You know H-Money calls me up a few min's ago.  He says, "I don't understand it--you make money and I don't, why?"  I told him simply--you win and keep playing harder and harder and faster and faster and you don't build up or reduce your buy-in stack.  All you do is win and keep compounding the win into your buy-in chips and you have no MM System whatsoever.  And, I went over MM Systems with him a thousand times.  He gets into the casino and wins make him crazy, all he sees is a green light on every win and gets all hyped to continue and go larger.  Then he never works his buy-in stack like I do. 

As soon as I win, I live to put my buy-in back in my pocket and then keep working the stack trying to double my buy-in and put it away before I really go to my 1/3rd MM System. 

Not win $300 and then parlay it and win $600 and then keep betting it and when lose it, get mad and chase it back with my own funds, etc. 

Actually, his selection decisions are pretty good for either side.  However, he is totally stubborn, lost and hard headed about MM Systems, putting money away and locking it up, and his repetitive buy-ins thinking he can always come back and recoup his lost money right away.

Well, I had to go over and get something hot to eat at the truck stop restaurant place near my place of business for lunch.  I bought a scratch off tix which I only do sporadically, like the Mega Millions Tix I got last week and this week.  Since I won at the casino last night I figured why not.  Wasn't a big lottery win, but it will more then enough pay for the gas and my snacks on the way there and back late tonight! $30.00 profit, LOL.

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Quote from: Ted009 on March 30, 2018, 04:22:31 PM
My rule is never wager against the streak. No freaking way-- either I stay out or follow the streak.

Mr. Gizmo has interesting chart and his way of tracking is unique. Although I don't understand his system 100%, but I will study it and try to learn it. Of course baccarat is my game but I want to pursue roulette especially Gizmo's.....

Cheers!!

You are 110% correct! 

I sat it out last night, I wagered the 3rd player and felt the streak/run/new event/repeating, etc. coming up based upon several factors, the equaling out of the score, the 'strongness' of both sides, the bouncing back and forth prior, half way through the shoe, etc.  I would say there was a 75 to 90% chance of what dis happen, to happen. 

If I was not with H-money and my buddy being there, I would have stacked it up on the Player and then just rode the streak and pull down the win each time without pressing.  If the whole table got together and was in full camaraderie---that was the time, happens frequently--just not many these days believe you can catch it or they just love to win 11 and lose 8 or 10 when their 1's,'s and 3's happen and then equally don't happen, etc.  That is what I refer to as 'overpowering' the shoe. 

Like there was one of the guys playing every 2nd one.  There was a block of about 9-10 or 11 times it made 2's or better and he only wagered $500.00 each time for the 2nd repeat.  But when you add up how many, he lost just about everything he won.  It will grind you down.  Same as playing only 3 or 4 and 'cut', same thing.  Problem being--the people only focus on the section of the card/board when it made those doubles or the triple and then cut, etc.  They don't look at the other sections where it did not make 15 of the 2nd repeaters, just the section where it made 9 out of 12, LOL. 

But yes--I sat it out.  It was not easy to--but I refuse 99.5% of the time to go back in a run/streak/event of any kind mid-way.

Well last night, was okay.  Started out a bit bad.  H-Money gets right into it and loses hand after hand.  My NYC buddy is like, 'this shoe sucks, let's wait for next shoe it is hand 60 something'.  I wagered and lost 4 times.  I was like, 'This is going to be a losing night, no fun--can't win one'.  New shoe came.  But I went down to $175.00 with the $700.00 buy in.  I throw out the F-7 a couple times and no go.  The cards were real weak or real strong, in my own classification of them.

No F-7 in the first ten hands, No ties.  And I always see and say--no or low ties (1-2-3) is prime groundwork for F-7.  But I have also found that hands 16-23 are second prime for the F-7's.  I waited out a few hands.  H-Money is banging it hard, winning large bets and losing large bets.  He is strictly playing for the cut/chop.  I begged him to stop.  Every time something really good me up, he would not bet it.  It was all 1's, 2's and a 3.  Then the player comes out with a 13 player streak and I stopped wagering, no one believed in it and everyone lost huge, I only kept the side wagers while they all self destructed.  I wanted to wager player but I did not want to be the one that really ruined their camaraderie they had going, but it was just the wrong way in reality.

I started wagering $25-$50 on the F7 at hand 16 again.  On hand 23 the F-7 hits, I only had $25 on it but it was my fuel.  I pumped it up to $50 on F-7's and 5 hands later, it hits once again.  I hit two more by hand 55.  Wagering every other or every third one.  I won some larger wagers and lost some also.  I actually got up to $4,500.00 in pink chips and a bunch of green in all win money.  I just started on my 1/3rd system and cashed out and kept the $1k and tried again and straight losses of it all.

I was tired going on 24 hours with no sleep and drove the 90 miles to get there.  I could not think.  I left.  H-money actually lost a total of $900.00, he just will not listen and is too stubborn.  Doesn't know how to sit out any hands was his problem last night.

Oh well, I hit the Wal Mart at 2:30am and finished up the Easter stuff for the kids and bought some breakfast for my guys at my business.  Bagels with cream cheese and salmon lox.  Unlike most others that just put their win money back in their buy-in or bank roll and then lose it, I spend mine.  I also stuck $750.00  my 5 year old's American Express debit card account. Reset and Refresh!  ALWAYS.  Don't run back to the casino and wager larger, harder and longer with your win money.  It will haunt you almost every time.

Number one rule; "Reset and Refresh continually". 
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Happened last night, ' super classical' in Baccarat to the max.

I did extremely well on the one side 'cut/chop' bets as well as 4 F-7's for table max each one, in one shoe. 

However, to the point.  There was two mini repeat runs of 5 each in the beginning, then a few 1's and 2's with a player side making a 3.  Then more 1's and 2's.  Then the banker side got real strong with every prevailing banker  either adding a third card to make an 8 or a 9 or a natural.  That last event series is my key trigger that either side is ready to take off.  I have explained this before in better detail.

But the player side came out with 3-naturals and everyone, including my two buddies says--"has to cut back to banker, let's go heavy".  They did and I waited it out and I would not have done it.  Then a 4th and a 5th player happens.  Then the whole table once again is hell bent and all excited to get the last 2 or 3 table max wagers each lost on the banker.  They all are screaming banker.  I seen it, I felt it and I DID NOT wager the players side.  Everything that always happened, happened.  Especially with bouncing back and forth, right at half way around hand 40 or so.  During the last 5 players it just got equal on the score.  But the player was producing heavy and strong prevailing score totals.  Then it ran to 13 players total.  Everyone floored of course.  Everyone except for a player wagering small amounts, lost their continuing wagers.

But the streak came, does not matter really how or what triggers, they do come and people convince themselves continually in baccarat or roulette, the board is showing us 'XYZ' will happen because  it never made more then 2 in a row or 3 in a row or 'so and so' for the last 30 hands or 30 spins. 

It will get you and eat you up.  Runs and streaks and a long continuing pattern or event happens and will produce what it will no matter what happened prior or you believe will or will not happen, simple.  Stop thinking they do not and will not.   

Yes, mistakes happen.  In bac there is no way to be successful without bad and costly mistakes, IMO.

Somthing happened to me on the interstate yesterday while working.  Similar to what happens when you win or lose with the wrong mindset while playing bac.  I will explain it and post pictures when i get into my business in a couple of hours.

When in Rome...Do as the Romans.....remember that saying!!!

Thanks Ted!  I am trying my best.  He showed up an hour ago in tears.  I do my best.  He took a shower and crashed out.  Told me he knows if he is here in my house, he can't run to the one casino a few miles from his house.  He is convinced that if he keeps playing he will win and win it all back.  Oh lord,  he will learn.

Okay, here is my buddy's texts to me.  Some are very late at night and he is emotional.  He even told me he failed at everything the past couple of days.  Not good.  I can't be next to him as we live 75 miles apart and I have my own business and he does also.  He has not been gambling for a very long time and this is his largest loss of his own money.  He says he understands and he promises me that, he will stay away from the casinos, but he does not.  He always tells me when he goes and what he has lost.  His frame-of-mind will not allow him to win, I truly know what he is going through.

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The last text was meant to say., "Stay away a bit, until we go together". 

I have been on the interstate on complicated tractor-trailer recoveries with environmental issues concerning my company, the past several days.  I have no energy or motivation to go to     the casino until Thursday night late--or possibly Friday night.  I know the situation my buddy is in and he feels he has to get his money back from the casinos right away.  It just does not work this way.  I have repeatedly wrote about this stuff and i know what he feels, it happened to me for years in the 90's.  I have been to casinos and won $50k-$75K over $100k and gave it all back and chased the loss of my winnings with huge amounts of my own buy-in funds which is the WORST thing a gambler can do--it does not work IMO, 90% + of the times. 

Never again will that happen to me.  I messed up with H-Money there and my NYC retired buddy, and I lost $15k or so of my $40k win money from the previous 3 nights, the week before.  Not pretty.  But H-Money's was not win money and he is hurting and his business is way down and he is emotional.  Not a good combination. 

I will take some pics of the texts here in a minute from the past several days. 

Please guys---DO NOT let this happen to you---Gambling is dangerous, extremely dangerous! 

H-Money is a good player, but you have to understand the emotional, the clouded vision, the inability to play the proper way, etc., when you lose larger amount of your own money, I am not talking about $500.00 or $1,500 or $3,000.00 gambling.  I am talking about tens of thousands of dollars. 

I have said before many times, you have to have experience with losing money before you can actually win the larger amounts and play with the proper frame-of-mind, or at least know the difference with having the wrong or the correct frame-of-mind, implementing a rock-solid money management system and sticking to a lower buy-in with it being pe risk money and refusing to buy-in a second time, etc. 

H-money went 5 times to the casino since Friday's cancelled trip.  He has lost about $36,000.00 or so.  Wrong and dangerous frame of mind.  I will post some of the texts later tonight.  So wrong!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=80935-YoluQ

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCjAj52odDM

John Travolta.  A great actor!  From his early days of Saturday Night Fever to The Taking of Pelham 1-2-3.  He is from New Jersey, yeah a metro N.Y./N.J. guy.  From the TV shoe, Welcome Back Kotter where he played Vinnie Barbarino to Saturday Night Fever to Urban Cowboy to Pulp Fiction and many other movies. 

Hey, some of my favorite actors are Al Pacino, Robert Di Niro, Clint Eastwood, Jack Nicholson.  All great and all in so many famous movies and roles.  Many made history in different ways. 

But John Travolta, something about the realism of himself into the roles he assumes on the screen. 

He is a pilot as well and was inducted into the 'Living Legends of Aviation' because  of a near collision flying his Gulfstream and a commercial airliner he avoided over Washing DC a few years back. 

The Taking of Pelham 1-2-3 a great movie, especially being from NYC and NJ.  The scene with the 60 second countdown after he shoots the motorman and wants the MTA train dispatcher brought back instead of dealing with the NYPD Hostage Negotiator.  Fantastic scene.  Strong--Real Like--Energy--Intense.  "The city of New York killed Jerry".  "The biggest rat hole in the world killed him".  Then when he says with his on going ranting, "I know how things work.  Everything doesn't seem to appear like what its". 

Ever since Saturday Night Fever.  Oh lord--86th Street.  Lots of memories for myself there!  Under the "EL", meaning the elevated subway which actually does run above 86th Street in Brooklyn.  Lenny's Pizza shop not fictitious, real.    That double decker pizza that IMO made pizza eating history with everyone doing the same thing.  That legendary pizza stop conceived in the beginning of the movie.


Although I am from the Bronx, NY not Brooklyn, I claim fame to Jerome Avenue which also has an "EL".  But lots of time & memories in Brooklyn and on 86th Street as well.  Brooklyn is where my father was born and raised.   

John Travolta, a legend, a great actor all these years.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRHY27aFpLA


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aWqISwA0bg

Work at 4.30 AM.   

Fixing what the motoring public thinks will never happen to them.

Text, play on the phone, drive normal when there is extreme inclement weather, makes perfect sense!!

Why else would they call it a smart phone??

Here is what happened Friday night into Saturday.

It was pretty nice, spring time just about.  But I did say on this board that t will be one more storm still to come in March a few weeks ago, I am seldom wrong, patting myself on the back, LOL tot he max!  Pretty much the same at the bac table, unless I get stupid--and yes--I do at times!!  :nod:b

Here is what I was referring to at midnight to 2 AM on Friday-Sat.  We all went to the casino and then just about the time we were there, the storm was rolling in.  So we turned around and went home.  Then we got numerous calls about rolled over trucks with spilled haz-mat, etc.  Then the sate police called and text about no work on the highways, etc.  This went on all night.  We have so much work the next several weeks, can't see straight.  In fact, I am pulling H-money away from his business and putting his rear-end to work for me, LOL.

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Here is what it looked like this morning after a complete day of cleaning up!!

Went in this morning to clean up my office yard with a skid loader and front end loader. 
Stopped by this set of doubles with 500 gallons of fuel in the ground and got the info to get the permits to get it out and clean it up.

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A real problem to get out because  it is in a major interstate cloverleaf with 8 ramps to get on and off the I-State, it is sitting between 2 of the ramps. 

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Down the street from my house, finally able to get out of town to head to my business today!  All of our snow and ice was gone before this, it all came from 9/10PM to 4 am or so, Friday/Sat. 

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Well we all started out to the casino.  I come from northwest at about 80 miles away from the casino and my NYC buddy is about 10 miles sourh of me,  H-money is about 60 mies south southwest of it,  the weather turned horrible!!  Ice, hail and then a wet brezzy snow with winds up to 50mph. 

My dispatch night manager calls and tells me the state police called and said they put a wrecker ban on the interstate so that also means we are not allowed to work unless there is a incident that is impeding the flow of traffic.  We also got 2 calls for semi truck roll overs involving haz-mat and a rolled over gas tanker that has to be drilled and gas tranfered to another tanker before the heavy wreckers are allowed to upright it. 

I called h-money and told him welcome to my world this weekend.  Always a bad storm in march after all our snow and ice goes away.  The other day it was over 50 degrees.  Looks like $350k worth of work waiting.  I will pay him $30 per hour instead of the $20 hr my traffic conttol guys make.  LoL!

I just got another call, a semi with doubles trailers just ran off the interstate,  the wrecker service wants us to do the traffic control,  a quarter mile from my office,   i will look at the 'cash sitting there in the ditch' when i head in, after the ice melts from my windshield on my car warming up.

Baccarat on hold.  No doubts.