Gobbledy Gook and BlaBlaBla Mistruths-Drama-and Made Up Garbage Appearing Online

Causes and Effects Resulting in Bad Circumstances to the Player

I will give you the punch line first here:  That people tend to seek information that aligns with their views.  In some form, fashion or other means, I do wholeheartedly believe that we are all guilty of this at times.  The problem being on message boards, a handful of members will blast the majority of others with a repetitive and usually challenging statement with zero or very little facts, research or experiences, just a statement to cause drama and upset.  Period.  No other reason other than the selfishness and audience stealing desire of the poster coming on the scene to disrupt a member's thread.  Again, Period. No matter the original author's purpose, points or how much time and trouble they put into the original posting to help make a community.  Unlike a real classroom or seminar setting, where an actual challenge will come about and constructive and real pros and cons are cited and discussed with ample time for questions and answers, etc.  But on message boards, a group of the stronger and self-proclaimed masters or professional gamblers, usually take hold and attempt domination.  Moderation will generally bring on a citation by those offenders of the Admin and the Moderators stopping free speech, etc.  Then the vicious cycle begins.  Then sides are taken and the personalities overrule the chance to share info, data and really useful research and real-life experiences.

And what are the consequences? Why will the players hurt themselves the highest majority of the times?  Because, they will convince themselves that erroneous and bad information they are tailoring to themselves will successfully assist them to accomplish their goals of winning large sums of money and no matter what or how they attempt to adjust, they are truly fighting a losing battle.  They started with the wrong equipment and tools concerning the gambling war chest IMO, they believe in false agendas, faked info and stories, etc., that add so much weight and burden to their gaming attempts.  Therefore, when the player finally uncovers the truth, he lost virtually all of his capital, personal and business relationships, along with burning himself out past redemption the highest majority of the times.  Great for the casino, great for your casino host, great for the loan sharks, great for the pawn shops, great for everyone involved in the industry except for yourself.  PLEASE NOTE:  You do not have to believe me, you do not have to follow me, you do not have to find validity in anything I say or do, in fact why not just believe someone that is an ex-world class skier mastering 100 plus MPH 70% or so downgrades or others claiming to have gambled around the world and constantly posts pictures of on-line scoreboards with 5 to 7 shoes of losing statistics and a final one each day where he finally recouped all of his losses and profited for the day?

Onward.  Let me explain.  Why the rise and change since the 70's through the mid-90's?  Even bring that out a bit past 2000.  Because of the internet and making money, that's why.  Coupled with the other non-sense with social media, message boards and other internet forums used for the wrong reasons.

"Truth is no longer dictated by authorities, teachers, professors, and people with a lot of real-life experiences and those that really have a good-hearted desire to help others share their own school of hard knocks.  But is networked by peers with lots of other reasons, rather than those I just laid out.  For every fact there is a counter fact and all these counter facts and facts look identical online, which is confusing to most people."  There is your reasoning, pick it apart, agree with it or not.  But, IMO, it is 100% spot on, without one reservation whatsoever!

And misinformation is dangerous, REAL DANGEROUS, especially in gambling because, misinformation is not like a plumbing problem you fix. It is a social condition, like crime, that you must constantly monitor and adjust to not knowing what has actually worked or what has not.  If you do not know, you simply will most likely get hurt, and in gambling that means a real hurt, the loss of your money.

The sad part is, you will not be able to figure it out conclusively, what exactly is real and what exactly is made up or lies or just told with motives not in your best interest.   For someone really trying to learn something within the message boards, it causes a great deal of confusion and needless drama--sometimes by mistake and sometimes intentionally.  IMO, there is not much more of an explanation that just that. Correct me if I am wrong!

Their reasoning revealed a wide range of opinions about the nature of these threats and the most likely solutions required to resolve them. But the overarching and competing themes were clear:  Those who do not think things will improve felt that humans mostly shape technology advances to their own, not-fully-noble purposes and that bad actors with bad motives will thwart the best efforts of technology innovators to remedy today's problems.

And those who are most hopeful believed that technological fixes can be implemented to bring out the better angels guiding human nature.  Yeah right!  Sure thing and the rich and the wealthy will wake up every day at 4 AM and head out to their local restaurant and stay there all day and pay for everyone's food that cannot afford to eat, etc.

ADD THE FOLLOWING:

The fake news ecosystem preys on some of our deepest human instincts:  Respondents said humans, 'primal quest for success and power,  their survival, instinct, will continue to degrade the online information environment in the next decade'.  They predicted that manipulative actors will use new digital tools to take advantage of humans--inbred preference for comfort and convenience and their craving for the answers they find in reinforcing echo chambers.  Sorry, but in reality, it is like that in all facets of business.  It is a business thing, not out of the goodness of everyone's hearts.  I am a realist but the fake news thing is not at all hard to figure out.  It is about business and money, no matter if politics are involved.  Fact. Period.

Our brains are not wired to contend with the pace of technological change:  These respondents said the rising speed, reach and efficiencies of the internet and emerging online applications will magnify these human tendencies and that technology-based solutions will not be able to overcome them. They predicted a future information landscape in which fake information crowds out reliable information. Some even foresaw a world in which widespread information scams and mass manipulation cause broad swathes of public to simply give up on being informed participants in civic life.

Technology can help fix these problems: These more hopeful experts said the rising speed, reach and efficiencies of the internet, apps and platforms can be harnessed to rein in fake news and misinformation campaigns. Some predicted better methods will arise to create and promote trusted, fact-based news sources.

It is also human nature to come together and fix problems:  The hopeful experts in the internet and AI industries, took the view that people have always adapted to change and that this current wave of challenges will also be overcome. They noted that misinformation and bad actors have always existed but have eventually been marginalized by smart people and processes. They expect well-meaning actors will work together to find ways to enhance the information environment. They also believe better information literacy among citizens will enable people to judge the veracity of material content and eventually raise the tone of discourse.

Here, remember Glen said this: "Misinformation is not like a plumbing problem you fix. It is a social condition, like crime, that you must constantly monitor and adjust to. Since as far back as the era of radio and before, as Winston Churchill said, 'A lie can go around the world before the truth gets its pants on'."

Michael J. Oghia, an author, editor and journalist based in Europe, said he expects a worsening of the information environment due to five things:  1) The spread of misinformation and hate;  2) Inflammation, sociocultural conflict and violence; 3) The breakdown of socially accepted/agreed-upon knowledge and what constitutes 'fact'; 4) A new digital divide of those subscribed (and ultimately controlled) by misinformation and those who are 'enlightened' by information based on reason, logic, scientific inquiry and critical thinking; 5) Further divides between communities, so that as we are more connected we are farther apart. And many others.' I dug that paragraph out I saved from Michael Oghia, it is spot on and so amazingly correct IMO.

Please take a breath, please read the following carefully:

You need to really sit down and say, who is the author, what is his/her purpose of writing what I am reading?  Why should I believe what is written?  Why would this person say negative, derogatory, hateful, vindictive, humiliating, and/or chastising things or anything of the like against the other person!  Say those things.

While propaganda and the manipulation of the public via falsehoods is a tactic as old as the human race, many of these experts predicted that the speed, reach and low cost of online communication plus continuously emerging innovations will magnify the threat level significantly.

'The internet is the 21st century's threat of a 'nuclear winter,' and there is no equivalent international framework for nonproliferation or disarmament. The public can grasp the destructive power of nuclear weapons in a way they will never understand the utterly corrosive power of the internet to civilized society, when there is no reliable mechanism for sorting out what people can believe to be true or false.?

What actually works in a casino?  What actually worked on line gaming in 2,000 spins you had to consecutively wager on to profit by a guaranteed 5 units?  Etc., Etc., Etc.  You think AI can provide the answers.  Someday it might.  And when that day comes the game itself will somehow be changed.  But without everyone understanding AI and everything along with it, the internet with carrying the messages will still hurt the person reading and interpreting them, with their attempts to apply same within the casino to make money.  That is the absolute sad bottom line.

Problem being, more and more, history is being written, rewritten and corrected, because more and more people have the ways and means to do so. Therefore, there is ever more information that competes for attention, for credibility and for influence.

The other huge problem along the same lines is, the audiences typically are looking for information that fits their belief systems, so it is a really tough problem.

Humans are by nature selfish, tribal, gullible convenience seekers who put the most trust in that which seems familiar.

It comes down to motivation: There is no market for the truth. The public is not motivated to seek out verified, vetted information. They are happy hearing what confirms their views. And people can gain more creating fake information (both monetary and in notoriety) than they can keeping it from occurring.  I am sorry I am publishing this really, because so many of you will blame me for things that actually happen, but all I am doing in reality, is pointing out the book, the covers and the dust jacket.  Each of you are filling in the words on the internet, in your own book, on my website BetSelection, etc., etc.  That is where so many of you are confused and stay confused.

As a group, humans are 'stupid'. It is 'group mind' or a 'group phenomenon' or, as George Carlin said, "Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups." Then, you have Kierkegaard, who said, "People demand freedom of speech as a compensation for the freedom of thought which they seldom use."  And finally, Euripides said, "Talk sense to a fool and he calls you foolish".  If you cannot think and reason, gambling and the casino is not for you.  I wholeheartedly promise you that.

People on systems like Facebook are increasingly forming into 'echo chambers' of those who think alike. They will keep unfriending those who don't, and passing on rumors and fake news that agrees with their point of view the exact same as we do on gambling message boards and forums, no different!

Scott Shamp, a dean at Florida State University, commented, "Too many groups gain power through the proliferation of inaccurate or misleading information. When there is value in misinformation, it will rule."  But with gambling, internet message boards, forums, etc., it will still be burdened upon the receiver to deceiver what is actually right or wrong or what can or cannot apply to his needs and situations.  If he cannot do that, he will only hurt himself and continue the money loss.

Facts, truths, I will take my cash and wager on that, etc., some things are not black and white; for other situations, facts brought up to come to a conclusion are different that other facts used by others in a situation. Each can have real facts, but it is the facts that are gathered that matter in coming to a conclusion; who will determine what facts will be considered or what is even considered a fact?

It will certainly mean a greater degree of misinformation in the public internet sector and that is exactly what has been happening.  In general, not just in gambling message boards, but across the whole Internet thing.  It is easy to write, no one to check, re check and source everything.  Good and bad.  Good when everything is accurate, truthful and justified for its purpose.  Bad when it is motivated by not so good motives and reasonings.

Before, it took some kind of money and time as a general rule to get your word out, today all of which is changed.  And that is exactly my point. On my forum Betselection or otherwise.  Same, same.  Period. 

In regards to a gambling system published for whatever reason on the internet or a message board on a forum.  'It is too easy to create fake facts, too labor-intensive to check and too easy to fool checking algorithms.'  Why?  Because there are many alternative motives and for the regular consumer that is just using the message board to learn and gain knowledge in an innocent way, he himself better be extra cautious and diligent. Worse and worse every day for the newcomers.  I am sure that statement will get me even more haters and enemies than I already have!  But I stand by it and love the challenges of those newcomers and their fake facts and dreamed up blablabla.

You better read the following and apply it, because it is the best truth about the internet in a short 3 sentences that I ever read.  1) 'Artificial intelligence that will supplament human judgment is being pursued aggressively by entities in the Silicon Valley and elsewhere.  2) Algorithmic solutions to replacing human judgment are subject to hidden bias and will ultimately fail to accomplish this goal. They will only continue the centralization of power in a small number of companies that control the flow of information. 3) The 'wild west' state of the internet will not be permitted to continue by those with power, as we are already seeing with increased national pressure on providers/companies by a range of means from law and regulation to moral and consumer pressures.

The people that really succeed or actually get something out of all this internet movement are; humans that are adaptive. When faced with novel predatory phenomena, counter-forces emerge to balance or defeat them.  But each one has to decide what are right, correct, lies, mistruths, or just plain does not apply to their purpose within gambling, the casino, baccarat, etc.  And that is tough for most everyone or just plain anti productive and time consuming.  We are at the beginning of a large scale negative impact from the undermining of a social sense of reliable fact. Counter-forces are already emerging. The presence of large scale 'landlords' controlling significant sections of the ecosystem (e.g., Google, Facebook) aids in this counter-response.  And those very things, Google, Facebook, etc., has overwhelming mentality implements into the minds of people like you and you carry it into gambling, the casino and online forums.

In reality and subjective view, IMO, I would have to say, this whole internet thing with all its content, direction and influence can never entirely be eliminated, but it can be managed.

The biggest risk, as with many things, is that narrow self-interest stops people from effectively collaborating.  And that will happen across the entire internet, whether it is a gambling message board forum or a news outlet.

As we understand more about digital misinformation, we will design better tools, policies and opportunities for collective action.  But IMO, there are huge amounts of work to do and that will take some time.  What a portion of society is ready for are the airbags, the safety belts and the many other features an auto of today needs and can support.  However, the largest amount of society is not ready for it or even can sustain it with the knowledge and desire.  Those are the ones that suffer from the results of the lies, the mistruths, the self serving dialogs and everything else on the internet, etc.  And what I just said, Glen said that is, that very thing is happening right now on Betselction forum.  And all other forums, IMO anyways.

You cannot and will never, machine-learn our way out of this disaster, which is actually a perfect storm of poor civics knowledge and poor information literacy, plain and simple.

>>>PLEASE READ TWICE<<<:  You cannot and will never solve your gambling problems or really find your gambling advantages via technology.  Reason being, you have to have the background in order to deceiver the wrong and the right or actually if finding the right is even possible.  It still and I do believe, will always take Blood, Sweat & Tears with a bunch of Hard Knocks in order to figure it all out.  Machines, the internet, the AI and all those rolled up and taken into consideration, can only assist oneself at best.  A gambler still needs good judgement, no make that, superior judgement!  Otherwise he has nothing to base his decisions on and nothing to measure them against.  And that is where so many argue, internet fight, disagree and get into trouble attempting to do so.

Remember newspapers?  Remember magazines.  I used to read them religiously, why?  Because everything was double and triple sourced, checked and rechecked and written by journalists that went out and wrote what they found, without the 90% plus alternative motives what is happening these days.  Reducing 'fake news' requires a profession whose members share a commitment to getting it right. That, in turn, requires a source of money to pay such professional journalists. Advertising used to provide newspapers with money to pay such people. That money is drying up, and it seems unlikely to be replaced within the next decade.  Those are facts, face it or not.  That is what is happening today in 2019.  In newspapers as well as on the internet, because of the internet.

And, what does an industry top professional say in regards to just that?   "The problem with online news is structural: There are too few gatekeepers, and the internet business model does not sustain quality journalism. The reason is simply that advertising revenue has been untethered from news production."  And, IMO once again, it filters right down to and replicates itself with internet message boards.

Many of those experts said the flaws in human nature and still-undeveloped norms in the digital age are the key problems that make users susceptible to false, misleading and manipulative online narratives. One potential remedy those respondents suggested was a massive compulsory crusade to educate all in digital-age information literacy. Such an effort, some said, might prepare more people to be wise in what they view/read/believe and possibly even serve to upgrade the overall social norms of information sharing.  I totally agree.

From Harvard University on Internet & Society, 'False information' intentionally or inadvertently so, "is neither new nor the result of new technologies. It may now be easier to spread to more people more quickly, but the responsibility for sifting facts from fiction has always sat with the person receiving that information and always will."

What is actually happening?  'Human beings are losing their capability to question and to refuse. Young people are growing into a world where those skills are not being taught.'

The bottom line is, or at least mine is, relying on algorithms and automated measures will result in various unwanted consequences.  You can refute that, but you seriously have no leg to stand on because you cannot prove otherwise, only say it in words.

Not just the internet thing we now have as a way of life and communications, but most things in general, Ignorance breeds frustration and "a growing fraction of the population has neither the skills nor the native intelligence to master deceiving what is factual, reality, historical or correct but been replaced by technological AI that has been proven".  And, therein lies so much of the problem that it is scary, at least to me it is.

Jim Warren, an internet pioneer and open-government/open-records/open-meetings advocate, said, "False and misleading information has always been part of all cultures (gossip, tabloids, etc.). Teaching judgment has always been the solution, and it always will be. I (still) trust the longstanding principle of free speech: The best cure for 'offensive' speech is MORE speech. The only major fear I have is of massive communications conglomerates imposing pervasive censorship."  And, therefore there has to be limits as to what can be, should be, has to be, what should not be and what has to prevail in print.  Whether we are talking about a message board, a magazine, a newspaper, the TV News or anything else.  IMO, the problem with a media such as BetSelction Message Forum, is that we are all in the one room together.  The 21 year old with limited knowledge and experience as well as that hard core 60 year old person that has a ton of information, experience and knowledge that others could very well learn from.  However, there are also those others, that have the desire to entice, bump, shake and only cause problems to hamper a community from actually all rallying together.  While those latter types are the minority in almost all cases, they certainly cause the majority to pull back, reserve themselves as well as limiting their participation due to the infliction of chastising, humiliation and other verbal abuse that the majority rather not have to be dealing with.  Quote me on that one please!

And as always, one thing that has never really changed is, the responsibility is with the person who is seeking the results, stories, data and trying to get information on what is going on.  And that is going to hold down the successful use of the message boards for quite some time.  The other thing on the message boards that makes it so difficult, IMO, is the declassification of the members knowledge, experience, and ability.  Everyone is within one room like I said.  While that is fine for many, many really do not desire to teach gambling 101, every time they sign on to check for content, etc.  And those that are just coming on board, they have a ton of questions and little answers.  Fitting in is tough to do, in so many situations.  Couple that, with the bothersome 5 or 7 or 10 members almost all boards have, that are only present to stir the pot, cause trouble, show off, contribute nothing, challenge most everything with their expression of free speech, etc., and it brings down the overall good purpose and great melting pot that most of us really do desire.

The question that I will close with is: In the next few years, will trusted methods emerge to block false narratives and allow the most accurate information to prevail in the overall information on message boards? Or will the quality and veracity of information online deteriorate due to the spread of unreliable, sometimes even dangerous, socially bias and outright lies because of those peddling their commercial endeavors as well as those that have no other purpose except to cause disruption?

In classrooms, seminars and workshops of the conventional and classical kinds, we do not have to endure the anonymity of everyone refusing to divulge who they are or where they live or why they are present.  As well, the class does not have to tolerate the aggressive class clown, the 2 or 3 with their disruptive and annoying behavior, as they will be dealt with immediately in most all cases.  Finally, the class as a whole or at least the majority of it, will be able to actually apply themselves and gain back what they generally put forth.

And that my friend is old-school learning, gaining knowledge and experience from others to mold-shape and form for your own advantage!

Bringing it to the table......

In today"s world of automation, technology and "instant most everything', we are programmed or are programming ourselves, that the computer is correct.  But I am sorry.  Not that way with baccarat.  At times it might seem that way, but that would only be adding fuel onto a fire-type of outcome the majority of the times.

Today, more so than yesterday, the game has changed.  I contribute the changing of it to social beliefs and belief in computer generated modeling, etc.  Same as reading and attempting to learn about the game or expand one's knowledge about it.  So many will say; What is the point? What is the factual trigger?  What is the answer with definitive scheduling, etc., etc., and so on?

But really, most everyone has no time to study, read detailed articles, observe, experience, intern and perfect their game.  Only run the model and believe in whatever the outcome that is deduced down to a short play section spread out into the proverbial long-run by yet another computer module.

The difference comes forth in the way each of us wager and how we view exactly what the results brought us.  No matter what you believe in, no matter how you apply your buy-in or winnings and no matter what your stop-loss may or may not be; we will all have very different and unique triggers that are self-generated for one reason or another.

The 3 Terribles:

First Thing.  There is true belief from experience, proper application of buy-in and bankroll, and what each of us feels a profit should be or could be.  Second Thing.  There is the influence of what others/another is doing.  And that my friend, is powerful-extremely powerful in countless ways.  Be totally conscious of that very thing and use it or avoid it.  It is dangerous as it has the 'power' and tendency to charge a very well thought out, researched and refined wagering plan for anyone of us.  And the Third Thing, would be experimentation. Yes, to experiment and have our 'frame of minds' altered, etc.  Again, Be Careful!

And nothing works, works and works and keeps working.  Period.  Now, if you really desire to profit and profit nicely, you will need to concentrate on Consciousness, Sections & Turning Points, Level & Plateaus and Money Management Methods, which you have or should have developed by now.

You cannot always find what is happening at a baccarat table, jump in and profit.  That is the largest and most abused and destructive belief that countless people assume can always be done.  But it is there and it remains there.  Probably always will, because it makes for great copy and salesmanship to go along with people selling the things they try to in this field.   

Also, what is totally misunderstood IMO is, 'Risk Capital' or 'Buy-In' money.  Exactly what the two words mean at face value?  Risk, (a change of loss) and Capital (the amount of money you are willing to put up or are putting up).  Simple as that. But most people writing on the internet swear up and down as to how they employ stop loss and win stop to preserve their buy-in, which again, IMO will only hamper their chances of winning and hurt them, far greater than it could ever help them.

My own play is governed by the results of the presentments I am experiencing.  Not my desires, goals, possibilities or greed.  Sure, at times there are some overwhelming, 'door knockers'....  However, that is where the experience should come right back in and be present, known and overwhelming to yourself.  I have certainly found that setting whatever goal, is not the way that will produce the best wins.  Because we tend to rationalize out what should, what will, what must or what might happen.  Certainly, none of those have to come about while you are there playing.  But we justify our decisions and choices and only add huge amounts of frustration and complication to our instant decision-making process we are currently experiencing and practicing.

So, be conscious that you cannot work all 3 angles that baccarat does have, will seem right for the easy picking, as they say.  One, following your own protocols, beliefs and schedules.  Two, someone on a heater and following them, or someone on a losing streak and your desire to wager against them to capitalize, etc.  And three, experimentation and your own belief to convince yourself how stupid the casino is and how easy it is to finally get on the winning side and no one else can understand it all except for yourself.     

However, there are 7 things that will move you forward and allow yourself to play with advantages.

1)     Understanding and remaining fully conscious without getting sucked in, following, believing in and falling prey to others at the table or on the internet keeping yourself in absolute neutral reality enabling you to see more presentments in a clearer vision;

2)     Use Sections & Turning Points (to govern your wagering progressions and intensity);

3)     Be aware of your very own Levels & Plateaus (keeping on the edge of your seat for comfort and control, stopping points and toning it down or up after wins);

4)     Employing a Money Management Method including: Allocating wins into 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd amounts; Positive Progressions; and 1 + 4 Side Parlays;

5)     Replenishing & Cancelling your Buy-In;

6)     Refusing to engage in additional Buy-Ins to continue a session;

7)     What Risk-Capital actually is and changing your frame-of-mind from buy-in to risk capital.

1)  Streaks;

2)  Doubles or Triples;

AND

3)  Chop-Chops.

There is nothing else, IMO. (That is referring to Banker and Player sides only in Mini or Midi Bac only, not Bad Beat Bac with some great side bets that can be extremely profitable under the right circumstances, but that is a whole other story in itself.)

Almost all lose their money playing because of their own mentality and greed.  Not much else really, although they will blame it on anything and everything else. 

A person cannot play to win all three.  It is impossible.  Say what you want, degrade, humiliate and chastise. But there is no way to capitalize with a mechanical system on all three. 

Streaks continue, doubles or triples are limited continuance and chops, will alternate.  Your mind, emotions and pocket are effected when you lose as well as win, losses happen and compound themselves each and every session. 

The other night there was 6 of us or so.  We picked and all agreed on 2 triggers within certain Sections that continually were presenting themselves.  We played them, they continued, we pumped it up when those came around and we did extremely well.  We played a few other things just to keep us in the game, warmed up and ready, lets say.  We toned it way down on the desires, the greed and the stupid mistake of attempt to change the shoe for something we thought would happen.

Paramount, is knowing and staying fully conscious of both your Level and your individual Plateau.  Again, paramount!

Kind of the same as knowing how to golf, having the equipment, playing and applying it all and getting in a get game versus knowing it all and playing stupid and falling prey to all the surrounding distractions and things we just knew we should not have engaged in--but did anyway.  No different.   

Pretty much what happened last night.  I posted this with a bit more a few months ago, but it sure fits last night.  Here:

Belief in Something.  Influenced.  Visual Factors.

Here, let me spell something out.  If you believe something even if not scientific, mathematical or historically discovered, proven and absolutely correct, is it wrong?  What I mean is, can you have something you do that is correct and proper for yourself in your situation or circumstances?  And have that work positive for you and for what purpose you created it or found it?

Reality will supersede in factual results.  Always will, it must.  Does not matter what you are doing, the factual results will cancel, accept or discount whatever you introduce along the way, at the end.  Do we agree?

Problem is, almost all of us do not really think at the table when we are playing baccarat.  We really do not.  We get sucked in and we get sucked in big time.  Sure, you can read this and shrug your shoulders and say, Glen you do, I do not.  But hey, we both know that is wrong.

Just about all of us have two ways to play this game. One is in our heads, on paper, on the computer and everywhere else except the live brick and mortar event itself.  The other, is the brick and mortar event.  Lots of things happen when we get to the casino.  And the sad part of it all, they happen without any of us doing anything.  We are oblivious to them and we chase everything and pursue every avenue except ourselves to control, govern and take charge of ourselves in the proper way at the casino.  Again, shrug your shoulders and say I have no idea what I am talking about, but I do and I do 100 percent for about 98 to 99 percent of everyone.

Most of what really does happen at a casino is the person is influenced from the effects of the visual factors. The visual factors present themselves in varying ways to the different people there.  The influencing manipulates in varying stages and degrees as well.  But the bottom line is, it happens, and it happens repeatedly throughout the session(s) to the people.  Because the people are in a situation, they believe they belong in, are comfortable in and will prevail, their understanding of that same situation is not being addressed or understood.  And that is where the problem lies and develops and preys upon the people that gamble at the game of baccarat.

The Most Dangerous Thing at Baccarat.

What is the most dangerous thing, the most powerful thing and the thing that causes wrongful beliefs, dangerous influences and life changing factors within hours?  It is money.  The same as it does in businesses and families.  Just in those two it takes a much longer time to come to fruition. 
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Now, what happened at the bac table with Me, H-Money, another board member and the a few other players.  Here is how we were thinking the last shoe where we made the cash.  I will use H-Moneys wagering during the last shoe as an example. 

Last shoe buy-in was $1,200.00.  $90.00 win first wager.  $90.00 loss second wager.  $90.00 loss third wager.  And a $90.00 win for his fourth wager.  We took him aside and chastised him pretty good.  He was back to the flat wagering and the scared wagering style very clearly showing once again.  We talked to him and he agreed.  We repeatedly told him, forget the past, forget the earlier shoes even though they were pretty good for us all.  Play this shoe like it is brand new session, the last and tomorrow there is no more Bac to make up or continue, etc., etc. 

The next time he wagers, he throws out there $400.00 and he wins.  We make him stack it up and he wagers $800.00 the next time and he wins that one also.  If I am calculating it correct, he is up $1,200.00 on the shoe win money now and has his entire buy-in as even money. 

His next wager was $500.00 on the Bead Plate line that was forming all Players tot he right and it was the only strong and true entire line so far, 4 going on 5 columns.  It was a tie and it was a natural 9 tie.  H-Money pulls his wager down and we all left ours right where they were at, on the Players side.  When it is strong it is strong.  We DO NOT attempt to change or engage in the cut for sake of second guessing the presentment that are happening.  Huge mistake guys, HUGE!

H-Money throws up $600.00 on the Player side and announces he is following us, LOL--Camaraderie once again.  My style in many ways.  But most of all, when it is working, why fix it?  That is when all the fallacy, voodoo, superstition, etc., etc., comes about.   Anyway, one the Players side, a natural 8 is turned over and wins the hand.  H-Money is the first to parlay the $600.00 win he just got and went for a $1,200.00 hand.  Yes, he won that one also, and now he has his buy-in still even and is up a total of $3,000.00.

The same line on the Bead Plate comes around once again, H-Money puts $1,500.00 up on the wager and it wins with a Players 7 over the Bankers 6.  He stacks it up once again a few hands later, the first row shy of the next Bead Plate for that 5 line down, 5 hands later.  He/We all wins that one also.  Now H-Money is up a total of $7,500.00 and of course his buy-in is back in his pocket and off limits. 

We are all sitting up in profits and this is our final few hands we all agreed on.  Hard as heck to leave and walk away but we all know what will eventually happen when it turns, and it always will.  Always. 

The next upcoming hand we agreed upon H-Money wagers $1,200.00 and the rest us, some greater and a couple less.  We all lose.  H-Money pointed out that he was up a clear total of, $7,500.00 and removed $2,500.00 from that for risk capital as we pointed out.  The 1/3rd I always write about and drummed into his head.  His buy-in away and he is continuing with 1/3rd of the casinos money and 2/3rds locked up, and we would enforce he leaves with that if the $2,500.00 got lost back to the casino. 

We wait out a few hands, get some free hand presentments and we are once again back to that upcoming all Player line on the Bead Plate.  H-Money puts up $1,300.00 on that upcoming line for another continuing Player win.  We all follow of course.  The win comes and H-Money goes with a parlay of it, once again.  He has his $2,000.00 wager up on the next hand for another Player win, not for the reason that one was just produced, but for the reason of equaling out, which the shoe was also doing to a 'T' in reality.  Fallacy not to even be considered, just purely following what the majority of the wins are when nothing else was present.  We are only wagering about 2 or 3 hands out of every 10 anyway.

We all agree, mostly anyway, that the upcoming hand will be our last.  4 out of the 6 of us are profiting 5 to 10 fold our buy-ins and the other 2 of us, are a bit less up, but up none the less.  H-Money is wagering $2,000.00 on the upcoming hand and we are all there as well.  We do pull it off and win it.  H-Money and one other demands to keep playing, the rest of us convince them to leave.  We all head to the cashier.  H-Money is cashing at $10,200.00 and says he will take the $200.00 and go back and wager 8 times, $25.00 a time on the Fortune 7 only.  Which is table min anyway, wagering amount.  We laugh.  We all cash out and we all head back to the Bac room.

H-Money buys back in with the $200.00 and tells the dealer what he wants to do.  The dealer tells him to cover both sides since no one else is playing or just wager a quarter on the B or P and let it fly.  H-Money really wants to play, we can tell.  We convince him not to and he buys in with another hundred for 4 quarters to put one on each side for the cards to be dealt.  He tries to get us all to buy-in, no one wants to, the hype is over with us.  H-Money has a quarter on each the B and the P and one on the F-7 as well.  The first 3 hands he is all set up for the F-7 and the third card is one point off each time from him winning $1,000.00 on it.  All 8 hands go by and he losses the $200.00 side money and his $100.00 is sitting there even.

I pick up his chips and tell him, FINISHED, lets go.  Cash out the $100.00 and buy dinner elsewhere.  H-Money is like, lets get a comp and eat here.  We all say no.  H-Money is getting that look.  I go to the cashier, get the $100.00 and walk out.  DONE.  We get to the restaurant and we have our post comment session and reinforce everything I tried to outline here about money management method and using reality as a guideline, rather than what you think or have experience with, you know that thing called, "what it should be".

Wise up guys, realize when it is there to capitalize on it and hold it.  Revert back to each of our common and well familiar with, 'Levels and Plateaus' that each belong to us individually.  Stop the fantasies and the grand illusions of what you think you can do each and every time. 

Not bad layout, a bit small but quaint.  Waiting for it to open later tonight. Several players getting together for some camaraderie. 

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Happy Thanksgiving and best wishes always for all!  Alrelax.

So classic. Yet few of the newer players would follow anything.  They all always desire the 'Cut' or the Banker only.  Then they all expect it to never stop or come back. Sorry, Bac is not that way and never will be. 

But here is one shoe that did the classic and all familiar equaling out, that few will ever capitalize on.  I love to use the equaling out as a trigger when it begins to work.

There were about 12 more hands in the shoe but all chops and doubles.  Equaled out and stayed there.  Also, NOTE the low ties as I have repeatedly said!

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Stop the 'Cut' thinking every bet!  Why not wager with the shoe instead of against it most of the time?  Why believe all the hype and all the stats from computer models and tests that do not prove what will happen when you sit down with real money at a real casino?

This was a super moneymaking shoe for about 3 people at the table, the rest of them lost all their chips, re-buy ins and everything they brought wager for the Banker with negative progressions, etc. 

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We just got done with a shoe having 48 Bankers and 24 players with 6 Fortune Sevens and Three Pandas 8s and also three 3 card 8/9s anyway for 200 to 1.  Also at least 9 anyway natural8/9s.  Monster shoe, I got the picture of it I'll try to post it tomorrow or the next day we have a few hour drive home.

H money won a ton of money finally!   We all did pretty good!!

IMO, this is one of the greatest in so many ways!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJZ-BHBKyos

Yes, I know there are advantages that lurks there.  Just one of many, of course. 

The one I am making reference to is, what I call the Equaling Out, One More, Cut & Back. 

I have particular noticed this easier between hands 35-55 or so.  When it is equaling out or bouncing back and forth.  I have defined Sections & Turning Points that are defined by hand numbers rather then events.  3 to 5 a shoe as a norm.  But, within those there are the Equaling Out, One More, Cut & Back, that pretty much happens more than it does not.

What I am defining is something along the following.  PP-B-P-BBB-PPP-B-P-BB-PPP-BB-P-B-PPP-BB-PP-BBB-P-B-P-BBBB-P

With the shoe presentment that far, it is pretty much equaling out in both repeating Bs and Ps as well as total numbers.  Then say all of a sudden those last 7 Bankers, the three in a row and the single Banker and the last three in a row repeating were all strong presentments either naturals or the third card increased the Bankers hands to 8 or 9 and the Players hand presentments were all weak or at least much weaker than the Bankers.

I know many of you will discount this as reading into the presentments with fruitless meaning but I found what I am trying to define as a regular and repetitive occurrence more than not happening at all.  And, with that said, at the point I left off with the 37 hands above, the Banker I favor for the 4th repeat and breaking its previous trend of only 3s.  Then immediately back to the Players for the 1st Player win after the 4th banker.  Those 2 wagers I extremely favor and I have found would prevail more than miss.

While I am not one to get off of a streak, a 4th to me is no way indicative of a streak or a run, which to me is 7 or more anyway.

The same for those along the lines of: B-P-B-P-B-PP-B-P-B-P-BBB-P or something along the lines of: BBB-P-BBB-P-BBB-PP-BB-PPP-B-PPPP-B

So, what I am trying to define and bring out is, Equaling Out, 1 More or 1 Extra occurrence and then the Cut for the next upcoming hand. 

The RED Bs or Ps would be the hands I am referring to.

How Baccarat Came To Vegas......

Within a post on an internet site--someone touched upon the game of Baccarat coming to Vegas from Cuba to the Sands Casino and Resort.  Well true and as the say-"Here's the rest of the story"........

I remember reading about that in the book, 'Fly on the Wall' by Dick Odessky.  Great book on history of Vegas and pretty easy reading for most.  Highly recommend it.  (however, there is no game strategy and systems to beat all the games so you might not be interested!)

Credit for the following to the author as cited above.

....."Baccarat and its direct ancestor Chemin de fer were unknown in Las Vegas until 1953, when a Broadway actress made her nightclub debut at the Sands Hotel shortly after it opened.  A world traveler and gambler who'd fallen in love with baccarat in European casinos, Tallulah Bankhead was upset when she couldn't find the game offered anywhere in Las Vegas.

Between and after her shows at the Sands, she'd usually walk next door to Luigi's Restaurant to relax,  There was only problem: Luigi's had no casino.  Tallulah continuously badgered Luigi to open a few tables at which she could play--especially a baccarat table.

When Talullah was angry, the world knew about it.  Her voice could be best described as a loud rusty foghorn.  Luigi and his family determined that it would be easier to bring the game and go into the gambling business than to offend the first lady of Broadway and her many friends, who had also become excellent customers.  Back then, about all it took to get a gambling license was filling out some forms and presenting a couple of people in town who would vouch for your honesty.

Thus, when Talullah returned for her repeat appearance at the Sands later in the year, a baccarat table had been installed in Luigi's lounge area.  True to her word, Talulluh played there, at very high stakes, every night.  Her fans and admires took to the game as well.

One of Bankhead's closest friends was actress Marlene Dietrich, who lived in Beverly Hill's and came to Las Vegas during Bankhead's appearances. (She eventually signed her own contract to headline in the resort showrooms.)  Dietrich, too, was a baccarat player.  Both women were at the height of their fame and Luigi's suddenly became the favorite watering hole for many high rollers, who enjoyed being in the company of the two famous actresses.

The Sands, whose bodies were always alert for an emerging high-roller trend, opened its own baccarat table.  As operators of the first casino to deal the game, the bosses forever patted themselves on the back for "discovering" it.".......................

And that my friends, is the rest of the story!

The 6 things a great baccarat player absolutely must subscribe to!

ABC's/1-2-3s of Skills

A-#1)    Leaving Stuck/Stop Loss. Simply the hardest to do and yet, just about all the magical systems people and other general authors and gaming experts highly recommend it.  And others will swear up and down you do not have to leave stuck or losing money by following a system of one type or another.  Whatever it is, here is what the real and professional baccarat player will enlist as his Number 1 protocol in skill.  Losing a buy-in, if the buy-in was the actual total amount the player brought to risk for his session, if lost-he stops. How much the player buys in with is highly dependent and greatly independent upon his bank roll and financial situation, etc.  But all in all, the baccarat player must risk a certain buy-in.  If it happens, it happens.  If he does not win with that buy-in, it generally will not happen even with continued buy-ins.  A fallacy so many fall victim to is, wager a negative progression until you are even then stop without losing.  That is truly a casinos dream and a players nightmare.  Do not do it.  Do not even read material that suggest to do anything along those lines.  You will hurt yourself and find yourself without any reasonable thought once it happens each time.   Here, let me put it in terms easier to grasp.  Say you lost your longtime girlfriend or wife (and you were madly in love with her--by the way) to some other guy.  You bumped into his girlfriend or wife that just dumped him because she found out he was cheating with yours.  So, you thought what would be good for the goose is great for the gander as well.  A few months later you find out your 'new' girl is diagnosed with full blown AIDS and your blood test proved positive as well.   

B-#2)    Stealing A Situation. When the shoe formations are strong or weak and the timing is spot-on, you are capitalizing on the bet placements you are wagering.  Forget everything else, continue the capitalization and the wagering with the largest, pounce on it type of positive progressions. Remember the limited sections and shoes that any kind of situation can be present, or you will NOT be able to identify such and be able to wager on same.  Steal the situation with every ounce of energy and motivation you can physically present and then revert when it is over.  Do not attempt the furtherance of what just happened to your good fortune in any way, shape or form of wagering as you just did.

C-#3)    Wagering Less/Gearing Yourself Down. Playing at a certain level, especially trying to recoup or force yourself to win is wrong, deadly and a skill not to employ under almost any situation or condition.  Extremely hard but with conscious thought, you should be able to avoid it.  And if you can, you must!  A real good baccarat player recognizes the great shoes and the horrible ones also.  He also knows that so many shoes will be a combination of both of those with an added twist of nothing can really be wagered on and those are the ones you normally lose 8-10 out of every 10 wagers you make.  Understand?   If you want to wait for the great shoes and you have to sit there and learn how to play less and gear yourself down.  Jumping from table to table is most everyone's answer to their dreams in baccarat.  All that normally does is create confusion, clouded thought, incomplete pictures and less than optimal knowledge of the shoe already in play.  And that is exactly why most all casinos, at least the ones I know of, have no problem with you jumping from table to table.

ABC's/1-2-3s of Avoidance

A-#1)    Progressions/Increasing & Marty's to recoup lost wagers. Attempting catch-up will almost certainly always fail.  You are failing for a reason prior to the negative progression and Marty's, etc.  And merely throwing greater amounts out for your wager will not and cannot correct what is actually the problem.  Nearly 100% of the time the problem is with everything you are feeling and doing, rather than your actual bet placement process.  It is two different areas, you have to have the first one clear and spot on, which is the process that involves everything except the actual wagering.  Then the second process the first one will get you to, is the bet placement selection.

B-#2)    Playing After Substantial Wins. Super dangerous, period.  Most will think that all the energy and motivation and financial sources just won, would give themselves the power to win more.  It does not and more often than continued success, failure sets in and sets in real fast.  A certain way to lose all your winnings, as well as your buy in and risk funds you are holding, is to continue to play in the same state of mind your substantial win has moved your brain and heart into.  Winning effects the highest majority of baccarat players in a negative way and clouds their intelligence and their decision-making thought process incredibly.  You must develop a system that will allow you to hold certain amounts of your win funds without the risk of losing them back.  You must develop a multi-stages effort that is tangible and conscious within your thought.  Or, you will give back all your winnings, your buy in and other funds when your regression to the non-substantial win stage sets in.  And coloring up some chips and sticking some purples, yellows, oranges, flags or chocolates in your pocket, is not going to do it either--that does not work.

C-#3)    Forget Everything (Statistical and Personal). You have to learn to sit down and play at the baccarat table with an absolute clear, unaffected mind, no thoughts or concerns of anything outside of the table you are at, along with a refusal to rely and base what is happening, happened or what you want to happen and wager on---from your previous playing experiences and shoes, anywhere at any time.  You have to learn that the shoe you are gambling at, has no dependency or connection to any statistical or other tangible or intangible research or thought, anywhere, anyplace, any way, shape or form.  You have to view the shoe you are playing in relation to the formation and what is being presented in a suspended state, by itself and as virgin and without any history as a new born baby.

Most Bac players on-line and in the forums, have no idea of the power of the B&M and camaraderie.  They are just used to the grind and the small stop loss and the small stop win, attempting the trivial profit that almost always gets ground down to a negative total because they are convinced of the profitability by that proverbial and no where grind method.

Anyway, this photo I took was posted a while back.  The power of POUNCING ON IT is very real and anything and everything happens in Bac. 

Best way to play it is when you have the casinos money and you are wagering with money that does not effect your buy in or bank roll.

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You know, Bac is full of more 'off-the wall', and more 'should not happens', or more 'that was not supposed to happen', etc., etc., trends and patterns than those that are 100% or easily predicable.  And, that is why so many people lose at Bac.

That late streak of 10 Bankers was a GIVE-ME for those players that truly pounce on something.  I recall something along the lines of it starting off like this.  A Natural for the Bankers, then 2 Natural Ties and everyone is saying, how the players side will catch up and equal out or start to dominate, etc. 

Then another Banker.  Most all people are going for the cut, after all the mentality is always 2 or 3 and cut back.  Then back to back Fortune 7s!  Then another tie.  Then 3 natural Bankers back to back and 2 more Banks and yet another Fortune 7. 

You know, I browsed a few other gambling forum message boards early this morning.  Comical, super comical.  The fighting, the insults, the come backs and the few (FEW) intelligent and real members of each that attempt to share and communicate.  Seems like the majority of each are there for drama, insulting, fighting, arguing, and belittling each other.  Why on a gambling board?  The other boards have huge audiences and countless engage like a Civil War all day against each other.

I deduced down why on gambling boards these types continue to exist.  because there is not much resistance or challenge to them on the smaller boards.  They feel as through they have the number spot, limelight, spotlight, etc., etc.  They prop themselves up and feel mighty.  That is the only true reasoning it could be. 

When you explore further into it, you will see those types I mentioned, their postings and threads are next to no value at all, at least in my opinion. 

And then there are the others that split their postings, devotions and time on the boards with a great deal of each.  Something was posted on another board and it is so spot on, so accurate, so brutally honest and pure, I will quote it.

"That is, You can see it in politics and celebrities all the time.
If you cannot produce anything of value on your own because you are not capable of doing it -
your other option is to attack the leader for attention. One way is through praise and another
is through attacks. These people just decide to attack in order to get attention.
A better way to become relevant is to actually post and help others - but when the best you can
pull from your purse is....." and then those types go on to post something about gambling which
would be along the lines of confusion and obscurity at best.

"You cared enough to post it originally - and you cared enough to reply to it.
And it was you who started it with your nonsense insult towards me.
Strange how that works right? I'm minding my own business, you attack me, I reply -
and now I'm a jerk. It's almost.... typical."

I still say and I have written it many many times.  Which is: You would not go into a Barnes & Noble, pick up a book, browse through it, find conflict, personal notes and passages by the author which you find conflicting to your own beliefs, theories or experiences and then proceed to the counter and chastise, belittle and humiliate the store personnel.  And certainly you would not get the authors contact information or the publishing house info, and go onto a rampage of writing emails and letters to them for the content and the authors beliefs as published.  You would not and do not.  But gambling boards, Oh heck, let us engage and go into drama, arguing and humiliation.  For those that do, your real side is exposed and whatever you claim is usually just the opposite in reality.  Reality is harsh to those and reality is never going away. 

Patriots-Giants Week 6 point spread is historic on multiple levels
By Darren Hartwell October 09, 2019 10:42 AM

"The New England Patriots will face stiff competition one day. But that day is not Thursday.

The Patriots opened at SuperBook USA as whopping 16.5-point favorites over the Giants in Week 6, which makes sense considering New York is on the road facing the best defense in the NFL and could be without Saquon Barkley, Wayne Gallman, Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram.

That's the fourth time this season New England has opened as a double-digit favorite. But this spread is particularly notable, for two reasons.

First, it's the biggest point spread of any NFL game played on a Thursday, according to Pro Football Reference. Ironically, the previous record also was held by the Giants, who were 15-point underdogs to the Dallas Cowboys in 1992.

As only one team favored by 14 points or more in a Thursday game failed to cover. Patriots-Giants match up features a hilarious prop bet
Here's part two: The Giants will be the biggest underdogs in franchise history Thursday night against the Patriots, as they've never been more than 15.5-point underdogs, per Pro Football Reference.

New York has covered its massive spread six times in 10 instances when it's a 13-point underdog or greater.

Bill Belichick and the Patriots will tell you they're not taking the Giants lightly. But considering New England has won four of its five games by at least 16 points, there's a good chance we see another blowout at Gillette Stadium."

Okay, with the above article read and digested, please read.  First of all, I HAD NO MONEY on the game.  I gave up wagering on college football back around 2001 and Pro football in the mid to later 2000's.  I track a few games of the teams I like, Jets, Eagles and Vikings as well as those I despise, such as the Patriots and Packers and a few others. 

But my friend, who has a family member that helps me tremendously at my restaurant, was all hyped and convinced his payday was the Giants and the Patriots game the other night.  In fact, I do not like The Giants because The Jets are my New York team and I absolutely despise The Patriots.  Although, year after year after year, the Patriots pull off amazing stuff!  Beyond comprehension most times.  I was very tempted to put a large sum on The Patriots, but to me that would have been like wagering on the 10th or the 11th repeating hand of a Banker streak at Baccarat and the Player returns a natural 8 to the Bankers 7 or the Players returned a natural 9 to the Bankers natural 8.  Anyway, the guy mentioned comes in my restaurant all hyped and telling me and another he put down $20K on The Giants and his reasoning. 

Some of that had to do with the historic research and rationalization mostly about the part:  "New York has covered its massive spread six times in 10 instances when it's a 13-point underdog or greater."

But you know what and what sticks in mind with me.  1)  "The New England Patriots will face stiff competition one day. But that day is not Thursday".  And 2) New York was on the road and simply facing the absolute best defense in the NFL.  Done deal.  Finished.

But the guy is saying for hours in my place, "New York has always covered and New York is really a decent team".  On and on and on and on.  Say it all and convince yourself, go right ahead, just like at the Baccarat table.  Convince yourself this or that has to happen or should or has to come out because of such and such.  Happens every single night, every night!  Just like when there is a 9 or 13 or 15 hand Player Streak.  How most all people will verbally say, cannot continue, Banker has to come back or Banker will start equaling out, etc., etc., etc. 

GIANTS 2-4 and PATRIOTS 6-0.  With the points, some betters even got up to 18 points.  All the stats and all the history means nothing, ZIP! 

You know, I am remembering back to January 2018, when the Vikings went to the Eagles for the Do or Die game.  Vikings win, go to Superbowl, Eagles win, go to Superbowl.  And do not forget, Minnesota built the brand new arena and the Superbowl was scheduled to be there.  Home team, Home stadium at the Superbowl.  WOW, Boy O Boy, what a field day for the Vegas Books and other Books regarding that.  There was no way and virtually impossible for a team like the Vikings to beat the Eagles in a Do or Die Game on the road.  And then the Books make out the Vikings to be the favorite.  LOL, ROMAFL, huge!  All the talk and all the reasoning's how the Vikings will win.  Same of course with the Eagles.  I love both teams, but in my heart,  I knew the Vikings on the road to Phila would never ever survive.  Never.  The Vikings are submissive and girls on the road, especially in an outdoor stadium and in the Winter.  Period. 

You know that game was even more of a hype than the Pats and the Giants the other night.  But the Las Vegas books manipulated the public betting people at large and they cleaned house with all capitals letters, CLEANED HOUSE.  The books pulled a shrewd one, O Boy O Boy did they.  Here is a quote,"The Philadelphia Eagles' success as rare home playoff underdogs last weekend hardly impressed Las Vegas bookmakers, who promptly made the Minnesota Vikings 3-point favorites over the Eagles in the NFC championship game Sunday in Philadelphia."   And the wind up was, "The Eagles then went on to win the Super Bowl in Minnesota's brand new stadium and they had to deal with partying Eagles fans all over again".

On the way into the Baccarat Room the person I was with wanted to try a few hundred in the machine with roulette.  As in Bac, when it comes it is there for a short period of time.  I took a quick snap shot of the previous 15 spin results or so on the left side of the screen. 

5 Blacks
1 Red
4 Blacks
1 Red
5 Blacks
1 Red

Then it did the same thing.  Another 5 Blacks came out.  My buddy was betting $50.00 to $200.00 on Black every time.  When the Red came out he switched to Red.  I told him, stick on Black, ride it.  He stuck on Red each time and lost like 2 more wagering for the Red each time, then switches back to Black.  He could have won 15 with the 1 Red loss each time.  But he won like 5 instead!!!  That was it!

Man O Man!  He was completely convinced that it had to switch back to Red as there were too many Blacks with only single Reds appearing.

Okay, whatever.  Same at the Bac table, too many players or bankers so lets all wager for the cut, etc.! 

Again I say, wager with whatever it is doing, STOP trying to change the pattern or trend.  When it is there, it is there, PERIOD!

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Love all you people!

No matter if you post, if you don't post, if you if you stalk, if you watch, if you read out of curiosity, whatever you do, I love you guys deep down inside!

You guys are the best no matter what!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WVhbgoe854

Here are 3 shoes from around midnight and into the early AM hours.  Shoes were full table and long, very long, at least 2.5 hours each.  Myself, H-Money and another friend Laping, playing together.  We started some overpowering the shoe tactics, but was not quite where I wanted the action to be.  But so many faces in awe, again--the majority of the people play for CUT these days as well as what they desire, not what the shoe is producing.  But some PLAYER-SIDE heavy action. 

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3 F-7s came out.  Love that first one in Hands 1-10!  LOVE IT!  Players dominant at the end, huge!  Most every hand was a Bad Beat Bonus win or where the Players side drew a 3rd card for the stop and win or additional points up to 8 or 9.  So obvious, had to jump on it!  I have been talking about this and bringing out, follow it, it works just fine!

You are what you are, the same as myself. 

The only mistake I made on any board was the 'Saturday Night Live' type of skits converted into the written words/posts I had made regarding systems, other members and such.

The rest of just about everything I ever posted, deleted and re-posted, has been my experiences, downright real, justified if needed and absolutely the truth or what I believed to the last word.  Not, words of hate and spite and words that attempted to demolish or put someone's light's out, so to say. But others that are drama driven and pretty much full-time internet types, certainly roll with it all and use what I have said or said in pun to boast themselves and pass themselves off as multi interracial and savior to any and all people.   

Problem is, so many are exclusively inhibited and as well--introverted on here.  They picture just about everyone else the same or just below themselves with little to no imagination, experience or optimism.  All of course, IMO.

I thought for a while--we were about on the same level, play--experience wise that is.  But you did (again IMO) go a tad bit too far with the medical, personal and professional valuations regarding myself.  Why?  I can't really say.  Maybe I was just there. 

I seriously have been through some pretty tumultuous times and experiences in my life from being affiliated through marriage with NYC Asian Triads to all out criminal activity regarding adult businesses and financially related activity and businesses, to non-gambling and non-criminal professions that were just nasty-dirty and extremely difficult years with the history of them, etc. 

I generally (unless pun is intended or some other form of humor) tell the truth with explicit and redundant tenacity on here.  Yes, I have been on other boards and self-banned myself or been banned for generally not caring one bit about what they stand for and got in some two bit 'back alley' fight with some internet troll.  Like I did on the other forum I last told the Admin to ban myself.  I just got that NYC 'don't give a F*** attitude when I take a stand for something', etc., etc. 

As far as accepting or not accepting an apology of the type you made, I honestly see no reason to have even brought up what you did.  You have nothing to prove here the same as myself, although I have tried at times, why---I could not answer except to say, I write the honest and unforgiving truth. 

There is a way to gamble and there certainly are many ways not to gamble.  The same as writing on the board here or anywhere else.

Just because someone gambles differently than myself does not make him or her inferior or superior to myself or anyone else for that matter.  Likewise, the way others write and what they write about or belief in, the exact same would have to hold true as well.  If we were all the same, this world would really suck a heck of a lot more than it already does.  And, you and your few buddies that ganged up together, certainly write and dictate one-sided non verifiable experiences and dialog a heck of a lot more than I have or ever have done.  So be it.  Truth like that is hard to defend and show, it just lies there and is interpreted by those that read. 

The bottom line?  And many will not like it, some will take it and twist and turn it and use it against me, others might realize something from it and begin their own journey into finally realizing how to win and stop.  But here it is.  You cannot race bicycles without knowing how to ride one in the first place.  You cannot swim in competition without knowing how to swim in the first place.  You cannot race a car without knowing how to drive one in the first place.  You cannot be a novelist without having basic skills in writing, reading, organizational and researching skills in the first place.  You cannot be successful in gambling without having experienced losses and wins in the first place.

It is the realization and the comprehension of the proper skills and protocols that will allow you to take advantage of what casino games present.  Meaning, how to actually recognize risk, manage it and at the same time, the ability to cash out and be comfortable at your levels and plateaus that govern your casino time and play. 

Wishing you the best as I always have.  Although at your own admission your previous apology to myself was a lie and a piece of made up drama, mine is not.

Maybe one day you will realize...Alrelax/Glen.

Atlantic City.  I remember it well.  A good basic story.  Enjoy!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0EQk5Inz2c

Dedicated to "The Gambler".   Mr. Terrance Watanabe

Like NIKE says, "Just Do IT!".

Terrance Watanabe (born 1962) is an American born Japanese businessman who inherited Oriental Trading Company, a direct merchant of value-priced party supplies, arts and crafts, toys and novelties and school supplies founded by his father Harry Watanabe. Terrance was known for the large amounts of money he wagered at Las Vegas casinos.

Business background

In 1977, Terry Watanabe became president and part owner of Oriental Trading Company shifting the focus from carnivals to supplying party goods for churches, schools, retailers, and individuals.  In 2000, Watanabe sold his entire stake in the company to Los Angeles-based private equity firm Brentwood Associates, and resigned as CEO and President. He became a philanthropist, but subsequently lost most of his fortune gambling in Las Vegas.

Gambling habits

After selling his company, Watanabe became known for his lavish gambling habits. In 2007, he was reported to have lost $127 million at Caesar's Palace and The Rio in Las Vegas after having gambled a total of $825 million. He was banned from Wynn Las Vegas for compulsive gambling. Watanabe is estimated to have lost approximately $204 million.

Caesars Entertainment Corporation was fined $225,000 by the New Jersey Gaming Commission for allowing Watanabe to continue gambling in a highly intoxicated state, though Watanabe's losses occurred in Las Vegas. Caesars alleges that Watanabe "was using marijuana and/or cocaine and made sexual advances toward employees". Caesars Rewards created a special tier for him known as "Chairman" which ranks above "Seven Stars". Watanabe received "tickets to the Rolling Stones, $12,500 a month for airfare and $500,000 in credit at the gift stores. Harrah's also offered 15% cash back on table losses greater than $500,000, special high-limit games and other incentives".

People like Terrance make the world go around and around!  Like the song says by Steelers Wheel, 'Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right'.  This is Terrance, the whale at the tables!

GREED.......GREED>>>>>GREED.......GREED>>>>>>GREED!


Poker's Greatest All-Time Whales: Terrance Watanabe:
https://www.pokerlistings.com/poker-s-all-time-greatest-whales-terrance-watanabe

Card Player Magazine Article New Jersey CCC fines Caesar?s Entertainment:
https://www.cardplayer.com/poker-news/15243-caesars-fined-225k-over-not-kicking-out-belligerent-high-roller-on-historic-losing-streak

The Wall Street Journal Article:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB125996714714577317

Winning, losing and pushing.  That is the only 3 things a player can do at the casino table.  There are no other outcomes.

The results that you experience at the table will not and cannot follow any sort of governed or stable distribution of presentments or results from the shoe.  Because the possibilities as we already established are far too great to narrow down to a certain section of 80 hands or a cumulative total of 160 or 320 or 640 or 5,000 hands, and so on, that will produce what we all are seeking, winning hands.  So many people will combat just that with their defense of Martingale or their application of any one of the numerous theorems or systems that they read about or believe in.

Seriously people, the only way to profit is to smack the casino real hard and outweigh your losses in the attempt to get to that point, each time or at least every 2, 3 or 4 times you attempt playing.  IMO, there is no other way.  Unlike paper, the computer, trials, running tests, etc., you have finite capital, period.  No two ways about it.  The casino does not.  (Here, let me give you copy & paste people something to post elsewhere.  You sit down at a computer to practice, no matter if that practice is with modeling and running theories or playing for no money in an on-line game like on the WoV website or something like 21Aces posted about with squeeze type practice, etc., etc.  You have unlimited capital and unlimited hands that will make you feel confident and great with huge advantages, but carry those moves over to a real casino and see how it goes and what happens to your finite capital.  No matter if that capital is $5,000.00 or $50,000.00 or $500,000.00.  Does not matter, you have finite capital, PERIOD!  On the internet with practice, modeling, running possible hands and all that stuff all the tutors, scholars and theorem people do to make their points, in the casino you DO NOT!) So, what you are doing is, you are accepting what you believe to be the truth and you convince yourself the best chance is following such and such.  However, the reality turns out to be the casino shoe presentments will be different and you cannot transpose what you learned or believe in, to the bac table at the casino. The fastest race car driver will not always win.  The best field goal kicker can not prevail doing the same thing in every game.  The best extreme mountain climber cannot apply the same protocols to every mountain he climbs.  Bac is no different, yet the scholars, the theorem experts and the computer wizards stick to their guns and put so much hogwash out there, they dilute what it really takes to realize what the bac shoe can really present and how to be on the right side of it.

Let's look at that, for just one paragraph here.  You have a certain amount of money to risk losing in order to win some.  Period.  So you have a very short period of time in order to accomplish that during each session.  No matter how much that figure is, it is limited.  The casino does not.  The casino has massive amounts of capital in chips and the cash within the premises by state law, ready to pay every chip displayed on the floor.  FYI, every chip on every table no matter if open or closed, the casino has the green cash within their vaults or the chips would not be on the tables.  So, you cannot out play them by repeated buy ins with additional money, thinking you will turn things around in your favor and turn their lights out.  As well, stamina, energy, focus, motivation, vision, and everything else along those lines are also working against you.  The casino rotates its dealers every 20 mins or so, not just to avoid collusion with players, but also for exactly the same reasons I just mentioned.  Sitting in either one or two spots for a period of several hours is hard both physically and mentality in so many ways, especially with the focusing and thought process.  Then when things go bad for a player, he believes taking a break is great, but his mind is convinced he will miss that section of presentments yet to come with his winning hands, etc.  That starts a mean cycle and a cycle that is not very good for the player, great for the casino though.

Then we have the fact what we have discussed in detail so many times.  A negative game with a negative expectation.  IMO and my proven experience, if you have the proper risk capital and mind-frame along with a governed buy in that is a partial amount of your bank roll, coupled with the knowledge and the experience to manage your winnings into numerous chances that benefit yourself rather than the casino, then you have a chance to play numerous sessions and win money. 

But, IMO you have to master a way to hold wins, perform positive progressions and parlays, yet be able to risk without emotion or distress while walking away losing your buy in which has to be a partial amount of your bank roll, without it effecting you to the point that you regret it and dwell upon the loss.

The myths and the fallacies that exist on the internet regarding baccarat as well as casino gambling are astronomical!  People become delusion to their own thoughts.  They provide themselves no advantage to make themselves a sequence of wagering selections which they really believe they have.  They actually afford themselves no advantage and they limit their options by doing just that.  That is the sad part, all that learning and researching only convinced themselves of numerous ways to beat the casino, when none actually exist.  Especially in mathematical and statistical adherence.  Period.

At this point so many will still believe and attempt to count the cards, keep track of the banker, the player, ties and other events the shoe produces.  Simply, if it worked like that, the casino would not offer cards, pens and the newer electronic scoreboards.  It does not, at least for the extreme upper 90% of the time you are there, if you employ it as a protocol for wagering or not wagering.  Will there be sections where the equaling out, or certain events happen because there was a deficiency of them prior to that?  Sure.  However, just as important and what becomes devastating, are the times and the sections that those very things were supposed to, or yet believed would come out and did not.  And, that my friend will happen a greater amount of times in the casino's favor, rather than the players advantage.  That is the reason why and the only reason why the casino provides you the equipment and the permission to track, score, calculate and take notes all you desire at the baccarat table.

So what is one to do?  You have to develop a unique boldness or an advantage in select wagering when the presentments of the shoe offer the chance to win hands that will allow yourself to outweigh your losses in the attempt to win money.  There is really a chance for the player, once you figure that out and forget about the wager for such and such, because so and so just happened, or did not happen, type of play.

No matter what creative or Holy Grail angle you think you found, you will not bring it to the baccarat table and repeatedly beat the casino at the game. No matter how perfect your counting is, no matter how perfect your data modeling and tracking methods become, no matter how perfect you can sense something, etc.  If you continue to wager on any one or several types of wagers because of your expectation, that the presentment will match any type of theorem or system schedule, you are dead wrong and will be on a continuous basis.  Simply because the numbers of possible outcomes have too many possibilities for anything stable or predictable to happen on a consistent basis, whether that is in one shoe or multiple shoes of baccarat.  That is, if you continue playing past your first time anyway.

You don't have to change yourself.  Or stop believing, or stop gambling, or stop questioning or stop applying yourself.  The whole trick to what will help you, is being totally conscious and putting yourself into a neutral state of playing, a natural state of focus, vision and mind frame.  Not even in the belief that a certain Bet Selection process will prevail over another.

It is about progressions, parlays and accumulating that amount each time or during a cumulative amount of times, that outweighs the variance, the house edge, your own default rate, etc., that you engage yourself in.  You have to figure out how each $100 you play with, will allow you to win after you lose a certain amount.  And IMO, experience and everything else combined, I found a certain way to be able to win at baccarat.  And that is to realize time, money, emotional, psychological and frame of mind all combined will determine how your decision making process allows you to accumulate and allocated your wins and how you manage the losses that will happen.  Those that think and believe everything I just mentioned does not apply to them, are just wasting their time being here anyway.

First Shoe up to where we stopped:

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Second shoe up to where we stopped:


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Third shoe up to where we stopped:

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And here is how we played them and sectioned them as the hands progressed.  Once again.  Sectioning is not a pre-thought and pre-scheduled procedure, you do it as the hands are presented and section off the events to eliminate the strong from the weak, seldom will the entire shoe (or at least the highest majority of time) stay the same.  Argue if you desire but it is true. 

I and those around me the majority of the time desire to play with the presentments rather than hoping for the cut on every hand wagered.  Do not misunderstand, if it is chopping or doubles, playing the opposite side is not a cut, it is playing with the shoe.  We win far greater amounts of wagers by following small sections and then waiting for the shoe to change and follow once again. 

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