I reply as i want to find this post later and test your idea ...

Cheers

 
I only make sport betting online using bet fair, but now i will soon order my first bot and make money when i sleep, but can not make up my mind what kind of method to use ...
Now i wondering if you are allow to spin the RNG wheel with out placing any bets ? in fun mode you are not allow to spin wheel with out placing bets ,,, that why i ask ...

Cheers

 
I don't understand how you play. But i understand that a dice has 98,5% hitting at least one repeat during one cycle of 6 throws/trails.
1.5% that is will show each side once during one cycle of 6 throws.

I also know that 98,5% of all sequential windows have imbalance where at least one side sleep for 789 10 11 12 up to 30 times.
So feel free to elaborate more about how you play.

Cheers

QuoteWhen I hear anything
like this, I have to ask to myself as to why do I write here.
Nothing
can change you guys. You are happy with losses, you are happy with fallacies and
you are happy in darkness.

I agree, that is funny.
I just was thinking the same thing today, about you.
Funny that you have a own site about fallacies, so i assume you are happy being in the darkness.

Cheers

 
Placed bets is the only thing that counts, that's it.
Progressions and flat betting is the same thing, but i assume you know that.

What is the long term or the long run .... i don't think so many players/gamblers will face the long term/run ...

I play this method in the past and remember i did pretty well.
Brett Morton's variant.

I also remember that some times you go up and down back and forward, then you should quit.
Experiment with the LW-Registry as charting method and try to find some patterns for trending for domination.

Cheers

Quote from: Marshall Bing Bell on June 23, 2013, 01:28:10 AM
Here's mine...

Zambo on the beach in northen nsw.

Zambo ,,, is that your dog ,,, he looks happy ,,, i like you desktop picture with Zambo very much  pretty sure he is a good friend ...

Screenhunter free version is good for taking desktop pictures or other picture on your computer.

Cheers

Other playing model is to observe the regression towards the mean.

Singles has the value of 1
Series has the value of 1 (no matter length)

I will show the charting method with the probability and math behind the random states property.
Playing model is pretty much the same as above, but with different approach ...

-

Did you ever ask what a trend look like ? and what its based upon ?

This is for better understanding about STD and probability, bell curve movement or reading random flow into current states, devision.
I believe in charting where you can see and observe the movement of the current states of the random flow.
Each state is its own property of events.

With the help of devision you can understand when the random flow current state grow and get stronger or getting weaker based upon what you aim to catch.
So you can read the random flows current states based upon math and probability calculations.
That way you can stop chasing for events and start to use tendency play where you embrace events.

Just to say ... Hey i can chart the random flow with pen and paper in a real casino,,, and read random current movement/states and understand when its hovering around the mean or getting imbalance in one other direction ... stronger or weaker based upon your choice of playing model.

You move from gamblers fallacy and use Markow Chains methodology of random property states.
You move into the territory where you trending based upon almost the same principals as some areas in stock market .

Marigny style and the math values behind the events.
Smaller series contra larger series.

This is for better understanding about STD and probability, bell curve movement or reading random flow into current states, devision.

1. Series of two has the value of 1
2. Series of three has the value of 0
3. Series of four has the value of 1
4. Series of five has the value of 2
5. Series of six has the value of 3
6. Series of seven has the value of 4
7. And so it continues

Here is an simple chart that I did a long time ago with some values that you can use as reference.



John Patrick style ... pick one dominant, one side of the distribution and stick to it.
See the random flow with two opposite colors as two roads with there own random flow of current states.
Good MM and three banks should do it.

I post the hint above and you develop your own killer method.

Thanks to GLC = George ...

This is a system that developed while I was tweaking the "Very near infallible Roulette system".  That system is way too complicated and almost impossible to play except at home with pen and paper and time.


This is an Even Chance system.


We will use the R/B even chance.


Wait until you have 2 colors in a row.  Either RR or BB.


We then bet for a change of color.  We will bet at most 6 times for the change.  If it doesn't change in 6 bets, wait until it does change to resume betting.


We are going to use a progression that is based on the "Philiberte" system found in the Monte Carlo Anecdotes.  Atlanta's progression in his latest excellent system "Matrix Trendgrabber" was also used.  It's not exact but close.


1-2-4


1-3-6


2-4-8


2-6-12


3-6-12


3-9-18


4-8-16


4-12-24


5-10-20


5-15-30


7-14-28


7-21-42


9-18-36


9-27-54


12-24-48


12-36-72


15-30-60


15-45-90


We will follow A's rules in that we stay at the same level as long as we don't lose 3 times in a row.  After each win, we return to the lowest number in the level and start again.  If we lose 3 times in a row, we move to the next level and play the same way.  Even though these numbers if added together equal a large number of units, not to worry because we will be winning as we move up the progression thus keeping our drawdowns under control.


Getting back to playing rules, as long as we are winning 1 time out of 3 betting for 2 colors in a row to change, we will stay at the 1st level.  After each win, we will wait until we have another 2 of the same color to resume betting for a chop.  If we get 6 losses in a row it will mean that the same color has hit 8 times in a row.  This will happen from time to time.


As long as we are in the 1st level, we will be in the profit accumulation mode.  In profit accumulation mode, we only bet for 2 in a row to change.  Once it changes, we wait again for 2 in a row before resuming betting for the chop.


If we lose 3 in a row at the 1st level, we will be down 7 units and will immediately move to the 2nd level of 1-3-6 and we are now in the recovery mode.  We will continue betting for a change.  When we get a change we will start betting for the chops to continue.  This is the difference between profit accumulation mode and recovery mode.


If we are in profit accumulation mode, we only bet for a streak to chop.


If we are in recovery mode, we bet for streaks to end and for chops to continue.  Our progression continues according to the betting rules no matter what mode we are in and even as we move from 1 mode to the next.


Once we are at a new level, we stay at that level until we fully recover our losses and then we drop back to level 1 and wait until we have 2 in a row to begin betting for a chop.


Here's a short example:


R   No bet
B   No bet
B   No bet but 2 in a row so bet 1 for chop
R   Win +1 in profits  Now wait for 2 in a row
B   No bet
R   No bet
R   No bet but 2 in a row so bet 1 for chop
R   Lose, bet 2 for chop
R   Lose, bet 4 for chop
B   Win +1 so (+1+1=+2) wait for 2 in a row
B   Bet 1 for chop
B   Bet 2 for chop
B   Bet 4 for chop
B   Lost 3 in a row so we are -7 and enter recovery mode and also move to the 1-3-6 level.
B   Lost 1 bet 3 for chop
R   Win +2 -7 = -5 since we are in recovery mode we start betting on chops to continue so we now bet 1 in the 2nd level of 1-3-6
B   Win +1-5 = -4  bet 1 for chops to continue
B   Lost -1-4=-5  Bet 3 for streak to chop
R   Win +3-5=-2  Bet 1 for chops to continue
B   Win +1-2=-1  Bet 1 for chops to continue
R   Win +1-1=0  We have recovered all losses, not we are back to profit accumulation mode waiting for 2 in a row to form so we can bet for it to chop and we are also back to 1st level of 1-2-4.  We are still +2 overall.  No bet yet.
B   No bet
R   No bet
R   Bet 1 for chop
B   Win +1+2=+3  No bet.  Wait for streak to form
B   Bet 1 for chop
R   Win +1+3=+4  No bet.  Still in profit accumulation mode.  Wait for streak of 2
R   Bet 1 for chop
R   Lose, bet 2 for chop
R   Lose, bet 4 for chop
B   Win  +1+4=+5 No bet.  Still in profit mode.  wait for streak
B   Streak has formed bet 1 for chop
B   lose, bet 2 for chop
B   Lose, bet 4 for chop
B   Lose, -7 go to recovery mode and level 2.  continue betting for streak to end.  Bet 1 unit, the 1st bet of level 1
B   Lose, -8 Bet bet 3 for streak to end
R   Win  +3-8=-5  bet 1 for chops to continue
B   Win  +1-5=-4  bet 1 for chops to continue
B   Lose   bet 3 for streak to end
B   Lose   bet 6 for streak to end
R   Win +3-4=-1  bet 1 for chops to continue
B   Win +1-1=0  Reset to profit accumulation mode and drop to 1st bet level.


Seems to be solid as a rock.  So far!


Thanks to GLC/George at Roulette cc ...
Cheers

Hello ...

I believe in charting with pen and paper.
No matter what march or algorithm some one use.
Method or strategy.

Charting is good because does sign's show current property of the current state of the random flow and you act upon that.
You also get a better understanding how the random flow distribute.

Just like a ocean of waves.

I don't use this kind of method when i play.

1. Think of the LW-Registry being a charting method to show you the waves and current states of the random flow with pen and paper.

2. The march/algorithm is to bet three times opposite after the first outcome, until three loses, then restart with a new outcome, so each wave ends with three loses, pretty simple march and it follow the cycle methodology i mention above using a dice that will not strike same side four times in a row.

3. Triggers can be within each wave, for example test betting after one loss. Other triggers can be betting after three loses, when a wave/sequence end. Other options is to divide the betting into levels.

Cheers