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Messages - alrelax

#1096
Wagering & Intricacies / The 6 R's
August 27, 2019, 03:22:31 PM
You must realize, that a designing a Scope of Result, is to contain actions, that you solely initiate and control, not the shoe. The shoe produces presentments, the average bac player is attempting to have the shoe conform to his desires, rather than, the player conforming to the shoe's presentments. 

The design goal is to get to the point of comfort, confidence and belief.  One that does not threaten your wagering and force you to reduce ideal or beneficial wagers that would be positive for you and move you from that idle comfort zone, to that horrible tilt.  How does the above relate to process?

Moving to affect the person and how it does that.  I call then the 6 R's:

Recognition
Realization
Reaction
Results
Reductions
Raises

The movement requires transporting yourself from the one person MYSELF frame-of-mind, to an outsider, onlooker of sorts. 

Do you really understand the negative effects on movement?  Too often everyone settles for the armchair quarterbacking information as our only information collected during the presentments.  But that is the underlying problems in my opinion.

There are so many input processes that are active, and we generally limit ourselves and cut the picture of winning down.  Cut it down quite a bit in the name of safety and money management control. 

You will not understand how to design what will help you, unless you really know what the problem is.  The negative effects, the positive effects and how each one of them will hurt you or help you, rather than the complete belief into something that will only grind you down or keep you from winning, which is a schedule of wager according to a very small win stop and loss stop agenda which is the main topic and subject these days on the websites and forums.  It is a great prelude to the many fallacies that the player will fall to eventually. 

What most everyone seems to deny as well as not to adhere to or admit is factual:

If XYZ is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.
If ABC is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.


Fallacy, the path to failure or non-winning in most all cases.  You must realize that you are not changing, you are adapting with foresight and realization as it happens.  And that is not easy and precisely why so many will never grasp the beauty of the game of Baccarat. 

When you enhance something, falsely or accurately, the more controlled the present situation will be.  And when it becomes controlled, you are destined for the realization of what that shoe will present, nothing will change that.

Reduction.  Continue?  Complete.  Enough?  Neutral.  Sufficient?

You drown yourself in the concentration of not knowing.  Stop.  Correct yourself and learn. 
#1097
Me, You & Them / Last Night at the Casino 8-25-2019
August 26, 2019, 03:40:06 PM
Funny how times have changed!  I have said it before and I will say it once again.  Baccarat (at least in real B&M casinos) has changed in the past 10 years or so.  I say it is because of the huge influence of the internet and easily accessed (and believed) gaming information by system publishers, self-published books, and everything else along those lines with gambling and of course baccarat. 

Do not get me wrong.  We used to lose before the AI and the evolution of the Internet as I mentioned.  But we used to clean out the dealers rack a heck of a lot more often than what takes place now.  With the belief of the statistics, mathematical grinding surpasses positive progression with show presentments, etc., etc., and so on---there is a lot less players these days absolutely pouncing on and smacking the casino.  They read, learn and strictly limit themselves to the 'CUT' and 'GRIND' and are lucky to escape the casino with breaking even or a few units, rather than the kinds of wins that were more regular before that would certainly be classified as a genuine 'rarity' now.

Last night I was at the casino.  I sat down as one shoe was ending.  The shuffle took place and after the dealer performed a mini-hand shuffle (as the players requested) after taking the cards from the automatic card shuffling machine, the game was on.  A few 1's and 3's to start and a couple of 1's and 2's and around hand 18-20 or so, the following comes out.

BBBBBBBTBB-P-B-PPPPP-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-BB-P

So, it looked something like this after the initial 18 hands or so:

B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B
B        P-T-T- T-T- T-T-B
B        P
B        P
B        P
BT-B-B

A couple of the people playing did make a good amount of profit on just that section, but by far the majority lost their rear ends!  They continual and without thought, wager for the 'CUT' convinced that the next hand has to 'CUT' to the opposite side for whatever reason.  Then right about the time the ties began, most of them wager for the repeats.  The ties just added confusion and fallacy to the entire 'attempting to figure out reasoning' of what the shoe is producing and why. 
#1098
H-Money went to the casino last night.  Tells me he arrived there at about 2:00 AM and was a full table all 12 seats having players in them with at least 15-20 people standing wagering over their shoulders in each of the other spots.  The one table holds up to 36 players able to play at one time.  Anyway, his friend is playing and everyone was smacking the casino winning most hands for about 10-15 hands or so he told me. 

Then everything changed.  After talking with H-Money for some time, he finally tells me they we all constantly wagering for the classic 'CUT' on just about every hand.  Which of course it was doing.  Then like I said, after about 15 hands or so, it got super strong and was repeating everything, Bankers, Players as well as the chop and doubles.

He said just about everyone continued with the 'CUT' every hand and then switched up to FLD's (following the last win presentment).  Just about the time they did that, the shoe switched back to the 'CUT' once again.

About 6AM nearly all got wiped, a few walked away with something he said.  H-Money brought $500.00 to play with and lost that.  He had another $600.00 on him and he lost that.  He hit his cards and pulled another $900.00 and change after paying the $40 or so monstrous ATM cash advance charges because of the machine's limit, etc.  He wound up losing it all. 

Admitted to me he could not control himself and was literally chasing his lost $500.00 from the very beginning after giving back about $1,000.00 or so of win money he quickly received in just a few hands.   
#1100
Alrelax's Blog / Roulette. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:11:30 PM
Enjoy, another full movie for my friends.   :beer:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nG-MC1xrEYo
#1101
Alrelax's Blog / Cold Deck. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:08:45 PM
The Full Movie.  Enjoy my friends!   :beer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8V4csMz5y80
#1106
Creepy behind Cracker, LOL.  Unbelievable!  Really unbelievable. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MjVhjMeiGzM
#1109

'Vision, Consciousness & Recognition of Funds'


Whether it is bank roll or buy-in or win funds.
Does not matter.  A portion of players will handle their funds extremely consciously, very intelligent and with the knowledge and constant recognition, that the funds they possess, on the table, in their pocket, or those that are available,  should not govern them in their decision making processes, whatever that may be.  Pretty much straight forward and simplistic to the easiest ABC's and Gambling 101's.

However, I have asked many people that do play baccarat, as to their views and thoughts on 'win' money in particular. 
The rest the money situation and how each thinks about it, really is too varied and too complicated to understand without knowing those people 24/7 for huge amounts of time.  So, here it is from the 'horses' mouths as the saying goes.

I asked H-Money the other night.
Me: "Say you won $100,000.00 from the casino and left with it, went and purchased two cars for $50,000.00 each.  Then you went back next week to any casino and lost your check of $1,500.00 that night.  Would you be down $1,500.00 or what"?  H-Money:  "No, I would be not be down, I would be up $98,500.00 if that was my second time gambling". 

He further went on to say, "You have to keep a running total in your head, as to the amount you are up or down, because you are free to play if you are still up and you have to be careful and play more cautiously if you are down, until you get up again." 

WOW! I actually heard almost that same thing from another two baccarat players that played the game for a couple of years or so.  Interesting!  I do believe that money management systems and thought/beliefs about 'win' money, go hand in hand--with how a player thinks, cashes out and gauges his play/session times at the table. 

I have definitely concluded for myself that 'refreshing and resetting' during the sessions as well as at the end of the session, no matter the outcome (win or lose) is vitally important and in your favor tremendously. 

Viewing 'wins' as not yours is extremely dangerous;
Viewing, 'cash outs' as 'up' money is extremely dangerous;
Running tab---of wins and losses and gauging yourself according to same, is extremely dangerous.


The above leads most players to, 'have to make'; 'have to earn'; 'pressure'; 'false positive reinforcements'; 'forced sessions to produce'; 'visions that cannot be seen or realized are even happening in front of them'; 'possible reinforcing of negativity or caution that hampers their winning ability'. 
#1110
Me, You & Them / 5 Thoughts of Mind-Friday 8-23-2019
August 23, 2019, 11:44:57 AM
1)      There is a tendency to confuse the unfamiliar with the improbable. And that my friend is a huge block for many bac players.  The contingency that we have chosen not to, or refuse to, seriously looks strange to us.  And, what looks strange to us, we will generally classify as improbable.  Then subconsciously you NOT will figure, what is an improbable needs not to be considered seriously.

2)      Next, when a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we generally do not even think about it or give it much consideration.  Again a huge mistake to make in bac.  Instead, you will just develop a sort of mind-blindness to those types of things.  My reasoning behind that is the following.  You will not admit to what you do not know.  Simple.  AKA:  Not having or refusing to have an open mind.

3)      A known or an Unknown? Donald Rumsfeld summed it up best.  Here is what I am talking about.  There are known knowns; there are things that we know we know.  We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things that we do not know.  But there are also unknown unknowns-there are things we do not know we do not know.

4)      Few things fall squarely into the categories of totally predictable or totally unpredictable in baccarat.  Even if you do not know to predict something with 100% certainty, you might be able to come up with an estimate or a forecast of type, to at least visual the threat, which is if you are in the right frame-of-mind.   But at least you will give yourself an edge and get a little further and become a little better than sitting there oblivious to what can happen.  If you fail to make a forecast at all, you will see everything important as an unknown and those very things will remain as an unknown.

5)      Be careful against giving yourself, or allowing yourself to remain with a mental block.  The problem of the mental block will develop out of frustration that your knowledge of baccarat is imperfect and/or weak, thus failing to make any forecast or give yourself an edge.  And what is worse yet, after you repeatedly lose playing baccarat, you justify the continuance without any sort of rationalization into a forecast by telling yourself that there is no way to forecast anything because nothing exists to forecast.