« on: October 20, 2018, 11:46:54 pm »
Thank you Victor and fellow members.
I will be direct and state this re-connection is not to provide an almighty revelation as to the missing W3M bet or CWB or other acronym, but a mode to enable me to think aloud, and offer some suggestions for further research.
You may or may not be surprised to find that my suggestions have come out of an extended phase of searching, not just philosophically but fundamentally spiritual as to just what we are trying to do 'gambling'.
I suggest, and have been advised, that 'prediction' is fatally flawed, although useful in the short term and in small samples when conducted rigorously. What is short term? Is that sufficient to provide 'consistent', sustainable income?
Probably not, based on my past experience.
Better perhaps to live in the 'present', set aside statistical evidence, for the black swan events will eventually provide ruin, and instead 'tune in' to a target in a quantum mechanics mode, being 'outside' of 'time'.
A few years I did indeed conduct an experiment along those lines, with help from colleagues internationally, and at a specific location and time, in a casino, playing roulette.
It was a stunning success, and a meditation in action.
However I never repeated this.
Why ? Because the collaboration and fragmented energies of multiple international personalities was like herding cats - just not practicable.
However that is not to say that a team of say 2-3 'like minds' in a casino location could not re-ignite this fire.
The problem then is 'like-minds'. Very very hard to gather and maintain and direct. Unless there are large resources and rewards available, which is possible, but clear goals need to be established to enable this and I suggest thus could be a 12 month project.
That is one approach - quantum mechanics.
Here is another idea, and because this involves solo experience and action it is infinitely easier.
I am trying to do away with the idea of 'prediction', ie seeing into the future.
We know how risk banks in casino, in racing, in sports betting, can be eroded.
However consider some of the research available and published on YouTube regarding professional gamblers - this term I see as somewhat inappropriate as 'gamblers' by definition - have negative connotations or expectations in the long run.
To gamble - taking risky action in the 'hope' ( anticipation to various degrees) of a desired result.
Risk - exposure relative to danger, harm or loss.
Financial Risk - the 'probability' that an actual return on an investment will be 'lower' than the expected return.
Risk- Reward Ratio a considered relation between exposure to risk in order to enable higher reward and success.
A long and relatively consistent set of 'modest' rewards may enable a professional to make a living - sometimes a substantial living - from well considered choices/ selections and action in a casino or 'betting' environment.
This can be extended to financial markets, but of course they can all crash at times, and often do in quite regular cycles. We can visualise these 7/8 and 18/20 year cycles when for examples commodity prices are compared to equity prices, and the current US equity markets are heading for a major correction by such a graphic measure after the ten year bull market.
So what do we do. We research, overview, be honest with ourselves, and ask just what is it that I am seeking to achieve with this activity?'
My current work in the casino, involves roulette, and after decades of overview and extraordinary insight and analysis, in order to seek out relatively consistent returns, looks at setting a net over a universal phenomenon of number (finale) appearances and draws a stop loss line over a distribution curve that demonstrates an 82-99% strike rate depending on extent of the net.
Following simple rules, determined by trial and error, and observation over many thousands of spins, I have a short stop progression and a Risk Bank of 200-500 units playing at say $5 level that enables a game sequence that averages about 10 spins.
I merely observe a short cycle dominant finale and target that after suitable trigger to fulfill a short dominance within an average of 10 spins. In practice this may be in 1 spin once triggered, or 20 spins in more complex sequences, but never involving more than 3-5 groups of finales, or else the stop loss curtain is drawn, with Risk Bank adjusted to level of risk exposure.
There are simpler ways to play, but I currently favour this.
It is still predictive, and thus fatally flawed. I will report in due course. It is fun but not a CWB.
When you really ask yourself however, as did Krishnamurti, just what is behind your goal 'to gamble', and you take it back, take it back, you may be surprised to find the answer lies not in the casino or financial markets at all, but in a new mode altogether.
I will share this with you in about 2-3 weeks time, and the answer will surprise you. Hopefully it may delight you also, and perhaps that is why I first chose or was directed to write in a roulette forum, this roulette forum, several years ago.