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Messages - jaguar

#1
Baccarat Forum / Re: Trend following world
December 30, 2015, 02:10:19 AM
Quote from: Jimske on December 29, 2015, 03:44:28 PM
What does a trend comprise of?  How many decisions?  What is your preferred trend may I ask?  I got no issue with this.  No different than choosing the last X number of decisions as a trend (read pattern) unless of course you are of the opinion (mistaken belief) that one trend has a significantly greater chance of appearing than another.

Well you could wait for your nemesis to appear and never see it.  So as you're sitting there waiting and recording virtual wins at some point you say, "I'm going to make a bet."  Because your trend hit, right?  Maybe you win or maybe your nemesis appears and you lose x IAR.  Whatever. 

That's all fine.  But it isn't much or any different than choosing a placement and waiting for x LIAR and then start betting because you know that LIAR are finite.  For instance, I will generally always bet that a 5 IAR stops so I bet once or even twice that there won't be a 6 or a 7.  How much I bet depends on my risk potential at that point in the session.  Or just watching to see what run lengths are greater than average and betting that they will continue.  So you can slice and dice this any way you want. 

Locking up a win always a good idea.  Still, as you have mentioned in the past, you got to have a recoup betting plan.  You like to double up next shoe since you feel it is hard for you to lose 2 shoes IAR. 

So all you are really doing is simplifying your game by playing less hands.  That has merit because it allows for less confusion UNLESS one has a specific plan to bet every hand then there is no confusion because your next bet is always known whether the last won, lost, or landed on eith


It's not hard finding a trend or a pattern,  you might see a strong B or P, or like today I found in  the beginning of a shoe every time a natural came it always jumped. Or of course you could see a  chop or a run, if you start to see this happen bet one unit on what ever your seeing, if you lose you only lose one unit if you win worst you can do is break even, keep following it until it ends and make units.