You know, there was two fatal accidents near me the past few days.  Both of them the driver and/or occupants of the vehicle that was fatal were at fault.  Fault.  What is fault within a vehicle accident?  Fault means, that the cause of the liability, blame and reason for the accident was with a certain party, etc.  Yes, agreed.  No biggie. 

But it takes two to tango, no?  If the person that was at fault did not do something, then there would have been no accident, correct?  At least according to the technical and legal aspect of it all.  Of course there was another driver/person involved that hit the at fault driver's vehicle and crashed. 

In both cases it involved red lighted intersections.  One was a motorcycle.  Motorcycle ran the red light at high speed and it was the motorcycles fault.  However, the vehicle that ran into and over the motorcyclist was on the phone supposedly texting or watching her phone at her red light and when the light turned green, legally proceeded straight across her white line and stopping point.  She never looked to her left or right.  All she knew 100% is the light that was red in front of her turned green, time to GO.  And she did, right over the motorcyclist.  The motorcyclist died.  His fault.  He was convicted and sentenced.  She was exonerated. Case closed.

The next one their was a pickup truck with a trailer and boat, family coming back from the weekend out.  Pick up truck operator swerves to miss a piece of slow moving farm equipment over a steep blind hill where that pick up truck driver was supposedly going over 80 MPH in a 65 MPH zone.  They knew this because of the orange needle mark from the speedometer that was smashed against the plastic gauge cover of the instrument panel when it was pushed against the needle in the head on crash that resulted form the serve of the pickup truck.  The pickup truck swerved directly into another vehicle coming over the hill also at a high rate of speed and crashed head on into the one that swerved.  If the piece of farm equipment did not suddenly enter the roadway and as well, if the oncoming vehicle was not going so fast as well, the pickup truck with the boat and family never would have crashed.  Yes it was that one trucks fault with the boat and trailer, as far as the legal liability, etc.  But..............................

Whatever happened to common sense and driving to not cause accidents?  Whatever happened to looking multiple ways before entering or turning into or from an intersection, etc.?  Lord, when I received my CDL drivers license, when I took the road test at every single intersection or turn, a CDL driver is legally obligated to look 3 times, 3 separate times!  I grant you I do not always do that, but I do at least twice, no matter what time of day or night and no matter how light or heavy the traffic is.  I do! 

I have observed countless drivers pulling away from red lights and stop signs without ever turning their heads to the side.  They must do it with peripheral vision?  The largest contributing factor of crashes is at a red light or a turn where one vehicle strikes the other.  I watched yesterday, a lady at a red light watching her phone.  Very clear and when that light turned green, she accelerated, never ever looked to the side to see if someone stupid was running their red light or anything.  All she knew was that her light turned green and it was time to go forward.  WOW, really guys! 

Can I please interject here for certain points?

REF: 

"Final note. If a bac player have found betting lines capable to get a long term edge,  this edge will be quite limited hence susceptible to great fluctuations. That's why we should think about the large picture and not about the stupi.d single shoe we're playing at.
as."

These stupid shoes have made me huge amounts of money as compared to the grind and all the other ones, if played with isolation and then forgotten about as far as what normally happens, if I can borrow and use the word normally as some kind of explanation. 

Look at the pictures I post almost on a regular basis. 

If I look at the large picture I would lose every session, IMO.  Because the large picture brings on too much and too many possibilities that probably will not happen in the same amount of time we are sitting there playing.  What is going to happen is that STUPID SHOE with 20-25 Players to 3 Bankers immediately or 20-25 Bankers with 3 Players immediately, or 6 Panda 8s with three of them back to back to back or 15 Players and a few hands later 16 Bankers or two 3 card 8/9s followed by 4 Fortune 7s out of 7 or 8 straight Bankers hands winning or 7 doubles followed by 8 singles followed by 4 sets of 4 followed by (?).  And we would missed it all because we are expecting the long run with a calm mixture of what NORMALLY happens. 

But either way, with those stupid shoes or the calm normal one, if a player wagers strictly for those stupid crazy shoes as I have mentioned and shown lately and repeatably posted, he will go broke because there are more of the other calm and non-crazy type of shoes.  But when he is exposed to those other non-crazy and normal ones he will only make so much that will also disappear on his attempt to continue the same wagering pattern/decisions on ones that appear normal and calm but will not match his wagering, or eventually capitalize on those stupid ones when some other players are pulling down tens of thousands of dollars within a shoe or two.  Either way, any repetitive player doing the same thing will lose, either his bank roll or every buy in or just hopefully break even and recoup his losses because he stayed wagering the same on whatever he was attempting for, in dreadful and wrongful wagering consistency decision making/planning. 

IMO and experience and realizing profit on those stupid shoes.  My thoughts attempted to come out.  And not as a put down or a chastising attempt either.  As reality. 

My full 2 cents on 2 important subject raised by AsymB:  https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/two-things-re-presents-long-term-edge-and-stupid-shoes/msg66784/#msg66784

Gotta love with 100% lust and desire, jumping on another site (or other place) and reading a bit of what some Bac players actually put out there!  What a pick me up at 2AM closing my place on a slow night! 

Judge your wagering by the condition of the cards!  Fresh cards versus used and reshuffled cards.  LOL, physically fell off my chair laughing my guts out!  By he way, are we talking about dealer flipping only, as in original mini bac like $5.00 to $500.00 type games?  I have not seen a mini bac for years, I thought just about everything was Macau style where the cards have to be changed each and every shoe, they are zip lock bag, sealed and ID'd and put away. 

Also, what is with those not demanding a quick shuffle on pre-shuffled decks these days, every casino will do it, they have to according to most all state laws anyways or at least allowed at the discretion of the casino.  LOL, once again!

An hour or less for a complete 80 hand shoe of baccarat with all of its buy ins, problems, stoppage and calling over the floor.  Who in the frick gets under one hour complete games.  I guess it is limited to two low dollar players banging it out with some open floor mini table, no commission, $5 or $10 to $500/$1,000 table where both players are hyped and wager to get through the shoe.  Because I almost never ever see anything like that.

I also love the explanation of the bac players blaming their losses on drinking and having fun.  Personally I have never seen that, but again, maybe that is the open floor low dollar game next to blackjack at $2.00 to $50.00 a hand type of tables?  I really have never seen a bac player blame his losses on having fun and free drinks.   Makes you kind of wonder the atmosphere and type of casinos the message board bac experts are getting their stories from?

I also absolutely love the one about the pro Bac player grinding it out for repetitive 20 to 30 hour at a whack gigs and hardly ever losing, always breaks even after substantial losses or wins in the session end, almost every time he posts.  Or at least the few I did read. 

The other one I simply love is where the poster hates, despises another member on the board, yet he continually follows him, reads his stuff, comments on it and wastes his time when he continually in almost every post tells everyone else not to pay any attention to the person he is writing about and following and what a lair that person is, etc., etc. 

Visual Curve


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Once you figure out the basics of the game, you will see it a bit clearer.  You might not know every hand coming out, but your frame of mind will see things a little clearer, here is an example.  Jumbled up and a little bit easier to see.  Top Versus the Bottom:

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BY: Alrelax/Glen 6-4-2019

Meaningful relationship are inclinations. The relationships you engage that are derived from both personal and tangible things will produce knowledge, experience and information of all types.  That knowledge, experiences and information can be positive, great and money-making ammunition or it can very well be negative, horrible and a financial ruining adventure!  Therefore, you need to concentrate on yourself, your knowledge, experience, information sources and application of those things along with all the other psychological and frame-of-mind contributors that will allow you to excel in the game of baccarat.

Problem is; In the last 20 or so years, the huge growth that took off from the beginning of the internet and available information and technology days, is the exponential growth of INSTANT KNOWLEDGE, INSTANT ANSWERS, INSTANT EXPERIENCE for almost all taste it in your mouth gamblers, without the blood-sweat and tears of being in the trenches and learning it the way we used to.  Two different avenues, two different ways entirely.  Being at the table for years with decent players in real atmospheres of the real thing with real money is a world of difference than practicing on a computer, jumping on a forum and reading and not even having the judgement to know if the person you are learning from or talking to is a scam artist or a 3 month, new to the game player, etc., or anything of a hundred other off the wall motivating reasons the others are there and telling you stuff.

It is certainly two-fold, do not get me wrong.  First, there are millions and millions, billions and billions and most likely trillions and trillions of potentially interesting things on the internet.  However, when it comes to learning something, there is probably an equal amount of fake, non-researched, non-verified or just plain scam artist type of fake stuff as there are the real deal, nitty gritty bits and pieces.  Fun to think you just secretly read the holy grail or stumbled upon the greatest baccarat gambling formula from some claiming to be professional that spends all day on the computer causing misnomers about people, other members of forums as well as anything else or anyone else they can chastise, humiliate or talk down to.  Why?  I have no real idea except they are time wasters and what we used to call in the auto business, tire kickers. 

The expectation is, that we can use the information to make predication, math, statistical and all that work for us as well as their own special ways as to when and how to place wagers.  Nothing else exists in the game to win, according to those that write, post and press that information, etc.  And there most certainly is tons of other things that will allow you to win, keep winning, cash out and walk with profit or lose without ever really having a chance to consistently or sporadically take a profit from playing.  Back to the main purpose here.  I am not saying that we have not made any progress in positive and real applications of gaming knowledge because of the internet, we have.  But I do believe the negative and the wrong concerning gambling and baccarat are far in excess than the other way around on the internet message boards, forums and the paid sites.

Considering that there are millions and billions and trillions of papers and all that on the internet, it would be a shame if there was not useful stuff. But they are obviously not all real, useful or going to lead you immediately down easy street and onto the holy grail within a few days.  You will still have to define, interpreted and discover what is reliable, accurate and useful for your financial assets that you are risking and playing with and how to set your own protocols and plans.  The average Joe reading a good portion of the stuff we write, will not use any of it, IMO.  He will believe he is researching and learning, but his brain and own experiences and knowledge will overwhelm him with complete changes to most everything he reads on the internet when it comes to risking his own money on it.  Most, and I use that word with lightness, MOST, are not really contributing much to generating knowledge or really anything worthwhile at all.  Then they all get talked about and passed on with twists and turns, etc., etc.

And just about everyone, probably 95-98% conservatively, out of every 100 people at baccarat tables around the country, would never consider themselves an average Joe.  Never.  Never ever.  And therein lies today's problem, false positives.  FALSE-POSITIVES.  Read, absorb, believe and behave with false positives that control, influence and direct you to the wrong thinking, beliefs and theories at the baccarat table and you just earmarked your bank roll and every buy in for donation to the casino. 

That is why our predictions may be more prone to failure in this era of big data availability.  AKA: The Internet.  For those of you that really played prior to 2000, maybe 1996 or so, you cannot honestly tell me that there was all this theory, gossip, formulas and knowledge that we instantly find on all the message boards, forums and paid sites today back then.  No possible way, sorry it was not. 

As there is an exponential increase in the amount of available information. There is likewise and exponential increase in the number of hypothesis to investigate.  There is so much misunderstood and miscalculated, unproven and biased information out there to easily click on, it is dangerous.

But the sheer number of meaningful relationships within; The data, theories and experiences elaborating upon and posted on the internet forums, message boards, web sites, and sold by systems inventors (or whatever they are called, scam artists to doctors to wizards) , etc., is huge and then the correlation begins as to how the baccarat world really works and all that data, does not lend credence to anything, does not make it all or any of it the real truth.  Most of the data is just noise, as much as the universe is filled with empty space.  Reality, hard core reality.

So, a mathematical person can equate and explain problems, so what? So, a statistical person can lay out, define and explain equation involving millions of hands or shoes of baccarat, so what?  All of that and many more like them, all mean absolutely zero in wagering on the next 10 to 15 or 5 to 30 hands of baccarat at a casino.  No one knows the order of the cards and how they will come out.  No one. Unless of course you are a member of The Tran Crew and you already seen the cards come out and they were not shuffled going back in the shoe. 

There is knowledge and experience that is valuable as well as huge amounts that are nothing more than fallacy, wishful thinking and twisted reality that is by far most of the data out there.  The knowledge and experience that would lend actual credence to you, that you will find and read on the internet is low.  Some, but not much at all. 

And the bottom line is; That the real accurate data, tips, stories, experiences, long term consistent positive stuff is small, real small.  But the flip side is, the little bit that is out there, must be used correctly, not just used without further knowledge, care, concern or background, Understand?

Here is how false positives dominate the internet as well as the baccarat tables.  Hypotheses are 80% or better of true scientific data and correctly deemed to be true.  And about 90% of false hypotheses are correctly rejected.  And yet, because true findings are so rare, about two thirds or better of the finding deemed to be true, actually are false!

Why is the error rate so high? To some extent, that question cannot be answered with completeness the way you would like it to be or the way the system inventors, drama kings and the troublemakers spreading their everyday poop, would challenge it to be answered with exact completeness.  However, a close answer will be this in my opinion.  There are many reasons for it, some having to do with our psychological biases, some having to do with common methodological errors that are believed but the naive, and the rest having to do with misaligned incentives.  And the closest reason for the rest of the problem is a flawed type of statistical thinking that players of baccarat want to be winners are desperate to believe.  That is why the complete answer will never really be exposed and even if it is, those reasons will always, always keep it covered up and not widely spread.

Back when everyone was awed by AWACS Airplanes, New special units of the DEA, Specialized and Classified joint law enforcement, Military and Intelligence Agencies interfacing together to fight the War on Drugs, etc.  That was all headlines for a long time and many grabbing numbers justified everything for anyone seeking some numbers.  Numbers justify everything but mean nothing without people and their brains to use them, profit from them and get something from them.  Many of those same principals were transpired, used and reinvented into business models as well as the gambling industry from the laypersons standpoint anyways. 

And here is all you had to know if you ran into a bad spot and you were high up at the time.  Nikita Khrushchev.  When Khrushchev was forced out, he sat down and wrote 2 letters, he gave then to his successors.  And said; When you get yourself into a situation you can not get out of, open the first letter.  When you get yourself into another situation you can not get out of, open the second letter.  Well, soon enough this guy found himself in a tight place, so he opened the first letter, which said, Blame everything on me.  So, he blamed the old man and it worked liked a charm!  The guy went to the mirror, looked at himself in it, put his hands on his hips and said; You are the man, wow this stuff is easy, just blame some one and it goes away.  Well he got himself into a second situation he could not get out of, so he opened the second letter.  It said; Sit down and write 2 letters.

Understand?

I was playing this shoe with 2 others that i really admire in many ways.  The table was really full plus a couple of back bettors and quite a few family members as well.  It was late, real late when we got to the casino. 

That Asian Lady I have been mentioning in my posts is a suburb player in so many ways.  Patient most times (although she has her hyper have to get my lost money back fits at times) she is a pretty cool player.  She has a keen eye for the most parts with her side bets or side wagers, whatever you all label them.  We have done extremely well together.  She will usually stay too long and begin to get way over confident, the exact same way I used to be in my earlier days.  But I reserve and remove all my side wagered wins from the table these days.  Those are pocketed and forgotten about almost immediately.  Very important!

There was a guy there that is a great player.  Comes with $3,000.00 as a norm.  Buys in with $500 or $1,000 at a time.  Generally wins and leaves after 5 to 10 parlays no matter if her wins or losses.  Never goes to the ATM, cash checks or calls for additional money to be brought to the casino like most players these days continually do. 

He likes not one thing.  Cuts, chops, streaks, 1s or 2s, naturals effecting the next hand, etc., etc.  He will generally do a $300 or $400 wager and then parlay it once and parlay the same thing twice, before backing down once again.   We both seen and felt the Players in the beginning of this shoe.  We hit most of the first 7 straight down.  He wagered on the first one, waited on the second one, bet the Banker on the third one and then hit 2 of the Players continuing ones after the 4th one for two parlays.  I hit most of them, I switched to Banker once but immediately back to Players.   Everyone else was hyped, large wagers and lost all their buy ins and continued to buy in again and again, continuing on the Bankers side, especially on the 4th through the 7th Player win. 

This could have been a rock and roll table, and I mean that will all sincerity, but these people these days just will not concentrate and realize it is about taking money from the casino and not showing how smart you are or banging out another person on the opposite side, etc. 

As son as it switched to the Banker, almost all were on it and attempting to recoup thousands each one of them lost.  I was on the Players side.  I loved the Banker and thought the Banker would do the classic old school straight down, side by side to the Players.  I won the second Banker and the third Banker.

Three Natural Bankers, side by side to the three Natural Players.  Classic. I lost the last Banker of course.  Then the Player started again. The whole table took a break.  Some went to the restroom and some went to get something to drink.  Everyone was really tired, no doubt about it.  There was a couple of big time arguments with two of the guys at the table and their wives standing there screaming at them to leave.  I talked to the guy I like playing bac with and he said he would wager the Players side straight down to do a box. 

When everyone got back to the table, and yes, most of us will hold up the game and wait for people that specifically said they were coming back and do not play, etc.  This is a Macau style game and it is slow, real slow.  Shoes with a full table are never ever under 2 hours on their fastest days.  I wagered on the Players side and take max of $160.00 on the Panda 8 and the Panda 8 came out for the 2nd time right then.  3 with a 5 as the third card on top and the Bankers had 3 monkeys.   I rode it all the way down until it made the box.  Then I wagered on the Bankers and almost everyone stayed on Players.  It made the Banker.

Then the guy and me played the chop twice for the three times it did just that.  I got messed up, lost my concentration and frame of mind totally, after the 4 Bankers came out and the double Banker.  I stuck on the double Banker for additional Banks and should have waited.  I knew it but I did not.  Greed or whatever, overcame me and spun me around.  I started wagering too many hands.  Then the guy did great on all the chops with the longest section of chops appearing in the shoe, he caught them all, all  5 of them with $500, $1,000, $2,000 and $4,000.  The five one, which was the first of the 3 Panda 8s, he did wager $2,500 on the Player with the $160 on the P8 side wager.  he won and stopped playing.  I lost the 4 chops there.  I won large wagers for those 3 Players where the 3 back to back Panda 8s came out as well. 

What I failed to do was really wager heavy consistently without the support of the rest of them.  I get mad at myself for that.  Do not get me wrong, made great money on this shoe, real good money, but if the camaraderie stuck and stayed with us all, this would have been a killer shoe against the casino.  Just too many players these days are shooting for the hero-ship and the drama of knocking others out.  Why?  I have no idea really why.  I thought it was about making money, not losing it or breaking even or just a little bit. 

I found myself wagering larger on the bets when the others were all in concert or at least most of them, rather than being the lone player on one side with a substantial wager of say over $1,000.00 or in comparison with what the others had out there.

I wanted to get these pictures posted, I have more to add about the shoe.  By the way, the shoe up to hand 60 took nearly 3 hours.

I am dead tired and my eyes are blurring.  It is nearly 1 AM.  Stayed up since 11 PM to download, post and get these up. Been on my feet all day at my restaurant.  Up since 5:30 AM.  Time to sleep now.

I will try to finish it up tomorrow, I mean later today, LOL. 

Panda City!  6 Pandas before we stopped, I think when we cashed out and went back to say bye to everyone, there was 7 Panda 8s total. 

We did not regret leaving, the end of the shoe after hand 60, was awfully hard to play anyway, IMO. 

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The PANDA 8's in a row!  Back to Back to Back.  Two other P-8s sideways, next to each other.  This is what happens when no ties or extremely low ties and lots of naturals all clumping together.  Those are the money shoes. 

The board:

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More of Saturday Night. 

Making the box I wrote about, love those Boxes!  Nothing better when it is strong, especially in the beginning without ties or possibly only 1 tie.  No ties or low ties, stay strong or extremely weak with a definable pattern/trend as it is being presented, very very frequently.  Huge advantage to the experienced player recognizing it.  This is where clear conscious frame of mind comes into play!

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More of THE BOX!  Love it!  Classic.  No ties!  The classic, make the box and cut and we played it that way.  We matched the presentments of the shoe, and most definitely we were not wagering for the show to change up.  Huge difference guys!

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Fortune 7 Won: I think it was hand 57 as we stopped playing at 59 or 60 and cashed out and left.

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The Asian Lady I made reference to in the past.  She is a great player, simply one of the best I have ever come across, until her husband and other members of her fan club sit down and they order beer, she does not drink, the rest of them do and they get crazy, each and every time.  So very sad!  They are young, in their late 20's, but she is extremely mature for her age, the others are not.  We have won great sitting next to each other or signalling across the entire table what to wager on and why.  She said wager the F-7 on this one, otherwise i would not have, she seen something coming.

I was in Seat #1, with a $70.00 wager and she had an $85.00 wager on it.

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Three Card 8-9 wager, love it, almost every shoe, if not every other one.  Best wager in the entire game of bac!  Seriously! 

Player had 5, Banker had zero, Asian Lady pulls a 4 and she looks at me, says---Glen, time for a Snowman!  I said I will try.  I look, three side!  I did not see the number on the corner, it is at least a 6, I look more, at least a seven.  I put the card down, I yell to her, 7 or 8.  She gets up and screams as loud as she could that she wants an 8.  I slam it down, it was that beautiful 8 you see on the 3rd card for the Banker.  F***ing Nice!  I had table max on it, $20.00, I also wagered $25 on the P8 wager and $30 on the F7 wager, and I went Banker with $300.00 that I lost as well.  Nice $4,000.00 win though!

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PART #2 CHANCE

Chance and How It Effects Your Baccarat Wagering

Here, let me sum it up---at least on a mathematical and my statistical aspect converted to gambling.  Two paragraphs worth, with a sample visual curve, will save you from getting sucked in a dead-end path that will cause you complete bank roll failure.  If you will take my advice.  But hey---it is your money.   

1)   (First Paragraph).  The reason it will lead to failure, is because baccarat can and will do completely different presentments with no rhyme or reason, both mathematically and statistically, as well as complete randomness with no regards to scheduling and order correlating to events within the shoe you are sitting in front of;

2) (Second Paragraph).  Unlike elaborating, which Abraham de Moivre, Doctrine of Chances founded; The same arguments which explode the Nation of Luck may, on the other side, be useful in some cases to establish a due comparison between chances and design.  We may imagine chance and design to be as it were in competition with each other to produce some sorts of events, and may calculate what probability there is, that those events should be rather owing to one then to the other.

One trial and then scale up, putting an (X) where we expect to find our answer and takes the most general form of the problem; If something can happen with probability (A), or can not happen probably (B), in each of the (X) trials, then we can say, putting the power law in to general terms, that the chance of it not happening in every trial or even a cluster or a clump is; The number of trials where the chance will not happen and everything else is deduced down from that.

Because the possibilities of defining when presentments will appear anywhere from 1-80 hands will show up in the exact order and time you have scheduled your wager repeatedly for several wagers; Out of quadrillions of possibilities, it is impossible to do with definitive and concrete adherence by the shoe.  By the way, quadrillions is greater than 999 trillion times.

Unlike the ability to measure a curve to see what fraction of an area between start and midpoint and points in-between will become finite in their outcomes, the baccarat shoe cannot be measured in the same way or any other way that will allow you with finite guaranteed wins. 


NEXT POST WITH BE THE VISUAL CURVE

False Positives & Their Dangers to the Player and Chance.  Fueling Your Losses With Reason.

When wagering on baccarat and you fail to think, think clear, think absolutely clear, think with neutralism, think with purpose, think with the greatest concentration, we will get reinforced with the wrong way to play baccarat.  It happens quick, really quick?so be warned and be conscious of that all of the time.  It is not easy, but you do not want the false positives in your game.  And that is exactly what you will get if you cannot define and be absolutely diligent about your thinking.

There are numerous false positives offering themselves continually within the game of baccarat.  Very dangerous, extremely dangerous to the gullible, inexperienced and player that easily gets sidetracked or is dependent upon something he needs to find to at least think, is tangible to wager because of.  Also, most all players after a while will begin some kind of research into the game.  This takes on several different kinds of research areas.

1)   History of the Game. Different message boards and forums about baccarat and table games.  General and older written articles from various sources.  Media articles about the infamous, the famous, the legendary, etc., gamblers with their large losses and large wins.

2)   Mathematical & Statistical. Message boards, forums, websites and other published material online relating to the same.  The written books one happens to purchase, borrow or locate somewhere.  The attempted application and comparison of these to the game itself as played by the person.

3)   Probability, Chance & Other Things.  And other things of a similar Se-Scheduled nature and their counterparts including other areas of interest to those also.  The same as #2 above.  Once again, the attempted application of those will only lead you to False-Positives, that far outweigh any type of consistent wagering that will award you winning set-scheduled wagering greater than 50% of any time you play. 

4)   Superstition & Methodology. And other things of a similar nature that you convince yourself will allow you to win wagers because of phenomenon, certain events or any other type of presentment capitalization of luck or predication with the danger of conversion within your brain that allows to justify changing just what those were to skill.  Very very dangerous.

5)  Convincing Yourself of Something Guaranteed.   No matter what it is.  Flat betting, wagering after such and such happens or did not happen.  A strict adherence to O.L.D. or W.L.D. or anyone of the other 10-20 rock-solid good wagers to follows as written about, posted and dwelled over anywhere on the internet message boards, forums, websites, paid sites, etc.  Along with the many other gamblers fallacies of Cuts, Trends, Triggers, Patterns, Clusters, Clumps, etc.  Or, just Hog-Wild, I am on a hot run and nothing can or will stop me and ultimately and with great consistent repetitiveness, give it back each and every single session, because you do not believe there are plateaus and levels that control you and what you have the ability to guide yourself through while wagering at the game of baccarat. 

The belief in any or all the above will always provide false positives that will not benefit the player in actual play of any serious kind or more importantly in any serious consistency whatsoever.  What is even worse, is the few positive wins produced by following on any of those things will produce greater and greater influential false-positives because of the great quest for finding the unknown and secretive holy-grail, etc. 

END OF PART #1

I will post the pictures tonight after downloading and resizing them.  Be patient.

Here is the start of the shoe and some of took so much out of the dealers rack, the sole floor person in the pit was on the phone the whole time to the casino general manager off property.  This was late, after 2 AM on the grave yard shift.  There is no casino GM on property most nights unless there is something special at that time of night.  The game was slow, real slow, drawn out, lots of in-fighting among the players.  In fact, I had a great contact I have known for years look me up on Sunday and want to talk about this, as someone called him and attempted to explain what they saw.  After meeting with him yesterday, I am impressed by this shoe to exemplify the possibilities of opportunity for those that are absolutely completely neutral and clear minded to the maximum without on bit of bother from outside that Bac shoe and its presentments. 

B-PPPPPPP-BBB-PPPPPP-B-P-BBB-P-B-PPPP-B-P-BBBB-P

That was the start and the dealer lost almost the whole rack of chips.  5 Panda 8s with three of them in a row!!!!, and 1 three card 8/9 200:1. 

B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P-B-P   
   P-B-P        B       P        B
   P-B-P        B       P        B
   P    P                 P        B
   P    P
   P-P-P

Bold Players indicate Panda 8s.

PLEASE NOTE:  I have talked about this and written about this numerous times.  It is a fact and should now be noticed.  0-1-2-3 or extremely low ties means strong, or weak or whatever, but what I call the pattern/trend to be strong, in other words sticking.  Do not confuse sticking to repeating.  Sticking means as I term it, produce presentments to compliment other ones.  this shoe had zero -0- ties in it well past the pictures I will post when we bailed out at hand 48.  There was ZERO ties in it all the way up to hand 47.

Call me unintelligent, but those boxes, when they come are strong, beautiful and special.  Picture the two of us there are a full hard-core table.  We are both looking at each other, Box-Box-Box-Box-Box every few seconds we are verbally saying and fist bumping each other.  yeah, unintelligent huh?  We hyped each other and hyped and hyped.  The rest except for one, retaliated like we were invading Vietnam back in the 70's. 

And that box with the three Bankers had 11 naturals out of 16 hands.  2 Panda 8s as well. 

More to come with pictures.

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on June 01, 2019, 09:31:33 PM
That line was obviosuly a sarcastic note about how is easy to distrust other's ideas and works putting atop of it the old fkng math issue saying that bac cannot be beaten.

Maybe it could.

as. 

It can in some ways, some days.  Most of the problem is lack of conscious and self control.  We forget the aura and the property will change the best of players.  I do not care what anyone says, it does so many times. 

Had another super great 2 shoes last night, Problem with H-Money and One Dealer, started to throw me off and I actually walked away, leaving chips on the table and went to a quite spot, thought about all this and then went back lost 3 large wagers in the row and left.  Will explain it all with about 10 pictures I took as well.

Things happen and effect every bit of your play at a B&M more so than at home online, IMO and experience.