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Messages - alrelax

#1141
Helping to Define Presentments, Models & Bet Selection Wagering, PART 1

How do you do what is correct today, like right now at the table? Talking about it and having others review it, a few will always find something wrong with what you said.  And those types will go to great lengths in the attempt to prove their findings.  Then they post, demean, humiliate and have a tiny consensus of their peers that join them.  But the bottom line is, that they are living in a fallacy world of portraying that they play the necessary hours and amounts of shoes to equal the 51% Plus outcome and thus, they win each and every time.  Complete and utter nonsense to the max!   

Always a group of presentments will come around but subsequently, believing such is the way to win at baccarat, you are only preparing the depth of the hole to bury yourself.
  That group of wins that has a percentage of somewhere from 51 to 60% or even greater, on all the testing and results of mathematical models, will eventually come around.  But the waiting time for any such event will eat up far more profits than you will make.  But hey, certainly makes great worthless and senseless ammunition in the forum gambling board war of the full-time posters.

The times that those events do not come around, as well as the times your event just immediately fizzles out early, will eat those wagers up.  Problem is, you are narrowing your vision, your consciousness and losing out of numerous chances and the ability to capitalize on presentments that everyone just responds with that all too familiar 'WOW' over.  To me, that is the only way to explain the solid, powerful, consistent and repetitive patterns/trends/events being produced form the shoe with virtually very few if any people wagering with the shoe.  They are nearly all hooked on the cut to the opposite last win or wagering on that event they found will register 51% Plus on thousands or tens of thousands of shoes. 

Be it:  XOXOXOXOXOXOXOXO  or maybe; XXOOXXOOXXOOXXOOXXOO or maybe; XXXXXXXXXOXXXXXXX or maybe; XOOOXXOOXXXO or that every Natural win cuts to the opposite side or that every third card draw adds up to an 8 or a 9 total to one side only and reduces the other for like 7 or 8 or 10 consecutive hands.  And many many more, too numerous to list.

Sure, you can engage and believe the gambling forum full time posters with their long drawn out dialog of samples that are proven by computer testing will put you on easy money street.  But in reality, taking those same groups of events to the baccarat table, will prove a loss to yourself.  Because you will do just as I said in the above info.  You will have loss far more than you will ever win.  Of course, every author I have read posts and posts their theories claiming they grind it out and make a solid living from it, but without any proof except computer generated score cards, their altered test results and their complex definitions of how and why it all happened.  And those that say they win far more than they loss will never post a picture, never post a win-loss statement, never post their contact info, never get on the phone with another and numerous other traits of the same lines.  They are internet drama queens and bored out of their minds.  Fueled only by fallacy turned around and having a few in their small worthless group of followers.

There are ways to win at baccarat and it all has to do with mostly non-mechanical and non-mathematical knowledge.

Alrelax/Glen.
#1142
From the Washington Examiner 

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Hillary Clinton, who escaped charges for mishandling top secret intel, says Trump would be indicted if he weren't president

by Becket Adams

If anyone knows anything about the powerful benefiting from protections from the law that regular people do not enjoy, it is two-time failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

Lucky for us, she has some thoughts on the matter.

The former secretary of state was asked Tuesday at an event organized by Time magazine whether she believes the president committed an obstruction of justice offense in his attempts to interfere in the federal investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election.

Clinton responded by saying the special counsel's report shows there is enough there that any other person who engaged in those acts would have been indicted.

"But because of the rule in the Justice Department that you can't indict a sitting president, the whole matter of obstruction was very directly sent to the Congress," she said.

In other words, Trump is a free man only because we have different rules for different people in this country, according to Clinton.
"If you read that part of the report, it could not be clearer," she said of the special counsel's investigation. "We do have checks and balances in America and there is this thing called Congress. You could not be more explicit than, Please, look at this.' You may conclude it doesn't rise to an impeachable offense, that's your job, but I'm giving this to you.'

I will give her this: She is sticking to what she knows. If anyone knows anything about the two-tiered system of law in this country, it is her.

As secretary of state, Clinton maintained an unauthorized home brew server in a bathroom at her house in Chappaqua, N.Y. The server not only jeopardized national security secrets and other sensitive government intelligence, but it also allowed her to skirt normal record-keeping laws and regulations. Clinton and her team were able to delete and destroy thousands of messages later without having to turn them over to the regular federal officials as is required of all secretaries of state.


Yet despite engaging in behavior that would land any number of low or mid-level military personnel or federal contractors in prison for a very, very long time, Clinton faced no legal repercussions. Former FBI chief James Comey said that the bureau's investigation had found she was "extremely careless" in her handling of sensitive government intelligence. It probably helped that the attorney general at the time, Loretta Lynch, who refused to recuse herself from the investigation, specifically instructed the FBI not to charge Clinton with gross negligence, which was the only real charge considered against the secretary of state.

Clinton is not even wrong in her assessment about Trump avoiding obstruction charges. She has a point!

But let that point come from someone who has not rather famously benefited from an unequal application of the law. Clinton grousing about Trump in this matter would be like Henry Kissinger coming out as a strong critic of the architects of the Iraq War.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/hillary-clinton-who-escaped-charges-for-mishandling-top-secret-intel-says-trump-would-be-indicted-if-he-werent-president
#1143
Means "sex", "I have a problem", and also a form of "secretive code talking" for black people.  But hey, it is what it clearly is.  Thank you guys for reading! :cheer: >:D


https://www.dictionary.com/e/slang/hey-hey-hey/

And as if that is not enough to explain it; The other one is truly an author's delight as it is factual and signifies what many interface themselves with:

"Hey Hey", defined:

A "hey hey" is a homosexual male over the age of 18. People with the name James, may be called a "hey hey". A "hey hey" may also enjoy being with muscular men and walk threw grocery stores with them. These types of people enjoy living in apartment buildings with two or more men. "hey hey's" are about 75% homosexual, 17% pedophile, 5% women, and only 3% human.  Steve: " hey saw bob today when i was at the grocery store and i swear to god the cashier was such a "hey hey", he invited to let me stay at his apartment".

Bob: "are you serious, just the other day i saw a "hey hey" at the garden supply store it was icky"
"hey hey", "hoes monster", "queer", "homo", "homosexual", "gay", "pedophile", "creep".
posted by: enus rosenburg February 14, 2009.................................

Sorry if this offends you, but it is the brutal honest truth!  If you are a 'hey hey' sign it to your name and fly the LGBT flag and be darn proud of it, if not, well LMFAO!  :nod:
#1144
Cannot make this stuff up, it is factual.  Sit back and watch.

Their most promising?  LOL.
  Okay, Trump just locked himself in for another 4 years and for those that still think he is going to be impeached, yeah right.  Hope you did not hold your breath.  Oh yeah, by the way, Hillary should be indicted in the near future as well.  Those were blatant acts of criminality.  Remember Watergate, federal prisons are certainly available and there are numerous ones for female offenders as well.

1)   "I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts," the Democratic front runner said later that day. "I'm not sure whether it was the medical school or where the hell I spoke, but it was on the campus."

2)   Former Vice President Joe Biden joked to his New Hampshire supporters that he isn't 'going nuts' following a string of campaign trail gaffes, the latest in which he forgot the location of the Dartmouth College building where he delivered a speech on Friday.

3)   While speaking with a reporter who asked for his impression of Keene, a city in southwest New Hampshire, he accidentally referred to the state as Vermont.

4)   On Tuesday, Biden slipped up again during a speech in Iowa where he said that Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr. were "assassinated in the 70s".  Both were killed in 1968.

5)   Earlier this month, Biden made additional headlines for stating during a separate Iowa speech that "poor kids are just as bright, just as talented, as white kids,"  quickly adding, "wealthy kids, black kids, Asian kids, no I really mean it, but think how we think about it."

6)   Defending Biden, Symone Sanders, his senior adviser, urged the public in a CNN interview to stop focusing on his errors.  "If we're going to elevate the conversation, we cannot allow this election to devolve in a tit-for-tat over name-calling and 'gaffes,' again something that does not matter," she said. "This is not something that's registering with the American people."

~someone should have told that #6 to Hillary, LOL.


https://www.huffpost.com/entry/joe-biden-not-going-nuts-after-dartmouth-mistake_n_5d640553e4b01d7b52933e52


https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/lawyer-who-made-case-for-clinton-indictment-confirmed-as-judge
#1145
Wagering & Intricacies / The 6 R's
August 27, 2019, 03:22:31 PM
You must realize, that a designing a Scope of Result, is to contain actions, that you solely initiate and control, not the shoe. The shoe produces presentments, the average bac player is attempting to have the shoe conform to his desires, rather than, the player conforming to the shoe's presentments. 

The design goal is to get to the point of comfort, confidence and belief.  One that does not threaten your wagering and force you to reduce ideal or beneficial wagers that would be positive for you and move you from that idle comfort zone, to that horrible tilt.  How does the above relate to process?

Moving to affect the person and how it does that.  I call then the 6 R's:

Recognition
Realization
Reaction
Results
Reductions
Raises

The movement requires transporting yourself from the one person MYSELF frame-of-mind, to an outsider, onlooker of sorts. 

Do you really understand the negative effects on movement?  Too often everyone settles for the armchair quarterbacking information as our only information collected during the presentments.  But that is the underlying problems in my opinion.

There are so many input processes that are active, and we generally limit ourselves and cut the picture of winning down.  Cut it down quite a bit in the name of safety and money management control. 

You will not understand how to design what will help you, unless you really know what the problem is.  The negative effects, the positive effects and how each one of them will hurt you or help you, rather than the complete belief into something that will only grind you down or keep you from winning, which is a schedule of wager according to a very small win stop and loss stop agenda which is the main topic and subject these days on the websites and forums.  It is a great prelude to the many fallacies that the player will fall to eventually. 

What most everyone seems to deny as well as not to adhere to or admit is factual:

If XYZ is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.
If ABC is moving/presenting, then: There is nothing mechanical to guarantee any outcome, never ever has been and never will be.


Fallacy, the path to failure or non-winning in most all cases.  You must realize that you are not changing, you are adapting with foresight and realization as it happens.  And that is not easy and precisely why so many will never grasp the beauty of the game of Baccarat. 

When you enhance something, falsely or accurately, the more controlled the present situation will be.  And when it becomes controlled, you are destined for the realization of what that shoe will present, nothing will change that.

Reduction.  Continue?  Complete.  Enough?  Neutral.  Sufficient?

You drown yourself in the concentration of not knowing.  Stop.  Correct yourself and learn. 
#1146
Me, You & Them / Last Night at the Casino 8-25-2019
August 26, 2019, 03:40:06 PM
Funny how times have changed!  I have said it before and I will say it once again.  Baccarat (at least in real B&M casinos) has changed in the past 10 years or so.  I say it is because of the huge influence of the internet and easily accessed (and believed) gaming information by system publishers, self-published books, and everything else along those lines with gambling and of course baccarat. 

Do not get me wrong.  We used to lose before the AI and the evolution of the Internet as I mentioned.  But we used to clean out the dealers rack a heck of a lot more often than what takes place now.  With the belief of the statistics, mathematical grinding surpasses positive progression with show presentments, etc., etc., and so on---there is a lot less players these days absolutely pouncing on and smacking the casino.  They read, learn and strictly limit themselves to the 'CUT' and 'GRIND' and are lucky to escape the casino with breaking even or a few units, rather than the kinds of wins that were more regular before that would certainly be classified as a genuine 'rarity' now.

Last night I was at the casino.  I sat down as one shoe was ending.  The shuffle took place and after the dealer performed a mini-hand shuffle (as the players requested) after taking the cards from the automatic card shuffling machine, the game was on.  A few 1's and 3's to start and a couple of 1's and 2's and around hand 18-20 or so, the following comes out.

BBBBBBBTBB-P-B-PPPPP-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-B-T-P-T-BB-P

So, it looked something like this after the initial 18 hands or so:

B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B
B        P-T-T- T-T- T-T-B
B        P
B        P
B        P
BT-B-B

A couple of the people playing did make a good amount of profit on just that section, but by far the majority lost their rear ends!  They continual and without thought, wager for the 'CUT' convinced that the next hand has to 'CUT' to the opposite side for whatever reason.  Then right about the time the ties began, most of them wager for the repeats.  The ties just added confusion and fallacy to the entire 'attempting to figure out reasoning' of what the shoe is producing and why. 
#1147
H-Money went to the casino last night.  Tells me he arrived there at about 2:00 AM and was a full table all 12 seats having players in them with at least 15-20 people standing wagering over their shoulders in each of the other spots.  The one table holds up to 36 players able to play at one time.  Anyway, his friend is playing and everyone was smacking the casino winning most hands for about 10-15 hands or so he told me. 

Then everything changed.  After talking with H-Money for some time, he finally tells me they we all constantly wagering for the classic 'CUT' on just about every hand.  Which of course it was doing.  Then like I said, after about 15 hands or so, it got super strong and was repeating everything, Bankers, Players as well as the chop and doubles.

He said just about everyone continued with the 'CUT' every hand and then switched up to FLD's (following the last win presentment).  Just about the time they did that, the shoe switched back to the 'CUT' once again.

About 6AM nearly all got wiped, a few walked away with something he said.  H-Money brought $500.00 to play with and lost that.  He had another $600.00 on him and he lost that.  He hit his cards and pulled another $900.00 and change after paying the $40 or so monstrous ATM cash advance charges because of the machine's limit, etc.  He wound up losing it all. 

Admitted to me he could not control himself and was literally chasing his lost $500.00 from the very beginning after giving back about $1,000.00 or so of win money he quickly received in just a few hands.   
#1149
Alrelax's Blog / Roulette. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:11:30 PM
Enjoy, another full movie for my friends.   :beer:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nG-MC1xrEYo
#1150
Alrelax's Blog / Cold Deck. The full movie, ENJOY!
August 24, 2019, 08:08:45 PM
The Full Movie.  Enjoy my friends!   :beer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8V4csMz5y80
#1155
Creepy behind Cracker, LOL.  Unbelievable!  Really unbelievable. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MjVhjMeiGzM