Sequences and the Volatility of Baccarat

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The game baccarat  is volatile.

The game changes suddenly and unexpectedly countless times without warnings. It can be and is, unpredictable in so many countless  ways. Even when it is not volatile, the game cannot be considered stable except for small pieces or sections within sections of any shoe.

So many people on forums, as well as system sellers and people that talk amongst themselves preach that the game is totally beatable by a certain type of wager or multiple wagers, once a certain  spot(s) is found (or maybe I should say 'sought'). That is not true and that is a complete fallacy and always will be. It only works when it does and that is  generally what those believing in it, show proof of and what they don't show proof of, is it working any where near greater than 50% of the time. With that said read on.

The decisions and management of one's wagers and funds during each session should be governed by the shoe's historical and implied volatility, that will allow the players less risk with a greater amount of wins than losses.

An advantage to assist the player is engaging in a sequence.

Of course that is a winning sequence rather than the losing ones.  A sequence is always looming with small pieces of stability in between. In my experience you will lose and you will win during most sequences. And of course that is where positive progression and parlaying will be your greatest advantages and definitely put you into a quick profit zone.

The safest, the most energetic and most positive sequences are those engaged in with wagers that were won with previously won chips (to explain, not [NOT] draw down buy-in chips) while quickly attempting to compound those into larger winning amounts.

With all of that thought about, in my opinion and experience, using the winning amounts of wagers in an aggressive and positive progression manner during a sequence you can merge with and if you can further  the win it will be beautiful and a larger short term win. Those are total advantages to your mindset, psych and winning possibilities within the session.

What you must learn is to realize and recognize winning and losing sequences.

When winning, move forward in an aggressive manner while feeling it, winning and riding it with energy. When you enter a double or triple loss or perhaps a triple or a quadruple loss, recognize that is possibly the losing sequence rolling in. That is the proper time to cut way down or idol your wagering. Do not attempt to recoup ANY Lost Wagers at that time. Do not attempt to force the sequence out of what they are doing. You cannot. It will happen upon its own. You cannot control the presentments of the shoe/any shoe with your desires, please believe me, please. I've been there and I've done that, I'm giving you years of experience right here for free.

A little side story, but relevant. What I absolutely love about Baccarat in a brick and mortar casino at a live table, is the driven energy of say two players. They are both driven, detailed oriented, methodical and willing to sacrifice/risk a great deal in order to achieve their goals. They are just on the opposite side of the game. I love the difference in vulnerability between the two of them. Each believes they know more than the other, more than anyone and usually the two exchange small banter back-and-forth. However when they are both wagering larger bets on opposite sides, the one that wins usually has a verbal and physical way to celebrate the win and the one that lost is holding back his strain of losing the hand and saying something derogatory directly about the other person.

Sequences do include verbal dialogue, notable tension and individualistic technique amongst most experienced players.  Some of those things hurt players and their wagering attempts, while some of those help players.

The sequences I am referring to are NOT a staking plan or preset wagering amount. Such as the FIBONACCI sequence, etc. Such sequences only refer to a staking plan, that most get confused with a proper Money Management Method or what I am referring to here.

The problem with all staking plans are that they all set forth a false promise of recovering your losses and eventually profiting shortly there after. But what they actually do in real world situations, is only allow you to profit if you did not exhaust your buy-in or the bank roll you're sitting with at the table.  You also have to follow a predetermined pattern that has to be met by what the presentments produce from the shoe. To me that is next to impossible to do anywhere near 50% of the time.

Theoretically, following such a pattern of increasing or decreasing wagering sizes will ensure you of profits only if you have an unlimited or a very large amount of funds available at the table if losses set in. All staking plans in my opinion take in the consideration someway or another, is that past results are predicted for  a future outcome for one or multiple reasons. That is not what happens in the real world because no one knows the order of the hands that will allow you to win coming out of the shoe. It is very very difficult for anyone to apply such a wagering sequence to let go of the bias that cannot be controlled within your mindset.

The sequences that will allow you to win.

Simply any repetition that is regular and obvious to yourself. Such as repeats IAR, chop-chop or doubles. As well and just a strong, possibly more irregular such as ones and twos, ones and threes or ones and fours, obvious cuts such as the next hand after a natural. There are plenty of repetitions or hands following such, that can and  do allow players to fall into a sequence that produce wins for them. There are also waves of numerous hands within a section that you might be able to align yourself with and win numerous hands.

Sequences with 'waves' have to happen within each and every shoe of Baccarat.  Simple and plain, it is a given mandatory happening.  How you wager and approach your risk, is your choice.  What floors me and always has since I have been writing is, why people sit there and say, "it has to be such and such" or "a such and such is due" or "it made such and such so an XYZ is next" and they wager upon those beliefs. 

Sequences are powerful advantages when you get on the wave with them, no matter what or how they play out. Just remember, anything can happen within the 3 to 5 sections of a shoe.  Those sections are finite without any set protocol and when you are winning, get in there and ride the sequence aggressively until it falls off.

When it falls off you must go back to your base unit wager or less. We all have our plateaus and tiers, that we belong to. You should only exit those for winning sequences and in no way attempting to recoup or just plain start winning by going outside of your plateau and tier. If you do not know what your plateau and tier are, you better find out. Once you do you can use those to your advantage.

Sequences that you can call "winning sequences" or those you are simply winning within. I would seriously claim sequences running for at least 10 hands but averaging 9 to 18 hands for its length. In my opinion through extensive brick-and-mortar play experience is, that our sessions comprised of one to a few shoes will not follow any mechanical natural variance or randomness that will always be or the majority of the times be at; 50.68% Bankers and 49.32% Players, or 45.9% Bankers and 44.6% Players and 9.5% Ties. 

You must figure out the simple and the complex issues in playing the game of baccarat.

Baccarat shoes have 3-5 sections as I mention all the time.  Sections have 'waves' of Sequences that will be presented.  Those waves will roll in and out, there is no stopping them or is there any changing them.  It is to your total advantage to realize and recognize them. 

COMPLEX/SIMPLE ISSUES.  Because the complex issues ultimately buildup and causes you frustration, emotional disturbance and financial losses. The simple issues allow you to concentrate and profit the majority of times. But you have to separate them and have clear mindset and be able to concentrate 100% without being involved in the complex issues, that most trying to figure out and can never figure out.

They both make the difference and define the good and bad in playing the game. They make the difference between existing within the grind and losses as well as knowing the correct path to walk down while playing.

So, totally impress yourself and show yourself that you are better than before.

Convince yourself it is not about beating the others at the table or even the casino. Realize and live with, it's only you versus you. And recognizing sequences will allow yourself better profits in many many ways. And profits is what it is all about, nothing else.