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This is my opinion, that i find regression much better and solid then flat betting.
First you always keep a profit when you win and you capitalize when the distribution goes zig zag ... or hitting strikes ...
I would put it like this based upon my experience, regression puts you more into the positive side of things and flat betting more into the even.

Cheers

QuoteYou should capitalize on these differences.

Very good point.
I understand that a win goal at +3 sometimes can go beyond that when you are on hot strikes, strong trending that comes your way.
Then you can doubled, trippel you initial win goal.

I been testing an idea and getting pretty good results and will apply it to real play.
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What is your opinion about it.
I think it is a pretty solid methodology.
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Lets say i play the even money bets, trending for domination.
Then i would like to hit a small win target and keep loses short.
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Now i don't want to hit loss limit i want to break even if i find my self in the big hole ...
(negative expectation).
I want to have a way to identify when i am entering a negative tram, things is not going my way today.
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My idea is ...
If i aim to win +3 units using regression plan, then i have my win goal.
Now lets say i am down -3 units and did not reach my +3 units win goal.
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Then i can say to my self, this session tend to go against me, this is not my lucky day.
So if i aim to win i would have to reach +6 units as i am down -3 to win +3 and that is not realistic.
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But if i in this situation aim to break even, then i face the same situation as in the beginning.
0 toward +3 is the same as -3 toward +0.
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Is like having a second win goal in the reverse way or a second chance not to lose or hit loss limit.
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This i think is pretty solid psychological factor when things not going our way to solve our situation at the table ...
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Cheers

 
I think the win goal also can work reverse, lets say you win goal is three units - then you start from 0 to hit +3 then if you are down three units in the hole you aim to break even and are down -3 toward +0 (like having the same win goal twice) and if you fail then you go all they way hitting loss limit.
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That is a pretty solid methodology ... or you could put it like this ... we have 2 chances out of 3 to succeed ...

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The best way to play online is where there is a market and where the company take commission of you action, sport-betting.
.
1. They don't limited players
2. They don't ban players
3. They always give you your money
.
Cheers

 
I apply both, but later i tend to option two more and more ...

Cheers

 
Thanks ND

 
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Nice topic ...

Quote from: NathanDetroit on March 22, 2013, 03:20:40 PM
Betting  a base bet of 5  multiply by 40 and you will find the proper bankroll  per session.   50 % LL is  way too high but 30 % will  do the trick  too.


N.D.

Happy Winnings !!!!

With this method you won`t need  a rabbits foot, a four leaf clover, a horse shoe  , or chicken blood.

ND if you play minimum 10 Euro, then how would you set up the daily figure for your session bankroll ...

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I think the unit size at 10 is way to high if you have a session bankroll around 200 and should be more like 5 ...

 
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I find a way to follow the wheel using domination, i got results like +13 . +7,5 . +3 . +6 . +5,5
That was flat betting and with regression does result would been much better ...
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I will try to find a desktop video recorder like TCS has and make videos to back track with explanation ...
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Run one more ...
Session bankroll 200 ... minimum bet 10 ... loss limit 100 ... win target 40 ...
+40,0
+30,5
+30,0
+30,0
-100
+50
-30
+50
+60,5
+0
.
+300
-130
= +170 after 10 sessions

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We also assume when we got + that we would continue hitting our win target, that could be any between 10 to 20% of our daily session bankroll ... did not test that do ...
Still flat betting and regression is like swimming with the sharks in very deep water ...

Quote from: subby on March 21, 2013, 12:37:33 PM
You show that entering and exit points are common and do indeed exist....another name for hit and run perhaps? 

True, but the topic is about entering/exit points when it comes to trends and domination ... with out progression ...

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This is why you might considering does who claim they are flat betting and aim for trends/domination might lie ...
This is the bet selection i use to win or break even with this experiment.
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I use three existing states with the probability 1 in 3.
If i see one state i would follow that state to repeat.
If a loss then i have two present states, then i would follow does two to break even.
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Now if i fail i have three states out of three existing state showing, alternating.
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With dozen explanation.
You see one dozen and you follow it to repeat.
If not then you have two dozen to show and you bet that one of does two will show and break even.
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I pick this selection as we know that one dozen can sleep for 32 times in a row ...
And i am pretty sure there is no better selection as they all should be the same ...
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Cheers

.
Back to the investigation ...
Now i try to ride out the trend or domination using regression to see if it would compensate ...
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This result show how rare it is to catch domination and make it capitalize ...
The positive side of the coin do is when you are on a trend you can not lose you initial staking ... using regression ...
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This my short test that hovering around zero point.
+15,5
-11,5
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Entering and Exit points ...
+0,5
-3 NE
+0
+0,5
+0,5
+2,0
+0,5
-3 NE
+0
+0
+0,5
+0,5
+0,5
+3,5
+0
+0
+0
+2
+0
+0,5
-3 NE
+0
+0
+0
+0
+0,5
+0
+0,5
+0,5
+0
+0
+0,5
+0
+0
+0,5
+0,5
+0,5
+0
+0
-2,5
+0,5
-3 NE

.

The idea is to see how the Entering points and Exit points behave, how and when you are on board the trend or domination, then will it continue or cut you short and you might considering start all over.
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Flat betting comparing towards regression has a slight difference ...
Flat betting break even more often then regression ...
I find the regression being superior ...
.
+0
+0
+0
+0
+0
-3 NE
+3
+0
+0
-3 NE
+0
+0
+0
+3
+0
+1
+0
+0
+0
-3 NE
+0
+0
+3
+0
.
Cheers