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Topics - alrelax

#501
Al's Book Reviews / Fools Die, By Mario Puzo
February 28, 2018, 09:15:20 PM
An absolute great book by all means.  Although non-technical, this novel is north of classic!  Highly highly recommend it. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fools_Die

[attach=1]
#502
Sorry, I just don't understand, absolutely no comprehension whatsoever!  I am primarily ON THIS BOARD 'BETSELECTION' although I am on another board or two, one very limited (almost non-participating or extremely small) basis, but on BETSELECTION as my everyday best board forever!  So I do get a wide varied aspect of 'the gambler' and while lots are consumer originated, let's go to Vegas and get drunk and go to a strip bar type of player, there are some serious people on the boards, especially BETSELECTION! 

And that brings me to my original point.  Hypocrisy and lies!  Oh lord!  Why would a member whom posts super elaborate, all in detail how to beat a game, let's take roulette for instance, (out of the blue), hold on---let me get a good bite of my donut and sip my coffee....................................Okay I am back.  Love those donuts, the best!  Anyway, why in the world would a member post and post and post, and then hustle a member for thousands and thousands of dollars to gamble and partner up and stiff him?  Well, it is a hustler, correct!  A con, a scam.  But then that member comes back on and posts and posts and posts once again like nothing has happened.  Oh lord!  Seriously, and by the way, that member is elaborate and detailed and I must say, quite convincing, kind of reminds me of the warped, sick, jerk-off sinus doctor that ruined so many innocent people life's by drilling holes in their skulls and billing the insurance companies all kinds of elaborate invoicing statements for all the work he did.  And that doctor was an Ivy League extremely knowledgeable and respected surgeon before he started his scam business!

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2011/01/missing-doctor-201101

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2217052/Mark-Weinberger-Fugitive-surgeon-living-tent-snowy-mountain-Italy-gets-seven-years.html


Let me get into my ming bliss and take a bite of my donuts........................[attach=1]

and this member is elaborate with charts, graphs and all kinds of wall street analogies in his postings every single day, yet he hustled and stole the money from a great innocent member of the message board and ignores paying him back.  Here is my question, with all the info and knowledge the hustling member has (supposedly) why in the world would he not pay back the innocent member he outright stole the money from? 

That is my question. 
#503
Alrelax's Blog / Statistics & Variance and Making Money
February 19, 2018, 06:58:59 PM
Statistics & Variance and Making Money

Real contradictions from a post for people either not understanding or failing to understand the variance the person posting was faced with, will curve the straight ahead baseball that was coming directly at you---to a 180 degree turn.

Because some people work full-time, owns a business, plays only once in a while versus someone that plays full-time, just about every day—does not make either one better or smarter than the other for the simple fact as to their gambling exposure at a real live brick and mortar casino.   

If variance is presented at a table and myself and you are there—we each might interpret and approach that and the forthcoming presentment from the shoe in different ways.  However, it does not mean either of us know more than the other.  The problems seen to arise when the other follows or attempts to adopt what others do successfully when they are prevailing and the player in question, read into what he thought was a variance that failed to actually show up in his perspective and understanding of what variance is.

There is no guarantee in show presentment and anything can happen at any time, period.  The advantage a player has or can have over the casino is to capitalize on a certain section of the shoe—pounce on it—cash out and immediately reset and refresh, which the latter has to be absolutely paramount for the advantage to take place for the player.

I simply love the members on the various message boards that come on and post how they are so successful at playing baccarat in a casino and how they fund their living through a few hours of play every day, etc., and so on.  There was one player claiming to make right at $75.00 an hour with about 200 hours of play over about 9 months of time, always winning of course.  $15,000.00 lump sum, works out to around $ 1,666.00 a month.  I don't know about you or him, but I need somewhere around $3,500.00 to $5,500.00 every single month to pay my 'have to basics' without lump sums that I also have to put aside for other yearly or semi-yearly type of things.  But hey, whatever.  Let me do something here, 6 days at 3 hours a day, 18 hours for the week.  $1,350.00 using the figure a few players have claimed they are successful at, which was $75.00 an hour.  18 multiplied by 4 weeks which would work out to be $5,400.00 a month.  Not bad.  But hey—once again, 3 sold hours, every day, 6 days and 4 weeks a month.  Never losing.  Never giving anything back and losing a buy-in or bank roll, etc.  I know better, 100% better.  You can claim to have huge bankrolls and wager very little and able to absorb and digest hundreds and hundreds of units and still replenishes from the casino and still stroke on and still realize those wins every month.  Okay, let me clear my throat and clear my eyes from all the laughter and feelings that those posts actually do bring me.  The sad part is that people actually believe them and people have no idea whom those people are and what connection they have to why they actually posted those things.  A few names come to mind, but I will refrain from posting those names.

Thousands of hours—with a profit of $50-$100 an hour, hour after hour is one thing, but that will not and cannot happen, religiously and consistently.  Religiously and consistently I said, which means, week after week after week, month after month after month after month, year after year.  Period, I have no tolerance for those that post otherwise, for once they do just about everything else they post is going to lead to something called a book, a system, a link or a website with a monthly membership fee, etc.  Of course other sock puppets and even other 'real' people will provide references and vouching affidavits for them in some cases, all constructively put together in their 'house of cards'.  Kind of like a Dorice Donegan "Dee Dee" Moore and Abraham Shakespeare  (from Florida) type of lottery winner manipulation takeover of a multi-million dollar winner, as a crude comparison, but once their plots are looked in by someone with some kind of vision and outside justice, they are not awfully hard to tear apart.  Same with the gambling boards, links, books, and web-sites for fees. 

As far as luck, inconsistent play, small hits played, huge pounced on wagers that won, etc., etc., someone can do rather well if they actually can control their mind and realize variance or the opposites, always are possible to surface and come about at any time and stay for any length of time as well. 

The common 'misunderstanding' is the games statistics.  Interpreted or misunderstood by the highest majority the wrong way.  Forget the side wagers.  Let's talk about banker and player only.  Yes it is nearly a 50/50 game 'sometimes' and during that 'sometimes' it is a tad bit favorable for the banker over the player.  However, what almost all fail to realize---is the statistics are obtained from a huge amount of hands/shoes, like 500,000, 1,000,000 or 10,000,000, etc.  So when the shoe starts and there is something like a B-P-B-P-BB-PP-BB-PP-B, etc., on the score board, one group of players will believe Banker will be drawn next because of what has been happening and yet—others will believe Player because the current count is 7 Bankers and 6 Players and Players has the greater chance because of the 'equaling out' effect and phenomenon that has to happen at baccarat, etc., etc.   And, since it is not time for a self-correcting event because the score is not overly reflecting one side over the other, their decision is worth the wager because of 'so and so'. 

But, what most all fail to realize is that you are currently only playing a tiny section of a statistical outcome with no guarantee of the order of the actual presentments which will eventually be the variance as well, no matter what they turn out to be.  And, more importantly here is what most baccarat players fail to realize also.  The variance you just witnessed and happened to your instant shoe, will be taking into but changed into another set of variance results for the 20 shoes to be dealt during the next 40 hours at the very same table or the next 50 shoes to be dealt during the next 100 hours as well. 

So, what do you play for—the statistical or the variance?  Most will not admit it, but in reality they do.  And, IMO and experience, that is the largest contributing factor to their casino losses.  The largest downfall is the comparison which players will incorporate into their prediction of what is forthcoming. 

Does it work—yes.  Can it be profitable—yes.  Can it lose—yes.  Can it be wrong with consistency—yes.  Can it be correct with consistency and with longevity 100% of the time—no.  Can it be consistently 100% wrong with longevity—no.  And, that is why the casinos allow scoring, unlimited note taking, providing you with score cards, pens and even multi-thousand dollar score boards.  All to help you keep track and track what should come out.   

So it all boils down to the volatility and the variability of the cards that already appeared as well as the remainder of the cards in the shoe.  Nothing else.  Sorry, nothing hinges on what will happen with the remainder of that shoe in front of you that will be based on the previous shoes at the table or anywhere else, period.  Both of those, the volatility and the variability, will set the deviations and the statistics for that shoe—nothing else.  And, there is no way to accurately know what will happen with certainty unless you are able to calculate every single card remaining and know its order of pending disbursement from that shoe.  All of which will be unknown to you and remain unknown to you in the exact details, even down to the last few cards prior to the red 'end-of-shoe' card. 

However, there are numerous 'key triggers' as well as a better way to play, which can benefit a player if the player has the vision—experience—unclouded thought process—and rationale to identify what is happening and what might happen.  Some will say that luck and guessing would actually have to replace those four things I just mentioned. But, that is not true and I say, with almost four decades of actual brick and mortar casino baccarat play, it is possible, very very possible and doable. 
#504
Off-topic / Oregon's Donuts Obsession or Crisis? OMG!
February 14, 2018, 03:11:36 PM
The people of Oregon are simply donuts over something!  I knew they were way out there, like way way out there! 

http://www.foodandwine.com/travel/portland-having-doughnut-crisis

http://www.oregonlive.com/dining/index.ssf/2012/07/is_a_portland_doughnut_war_app.html
#505
Off-topic / Jelly Donuts from Oregon
February 08, 2018, 07:33:51 PM
Jelly Donuts only in Oregon!

There was once a teenage girl who wasn't allowed to have a boyfriend, but she would sneak them into the house anyway.

One night she had over a boy, when her father began knocking on the door. She knew she couldn't have boys over so she locked him in the first of her three closets. (The one with all of her dirty shirts and pants)

About a week later she had another boy over and she herd a knock on the door. As she knew she couldn't have boys over she locked him in her second closet. (With all of her dirty underwear)

Another week later she had another boy over and she herd a knock on the door. She knew that she couldn't have boys over so she locked him in her last closet. (The one with her trash can of used tampons)

A few weeks later she was cleaning her room and remembered the boys in the closets:

-She checked the first one and the boy had starved to death.
-She checked the second one and again he had starved to death.
-She checked the 3rd one and the boy was still there. Curious, she asked how he managed to stay alive. "Thankfully, you left plenty of jelly donuts in your trash can for me to eat" he replied.
#506
Off-topic / Fred, Mike & Mark go to a Whorehouse
February 08, 2018, 07:24:23 PM
Sexy Donuts

Fred, Mark and Mike visit a whorehouse after playing roulette at their local casino.  Mark can't wait
until he gets in the place as is evident by his pushing and rushing the other two as soon as they parked
their car in the parking lot.  They get inside the whorehouse and about 20 minutes later reunite together.

Fred comes out of the first bedroom and says, "She put a powdered donut on my d**k."

Mike comes out of the second bedroom and says, "She put a glazed donut on my d**k."

Mark comes out of the third bedroom, holding two dollars. Fred and Mike ask, "Did she donut you?"

"No" says Mark, "she told me to go and buy a box of Cheerios and then come back again."
#507
General Discussion / The Ultimate, A Plate of Donuts
February 07, 2018, 08:38:20 PM
The Ultimate, A plate of them set in front of you:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fC3Cthm0HFU
#508
Off-topic / Joke--Joke--joke!
February 06, 2018, 10:43:19 PM
Why did the baker stop making donuts, the baker in Oregon that is?

Because he was fed up with the hole business!
**************************************************************

Knock Knock!  Who's there?  Justin.  Justin Who?

Just in time for a doughnut!
**************************************************************

Why couldn't the teddy bear eat his doughnut??

Because he was stuffed!

***************************************************************


#509
Most of you know me, some of you do not.  For those of you whom do not, I am Italian, I am from the Bronx (New York City) I have been trough ups and downs in life that would amaze many.  The message board in summation is a small part of my life/daily routine in many ways and I have kind made a home here at BetSlection for many reasons.  Yes, I have been on Sonya's 'Vegas Message Board' and The Wizard's WOV and Andrew's (Shifter) Vegas Forums, etc.  Yes I was banned from those at my own doing and not retreating when the BS hit the fan, as they say.  Mostly those boards are drama rooms and boards for the consumer or soap opera end of things, in so many ways.  It didn't phase me at the time and still does not.  As far as BetSelection, I have meet some really great people in various parts of the world and on the board type of relationships.  I have learned from many here and I have countless emails from some board members here as well as many that have never posted as I have helped them in their gambling ventures. 

I have expressed myself and I have used BetSelection as an avenue that allows me to write about baccarat and casinos.   do have a full time successful established business that has nothing to do with gambling.  Pictures and stories are posted within my Blog regarding that.  I have many facets to my life outside of the casino and gambling and this message board, unlike what many think.  Same as gambling for those negative or naysayers, etc.,  'small mind/closed mind' go nowhere types.  It's all good.

Fast forward a bit.  Vic is brought the board down for a couple/few days to reboot and re-do his forums.  That turns into a couple of months plus a couple f weeks.  Hey, it happened.  So many did email me and said they would never be back.  I guess it is the same as when a restaurant that is popular or say a bowling alley closes for a sale of the business or closes to renovate, etc.  Some leave and never return as a customer and yet, many new customers come on scene when it reopens. 

But hey, here we are.  It is a good place and IMO, better than all the other ones out there.  Sure I tried another one or two while Vic was down here at BeSelection.  The one that most of the rooms within itself require you to be a paid subscriber for like $50.00 a month is a total joke, I read many things on there and know a couple of the posters as well.  Total garbage, in fact, if you follow what some say and they preach--you will have your bankroll destroyed, all said IMO and nothing endorsed or asked of me to say by Vic or this board.  Just a sheer fact.  In fact one of their key players on that board was a friend and an endorse of another board where the boards admin went into the hole playing baccarat to the tune of about $500,000.00 of bad unpaid markers that he is or will be criminally prosecuted by Clark County Neveada's county attorney.  He disavows knowing the guy now o the new board and is preaching once again about playing baccarat, etc.  LOL to the max! 

I have done fairly well at baccarat.  Never claim fame to mechanical stems or being able to make millions and beat a - Negative expectation game, but I have won far greater than my losing sessions.  I even post pictures when I can.  And like most things, in business and life in general.  The longevity of anything, takes time, patience and due diligence of doing things day in and day out on a repetitive basis.  At times it sucks and other times it is great.  But it is me, you, Vic and all the rest of us that makes this board the greatest.  I joke around some and unless you actually know me, you might not understand what I write at times.  Something you have to follow.  But when I say, I have been there, I have been there.  I am not proud of everything I have done i life, but there are numerous things that far outweigh the bad things and those things I am extremely proud of.  I put my writings and my experiences here on BetSelection as one of those in the latter category. 

You know, I am currently up in the Twin Cities (Minneapolis/St Paul) for Superbowl 52 and a couple of days before I left last week I was at the casino.  I bought in for $900.00 playing baccarat.  I was up about $1,500.00 and I failed to apply my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd Money Management System I always do.  I don't k why I did not when I doubled my buy-in because my 1/3rd system has fueled my wins almost all the time and protected my buy-in from being lost.  Anyways, I get wiped out and I bought in with another $600.00.  Something I rarely do and out of 100 sessions with 100 buy-ins, I would say that I would buy-in a second time, once--maybe just once like I did last week.  It always leads to disaster and if I can't win on the initial buy-in or win and give it back and then lose my buy-in, I wind up pressured and losing the 2nd buy-in as well, just like everyone else.  I learned a long time ago, that all the repeat buy-ins will outweigh the wins if I do that.  Something else I have written about.  But I am hard headed and I am real and I know baccarat and casinos..........So........

Like I said, I am at the casino, lost $900.00 and bought back in for $600.00.  I had $2,000.00 pocket money for my little boy for the week and a half I would be at the Superbowl, for his movies, the Mall of America, Extreme Sand Box, etc., etc.,etc.  I set that aside a while back and although I have other funds available, that was his and for him.  Sure I could have left with $900.00 down, replaced it and lived happily ever after.  I do not chase.  Leave and reset and start again another day.  I learned years ago.  But something got into me and something was wrong.  The casino took my little boy's money!  My Italian and my NYC background came out all at once.

I bought back in.  I was down to right around $200.00 once again.  I looked around and realized I did everything I said not to do, so many times.  Oh well, that's life in so many real ways!  I said to myself I was unintelligent and past stupid and there was no need to stay any longer.  Take the $200.00 use it for food and gas and the trip to Minneapolis and replace the $1,500.00 I lost and call it a night.  Yeah right.  You know what???  I actually thought of this board, the things I have said and Vic, right then and there.  I would not have bought in again and I would have left if I lost that $200.00 by all means.  I almost got up, really.  Then the dealers switched, the one that took most of the $1,500.00 from me was just tapped out by one that I always win Fortune 7's with.  She sits down and I throw up $175.00 on the Banker and $25.00 on the Fortune 7 side wager.  Players hand shows 2 monkeys and the Banker has blackjack for a total of 1.  Players third card is a 6.  LOL, I actually broke out laughing as I saw a monkey or an Ace or a 2 coming for the Bankers side.  A few others are on the Fortune 7 as well for $25.00 or $50.00 thinking about that $1,000.00 or $2,000.00 win.  They are yelling and screaming for a 6.  I am doing nothing.  They hold the dealer up and tell me, 'hey that's not like you—what the heck man, we need a 6, give us some power here'.  So I join in and boom-yes a 6!  So naturally as always, the dealer says, 'back to back Fortunes coming here'.  It's happened in the past but very seldom.   

So I leave the $175.00 on the Banker and throw up another $25.00 on the Fortune 7 wager for a total of $50.00 hoping for $2,000.00 pay off.  I put a quarter off to the side for the dealer for a $1,025.00 tip which the dealers keep their own tips at this casino.  She calls the floor person and he says okay.  She pulls a monkey and 2 for the Player and a 10 and a monkey for the Bankers side.  She pulls an 8 for the players side reducing them to zero.  Saying, "nothing to beat now", so naturally we are all screaming, and I mean loud for a 7, everyone is coming over  to the baccarat table watching at this point.  She slides the card out and it is still face down.  She goes to flip it and I stop her.  I told her to slightly pick it up and let me see it.  So I put my head almost on the table and she picks it up a tiny bit.  I can see the 3 lines on it and say to put it back down.  She does and the floor person looks at me and asks what I saw.  I said three lines.  The table goes wild as everyone had a quarter or two out on the Fortune 7.  There was 3 other $5 chips out next to the quarters for the dealer.  If it was a 7 the dealer would get $1,640.00 tip.  I told her I did not want to see it first and for her to look at it.  It was at this point, 2 Asian girls playing throw a fit and wanted the players to see the card first and not the dealer.  The pit manager came over and told us we have to all agree or he will turn it over.  So we all said for the dealer to look at it and flip it so she sees it first, towards herself.  As she was flipping it, she screams and her right elbow hits the chip rack and numerous chips are on the floor now and all we know is it was a 7. 

I am up like $1,500.00 now and leave the $50.00 on the Fortune 7 wager and put it all on the Banker for a wager of $1,675.00.   Bankers get 7 over the players 6.  I leave with the $3,100.00 and change profit and as I pass the baccarat table on the way from the cashier's cage, say my goodbye.  The dealer told me with tears in her eyes, that I just made her little kid's birthday something she would never have been able to do otherwise. 

I remember lots of things I have wrote on here and although I am against buying in a second time to play catch up, I did it for reasons unknown to myself.  You know life brings us down many roads and it is up to ourselves to make those journeys something that we remember no matter if they are good or not so good.  Just when you think you have seen everything, something jumps out there and grabs you.  Just like when my little boy recently told me, "Daddy we are not going to celebrate your birthday any more".  I asked him why and he says, "Because when you have a birthday you get older and if you get older one day you will die and I don't want that so we have to stop your birthdays". 

Just like I say to Vic, don't stop this board.  Keep doing what you do, follow your feelings, don't pay attention to the other garbage boards out there and if you made a mistake, don't look back--just remember and don't make it again.   
#510
Why Accepting Failure As An Option Strengthens Your Play

Sometimes an attitude of failure is not an option, can be counter-productive. Certainly there are moments, like Apollo 13's crippling explosion in space, at which individuals and teams must step up with super-human strengths to make things happen. There are other cases where controlled failures can be managed especially if you have contingency, back-up plans ready. Protecting against the downside, frees you and your team to focus on the upside.  In gambling we shall focus on the you, or me, of the team I mentioned above.  But, even within teams,there is always the you and the me first, that makes up those teams.  When a result is sought after or let's just say, waiting at the end of whatever it is we are doing, any chance of success will always rest first with all the YOU and ME, that make up all teams. Teams are made up of something, no matter how many or in what capacity, if playing or not, others beside YOU are relevant as well. 

The Panama Canal has two contingencies to keep ships from rupturing the gates to the locks in the canal. First there is a chain across the lock between the ship and the gates, keeping the ships from bumping into the gates. Second there are two gates at each end of the lock. If a ship were to damage the first gate, the second would hold.

In contrast, there is no back up plan to deal with ships sinking in the lake ships must pass through on their journey across Panama as part of their canal journey.

The difference is that a ruptured lock gate could destroy the entire canal. A sunken ship in the lake would be a minor inconvenience. In either case, controlled failure is an option. In one case there is a backup plan. In the other case, no one cares.

What if?

Asking what if (?), will open the door to consideration of different scenarios. Better realize it, or you are sunk from the very beginning.  Of course everything is going to play out exactly as we planned. Of course the weather will cooperate. Of course other entities are going to do what they committed to do on or ahead of schedule. But lets consider what we might do if one of the things does not actually happen exactly as we had hoped and planned for.

This has been a missing piece of our current best thinking on strategic planning. I would like to suggest fixing that:

The Six-Step Strategic Planning Thought Process

The following six-step process will allow you to create a complete and robust strategic plan. We are not suggesting that this is the only way to do this. But it is a good way.  Know what failure is!  Powerful words, yes.  But, without knowing it, remembering it, and everything in between those you are at a disadvantage.  If you never experienced it,set this down and come back later, you do not need what it contained within here.  Be scared of failure, not winning.  However, view failure as a strike, not a strike out or it will eventually make you scared to win.  When you win realize those larger failures might not have to exist as you once wholeheartedly justified them when they occurred.  Some type of failure will have to happen because you cannot always win unlimited the way you desire.  But it is always up to yourself as to what level of failure you experience and how long it lasts when you are at the table.  You make the decision to stay or leave, no one else.  Think about this, how many have you won and gave it right back the same day rather than, winning and keeping it?
   
Aspiration/Desires =
What it is you are playing for.  What you are looking to get out of it.
Destination = The ultimate goal in your play.
Reality = The absolute and total real-life picture if someone was watching you with an unbiased position.
Alternatives = Other actions or decisions.
Scenarios = From start to finish what has happened or will happen, in so many words.
Plans = What your real intentions are and what you are playing to fulfill.
 
Set the aspirational destination.  Which should be derived directly from the mission and vision. This will allow you to build a clear and direct path toward the aspiration.  Remember to reset and refresh, each session needs to be independent and not viewed as collective among your other sessions. 

1.    Assess the facts of the current reality and develop future scenarios by looking hard at Capabilities, Control, and Conditions. Then, develop scenarios to foresee potential changes outside your control that might impact your strategic choices.  Break everything down to 'sections' and 'turning points', do not view each shoe as a beginning and an end with 80 hands presented. 

2.    Identify potential alternatives to bridge gaps between reality and aspiration. Be creative so you can come up with a range of alternatives that could potentially address the issues and move your play forward.  Keep in mind that your buy-in is your risk money.  Do not use your winnings to fuel additional play and do not bring previous losses into the picture as some kind of gauge.  Your buy-in must fuel your play and your chances to win.  Buy-in amounts must be solid and recognized as non-negotiable. 

3.    Evaluate potential alternatives under different scenarios to identify which strategic alternatives create the most risk-adjusted value over time, under different scenarios. This should lead to primary choices, play lengths and your overall desires.  The entire key is to get yourself into reality with complete and clear consciousness while you play.  Be extremely careful not to place yourself into bad situations while playing. 

4.    Develop detailed play plans that address the strategic, operational, and organizational actions that are needed to implement each selected set of alternatives. You need to get yourself into the mind-frame that the session you are on your way to, might not be successful.  Include return times, other casinos, play lengths, etc.  Do not every deviate from your plans unless you are nearly winning every hand coming at you. 

5.    Act, measure, adjust and repeat continually monitoring progress against your stated goals and milestones to ensure what you thought would happen is happening in a timely manner and triggering back up, contingency plans as appropriate.  Always think adjustment into the reality of what is happening as the foremost thought that is virtually always present and being asked. When the negativity outweighs the positive, it is clearly time to leave and call it a day.  Do not return until the aggravation and frustration is out of your system. Be extremely conscious of bad-vibes and atmosphere auras that will play on the surroundings and your thoughts, which usually always lead to negative outcomes.   

In closing, I highly recommend from the bottom of my heart, the realization of what you are up against.  You will never smack the casino so hard that it actually hurts them!  You have to view each and every session of your play as a one time, brand new event without attempting recourse, revenge or make-up on any of your previous sessions where upon you lost.  It will only cloud your mind, your vision and put huge pressure and unrealistic goals you probably will not be able to meet.  You also have to have a certain amount of buy-in as a one-time event that is realistic as compared to your bankroll and a concrete refusal to buy-in a second time if you happened to lose the original buy-in amount.  That should be considered always 100% of the time, your stop loss figure.  This way when you win and apply something along the lines of my 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd money management system, your wins will far outnumber your losses.

Once you realize how you lose you can strengthen yourself towards the opposite.  Use your weaknesses and downfalls as the fuel to actually win.
#511
I know, or at least I suspect I 'pissed' off some of the members here, by my posting the thread 'An Experienced Player's Results November 2017" on this board.  However, I did that because  of all the call-outs by numerous people here that always chastise and humiliate as their norm.  It grows old guys!  I am not a theorist 24/7 and live on and in my computer--dreaming up ways to 'best the casino's variance and advantages'.  I am a 'hard-core' realist.  I have my flaws, I make mistakes, I go against what I say myself at times and those things that I went again--I said to the rest of you, I am not perfect, I made terrible mistakes of all kinds in the past, I continue to make mistakes, etc., etc.  But I strive to do better and correct them and overcome the hidden challenges of baccarat and the casino's numerous advantages, including variances.

And, in my book--you are NOT going to accomplish that by what the highest majority of players say here on this board as well as the other message boards.  No possible physical way!  I have truly been there and done that thousand s and thousands of times.  You know, baccarat is strange--extremely strange because  tonight you can win or lose by doing same exact thing you did last time.  Baccarat is NOT like, cooking--where there is a certain and a proven way to prepare a dish.  It doesn't change--unless you the chef changes it.  you have a perfect recipe and you repeat it, it will come out the exact same every time.  Same thing with, troubleshooting a motor vehicle.  Same equipment, same procedure, same results doing the same thing.  You know, baccarat is more like hunting.  Exactly.  Different course, different outcomes, different chases, different rewards, different amount of success and different amounts of failure.  Same game!  Also, two hunters can start at the same line with the same equipment, and finish with drastically different results at the end of the hunt session.  Just like the game of baccarat.  It is how we, myself and you and them--handle ourselves, our money--our thought process and our visions-desires-wants--our realization and how e each accept the lose or the wins within each shoe and session we play.

I did pretty well Friday night.  Concluded Saturday morning.  Pretty typical, a bit better win and hold.  I had my mind set and I applied myself 90% of the time I gambled, with about 85% of my knowledge and experience applied.  I know I shorted myself, but that is not the topic here-the topic here is what am I about and how do I do what I did on Friday.  Reality versus theory and computers.

I have a buy-in and I have a bank roll.  I have a separate one for the local places I play at as well as a totally different one for Vegas, AC, and other gambling multi day destinations I go to sporadically to gamble 'Macau' style, big table style of a larger and more serious nature.  2 Different animals if you want my opinion.  Anyway, I have written about all this so I won't repeat why I view things the way I do, but there is a huge reason and that reason is, PSYCH!  And that plays a huge mind altering factor with the baccarat player.  Seriously!

I won about $3,600.00 the first round I played in about a shoe and a half and then I won another $1,000.00 in my second round.  I removed my $500.00 buy-in and put right a $2,000.00 into my bank roll.  I ran out and spent $2,616.00 or so.  I this for numerous reasons and I have also explained all this in other writings, I think lots of your guys laugh at, say it doesn't matter and I bring up stuff that is irrelevant and has nothing to do with gambling.  But that is all not true, not one bit!  I believe the mind is my biggest enemy or friend in gambling.  Control is a huge issue as well as realization of what, how and the possibility of further wins and losses as we play.  Let me repeat that.  What we are doing there and why.  How we are playing and is r play worth it.  Meaning, risk versus rewards.  And the possibility.  What is the possibility of winnings continuing and what is the possibility of giving it all back and falling into that 'rut' that sucks and is horrible---I don't have to explain it, you guys are experienced and lived that may times, no??

To sit there and win and continue to play and play and play and stack it up---is a sure way to lose and blow all your money you won as well a bought in with and bankroll in chasing it.  Again, I have written extensively about this and my way versus the ways of most others that do not work and do not prevail.  The purpose of this thread is to coexistent with the other one about Friday night and explain why I do the things I do and why I believe in the things I believe in.  There is most certainly a point and many purposes.  Please, read on.

So, after the first win I had, I take a break.  I jump in my car and run down to a Wal Mart.  You see, here is where myself and almost all other gamblers differ!  100% without a doubt.  My other gambling buddies stayed at the table and gambled and gambled and stacked their chips and had their erections grow in their pants while I was down at the low-life Wal Mart in a boring shopping center without any action.  They were at the casino winning, and winning and winning.  Here is what I did.  (I will tell you about them later on in the post) 

I told you guys I was going to post my buy-in's, the chips, the winnings, the cash outs and I did!  Here, here are my receipts, the ones I saved, some I left at my house (I am in my office) in the bags.  But here are most.I figured since Christmas is coming up, let me get the chores done real quick.  I have a 5 yr old little boy and a 10 and 11 year old boy and girl.  Instead of waiting until mid December and scrambling, let  put a dent in it now.  I also have 3 debit prepaid cards for the kids and their allowances and things they continually want.  So I loaded money on their cards as you will see in the receipts.  $740.00 worth for the 3 of them I believe it was. I also bought my daughter a beautiful Coach purse and a Coach wallet that was not at Walmart for about $400.00+ with a pretty leather 2018 day planner. I paid right at $900.00 of bills for all my cell phones I have, my cable TV, my internet, my vehicle insurance policy's and our Bet-Selection board owner, Vic--as well.  I bought all the gift wrap, Christmas cards, gift bags and misc.  I spent exactly $80.00 out of the money last night at the market on the way home.  And, I spent $382.00 on my little boy's stuff, some now boots, other boots, shirts, hats, gloves, Poke Mon bed set, Leap Frog book reader sets with numerous books and accessories and also grabbed a whole bunch toiletries for the home bathroom and office bathroom as well. 

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You know, it all has to be bought---and that is my point here!  I love it when I see the reward, the casino bought all my stuff.  That is the reward for the risk of the chance to lose my money.  And, I still I have it  I have my $500.00 buy-in back.  I have $2,000.00 added to my bank roll.  I have $900.00 worth of bills paid.  And I have $1,636.00 worth of goods and money on my kids pre-paid cards that I would have had to pay for anyway.  Now--I reset and refresh.  What so many do not do--and I told you guys, this is what I do.  I do not have or believe in win and stop after a few units or a stop loss of 6 or 10 or 12 units, etc.  I believe in the risk and then sort it all out and do not get influenced or sucked in.  I also written about l this, I am just complementing it here with explanation and pictures of what a typical casino night and day was followed up with.  There is 'rhyme and reason' to this, not center of attention as some say or showing off as others say.  I am explaining what i believe in, what works, what curbs my greed and lust while gambling, how I function.  And, it is all a vital part of success or failure--believe it or not.  Stack your chips and stay at the casino, each and every day, gamble, gamble, gamble.  Let me know how it goes each day.  Post your results, all of them.

#512
General Discussion / Sponsorship and Christmas time
November 05, 2017, 01:52:04 AM
Vic I did the e-card early this  morning so let me know if it is in your email?  Please confirm. Glen.
#513
Al's Book Reviews / The War at the Shore (Trump and Wynn)
November 04, 2017, 12:41:36 AM
The War at the Shore
By:  Richard S "Skip" Bronson
$26.00
Published:  2012

Explains, partly demystify, and adds great factual story and events to the casino industry that happened mostly in Atlantic City, but will give you some knoweldge about Connecticut and Pennsylvania as well.

"Donald Trump's hair is real and Steve Wynn sees better than you think.  Much has been written about these men, but few people know them, personally and professionally, as well as I do.  It's been said, that to truly understand someone,you have to fight them or fight beside them, and I was at the white-hot center of a titanic clash of money and power that transformed Atlantic City from a struggling day-tripper place with buses in and out to a born again destination drawing tourists from New York, Philadelphia, and other major cities along the eastern seaboard."

Explains about Atlantic City against the odds, the fights, the problems, the money, NYC and the problems influenced by Vegas and Connecticut, etc. 

Vegas, Atlantic City and a side show of Reno, NV was about all there really was as far as gambling towns in the USA until the 1990's.  Then Connecticut came about with 2 of the largest casinos in the world being built for billions of dollars.  This book will touch on that as well.  A good basic insight to the casino industry and its special little world full of huge money. 

I do recommend you buy and add this to your collection if you are interested in the casino industry and how the modern day casinos took place within the USA.  A great, factual and intelligent read concerning its topic. 

https://www.amazon.com/War-Shore-Donald-Battle-Atlantic/dp/1468300466/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1509726341&sr

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#514
Roulette Forum / 6 set pure bliss easy money system
November 02, 2017, 05:15:19 PM
 With all the recent posting of roulette systems and claims of easy money  system to win, I decided to walk over to the roulette tables last night and check out the wheels.  I copied down 7 of the recent systems posted and sad to say I would have lost well over 150 units if I wagered according to the sets of descending and ascending numbers as well as many other systems and sets of  numbers posted here.

However, I did come up with something after watching a lady about 80 years old pretty much constantly winning!!

Here it is.  It is called Pure Tiger Bliss!!

Watch the wheel spin 6 times.  Each number that won go clockwise to the 3rd one past the winner if the winner was odd and start at the 4th one if it was even and do the following.  "Eennie meanie minny moe, catch a tiger by the toe, if he hollows let him go". Each time you say a word from that 'system selector phrase', move your finger one space further in conjunction with each word from the phrase.  Do that 6 times for 6 numbers, get those 6 numbers. Those 6 numbers will be your system set for the next spin.  Then each consecutive spin you will be doing the same thing for your 2nd wager, and so on. If either 0 hits start your thing on the 2nd number counterclockwise. 

Like highly recommended here, wager this great system 20 spins wagering the 6 sets of numbers.  Stop loss 100 units,  but I don't think you will encounter those 6 sets of numbers losing 20 times! 

I won 7 out of 9 spins.  The old lady told me it has a lot to do with how you point and verbally say out loud, extremely loud, the "eennie meanie minny moe" thing.  Have fun and win!

Pure bliss, I'm telling you!!!
#515
Al's Book Reviews / Baccarat by; Tommy Renzoni
October 31, 2017, 10:48:27 PM
Baccarat
By; Tommy Renzoni
Published 1977
$4.95
107 Pages
5 X 7 inch paperback size

I found this one the other day stuffed in a drawer of mine.  It is a non-fiction merge of basic baccarat rules, the real basic strategy most believe or believed and a bit of the history of the game.  It is real easy reading, small book.  Interesting to the the baccarat aficionados, if that is not you, my advise is to skip it.

It is out of print from what I gather but available in Amazon and E-bay from about $10.00 to $20.00 range. 

I truly love Tommy's closing paragraph of the book:

"They say that Lady Luck gets tired of carrying anyone on her shoulders for too long, but that in time, she'll give everyone a lift or two.  Your lucky turn will come, and when it does enjoy every minute of it.  I hope that I have shown you how to entice her your way a little sooner and to have a little more to show for it when she drops you than you otherwise have had."

Simply talk which is so spot on and so ignored by most.  ".......Most people do just the opposite, doubling up when they are losing in a foolish attempt to get their losses back fast, and restricting themselves becoming Conservative when they begin to win.  It's the old story of self-preservation.  They lose and they think they must get back to a break-even point as quickly as possible.  So they double up before coming into a win pattern, and what happens?"

Light reading, factual and plenty to get you really thinking.  Without all the icing and cherries of today's authors.

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#516
General Discussion / Selling in the forum
October 29, 2017, 09:53:08 AM
Usually and imo and experiences, members will come in, intro and state.  Rather than through out tantalising copy and paste videos and pictures.  Especially with what I call, post a tiny bit to build interest and bait.  I highly doubt I am wrong.
#517
You know, talking to someone over the weekend, we came on the subject about a few other message boards.  Some come quickly to mind and others, without mentioning their names--are always there.  They accomplish most nothing and are actually just 'repeaters' of most others written words or they ponder about them for a bit and then twist them--go back to their group of so called friends and boast themselves up as well as their board. 

Someone comes to mind and he is about the biggest piece of 'jerk butt' i ever met, gambled with and associated with for a year or two.  He boasted himself so high and then imploded with such 'big boom' it would make a nuclear explosion look dull.  He will probably wind up in prison and if not, he lost such substantial work and assets over gambling and publicity it is ludicrous!  But it is what it is.

And then there are the other naysayers and the readers of the boards that thrive on picking up a piece or two of what others write, twist it and put a little spin on it and post it to make you look bad or something of the likes.  Exactly what they are about--I really could not tell you, but there are numerous ones exactly like what I just described out there on the message boards.  I can only assume they are degen gamblers, lost most everything, have no real job and they are trying to be slick, kind of reminds me of OJ Simpson, actually.
 
Their accusations and their assumptions are idolized by a few within their little circles of 'new to the game' or 'slightly experienced', co-members within their own communities.  Cute, but they are totally worthless, contribute nothing and act like they are King Kong in a nursery school, banging on their chests that they just talked you down or got you banned from their stupid jerk-off community or they know everything you wrote about but forgot long ago.  But, they never write anything worth reading or feasible, nothing. 

With laughter, they actually entertain me to a certain point.  Don't get me wrong please!  I do understand that someone actually has to clean the public restrooms for a living.  That is what I compare them to if you really want to know. 
#518

High Tech cheaing by Russians with slot machines.  How they did it.

https://www.wired.com/2017/02/russians-engineer-brilliant-slot-machine-cheat-casinos-no-fix/
#520
Here is the deal, it is on the table for today only.

Go back, be quite and promote your book you so strongly believe in.  If you continue the brew-haha bogus/fake and play-time posts with your several proxy members, I will put some heart and soul into writing one of the most detail reviews on your book you ever seen and it will get posted on about 25 gambling sites, as well as--about 24-36 general sites.  I kid you not. The same way you threatened me for a few days with Vic and then I laid it out for Vic's review.  Then what happened, simply happened.

If you want some truthful, honest, horrible, scam exposure book reviews, keep it up.  For if you do, I wholeheartedly promise you, Vic, Esoito, ADulay, and each and every person here I will do what I say.  In fact, I have a woman that works for me in my office and she is working all day tomorrow and Sunday dispatching because I have 3 larger sized jobs going on and someone has to be next to the phones and the radios to log everything.  And, point being--she is very very good-creative and used to teach English as well.  Try me--call my bluff, please! I have plans out of the office all weekend starting tonight. 

So the ball is in your court.  I know you do not know a single thing about the Bronx, New York, but that is where I am from and my family as well.  I give you my word, I swear (with every ounce of frigging energy I have) that if your play-time does not cease and desist today, you will have the most honest--truthful--explicit--detailed--insightful and convincing book reviews from several experienced baccarat players about your book.  Call the FBI, The DEA, The ATF, NASA, The U.S. Attorney's Office, ISIS, Customs Police, Homeland Security, Las Vegas Metro Vice Cops, anyone your little heart pleases.  Take it anyway you want it--but what is fair, is fair--plain and simple. 

As they say, the ball is now in your court.  You sure are costing yourself numerous sales even if you squash the play-time, because I know there are people that would have bought your book but they will not just because of the games you play on here.  And as far as the airline pilot, give it a rest.  Someone 80 something years old does not function the way he portrays himself on here.  Plain and simple. As well as the other 2 or 3 members by proxy you created.  As well, there are other evidence tell-tales, such as the couple minute apart created profiles and more.  So stop! 

Here is your one chance, you first--immediate--and last.  Take it or not.  You call it, you roll with it.   Go back to your corner, promote your book out of our sight, stop the member-by-proxy stupid cow poo-poo and it is closed.  I will not offer again, this is it.  All you need to do, is come on here with your pilot by proxy or one of your other bogus fake member profile and say something berating and humiliating.  Then the game is on.  Nothing else to say  to be said.


Ball is in your court!
#521
Off-topic / The ultimate Irony-Destiny, Bullets
August 08, 2017, 01:17:10 PM
Well, there is some correlation here.  Some guy that has repeatedly claimed "I am bullet proof" (maybe he should have read books about Bullets and made a fortune playing baccarat????, but he is well-known for claiming God made him "BULLET PROOF" after he was previously shot 11 separate times.  Well the other day he died and that was his 12th time being shot.  Kind of like winning and then going broke, huh?

http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/music/rapper-yung-mazi-fatally-shot-atlanta-article-1.3391526



#522
Hi All,

Here is something of interest to those that like a bit of gambling related novel reading:

https://www.fantasticfiction.com/s/james-swain/

Lots of gambling related novels, Las Vegas and Atlantic City, etc. 

Check out his books! 

https://www.fantasticfiction.com/s/james-swain/super-con.htm

BTW--the author has tons of great reviews on Amazon!!!!!

https://www.amazon.com/Take-Billy-Cunningham-James-Swain/dp/147782202X/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1502122050&sr=1-1

What is better the reading a great novel, sipping on an iced drink, enjoying a waterfall or even the sight of a garbage truck owned by some Italian family emptying the dumpster nearby, or even eating some great BBQ in Compton, California listening to the sirens running by on their way to another shooting??
#523
According to the media, if you win the lottery you basically only have crack-hookers and murder to look forward to???

Guess it's a slow day with the media?  IDK?

https://www.yahoo.com/news/lottery-horror-stories-think-twice-123000484.html
#524
'Gambling Theory and Other Topics'
By:  Mason Malmuth

397 Pages
First published (I believe 1987)
In its (at least) 6th printing which was 2004
$29.95 

Available on most gambling books and general book websites.

Here is the Amazon link:  https://www.amazon.com/Gambling-Theory-Other-Topics-Malmuth/dp/1880685035/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1501330970&sr=8-1&keyw

This book, IMO--is simply a mist for anyone that is going to gamble.  There are basic books and then here are the 'staples'.  This to me, is one of the best--basic and full of important and vital info and insights any player must ead and refer to from time-to-time! 

If you do not have this book, you are not serious, you know everything and/or you lost so much money--you just have to inclination to improve yourself or learn anything whatsoever!

With that said, I like it!  LOL.  Seriously, it is fantastic.  Although, he is a poker freak and a poker lover/author, I ignore those sections, most applies to gambling anything, including, BACCARAT!

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Fundamental--Foundation Building Material--Fun

Lots & Lots of references and directions to explore.

Although a lot about poker and opponents, etc., I ignore those parts.  There is lots of great stuff here that can assist you in opening a door for you to realize many things.

The explanations (even if you don't agree) is the best part of the book.  Stating what is essential--what is present  and will haunt you if you fail to pay attention to them, will allow the smarter players to explore what those are and be conscious of them (hopefully). 

This book can let you realize and learn numerous things that will help you in so many ways.  "Skills Required to Hit Big Time" and "Dangerous Ideas" are great.  Although most of you guys want someone to spell out a bet selection scheduled placement method, such as--"Wager the player after the banker did such and such" and you will win 98% of those every time.  Sorry, it does not exist and never ever will.  Read, learn, invent, explore and research what will control yourself, allow you to hold your buy in and win money steady, and many other things--you need reference, insight and ideas to do that!  Here is one of them for only $29.95.

He talks about and touches on, "Theories, Fallacies, After Thoughts, Skills, Ideas and Fantasies".  It's up to you to learn more about those and here is the best starting point you can ever have. 

Thumbs Up, both of them!
#525
'The Book On Vegas'

This is an out of print, but available on Amazon and Barnes and Noble websites, as well as other internet sites. 

It is extremely heavy, gold page edges and a classic 'coffee table' style book.  It is larger, about 12 by 13 inches.  A couple hundred pages.  Extremely well done.  I have 3 different ones but this is my favorite.  I do remember some of the stuff in it and others, before my time in Vegas.  Lots of unique and one of a kind, never seen before or published elsewhere type of shots.

I shot about 8 or 9 pictures of the book, I will attach them. The book and the pages are beautiful without a doubt.

No reading, just sit back and 'ogle' at the stuff!  Something for everyone.  If you have any interest in Las Vegas and anything and everything that happened there, especially the entertainment--the artists and the shows, you can't go wrong with this book.  If you are only interested in gambling and reading about the games or even the industry, this is not for you.

https://www.amazon.com/Book-Vegas-Dave-Hickey/dp/0972778888/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1501278590&sr=8-1&keywords=the+boo

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