Our members are dedicated to PASSION and PURPOSE without drama!

Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Topics - alrelax

#402
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-11/the-24-billion-online-casino-boom-china-is-struggling-to-halt

Bloomberg BusinessweekSign InSubscribe
The $24 Billion Online Casino Boom China Is Struggling to Halt
The Communist Party is hard-pressed to stop the spread of digital gambling in Asia.

It's 6:30 on a Monday morning in China, and the Guangdong Club online gambling platform is humming as a stream of wagers placed in Chinese yuan flows through the portal. The club, which lists its place of registration as Costa Rica, hosts operators offering hundreds of sessions for such popular games as baccarat and blackjack, lotteries, and sports betting, many of them in Chinese. A single baccarat table can draw betting volumes touching 75,000 yuan ($10,500) in a 30-second game.

This is gambling with a digital twist, and it allows Chinese to bet without traveling to Macau or Las Vegas. It's also a growing problem for China's Communist Party, which says, "the transactions are draining hundreds of millions of yuan from the country. Beijing views betting as a vice that fuels social unrest, and Chinese law prohibits gambling on the mainland" including online. But the anonymity the internet affords has Chinese bettors flocking to digital gaming halls. They're fueling growth in Asia's online gambling sector, which is expected to reach $24 billion in sales this year, according to market researcher Technavio.

Beijing has begun lobbying jurisdictions that permit online gambling, including the Philippines and Cambodia, to shut down the industry, an ambition made more urgent as China's economy slows and it grapples with an escalating trade war with the U.S. Yet stopping the businesses is proving difficult, because there is little incentive for these countries to hamper a lucrative industry. "It's become a cross-border business, and it's very difficult for China to prosecute", says David Lee, a partner at Taipei-based law firm Lin & Partners.

Value of Online Gambling Market, Estimates and Projections

Data: Technavio

The Guangdong Club hosts virtual casinos operating out of Cambodia as well as others licensed in the Philippines, countries where gambling sites catering to international players are permitted. Costa Rica, where the club's website says it's registered, doesn't have an industry regulator or laws banning online casinos that provide gambling services overseas. The Guangdong Club didn't respond to emailed requests for comment, and its website lists no phone numbers. "Many online gaming companies operate under the radar", says Ben Lee, a Macau-based managing partner at Asian gaming consultant IGamiX. "There are so many of them. It's like China's trying to whack a mole."

The Chinese government has tied a number of problems to online gambling, including telecommunication fraud and citizens being lured to work illegally in the Philippines. The websites allow wagers of as little as 10 yuan, making them within reach of lower-income bettors. Online gaming halls also threaten to lure bettors away from Macau, the only city under Chinese control where casinos are allowed (though online gambling is still prohibited). The Guangdong Club has a logo that resembles that of a Macau junket operator called Guangdong Group, but the Macau company says it has no relationship with the online platform.

Gamblers on the Guangdong Club platform can deposit money and receive their winnings via accounts at several Chinese banks, including some of the country's largest, such as Bank of China Ltd. and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., according to the club's website. The banks declined to comment.

Many platforms also allow gamblers to use popular online payment systems from Tencent Holdings Ltd. and billionaire Jack Ma's Ant Financial Services Group. The payment systems have been willing to talk about how they're helping the government's effort to curb online gambling. In recent weeks, some virtual operators have warned gamblers that Tencent's WeChat app and Ant Financial's Alipay have tightened controls. In a statement, Tencent said it takes measures to help identify transactional risks and act against those attempting to use its system for illegal gambling. Ant Financial says it uses an AI-powered risk engine to intercept suspicious transactions and has zero tolerance for online gambling. When a merchant is confirmed to be engaged in gambling, Alipay limits its ability to collect payment, stops working with it, and reports the case to police.

China is winning some concessions from its neighbors. In response to pressure from Beijing, Cambodia has said it won?t issue any new online gambling licenses and won't renew existing ones when they expire.

Most of China's pushback has been directed at the Philippines, where online betting sites have contributed to a small economic boom. Following China's calls for a crackdown, the Philippines has said it will stop accepting applications for new licenses at least until the end of the year. That's short of the full ban China wants to see. President Xi Jinping brought up online gambling in August when he met Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte, who?s since rejected the call for a ban. The Philippines isn't interested in drastic steps that will have an adverse effect on the economy and will instead regulate the sector, Chito Sta. Romana, the Philippine ambassador to China, said in a Bloomberg TV interview on Aug. 30.

Meanwhile, work continues in Manila on two multimillion-dollar online casino hubs intended to house operations and workers. "We are legal, we ensure fair play," Andrea Domingo, head of the Philippine gaming agency, said in a recent speech at an industry event, adding that online casinos "are here to stay." With Siegfrid Alegado, Lulu Yilun Chen, and Jun Luo

BOTTOM LINE - China says online gambling is draining hundreds of millions of yuan from the country. But it's finding it hard to stop websites registered and operated abroad.
#403
The Gambler's Choice 1944 Classic Movie B&W Full Version Enjoy!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FtfuADOGsgc


https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0036845/
#404
Me, You & Them / Last night 9-12-19
September 12, 2019, 03:32:36 PM
Well, took part of the day off yesterday for a break with the 9-11 memorials.  Participated in the remembrance of all the emergency workers and civilians that perished that horrible day, 18 years ago.  Finished late around 10:00 PM or so.  Myself and H-Money went out to eat and then decided to go to the casino on the way to drop him off, before my ride home.

We got there around 1:00 AM.  Previous shoe was just ending.  H-Money buys in with $1,500.00.  He places $200.00 on the Banker first hand, wins and turns to me, I cut the shoe you seen that right?  I told him, slow down and play what you see.  So he tells me he is going to wager for doubles.  He wins the first 2 Bankers and then wins the following first 2 Players.  He flat bets the $200.00.  He follows his word and losses the 3 third repeating Player as he wagered for the cut to the Banker.  He then wagers for the second repeating Banker and losses that as well.  After the first Player which was a natural, another ball game game enters the picture. 

He said to me, the first hands were all naturals so far and I am sticking with the Player.  So, he wagers another $200.00 and wins the first Player.  Then I told him to do a (1 + 4 Side Parlay) that is my favorite when things get strong no matter the shoe presentments, etc., and he listened to me.  He wagered the same $200.00 on the Player and told me he was doing the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) as well.

Please Note:  I have written about my (1 +4 Side Parlay) wagers.  While I do not religiously wager consecutively with the Side Parlay Wager (normally skipping numerous hands being wagered with the other flat wager or positive progression, etc.,) I endorsed H-Money's ideology about doing the Side Parlay Wager repetitively as well because the Player side was so strong, etc.  So the old saying, when it is there and being presented, capitalize on it.   

He won the next four hands with an incredibly strong Player presentment each time.  No matter what the Player had, even 2 monkeys and the Banker have a 7, the Player would pull an 8 or a 9.  Another one was the Player having one and the Banker having a 7.  The Player pulls a 7.  The tie was a natural 9 tie as well.  So, he flat bets the $200.00 he was sticking with, shooting for a thousand to $1,500.00 profit and swore to walk away if reached.  He won every (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wager he made on top of the flat bet of $200.00.  So on the 5th hand he is clearing $3,000.00 extra on the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wager.  He goes to a $400.00 wager and stops the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wagering.  He wins the 6th and the 7th hands as well.  He sticks with the $400.00 flat bet and goes in with another $400.00 to start the (1 + 4 Side Parlaying) once again for the 8th hand.  The tie comes out, Natural 9-9 Tie.  He sticks with the same exact bet he had, while all the rest of the table is verbally citing, Banker strong and Tie Cuts, etc., etc.  He wins the 9th hand and is hyped up big time.  Now, the whole table was with their pure statistical garbage about no way for the streak to continue and Banker has to come out and time to cut again.  Almost every hand, everyone was wagering for that damned cut!  Almost no more over powering the shoe where all players group up and just smack the casino on those types of runs or even long chops (types of trends or patterns does not matter, just anything repeating itself with strong repetitive occurrence hand after hand).  But it is turning into a game of, that guy can not keep winning or it just has to cut, type of thinking hand after hand after hand.

H-Money leaves the wager out there and wins the next 3 hands as well, the 10th, 11th and 12th hands with the $400.00 out there as a flat bet as well as the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) he started again.  He wins them all for another $6,000.00 profit once he completed the 12th hand.   

So he completed 2 (1 + 4 Side Parlays) and his numerous flat bet wagers before it finally cut to Banker.  Cashed out and walked away.  We went back after about 15 hands or so after doing what we had to do.  It was all 1s and 2s.  People were winning one and losing 2 or winning 2 and then losing 2, etc. 

The bottom line, anything can happen at anytime.  But the easiest thing to smack the casino is to jump on and and stick with anything that is strong no matter what type of presentment trending that is.



[attachimg=1]

[attachimg=2]
#405
Alrelax's Blog / 9-11-2001
September 10, 2019, 03:06:24 PM
It is a tough day that rolls around every year.  For the past 18 years it has been real hard to deal with.

My three flags that I possess will be flown at various fire departments in honor or lost loved ones. 

One is a New York State Flag.
One is a New York City Flag.
One was airbrushed painted in honor of a family member. 

I will try to get some pictures tomorrow of them flying at the fire departments that i left them at yesterday.

[attachimg=1]

[attachimg=2]

[attachimg=3]
#406
Related But Not Related / Hold Up! Time Out!
September 07, 2019, 09:50:40 PM
LOL.  ROMAFL!  Classic, great scene from Do the Right Thing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gLYTObRhcSY

Samuel Jackson won. ;)
Absolutely one of the best, love the guy!

Well one stereotype about Samuel Jackson is true...HE'S ALWAYS YELLING!!!!!!!!


Pretty much says it the way it is, was and always will be.  Quote from a Jewish Politician in Midtown Manhattan when quizzed about slavery and who put the money up for so many slave ships.  Usually it is the beast the roars the loudest, LOL.
#407
Realism the way it is most of the times.  But not publicized and not brought into the mainstream media any longer because it is so against the leftist do gooders.  And by the way, that clip is not satire, it is reality.  Bed Stuy, Red Hook, South Bronx, Jerome Avenue, East New York, countless other sections.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLdIKlXl3ZA
#408
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Xjr2hnOHiM&t=59s

And the comments.  P.S.:  For thsoe that copy and Paste and add things, the comments are on YouTube (A Public Site) LOL :)

""Hey....I Gots to know".....never gets old watching that moment. Proper English, LOL";

"Love how he is so chill with the whole thing. Like "Ah for chirst's sake, I was just enjoying my lunch when these punks showed up and bothered everyone."

"He's shooting robbers while still chewing his lunch. What a badass! Modern movies have nothing on Dirty Harry";

"The "punk" was played by Albert Popwell. He was in 5 Eastwood movies altogether:
The Enforcer, Sudden Impact, Magnum Force, Coogan's Bluff and Dirty Harry.";

"Too bad that ALbert Popwell became a crack dealer and fell into the down sides of his own people".

#409
Many do not realize, but it is so true.  At the baccarat table, on the gambling forums and within life in general.

When you do well you become a sign of hope to the optimist, but to the pessimist, you represent the stink of their very own failure and mistakes.

Furthermore, those pessimists will swear up and down with great fury and sometimes convincing belief, spread that everything you have accomplished or discovered is really what led them to their downfall or mistakes. 
#410
Helping to Define Presentments, Models & Bet Selection Wagering, PART 1

How do you do what is correct today, like right now at the table? Talking about it and having others review it, a few will always find something wrong with what you said.  And those types will go to great lengths in the attempt to prove their findings.  Then they post, demean, humiliate and have a tiny consensus of their peers that join them.  But the bottom line is, that they are living in a fallacy world of portraying that they play the necessary hours and amounts of shoes to equal the 51% Plus outcome and thus, they win each and every time.  Complete and utter nonsense to the max!   

Always a group of presentments will come around but subsequently, believing such is the way to win at baccarat, you are only preparing the depth of the hole to bury yourself.
  That group of wins that has a percentage of somewhere from 51 to 60% or even greater, on all the testing and results of mathematical models, will eventually come around.  But the waiting time for any such event will eat up far more profits than you will make.  But hey, certainly makes great worthless and senseless ammunition in the forum gambling board war of the full-time posters.

The times that those events do not come around, as well as the times your event just immediately fizzles out early, will eat those wagers up.  Problem is, you are narrowing your vision, your consciousness and losing out of numerous chances and the ability to capitalize on presentments that everyone just responds with that all too familiar 'WOW' over.  To me, that is the only way to explain the solid, powerful, consistent and repetitive patterns/trends/events being produced form the shoe with virtually very few if any people wagering with the shoe.  They are nearly all hooked on the cut to the opposite last win or wagering on that event they found will register 51% Plus on thousands or tens of thousands of shoes. 

Be it:  XOXOXOXOXOXOXOXO  or maybe; XXOOXXOOXXOOXXOOXXOO or maybe; XXXXXXXXXOXXXXXXX or maybe; XOOOXXOOXXXO or that every Natural win cuts to the opposite side or that every third card draw adds up to an 8 or a 9 total to one side only and reduces the other for like 7 or 8 or 10 consecutive hands.  And many many more, too numerous to list.

Sure, you can engage and believe the gambling forum full time posters with their long drawn out dialog of samples that are proven by computer testing will put you on easy money street.  But in reality, taking those same groups of events to the baccarat table, will prove a loss to yourself.  Because you will do just as I said in the above info.  You will have loss far more than you will ever win.  Of course, every author I have read posts and posts their theories claiming they grind it out and make a solid living from it, but without any proof except computer generated score cards, their altered test results and their complex definitions of how and why it all happened.  And those that say they win far more than they loss will never post a picture, never post a win-loss statement, never post their contact info, never get on the phone with another and numerous other traits of the same lines.  They are internet drama queens and bored out of their minds.  Fueled only by fallacy turned around and having a few in their small worthless group of followers.

There are ways to win at baccarat and it all has to do with mostly non-mechanical and non-mathematical knowledge.

Alrelax/Glen.
#411
Means "sex", "I have a problem", and also a form of "secretive code talking" for black people.  But hey, it is what it clearly is.  Thank you guys for reading! :cheer: >:D


https://www.dictionary.com/e/slang/hey-hey-hey/

And as if that is not enough to explain it; The other one is truly an author's delight as it is factual and signifies what many interface themselves with:

"Hey Hey", defined:

A "hey hey" is a homosexual male over the age of 18. People with the name James, may be called a "hey hey". A "hey hey" may also enjoy being with muscular men and walk threw grocery stores with them. These types of people enjoy living in apartment buildings with two or more men. "hey hey's" are about 75% homosexual, 17% pedophile, 5% women, and only 3% human.  Steve: " hey saw bob today when i was at the grocery store and i swear to god the cashier was such a "hey hey", he invited to let me stay at his apartment".

Bob: "are you serious, just the other day i saw a "hey hey" at the garden supply store it was icky"
"hey hey", "hoes monster", "queer", "homo", "homosexual", "gay", "pedophile", "creep".
posted by: enus rosenburg February 14, 2009.................................

Sorry if this offends you, but it is the brutal honest truth!  If you are a 'hey hey' sign it to your name and fly the LGBT flag and be darn proud of it, if not, well LMFAO!  :nod:
#412
Cannot make this stuff up, it is factual.  Sit back and watch.

Their most promising?  LOL.
  Okay, Trump just locked himself in for another 4 years and for those that still think he is going to be impeached, yeah right.  Hope you did not hold your breath.  Oh yeah, by the way, Hillary should be indicted in the near future as well.  Those were blatant acts of criminality.  Remember Watergate, federal prisons are certainly available and there are numerous ones for female offenders as well.

1)   "I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts," the Democratic front runner said later that day. "I'm not sure whether it was the medical school or where the hell I spoke, but it was on the campus."

2)   Former Vice President Joe Biden joked to his New Hampshire supporters that he isn't 'going nuts' following a string of campaign trail gaffes, the latest in which he forgot the location of the Dartmouth College building where he delivered a speech on Friday.

3)   While speaking with a reporter who asked for his impression of Keene, a city in southwest New Hampshire, he accidentally referred to the state as Vermont.

4)   On Tuesday, Biden slipped up again during a speech in Iowa where he said that Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr. were "assassinated in the 70s".  Both were killed in 1968.

5)   Earlier this month, Biden made additional headlines for stating during a separate Iowa speech that "poor kids are just as bright, just as talented, as white kids,"  quickly adding, "wealthy kids, black kids, Asian kids, no I really mean it, but think how we think about it."

6)   Defending Biden, Symone Sanders, his senior adviser, urged the public in a CNN interview to stop focusing on his errors.  "If we're going to elevate the conversation, we cannot allow this election to devolve in a tit-for-tat over name-calling and 'gaffes,' again something that does not matter," she said. "This is not something that's registering with the American people."

~someone should have told that #6 to Hillary, LOL.


https://www.huffpost.com/entry/joe-biden-not-going-nuts-after-dartmouth-mistake_n_5d640553e4b01d7b52933e52


https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/lawyer-who-made-case-for-clinton-indictment-confirmed-as-judge
#413
Wagering & Intricacies / The 6 R's
August 27, 2019, 03:22:31 PM
You must realize, that a designing a Scope of Result, is to contain actions, that you solely initiate and control, not the shoe. The shoe produces presentments, the average bac player is attempting to have the shoe conform to his desires, rather than, the player conforming to the shoe's presentments. 

The design goal is to get to the point of comfort, confidence and belief.  One that does not threaten your wagering and force you to reduce ideal or beneficial wagers that would be positive for you and move you from that idle comfort zone, to that horrible tilt.  How does the above relate to process?

Moving to affect the person and how it does that.  I call then the 6 R's:

Recognition
Realization
Reaction
Results
Reductions
Raises

The movement requires transporting yourself from the one person MYSELF frame-of-mind, to an outsider, onlooker of sorts. 

Do you really understand the negative effects on movement?  Too often everyone settles for the armchair quarterbacking information as our only information collected during the presentments.  But that is the underlying problems in my opinion.

There are so many input processes that are active, and we generally limit ourselves and cut the picture of winning down.  Cut it down quite a bit in the name of safety and money management control. 

You will not understand how to design what will help you, unless you really know what the problem is.  The negative effects, the positive effects and how each one of them will hurt you or help you, rather than the complete belief into something that will only grind you down or keep you from winning, which is a schedule of wager according to a very small win stop and loss stop agenda which is the main topic and subject these days on the websites and forums.  It is a great prelude to the many fallacies that the player will fall to eventually. 

What most everyone seems to deny as well as not to adhere to or admit is factual:

If XYZ is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.
If ABC is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.


Fallacy, the path to failure or non-winning in most all cases.  You must realize that you are not changing, you are adapting with foresight and realization as it happens.  And that is not easy and precisely why so many will never grasp the beauty of the game of Baccarat. 

When you enhance something, falsely or accurately, the more controlled the present situation will be.  And when it becomes controlled, you are destined for the realization of what that shoe will present, nothing will change that.

Reduction.  Continue?  Complete.  Enough?  Neutral.  Sufficient?

You drown yourself in the concentration of not knowing.  Stop.  Correct yourself and learn. 
#414
Me, You & Them / Last Night at the Casino 8-25-2019
August 26, 2019, 03:40:06 PM
Funny how times have changed!  I have said it before and I will say it once again.  Baccarat (at least in real B&M casinos) has changed in the past 10 years or so.  I say it is because of the huge influence of the internet and easily accessed (and believed) gaming information by system publishers, self-published books, and everything else along those lines with gambling and of course baccarat. 

Do not get me wrong.  We used to lose before the AI and the evolution of the Internet as I mentioned.  But we used to clean out the dealers rack a heck of a lot more often than what takes place now.  With the belief of the statistics, mathematical grinding surpasses positive progression with show presentments, etc., etc., and so on---there is a lot less players these days absolutely pouncing on and smacking the casino.  They read, learn and strictly limit themselves to the 'CUT' and 'GRIND' and are lucky to escape the casino with breaking even or a few units, rather than the kinds of wins that were more regular before that would certainly be classified as a genuine 'rarity' now.

Last night I was at the casino.  I sat down as one shoe was ending.  The shuffle took place and after the dealer performed a mini-hand shuffle (as the players requested) after taking the cards from the automatic card shuffling machine, the game was on.  A few 1's and 3's to start and a couple of 1's and 2's and around hand 18-20 or so, the following comes out.

BBBBBBBTBB-P-B-PPPPP-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-BB-P

So, it looked something like this after the initial 18 hands or so:

B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B
B        P-T-T- T-T- T-T-B
B        P
B        P
B        P
BT-B-B

A couple of the people playing did make a good amount of profit on just that section, but by far the majority lost their rear ends!  They continual and without thought, wager for the 'CUT' convinced that the next hand has to 'CUT' to the opposite side for whatever reason.  Then right about the time the ties began, most of them wager for the repeats.  The ties just added confusion and fallacy to the entire 'attempting to figure out reasoning' of what the shoe is producing and why. 
#416
Alrelax's Blog / Roulette. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:11:30 PM
Enjoy, another full movie for my friends.   :beer:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nG-MC1xrEYo
#417
Alrelax's Blog / Cold Deck. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:08:45 PM
The Full Movie.  Enjoy my friends!   :beer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8V4csMz5y80
#419

'Vision, Consciousness & Recognition of Funds'


Whether it is bank roll or buy-in or win funds.
Does not matter.  A portion of players will handle their funds extremely consciously, very intelligent and with the knowledge and constant recognition, that the funds they possess, on the table, in their pocket, or those that are available,  should not govern them in their decision making processes, whatever that may be.  Pretty much straight forward and simplistic to the easiest ABC's and Gambling 101's.

However, I have asked many people that do play baccarat, as to their views and thoughts on 'win' money in particular. 
The rest the money situation and how each thinks about it, really is too varied and too complicated to understand without knowing those people 24/7 for huge amounts of time.  So, here it is from the 'horses' mouths as the saying goes.

I asked H-Money the other night.
Me: "Say you won $100,000.00 from the casino and left with it, went and purchased two cars for $50,000.00 each.  Then you went back next week to any casino and lost your check of $1,500.00 that night.  Would you be down $1,500.00 or what"?  H-Money:  "No, I would be not be down, I would be up $98,500.00 if that was my second time gambling". 

He further went on to say, "You have to keep a running total in your head, as to the amount you are up or down, because you are free to play if you are still up and you have to be careful and play more cautiously if you are down, until you get up again." 

WOW! I actually heard almost that same thing from another two baccarat players that played the game for a couple of years or so.  Interesting!  I do believe that money management systems and thought/beliefs about 'win' money, go hand in hand--with how a player thinks, cashes out and gauges his play/session times at the table. 

I have definitely concluded for myself that 'refreshing and resetting' during the sessions as well as at the end of the session, no matter the outcome (win or lose) is vitally important and in your favor tremendously. 

Viewing 'wins' as not yours is extremely dangerous;
Viewing, 'cash outs' as 'up' money is extremely dangerous;
Running tab---of wins and losses and gauging yourself according to same, is extremely dangerous.


The above leads most players to, 'have to make'; 'have to earn'; 'pressure'; 'false positive reinforcements'; 'forced sessions to produce'; 'visions that cannot be seen or realized are even happening in front of them'; 'possible reinforcing of negativity or caution that hampers their winning ability'. 
#420
Me, You & Them / 5 Thoughts of Mind-Friday 8-23-2019
August 23, 2019, 11:44:57 AM
1)      There is a tendency to confuse the unfamiliar with the improbable. And that my friend is a huge block for many bac players.  The contingency that we have chosen not to, or refuse to, seriously looks strange to us.  And, what looks strange to us, we will generally classify as improbable.  Then subconsciously you NOT will figure, what is an improbable needs not to be considered seriously.

2)      Next, when a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we generally do not even think about it or give it much consideration.  Again a huge mistake to make in bac.  Instead, you will just develop a sort of mind-blindness to those types of things.  My reasoning behind that is the following.  You will not admit to what you do not know.  Simple.  AKA:  Not having or refusing to have an open mind.

3)      A known or an Unknown? Donald Rumsfeld summed it up best.  Here is what I am talking about.  There are known knowns; there are things that we know we know.  We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things that we do not know.  But there are also unknown unknowns-there are things we do not know we do not know.

4)      Few things fall squarely into the categories of totally predictable or totally unpredictable in baccarat.  Even if you do not know to predict something with 100% certainty, you might be able to come up with an estimate or a forecast of type, to at least visual the threat, which is if you are in the right frame-of-mind.   But at least you will give yourself an edge and get a little further and become a little better than sitting there oblivious to what can happen.  If you fail to make a forecast at all, you will see everything important as an unknown and those very things will remain as an unknown.

5)      Be careful against giving yourself, or allowing yourself to remain with a mental block.  The problem of the mental block will develop out of frustration that your knowledge of baccarat is imperfect and/or weak, thus failing to make any forecast or give yourself an edge.  And what is worse yet, after you repeatedly lose playing baccarat, you justify the continuance without any sort of rationalization into a forecast by telling yourself that there is no way to forecast anything because nothing exists to forecast. 
#421
An Edge Without A Physical Bias

That is what wins the game for me, when I concentrate and truly adhere to all the things I spend time to detail and write about on the board.  Some will go into dialog about my posts are too wordy, too long, too hard to understand, etc.  But, I am very sorry, there is no other way for me to explain as there are just numerous variables I have found that play parts together to make up each session's outcome.  And yes, I do throw in analogies and a few other things as well, you can always skip my threads, no problem. 

Physics?
  You just cannot grasp anything to do with it?  Mathematical and statistical adherence to what the pros (the real ones [LOL] you know, they are the bonafide and certified ones) say the test results produced and yet you still lose?  Complete failure to understand anything to do with those?  Perhaps you understand it is sheer greed and if you can only control yourself with a tiny bit of profit you can multiply that by 30 and make a heck of a great living sipping drinks all day and lounging at the casino table without a boss, the way certain members of many gambling forums claim that they do, especially the ones that post repetitively the same short concise statements saying that they do.  You know you actually over-stay every session you play and yet, you still stay when losing no matter how much you already won and when winning, you can never leave---so you are totally convinced that you have it all figured out and will literally beat the casino but somehow you just can't pull it off.  Those are just a few of the scenarios that exist in everyday real life at the casino but there are so many more.

I have spent decades gambling in Brick & Mortar casinos, never on-line.  I have numerous family members in all 3 of the largest gaming jurisdictions of the USA in some type of upper management positions, mostly in marketing or in table game operations.  I know about gaming and I know about players as well, I know about casinos.  IMO, it is no different than a retail store or a service business that has specialties they offer to the industry.  Marketing, salesmanship, industry press releases, perception, what the market will bear, and so on will set the prices, the need, the willingness to support one or more businesses of the same type, the poor quality business and the high quality class act ones as well. 

Stores selling merchandise at below inventory wholesale costs, to attract customers that will usually wind up spending far in excess of what the business would lose if people failure to act on impulse, desire, greed, desire, eye-candy and many other factors of the same nature.   Value has a lot to do with gambling and something few of us actually think about.  Basically, I say when you don't have it or never did, there really is not much value when you actually get it.  Meaning, you don't have the slightest clue what you have because you already have it.  Sounds contradictory, but I plead with you, that it is probably 99% spot on in most every case.  It's just the way our desires, emotions, greed and everything else mixed up inside of us, works and governs each of us at the casino table!  Especially with money and hard assets.

An attempt to understand the casino system and what their largest ammunition really is, would be the understanding of the following:
  "People are under the illusion that they can outsmart the system", just by recording and scoring games or thinking their money management system will govern themselves or a host of other pure and sheer fallacies.  And the first part of that sentence holds true to the hundredth power with so many things including; police/detective work, retail offering, and employment background screening investigations, liquor licensing applications and thousands of other things as well!  Once you really understand that sentence and how you look at things you learn, research, attempt to apply and will wager with, then you are starting your journey down the correct path.

But it all boils down to the human brain, with desires, greed, lust and a host of other things along those very same lines.
  Fortunately, for the casinos and unfortunately for the players, almost every single one of us has those things instilled in us from a very early age.  It all started with your mom and dad and their 'rewards', for yourself when you were good and those same things taken away when you were bad.  Then you learned how to milk the system and then manipulation you taught yourself without even knowing it.  You found the sweetness of self-rewarding yourself with the 'fruits of your desires', sort of saying.  Each of us has it and each of us deals with that in many different ways, some good and others not so good.

"Gamblers have a stronger misconception of randomness and are so willingly to bet on it".
  Please understand the words, Misconception, Understanding, Interpretation, Inaccurate and Inadequate, they are specifically different and very relative to gamble, but in the attempt to keep this from being way too long, I am saying, Misconception.  I have termed it, probability matching, and that is a side effect all humans are subjected to at the gaming table.  Especially when they are winning large or losing large.  It was instilled in our pre-human ancestors when they were out hunting and searching for food.

Evolution has primed us to have a low threshold for detecting patterns.  That is the physiological bottom line.  You would learn that in Psych 101.  That is medical science, nothing I made up.  So that very same thing will affect your gambling decision making thought process.  And that is exactly my point in all this.  It is not reality sitting at that table and almost all of you think it is.  It is different, virtually the opposite and then once you have it all figured out, it reverts back the other way.  And those my friends are all the parts that throw the mathematical and statistical data right into the garbage can every time. 

The down sides and why there are actually down sides you can detect.
Because it is that we get a lot of false alarms.  In the casino, that equates to losses.  In almost everything else, we chalk them up to and use them as rejections, mistakes, learning, improving, necessary happenings, etc.  But in the casino, they equate to devastating losses and missed wins/profits.  That is the key element to the entanglement of your mind and its ability to continue to play, figure out and stick to whatever can win and get away from what cost you not to wager on correct presentments, etc.

Generally, those false alarms are harmless to most, but that is not always the case.
  In so many player's agendas, they will convince themselves what is correct to wager upon, as to what is coming out or what has not came out, or what is supposed to happen according to the numbers, etc.  That is the key triggers that so many, most all will fall prey to.  Gamblers place money on those, no matter if they admit or not that was their reasoning.  Some will wager large amounts of money and other will grind it slowly with smaller amounts.  And no matter the value of their wagers, it does not matter.  They will do it repetitively and consistently.  Then they win some or lose some and that does not even matter.  They will wager against whatever they were wagering on that won, then they continue to lose.  Or they lose when they actually convinced themselves, that they were supposed to have won, but they did not follow doctor or wizard, 'so and so', math and stats that proved rightfully correct.  So then they lose their intelligence per-se and they become controlled by their desires, their emotions, and other factors that cannot and will never be able to match with certainty, their wager with each upcoming presentment.  The more the play, the more they lose.  Even when they win, they only fueled themselves with false fuel to keep going.

Then what happens? Well I have observed, that right about the time the people will point to whatever allowed them to feel that they choose the right side by matter of intelligent choice, nothing really existed that will allow them to repeatedly use just that in upcoming presentments that will be a solid 51% or greater positive experience on a consistent basis from thereon out.  Please re-read that and understand that, because that right there is a major key in understanding yourself and the reason for control in the game of baccarat.  And there is a double whammy to this as well.  That is, the strongest patterns and trends are always the worst for most players these days.  Because they challenge the strongest parts and have either convinced themselves or had themselves convinced, that baccarat is a true 50-50 game, a game that always equals itself out and you can prevail if you only wager against anything that is repeating itself or dominants.

Then the losses start, their impulsiveness starts as well.
  Reducing or increasing pattern recognition becomes the key to success which will mot ever come about the conventional way.  Meaning, by reading the books by the doctors, the wizards, the self-proclaimed professional gamblers, the X dealers and casino personnel, etc.  Buying systems guides or being exclusively mentored and tutored or joining a $50.00 a month elite club of want to be millionaire gamblers, etc.  It will not happen no matter how much you believe that it just might.  Sorry, but that is the cold hard truth of the day.

And if you can even begin to really understand what I just said, then you might be one of the few, the very few that might survive the 'Flip of the Switch'.  We all seem to unknowingly inflict ourselves with false fuel, continued torture and just plain, guaranteed losing when we found ourselves with that last, 'all in' wager, or the other one, 'all or nothing', types of wagers.  Winning and losing without letting yourself get beat down, by using a buy in which is only a smaller percentage of a bank roll and a bank roll that is administered properly is the start.  The rest of it will depend on your ability to remove yourself from everything I mentioned, desires, emotions, the mindset that allows yourself to think you have an edge to beat the casino, etc.  We continually let ourselves literally lose our money, the casino does not take it, you give it to them with the decisions you made.  The blame only adds more false fuel and further bad intelligence to your game.  I promise you that.

We give them our money because of our blatantly wrong information, data and beliefs we choose to believe. Almost all gamblers will do the proper research, engage in training, obtain the proper information for almost all their non-gambling activities such as, seeding and fertilize their lawns, sports, hobbies, crafts, etc.  But when it comes to gambling, once again, almost everyone believes in that, 'I can outsmart the system' type of intelligence that will only repeatedly hurt them until they are broke.

What is the, 'Flip of the Switch'?


'Flip of the Switch', is complicated, but for sake of keeping it to a couple of sentences, it is the player's thought process that will govern him with the recognition of patterns, trends, and whatever else he is convinced will be the next presentment from the shoe.  His wagering on that without regards to reality and then being sucked into gambling fallacy, LOCK, STOCK & BARREL.  The gambler has no idea that he actually wagered on his impulse and not on a tangible pattern, trend, or other defined presentment as he was really thinking he was doing.

Hence, 'Flip of the Switch'. In other words, the lights were turned out on the player.  He lost once again.  Simple.  As well, once the action starts, say 4 Bankers appear, half the gamblers next to him just know and say out loud, how it has to cut back to the Players side and begin to wager for such.  The rest of the people there, just know it has to continue and streak with the Banker.  So a switch gets flipped in the person?s brain somewhere, changing the way we each define the game.

And when you don't have the experience, the knowledge, the insight and much more, the compelling biases are truly overwhelming, 'Flipping of your Switch', when you are in the game playing, actual play with actual money.  And if you lose and are losing more than you are winning, it is not the auto shuffler, it is not the unlucky dealer, it is not you lost count of the VIN/SAP Counts, it is no the failure of the Banker to continually excel the way it is supposed to, it is not the failure of the shoe to produce an exact replication of those 1,000,000 shoes broken down to the 3 or 5 or 10 you sat down to gamble at, etc., etc., and so on.  It was the fault of your wagering in direct conflict with what legitimately came out of the shoe, no matter if you wagered or not. You were just convinced to wager on the losing side because of the numerous factors I wrote about earlier and those factors turn very quickly into strong compelling biases that almost everyone has no idea what they are or how to figure them out.

And therefore, with yourself deep into biases, you play and play and play and believe compelling biases that cannot and will not hold up on a regular and a consistent basis totaling the majority of your play.  Unless and only unless, you can twist, turn and manipulate the same system that legally, with precision a well-planned entire scenario, relies on human nature to wager with their desires coupled with greed, that governs the player based on their beliefs that wreak havoc on their emotional and financial life.

Posted 8-22-2019.  Thanks, talk later, Alrelax.
#422
General Discussion / Off-Line Reason
August 22, 2019, 05:12:54 PM
Hey Everybody, Sorry for the few days we were unavailable.  What happened turned out to be a little bit more complicated and involved than what we thought.  We had to back up and modify some items on the board which normally only takes 1 day or so.  But we also had to drop some things in that we have been working on for some time.  So in the process of backing everything up and routine maintenance, we actually transferred many items from the present board to other storage and it took extended labor to get those items back in place. 

I have been working on numerous things to bring onto the board since the purchase of it along with a partner.  So we also had to 'push' the board in simplistic terms.  These will be available in the near future and will mostly be available to subscribers without cost, but by invitation and membership for the most part.  Included will be live instruction classrooms, live practice gaming and interaction with other players while engaging in table games.  As well, we are also bringing you a live talk show as well.  Thanks, Alrelax/Glen.



From Victor:
Sorry for the few days off-line, Glen and I are revamping and creating some new areas that forced us to take the board off-line.  We are building some new areas that involve a studio and live gaming.  Again, thanks for your understanding.  Vic  :cheer: & Glen  8)
#423
[attachimg=1]
#424
Follow the Bead Plate when it is strong.  I have said it before and when you are at the B&M table and engaged, go with it.  We did after the 3rd and 4th blocks of the 1st line with the pure chop-chop for the remainder of that line.  Likewise we all did the same for the 4th block on of the solid Banker line on the 4th one down.  It was hard not to wager on other hands, but we managed.  As well the Fortune 7 on the 14th Banker hand came on that same line!  A real nice touch.  When the advantage is there, take it, do not disregard the gimmie wins. 

[attachimg=1]
#425
Vision--Consciousness & Recognition of Funds

Whether it is bank roll or buy-in or win funds.  Does not matter.  A portion of players will handle their funds extremely consciously, very intelligent and with the knowledge and constant recognition, that the funds they possess, on the table, in their pocket, or those that are available,  should not govern them in their decision making processes, whatever that may be.  Pretty much straight forward and simplistic to the easiest ABC's and Gambling 101's.

However, I have asked many people that do play baccarat, as to their views and thoughts on 'win' money in particular.  The rest of the money situation and how each thinks about it, really is too varied and too complicated to understand without knowing those people 24/7 for huge amounts of time.  So, here it is from the 'horse's' mouths as the saying goes.

I asked H-Money the other night.
  Me: "Say you won $100,000.00 from the casino and left with it, went and purchased two cars for $50,000.00 each.  Then you went back next week to any casino and lost your payroll check of $1,500.00 that night.  Would you be down $1,500.00 or what"?  H-Money:  "No, I would be up $98,500.00 if that was my second time gambling". 

He further went on to say,
"You have to keep a running total in your head, as to the amount you are up or down, because you are free to play if you are still and you have to be careful and play more cautiously if you are down until you get up again". 

WOW!  I actually heard almost that same thing from another two baccarat players that played the game for a couple of years or so.
  Interesting!  I do believe that money management systems and thought/beliefs about 'win' money, go hand in hand--with how a player thinks, cashes out and gauges his play/session times at the table. 

I have definitely concluded for myself that,
'refreshing and resetting' during the sessions as well as at the end of the session, no matter the outcome (win or lose) is vitally important and in your favor tremendously. 

No "resetting and refreshing" is extremely dangerous;
Viewing 'wins' as not yours is extremely dangerous;
Viewing 'cash outs' as 'up' money is extremely dangerous;
Running tab---of wins and losses and gauging yourself according to same, is extremely dangerous.


The above leads most players to,
'have to make'; 'have to earn'; 'pressure'; 'false positive reinforcements'; 'forced sessions to produce'; 'visions that cannot be seen or realized are even happening in front of them'; 'possible reinforcing of negativity or caution that hampers their winning ability'.