Quote from: Lugi on May 08, 2018, 09:42:30 AM
Asym'
Here is a 'real' shoe I encountered 24 hrs ago, it is not rare by any standard.
P Dominated shoes happen a lot, shoe after shoe after shoe, to the degree, makes one wonders if the deck composition is true in order to trip up the Chinese players who the majority bet Banker. Yet it is, just one of those thing.
Applying your method as I understand it;
PPP (LL)
B
PPPP (LL)
BB
PPPPP (LL)
BBB
P (W)
B
PPPPPPP (LL)
BB
P (W)
B
PP (LW)
BBBB
P (W)
BB
P (W)
BBBB
PPPP (LL)
So the LW string runs; LLLLLL W LL W LW W W LL = 5W''s vs 11L's
It is easy in hindsight to state, a negative progression (maybe) would be cleared. What about the mental pressure of really losing 6 bets in a row while actually at the table while watching your chip stack deplete.
Losing 6 bets in a row, then having to place that 7th bet, without knowing if you are going to win the bet, experiencing the mental pressure, will the pain continue? In this game, anything can and will happen.
IMO the player can't / shouldn't bet aggressively, because quiet simply "you just never know". Sure in the shoe above, the 7th bet was won, it could equally been another loss.
When you can encounter a ratio of 5 vs 11 (31% strike rate), which has the potential to get even worst, one wonders, "is there anything better I could be doing'? As eluded by BA, wait for 3 or 4 Players then take 2 bites only at betting the cut.
You mention "rare event", what is this rare event? Did I bet too early, if I made a mistake with my understanding of your strategy by all means correct me.
Many things people come on the board and say are 'real' happenings/events and shoes, have also been posted by myself with fantastic and repeatitive wins. I have found numerous events that happen with great repeatitvness, not that they are guaranteed by any 100% means, but they happen when I play more than 6 times easily out of 10.
This is just one of the things I have written and posted. There are actuallhy a total of approx. 60 events that are pretty common in Bac, IMO.
"Players Side Repeating Within Beginning/First Section. Players repeating hands in any form of clusters have a frequent tendency to appear within the beginning of the shoe, in the first section. Meaning, 3 + Players with a frequent 1, sometimes 2 Bankers and each time the winning hand is Players it repeats with 3 + occurrences. This kind of section is frequently followed by a section of 1's and 2's in various configurations when the first section losses its Player dominance stance, frequently around the 15-19th hands. Players Side Repeating Within Beginning/First Section. Players repeating hands in any form of clusters have a frequent tendency to appear within the beginning of the shoe, in the first section. Meaning, 3 + Players with a frequent 1, sometimes 2 Bankers and each time the winning hand is Players it repeats with 3 + occurrences. This kind of section is frequently followed by a section of 1's and 2's in various configurations when the first section losses its Player dominance stance, frequently around the 15-19th hands."
I was at the casino the other day and 2 out of 3 shoes were all players in the first 18 or so hands with only 1 Banker each time up on the Big Road and then right back to players with almost every 3rd card for the players adding and every third card for the banker reducing. Sorry, go ahead and blast me.