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Resources => Math & Statistics => Topic started by: horus on March 02, 2015, 09:44:54 PM

Title: regression to mean with parlays using pairs
Post by: horus on March 02, 2015, 09:44:54 PM
I was reading up on 'regression to mean' tonight having not really looked at it before.

The one thing that struck me is that you could be in for a long wait if you played for it in a traditional sense and didn't have any software that could look for a lot of different opportunities.

So I was thinking how I would attack it if I was sitting in a B+M casino.

One way to speed things up could be to look for missing pairs.

So you have BB, BR, RR, RB.  OO, OE, EE, EO.  LL, LH, HH, HL.

[attachimg=1]

In the picture above, the OE went missing for 17 pairs before a hit and then it went W,W,W,L,W,L,L during the next 14 spins. So suppose you hit it after the first W until you hit two consecutive L's. It returned 6 units profit.

What I like about this idea using all 12 pairs across the 3 e/c's is that you will regularly see pairs going missing for 15+ times which equates to 30 spins. So I suppose that's roughly the same as just a single e/c going missing for 7/8 spins on the bounce which seems to be an acceptable number of missing spins to start looking for 'regression to mean' opportunities.

It's just a suggestion as an alternative to look out for. I will see how it goes next time I am at the casino.