021, 11:27:13 pm »
1-3-2-6 and then if successful, use 4 or 6 units out of the 12 win and adhere to the 1/3-1/3-1/3rd I have discussed.  Or, use a 2-4-6 in the beginning and then devote 4 or 6 units out of the win and pull down subsequent wins, etc.

5
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Superbowl 55
« on: February 10, 2021, 03:10:44 pm »

6
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Superbowl 55
« on: February 08, 2021, 07:46:38 pm »
Mahomes press conference pretty much told it the way it was, he didn't try to get out of anything.   Said it was his number one game he got beat beat up the worst on in a long time. As well, all of his offense was double and triple covered and Tampa Bay's guys were spot-on, not one doubt about it Tampa Bay performed the way that I thought they would but I thought that KC would have been a tad bit on the more aggressive and positive side and would have completed everything that Mahomes attempted. But even the greatest teams and players at times lose, and this is a perfect example of what happens with great teams and great players and great records......there are losing times.

Doesn't much matter now but what was impressive was all those times where he ran 5-10-15 yards back and then was running out of bounds so he didn't get sacked and he was throwing it while he was in the air on the way down to the ground or the way out of bounds and all the ones were he was off-balance throwing it spot on to a guy in the end zone or near it, and they couldn't catch it.

And you are right, what astronomical odds would anyone have gave a great quarterback not to make a single touchdown in a superbowl game?

7
Alrelax's Blog / Superbowl 55
« on: February 07, 2021, 11:14:21 pm »
Superbowl 55

My prediction. Kansas City 41 Tampa Bay 34.

8
Sports Betting Forum / Superbowl 55
« on: February 07, 2021, 11:03:32 pm »
My prediction. Kansas City 41 Tampa Bay 34.

9
General Discussion / Forum Downtime This Weekend 1-30 and 1-31-21
« on: January 29, 2021, 06:16:28 pm »
Hello everyone there will be a chunk of the weekend to get the reinstall done :nod:

There WILL be downtime since this is a biggie (upgrading core).

Ideally, we're talking some hours downtime only. We can go live again with the new layout / version & continue modifying it in smaller increments.

This one really fixes/clears a lot of former code (finally!) :cheer:

Please be patient and no need to p.m. or email, we know we will be off live for a little bit with the process we have to do.

Thanks Alrelax.

10
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: January 28, 2021, 01:04:56 pm »
A baccarat shoe is formed by a finite amount of two-card 'states', that is high card situations math  favoring remarkably the side where the highest point will fall at. 



Now we take a step further.
We want to discard some A or B events according to a precise plan. If the game is perfect randomly dealt and/or perfect flawless at any spot, the resulting registration shouldn't be affected by any means, and actually itlr A=B yet.
It remains to assess the very important AB distribution that should be insensitive to our place selection artifice that must confirm the randomness. That is increment steps of A or B. 

A simple combinatorial analysis show that whenever some spots are not included in our chosen data, some patterns are more likely than others. That is we can get a sure edge over the house.
I mean a great edge, not that miserable bj card counting edge.


as.

Asym,

And that is exactly correct, a GREAT EDGE over the house and on your side.

However, almost all players will outdo themselves as this is only possible to achieve when in a certain mind frame. 

There are several different distributions of the cards that can be defined.  But the problem arises most all the time as not holding any pattern or trend whatsoever to follow with or against.  So win one, lose one or win a few and lose a few, etc. 

Players believe they can affect the registrations of the winning or losing hands into their winning wagers.  But in reality they cannot.  The players fuel their own downfall because they believe themselves and their new magical powers they convince themselves they founded at the table.  So, when someone is able to define what caused him to win and that just plays and plays upon themselves until they really do believe they have finally founded the Holy Grail, etc., etc.  even experienced players repeat that exact same scenario, session after session after session after session.  They will not admit it, but an outside person can spot it if you truly take the time to look around the table and watch.     

There are several, probably 4 or 5 registrations (if we are talking the same things) that come about and they are so opposite of each other and so impossible to blanketly predict or expect, etc., a player cannot wager systematically hand after hand, section after section, wager using all of them together and come out ahead.   

11
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: January 28, 2021, 12:48:39 pm »
Let's compare baccarat with two casino games that have demonstrated to get players an edge.


From one part certain very rare math distributions will favor B or P, but we know this feature isn't exploitable.

Yet, itlr key cards will affect the real outcomes not in the way studied so far (one side should be mathematically more likely than the other one) but in term of gaps probability intervening between two different situations not belonging to B and P.


as.

Asym,

It is exploitable as long as it is happening.

The confusion, frustration and of course the disbelief comes to players when they attempt situation after situation after situation. 

But it is definitely exploitable.  Small sections, sometimes and no rhyme or reasons in so many words as to when those do appear.
 

12
Other Casinos / The dangerous game Macau is about to play
« on: January 28, 2021, 09:03:57 am »
"Macau's US casino operators face the very real risk of being used as pawns in the ongoing trade war between China and the United States, with the granting of new casino concessions far from guaranteed according to an expert in foreign affairs.

I think it's quite possible that American casinos will no longer be as welcome in Macau once their current gaming concessions expire in 2022, said Professor Roberts, who is a specialist in US foreign affairs and politics."

https://www.asgam.com/index.php/2021/01/27/china-positioned-to-deliver-slap-on-the-wrist-to-united-states-when-macau-casino-concessions-expire-professor/

13
Baccarat Forum / Re: The 2 Best Books on and for Baccarat Gambling
« on: January 21, 2021, 03:18:04 pm »
The Baccarat book by Tommy Renzoni was a waste of money. This book was more of a story book than a baccarat book. This book talks more about how the game was introduced to Las Vegas. Does anyone really care about that?
There is no mention of bet selection which in my opinion is the most important topic next to money management. It just has a bunch of stories not much else.

As i wrote, "I highly recommend this great short work of reality baccarat for refreshing quips".

14
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: January 19, 2021, 12:12:01 pm »
Key hands are very deceiving and until fully understood by the person playing and how he interprets what will help him or what might hurt him, it will continue to be a very deceiving advantage that is probably one of the strongest advantages the player can obtain to favor himself.  However, each person must figure out how to interpret what can and cannot be interpreted in comparison to the instant presentments. 

Prior to all the scoreboards being installed which was in the late 90s right around 2000 the highest majority of the players did keep score on a manual scorecard of course but there was a much higher ratio of playing for what was being presented rather than the highest concentration on what has happened in the shoe because of the scoreboard being right there and everyone pointing to it and  most everyone basing their decisions on what has happened rather than what is happening. It is much harder for the new baccarat player to concentrate on the actual presentments rather than the constantly illuminated scoreboard with the many different sections of it being visually overwhelming.

In my opinion the scoreboards are used improperly by the highest majority of the players at the tables.

15
Other Casinos / Over $13 Million "Missing" From South Korean Casino
« on: January 17, 2021, 04:40:06 pm »

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