Ten-Day Tri-State Bac Run
The recent forum changes look nice/hope all are winning bigly.
I just returned from a multi-state Bac run with a group of nine players (Mostly Bacers with a few tablemates that also play Poker/ Craps line bets. A couple comrades also play Roulette some. The group played in Wichita, L Vegas, Cripple Creek/Black Hawk Colorado. Three departed Wichita and headed to LV. I will touch on a few highlights/add more later.
*Banker-Run Shoe w multiple B runs incl an 11-B streak. B was +26 at one point.
This shoe was my best single shoe by far on this trip. I typically put a longer W streak together by setting aside a pressed up wager/reentering in other shoes or session. This was one of the "weird" shoes that I've learned to just go with it. In other words don't overthink it or don't over mathematize it. Sometimes I have to make myself get out of Math Mode and ride the Variance(even if it's a contrarian run that shouldn't happen too often).
I will try to post the PB results from this shoe in the next day or so.
Biggest drawdown for trip prior to recovery: -13.8 Base Units
**Dragon-7 bonus wagers
I seldom wager for Dragon7(3c7) with 40:1 payout. Occasionally I will add $600 to my Buy In and wager <=24 tries per shoe. Often maybe only 7-14 tries per shoe. Most days and most shoes zero attempts. I generally start at $25 per attempt and if I lose 43 attempts without a W will raise my next 24 tries to $30 per. If I win within the first 43 tries I will lower to $20 Per,...etc. Im an advocate for not hedging wagers. So often I try to wager a Dragon7 on another players wager when I do not have a base bet(P or B).
This trip across 10days/ 4-7 shoes per day as some shoes I wagered zero tries and some shoes maybe upward to 24 attempts:
10L then a W at $25, & then reduced to $20. Then 38L and a W @ $20. Then 5L and another W @20. Then 3L and a W @$20. I did not make any additional attempts. This is by far the most successful string of wins on the 3c7. One of the reasons Im not an advocate for wagering B-3c7 is when Im considering the 3c7 I track several addendum events / I find it cumbersome. It also will sometimes conflict with my Base Bet and my dislike for hedging comes into play. Just me personally. Based on the above maybe I should rethink my logic, lol ???
***Friend hit a slot win for ~$13k on a $100 Free Play.
Several Bac comrades split off from our group after a few days in Wichita and made the trek to Vegas. One hit a $5 Lucky Duck machine for $13.3K net W on an initial $100 Free Play. He always plays Lucky Duck machines with his free play.
****Sports Betting
I seldom wager Sports Betting (in part because I don't have access to S.B. in my residential state). Most years I will place seven futures bets on NFL teams a couple weeks prior to the seasons' first week. My main approach is to watch the media and especially groups such as ESPN and pay attention to who they are pumping. Then research the opposite and will eliminate potential bets down to a select few. I then run my potential wagers across the thoughts of a couple friends that do SpBetting full time. I then do a line-shopping across >= six sports books and select the most favorable (I think this last part is very important). Of course, I also must be in a larger market that offers in-person multiple sports books.
During this trip, the majority of my wagers were placed on the US Open. I don't play tennis nor do I watch or study it much(unless considering a bet).
I started with an initial wager of $300. I mostly took early round favs(thus low payout) on Iga Swiatek and Novak Djokavic. I also took an additional USopen wager on Ms Townsends opponent as I thought she had advanced further than expected for her skill set(+ sports media was hyping her), which is also a trigger for me to look at the other side of the coin flip.
*My $300 wager plus almost 100% of first several wins were parlayed to $800. Some wins were 100% parlayed. I had only collected $100, 50, and 20 until it hit at $800(1270 payout). I then collected for $800 and wagered the residual $570 on Iga Swiatek in the semis. Anisimova won in a slight upset. My run was over. Net+$970 on a $300 risk. I was satisfied as I will be the first to acknowledge my SB wagering skills are not polished(yet). I looked at the remaining US Open matches but didn't find any value bets. "IF" I had wagered on the mens finally my choice was likely going to be on Jannik Sinner. However, the line never became EV+ in my opinion. I noticed later that Sinner lost to Alcarez.
I welcome thoughts and tips.
NFL Wagers:
I wagered seven futures bets on the NFL. Most were on Conference or Division champion. One Prop wager I like is NYG(105) to win >5.5 games this season.
Thanks for reading.
More later,
Addendum to TR above.
Note: The following shoe is shown as continuous and not R x C.
BBB P BBB P BBBTB PP B PP B PP BBBBB PP BTBBB P BBBT P BT P BTBBBBTBBBBBB PP BBB
P BBTBB PPPTP B PP B P B P BBB
It was B 49, P 24, T8 at this stage. Banker reached a shoe high of +26.
This was a favorable opportunity for me (and two others at the table). A dealer said approximately 180K departed the table with the majority from Banker wins. Because this was a Tiger Baccarat table(I.e., fewer high odds bonus bets offered), bonus bet payouts to players were lower. So majority of 180K was paid out on base bets(mostly B). I only wagered for P twice in this shoe.
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*On this same trip I was at a table and saw approximately $300K depart the table(A pit staff suggested that was the approximate payout from this shoe), with most from bonus bets: 3-card/ 2-card Blazing7s, B win on 3c7Fortune 7s, a couple 8-6 bonus bet winners...etc.
I hit two F7s with only $20 so very little of this 300K went into my stack. I didn't approach Tmax on any of my base bets for this shoe. I only wagered a few times on F7 yet probably more in this shoe than is typical for me. I did not wager any other bonus bets and typically do not wager for F7s.
Majority of the $300K came from the first 3-card Blazing 7 winners with one player wagering Tmax on the bet. I "think" he won around $60K on that one hand with majority from the Blazing7 . He also hit a 2-card blazing7 winner a short time later in the same shoe. It took a while for the bonus bets payout after the first 3-card Blazing7 winners. Players from out in the casino at slots/other table games came into the Bac pit to see what caused all the celebrations.
I don't recall ever seeing so much money paid out in a single shoe.