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Messages - alrelax

#1426
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
April 25, 2018, 01:29:24 AM
This lady Marcia Clark on her new TV show is obnoxious she was obnoxious when she was prosecuting OJ Simpson and she's even more obnoxious now. LORD she needs to get a decent haircut and get that brown thing taking off her lip. Can't watch this show no longer!
#1427
Quote from: Mathemagician on April 24, 2018, 10:08:13 AM
I'm not surprised MrGreen casino was recommended as their affiliate program offers up to 45% commission!
It appears that the more you lose the more the referrer gets.

By the way I'm still waiting for my Withdrawal from SuperiorCasino made on the 6th April !

So much for the quote from a Roulette30 member that said:
"We have searched long and hard to find this one. According to player's opinion and our own experiences, it is definitely the best .........."
What a load of rubbish !

Perhaps it should read "We have searched for casinos that pay us commission for introducing players"

Sharp eye!  Keep up the good work!
#1428
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
April 23, 2018, 01:18:29 PM
Pulling up to the office this morning, all the snow is gone except one little mound, this is the same mound that was about 8 to 10 foot high a few days ago!  The other picture from before the weekend is above:

[attach=1]

Looking out into my yard at the warehouse and the shop building

[attach=2]

Looking behind my offices, those are apple trees, my little boy loves to pick those apples when they grow out there!:

[attach=3]

#1429
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
April 23, 2018, 12:37:20 AM
Perfectly cooked set of pork chops with special cajun rub and some fresh onions after a long weekend of lots of work and some enjoyment, check this out.

[attach=2]
#1430
I have seen this many times especially in Atlantic City where I spent well over 20 years gambling you'll see somebody win a large amount of money one night or throughout a weekend and then you'll see them eventually during the next few weeks or months give it all back and then they'll ruin their life savings if they had any chasing it I've wrote about this. But then you see the person usually a male who was the gambler with a different female and of course she'll milk the male in many ways including taking most of the money and the money overrules their lif, it's the downfall of gambling no matter if it's winning $5,000 or $10,000 on a $500 buy-in or winning hundreds of thousands of dollars I've seen it and it's ruined many people successful life prior to gambling or along with gambling. It is the downfall of gambling, it is the bottom line however successful businesses do the exact same thing but don't get the notoriety that something like this gets that's published. Many people in successful businesses that rake in the money it ruins their life because they don't know how to handle it.  They abuse the 'quick wealth' as it so often happens,  they change their relationships the Money Rules them and that's the worst thing that can happen in any sudden onset of money, gambling or not.

Sadly, the guy will fall prey to gambling with limousines, large suits, etc., and buying in with larger and larger amounts of money. They figure winning $500,000, they can win 5 million or 50 million.  Out of 100 people that do this 99 will give it back if not 99.9 out of 1,000, there's a slight chance one person out of thousands will actually stop gambling or keep it and invest it in a business and improve their life but it just does not happen in real life it happens in message boards and fallacies and people talking when they win the money. But the realty is winning convinces the gambler to try larger and larger and larger amounts and the worst thing you can do is be successful at first without having any experience, it's a sad case and it always will be.

I wrote about it on the board a couple times.I knew this gentleman from North Jersey Shore who had three very successful multi-million-dollar restaurants and a 5000 square foot front Oceanfront house and a beautiful family and beautiful cars and he won I believe it was slightly over $300,000 playing baccarat one night at Bally's Grand. During the next seven or eight months he ruined his entire life and sold off all his assets to keep chasing the win that he gave back, for larger and larger amounts that never came. So sad these stories and I've seen possibly three maybe four of them myself and I knew the people, complete devastation.
#1431
Quote from: NewsBot on April 20, 2018, 12:00:32 PM
Italy rolls out self-exclusion scheme

<div class="field field-name-post-date field-type-ds field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">17 April 2018</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-title"><h2><a href="/news/italy-rolls-out-self-exclusion-scheme">Italy rolls out self-exclusion scheme</a></h2></div><div class="field field-name-field-image"><a href="/news/italy-rolls-out-self-exclusion-scheme"><img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://www.igamingbusiness.com/sites/igamingbusiness.com/files/styles/145x122/public/Italy_Tower%20of%20Pisa.jpeg?itok=KEFVjwBM" width="145" height="122" alt="" /></a></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even" property="content:encoded"><p>The Italian regulator has launched a new programme for consumers wanting to exclude themselves from gambling activities</p><br />
</div></div></div>

Source: Italy rolls out self-exclusion scheme

Yep. kind of what I thought.  Italy on a self exclusion presentation.  Kind of like saying no more organized crime, no more pasta, no more hillside villages with buckets being lowered to the street--put the cash in--get the bucket lowered back down with whatever it was you wanted and paid for.  LOL.
#1432
Nike,

There is a time to win and a time to stop playing.  As well, there is a time not to go to the casino.  I am talking about playing to win and not social or recreational gambling, etc.

You have to be fully conscious, concentrate and have the correct frame-of-mind, in order to have a fair shot against the shoe beating you. 
IMO and experience, it takes a while to understand all of that and have the proper vision to win, that is--when you can win.

#1433
Quote from: mb201333 on April 18, 2018, 04:20:31 PM
It has been my experience that the most difficult thing in a casino is to find a way to really and truly reset and clear your mind.  When I am not
at the tables is seems so clear and simple.  Every time I look back and replay in my mind,  I can't believe how easily I let myself be distracted

You are 100% correct, so few will ever realize or come to terms with.  I finally did about 10 years ago, but refine and define continually and I am close to being the 'near perfect' baccarat player.  (Boy, I know that sounds so obnoxious and so over-confident and extremely wrong, but I have really done it). I think, I have only lost control 2 or 3 times in the past several years out of hundreds and hundreds of live casino sessions. 

The only reason I posted about my buddy, was awareness and maybe it can save one person from going the wrong way, that is---the way 99 out of 100 baccarat players really do go.

#1434
REALITY----------------REALITY-------------REALITY

H-Money is well over $70.000.00 down on his savings.  It was not a bank roll.  He used to have a set-aside amount, about $5,000.00 for playing, which in all essence was his bank roll, of sorts.  I say of sorts, because he used to do as I do.  Win and replace and use his win money for other things.  Not, having a $100k + bank roll, gamble all the time, live off of it and increase and plateau level climb and all that stuff.  He used to go to the casino once a week, maybe two times, play reasonable, win and leave and replace the buy in, if lose then when he wins--replace, etc.  But he made far greater money--outside the casino in his own small business.  He saved well over $100k the past years.  He somehow--against everything i ever told him, begged him and taught him--used that money as a bankroll with the idea he would double it or triple it, whatever.  He started to loses I tried to outline within this post from his texts and my witnessing as well.  All for your knowledge and info and alerting you guys to what can and will happen with baccarat, etc.

He used his available funds to gamble with to chase his losses with, while he functioned with the wrong, frame-of-mind.  Simple.  Reality. 

Well he is out of control and I am at wits end.  He will not listen and he still talks about getting back his money and even making money from the casino.  He has convinced himself all he needs to do, is not pay attention to anyone, and just bang it out.  Oh well.

#1435
Off-topic / Re: HERE'S YOUR LAUGH-FOR-THE-DAY
April 17, 2018, 12:43:28 AM
Absolutely fantastic I never seen that before that is hilarious.
#1437
Quote from: esoito on April 16, 2018, 01:51:17 AM


Your last sentence is spot-on.  I would say in my own words, sometimes sometimes not or at times it applies and at times it does not.  It all depends on the presentments.
#1438
Imo and experience, huge downsides that will drain any common buy in and bankrolls waiting for the pre selected criteria to happen. 

To actually make a profit it doesn't matter if it's ones or one two threes or three two ones or streaks of 6 or 9 or 10 or 15 times repeating at some point you're going to have to take away or add to either side if you're betting both sides in order to make money. Simple, or one cannot turn a profit and start making money. 

You can only win what you lose on the opposite side if the fortune 7 doesn't hit of course, messing up your theory. But like I said, you can only win what you lose on the other side if you do not lessen the side that doesn't win or increase the side that wins, there is no other way to make money.

You can only help to partially insure your original bet, but then again your grinding down very small units that will eventually haunt you most likely.

We have tried numerous variations of this for many years the only thing that works or let me rephrase that, helps keep the player under control is to wager something on the opposite side to help ensure a lesser loss or if it's even money, it will help you stay in the game if you want to bet every hand and then pull off of one side, when something strong comes no matter if its 15 times Chop Chop or if it's a 10 to 15 run Banker or Player and then pull down the opposite side. That is the only way in my experience of 35 plus years of playing but of course I could be totally wrong.
#1439
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
April 14, 2018, 02:21:54 PM
I am working on a detailed article with lots of thoughts and years of experience reaching back and defining 'baccarat emotional intelligence'. Hope to get some input on it, I don't know how much longer before I can start posting it but I'm working on it. Maybe with the blizzard coming this weekend it'll slow things down around here and I'll go get a few hours in on it?
#1440
Quote from: Gizmotron on April 12, 2018, 08:53:28 PM

This might fit here: "This is something that someone tried to pass off as real. He said "...but the beginning and the end of a trend is known afterwards." That's a true statement but is not the whole objective truth. The fact is I base all my bet selection options on the middle of a trend, while it is occurring. On each spin I have a 63% chance to win as it is an independent event. Those are the real odds before I get the results. The trend or the very fact that a trend is not occurring are only excuses to make bet selections from. The trend does not make the win/loss, the good/bad streaks occur. Making bets, irregardless of them being good bets or bad bets creates the win/loss record. I just happen to know that I get less back to back losses if I keep track of the randomness characteristics as opposed to just blind guessing. If I take my mind off of the search for trends I get very few win streaks. But that does not matter anyway. The mathBoyz like to think that nobody has control over what happens. I can beat this game with any bet selection technique as long as I keep track of the wL lists. I could just bet on the numbers 1 thru 24 only and make a winning system out of the candlesticks it would produce in a graph. I know when I'm in the middle of a streak. On the next spin I can tell if I'm still in the middle or in fact that the streak ended. Not all streaks end the same too. There are things like domination that are peppered with few losses while still being winning streaks. So it's smart to acknowledge that there are also middles to streaks. It's possible to live in the middle. In my game guesses only have a 37% chance of ending on each independent event. "

Yes Mark, pretty much 'spot-on' more times than not, IMO.  And yes, about the beginning and ending.

I would apply what I wrote about and found more reliable than anything else out there, "Identifiable Events" and apply it along with what you outlined.  But when you feel it is there for whatever reason, that is the time to stick with it, whatever it is doing.  Remove oneself and put yourself into the shoe and tune out the rest of the expert players in their armchair quarterbacking, etc. 

When it happens, what you outlined along with how I transpose myself into a shoe at certain times, those are the times I can rack up those $8k to $20k or better sections of win.  And very possibly I am only comforting myself when I do that, like the other week with the $40k plus win I showed on here for 3 days, but if I don't then all I am doing is sitting there with a bunch of others with their heads in their hands and flipping coins for total chaos.