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Messages - alrelax

#1636
Hi All,

Here is something of interest to those that like a bit of gambling related novel reading:

https://www.fantasticfiction.com/s/james-swain/

Lots of gambling related novels, Las Vegas and Atlantic City, etc. 

Check out his books! 

https://www.fantasticfiction.com/s/james-swain/super-con.htm

BTW--the author has tons of great reviews on Amazon!!!!!

https://www.amazon.com/Take-Billy-Cunningham-James-Swain/dp/147782202X/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1502122050&sr=1-1

What is better the reading a great novel, sipping on an iced drink, enjoying a waterfall or even the sight of a garbage truck owned by some Italian family emptying the dumpster nearby, or even eating some great BBQ in Compton, California listening to the sirens running by on their way to another shooting??
#1637
According to the media, if you win the lottery you basically only have crack-hookers and murder to look forward to???

Guess it's a slow day with the media?  IDK?

https://www.yahoo.com/news/lottery-horror-stories-think-twice-123000484.html
#1638
Are you just aware of this author now or have you been reading here ???
#1639
Yeah, we laugh about this now at the one casino.  Don't be afraid to express yourselves.  :)
#1640
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
August 02, 2017, 01:24:46 PM
I had a dream last night and I was on the way to Vegas.  It was cloudy and I could not see a thing while driving!!!!  It was one of those dreams where I was in and out of it numerous times.  But I did wake up this morning and here is my road into work, what a coincidence, HUH????

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#1641
Roulette Forum / Re: Triplet Dozens
August 02, 2017, 12:08:56 AM
Asym, reference the  clusters..and other similar things......."steal the situation' and pounce in it.
#1642
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
July 31, 2017, 05:35:10 PM
Yep, the call came today!  I was surprised it took this long.  My buddy--the one that lost the tens of thousand of win money as well as his (I believe $4k-$5k and $3k of additional buy-in) risk money from last week.  $12k is serious money, not like $500 or $1,500 or even $2,500 to us.  We are all either business partners or business owners in full--either way, once you get up over the $5k risk (out of pocket) money for one night on a local level---that is starting to be sizable money, (being we are not whales, LOL). 

So anyway, he calls and he is whining big time.  I don't know why I don't listen, I don't know why I don't follow you, I don't know why I have to go against everyone, I don't know why I win so much and then my head explodes, I don't know why I can't see straight when I win $10k or #20k or $30k, etc., etc., etc., and so on.  For a good solid 20 minuets he continued to confess, repents and beg not to let it happen to him again. 

What is so comical, it will.  I know this one guy.  And he is genuinely not a pig or against anyone at the tables.  Most of the time he throws something up and someone puts anything more than $10 or$25 on the opposite side, he almost always pulls his down out of respect and thinking, if you know something---I don't agree but hey---go for it, I am not going to wager.  He is like that 95% of the time, except when he wins pretty good.  Then he is another person.  And he misses the easiest and strongest patterns happening no matter what.  But only when he wins big money. 

So I listened and all the whole time never once, the typical 'I am stopping for a while' or "I give it up", etc.  Every other sentence ended with, 'next time I won't do it' or 'next time this and that' and at the end he says, 'next time i am up $10k or more, take at least 75% of my win, cash it out and don't let me have it back until we stop and we are outside'. 

Yeah, right.  I knew the call was coming. 
#1643
'Gambling Theory and Other Topics'
By:  Mason Malmuth

397 Pages
First published (I believe 1987)
In its (at least) 6th printing which was 2004
$29.95 

Available on most gambling books and general book websites.

Here is the Amazon link:  https://www.amazon.com/Gambling-Theory-Other-Topics-Malmuth/dp/1880685035/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1501330970&sr=8-1&keyw

This book, IMO--is simply a mist for anyone that is going to gamble.  There are basic books and then here are the 'staples'.  This to me, is one of the best--basic and full of important and vital info and insights any player must ead and refer to from time-to-time! 

If you do not have this book, you are not serious, you know everything and/or you lost so much money--you just have to inclination to improve yourself or learn anything whatsoever!

With that said, I like it!  LOL.  Seriously, it is fantastic.  Although, he is a poker freak and a poker lover/author, I ignore those sections, most applies to gambling anything, including, BACCARAT!

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Fundamental--Foundation Building Material--Fun

Lots & Lots of references and directions to explore.

Although a lot about poker and opponents, etc., I ignore those parts.  There is lots of great stuff here that can assist you in opening a door for you to realize many things.

The explanations (even if you don't agree) is the best part of the book.  Stating what is essential--what is present  and will haunt you if you fail to pay attention to them, will allow the smarter players to explore what those are and be conscious of them (hopefully). 

This book can let you realize and learn numerous things that will help you in so many ways.  "Skills Required to Hit Big Time" and "Dangerous Ideas" are great.  Although most of you guys want someone to spell out a bet selection scheduled placement method, such as--"Wager the player after the banker did such and such" and you will win 98% of those every time.  Sorry, it does not exist and never ever will.  Read, learn, invent, explore and research what will control yourself, allow you to hold your buy in and win money steady, and many other things--you need reference, insight and ideas to do that!  Here is one of them for only $29.95.

He talks about and touches on, "Theories, Fallacies, After Thoughts, Skills, Ideas and Fantasies".  It's up to you to learn more about those and here is the best starting point you can ever have. 

Thumbs Up, both of them!
#1644
'The Book On Vegas'

This is an out of print, but available on Amazon and Barnes and Noble websites, as well as other internet sites. 

It is extremely heavy, gold page edges and a classic 'coffee table' style book.  It is larger, about 12 by 13 inches.  A couple hundred pages.  Extremely well done.  I have 3 different ones but this is my favorite.  I do remember some of the stuff in it and others, before my time in Vegas.  Lots of unique and one of a kind, never seen before or published elsewhere type of shots.

I shot about 8 or 9 pictures of the book, I will attach them. The book and the pages are beautiful without a doubt.

No reading, just sit back and 'ogle' at the stuff!  Something for everyone.  If you have any interest in Las Vegas and anything and everything that happened there, especially the entertainment--the artists and the shows, you can't go wrong with this book.  If you are only interested in gambling and reading about the games or even the industry, this is not for you.

https://www.amazon.com/Book-Vegas-Dave-Hickey/dp/0972778888/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1501278590&sr=8-1&keywords=the+boo

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#1645
Al's Book Reviews / The Baccarat Battle Book
July 28, 2017, 08:50:53 PM
The Baccarat Battle Book, by: Frank Scoblete
Published 1999

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This book appears to be out of print.  The other day I did a search on Google, I believe for another book and this did come up with one of the major sellers, but i can not find it today.  Both Amazon and Barnes & Noble have this book from about $40.00 and up. On the back cover of the one I have is $12.95.  But if it is out of print and available, it is what it is.

Frank Scoblete says, "The most elegant game in the casino can also be one of the most deadly for unwary and unwise players".  How very true!  Of course he wrote this book prior to 2000 when just about the entire baccarat gaming aura changed in most casinos and of course there are still the 'elegant' high limit rooms where the baccarat table are at in the larger casinos and larger gaming jurisdictions. 

The book is easy reading, smaller sized and 214 pages.  Good solid known author in the gaming world.  Lost of basic information.  Nothing earth shattering but something for 'nearly' everyone I think.  Realistic writing and information from my viewpoint.  What I like about this book is the 'bringing up a great point' style and the 'timeless' info he writes about. 

The importance of math, tactics, logic, emotions and the proper mind set.  Short sections on each and numerous other player 'frame of mind' type of things.  I like it.  Those exist and so many in their own relentless searching for the holy-grail wither forget or have no clue about those mighty important things.  If nothing else, this book can give you enough info to build your own checklist of sorts. 

I also like the part about 'The Seven Deadly Sins of Gambling'.  Which he defines and writes about.  Sloth, Envy, Gluttony, Anger, Lust, Greed and Pride.  Several references throughout the book and also in the back that might prove useful to most players that are really involved in baccarat.  Simple to understand charts including all the various progressive systems, etc. One thing I really like for sake of reference and other study is his '600 Bank Only Bets' laid out in a detailed chart on about 15 pages with the definitive outcome of the 600 shoes wagering for Banker only. 

Summations leave you with the impression the author favors following the trend.  This is a book with great basic info and data as well as some o the easiest and best 'side stuffs' related to gambling that effect a player in almost every way.  I highly recommend this book for its small cost and timeless info.  The charts and the checklist items in the book are valuable as reference tools, IMO.  You can put this book away and come back to it a couple years later and read it again and understand more of something you been trying to figure out. 

Further Info and a Baccarat Book Site Info as well:  http://baccaratinbooks.com/baccarat-battle-book.htm
#1646
Posted here in General because it is about the board and not baccarat in this case:


Someone last night PM'd me and brought up the following:  "After following the funny and sad 3 ring circus the past few days, I want you to know that I have followed your writing and postings for a while now.  Please post the highlighted section of Ted's response within one of your threads as i have mentioned here.  There are so many great things contained on this board as compared to most of the other boards out there.  thank you."

And here is what was highlighted to me:


"Re: Going Broke the Sad Aspect of Baccarat
« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2017, 03:56:22 pm »

    ReplyReply
    Quote

Quote from: alrelax on April 16, 2017, 03:34:18 pm

    Wow, I never saw this posting from TED.....But in reality Ted I am just a troll and post garbage stuff here.

    Anyway, I finally found the proper and just way to play baccarat with a system, a bet placement method and I just found out after winning 56 out of 59 shoes, I was wrong with all the garbage postings I made!!!!


I only can speak for myself. Baccarat is not a one size fits all game. What you have written is not a troll. I see a lot of positive and good intentions from you. I view your posts and threads as my learning tools. I am a much better player today. There are a few good fellow members here that I have respect for. I don't have to mention their names. They know who they are.

I appreciated members like you and that is why I pledged $25 to the forum. I am asking all fellow members here to please make this forum a friendly and nonjudgmental one.
Please continue to contributte your ideas and method or your style of play. No method  is redundant here. Life is too short my fellow members. Let's do nice things to one another.  Good luck to you all."

And it came from this thread if anyone is interested:



http://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/going-broke-the-sad-aspect-of-baccarat/

#1647
Alrelax's Blog / Book Recommendation
July 26, 2017, 09:20:42 PM
It is a work of fiction but the author was very much involved in the casino industry in Las Vegas.  It is about a huge baccarat scheme at a fictional Las Vegas Casino.  I highly recommend this book, if you are looking for something baccarat and casino related in the fiction reading world.  Thumbs up!

https://www.amazon.com/Collusion-Felt-Michael-Pernatozzi/dp/0595512542
#1648
I only have one question.,,, did you invent a pricing strategy yet for your forthcoming book???  And how many parts???  And will you strategize it so you have to buy the future books to actually figure anything out?  Oops 3 questions,
#1649
It is okay, leave it, i have been wrong in the past, maybe some others will understand what you meant to convey and turn it positive for them!
#1650

                   Hindsight Haphazard Player Vs. A Skilled Baccarat Player

It is more complicated than you think.  But sit back read through my thoughts and read it over again.  I think the people that are on their ways to become great players will benefit and the others, will challenge, deny and crumble as they always do after attempting any self-improvement or gaining of another's 'been there and done that' type of knowledge.

Hindsight, 'Getting 2 in a row' correct or scoring a win on the 'cut' after that 3rd repeating banker, because the shoe will always produce more threes than fours and more fours than fives and more five repeats than streaks of 10 or more.  Yes, and you are correct, but no—you are also wrong.  Read on, please.

So many factors come into play which are not generally believed to do so by the highest majority of the players today.  The game has changed so much from pre-2000 to post-2000.  Probably due to the internet explosion, the exchange and belief in ideas, both on the player's side as well as the casino's side.  Don't discount the inceptions of so many things to old school baccarat such as EZ Baccarat and other items meant to speed up the slowness of the game as well as the profitability for the casino's side.  And, IMO they accomplished it beyond a reasonable doubt.  With things that the players have no say so over and still contending with the game, the factors the players need to consider are things like, 'point values' of hands won and lost when there is a clear and clutter of numerous hands together, 'formations' of winning and losing hands, 'low amount of ties' at a certain point of the shoe, how each side increases or reduces with its third card when drawn.  There are so many other factors which assists the skilled player in the 'getting ready' and 'pouncing on it' whatever formation that is emerging or about to emerge from the shoe.  And that is the basic definition I have been able to quantify for the difference between the common 'Hindsight Haphazard Player' and their counterpart, the 'Skilled Player'.

Some players are spot-on with their reasoning—gut feelings—shoe interpretations and perceptions.  However, and I do believe—there is a distinct difference in the Haphazard Hindsight Player and the Skilled Player.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player is where the highest majority of all baccarat players are these days.  This is the player belief and aura where so many get sucked in and remain both, aggravated and frustrated at the table.

To understand the picture I am attempting to paint, you have to understand that there are clearly two agendas happening during all games, if not continually throughout the shoe then sporadically on and off, adding to the confusion of the players.  The first agenda is the 'psych, beliefs and dependency on other players or against other players'.  As well, the way the player abides by money management, buy in beliefs, progressions, parlays and the many other wagering techniques and strategies.  The second agenda is the shoe and its presentment of what it will and how it will produce each hand, the sections, the tuning points and the formations that it will happen.  Those two agendas will be combined and have to be addressed by the players.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player basically pays attention to little and has huge beliefs that carry over from shoe to shoe and month to month, in his play.  That player's aura and style is a continual resemblance of himself rarely ever changing.  The Skilled Player will possess a solid understanding and knowledge of both agendas and practice whatever he feels is best from each, while coming at each shoe he plays from all directions, rather than the one direction the Hindsight Haphazard Player usually subscribes to.  The Skilled Player will also see the gloom and destruction that is always looming in the background, usually termed 'casino house advantage' or 'variations'—and stop his session being 100% thrilled with his win or chalking up any spent money without the chance of getting it back that session or trip.  However, the Skilled Player and the Hindsight Haphazard Player also has a very distinct outlook in each of their plays.  The Skilled Player views each and every session as a brand new, no historical win or loss plateau with the ability to reset each and every shoe, which allows the player to literally and physically maintain a perfectly clear mind and opinion status.  The Hindsight Haphazard Player is constantly comparing every shoe to countless previous ones as well as all of his losses and wins and is extremely judgmental, usually basing most every decision and confrontment he faces when playing, on all historical results that cloud, confuse and offer further fallacy to his decision making process.

The pending formations rewrite themselves repeatedly at times and other times do not.  Does that mean—that the reasoning those same formations prevailed the previous shoe or session were 'wrong'--that depends.  But so many love to say the words, "You say that, after you see it", adding confusion and doubt that Skilled Players actually can catch far more and profit superior to that of the Hindsight Haphazard Player in each ones gambling attempts at baccarat.

The whole key to it all—and here is where the really in-depth, intelligent, creative, factual and experienced Skilled Player will generally excel.  But, there is one huge additional factor that will weigh in and lead whatever player to success or greater success with playing baccarat.  That is, the player's 'frame-of-mind'.  Each of ours is different.  If you think you can go to the baccarat table with 'XYZ-$' and wager 'such and such' a few times, get a substantial reward consistently—you cannot.  And if you do, your frame-of-mind will not allow you to leave a winner.  I have definitively explained this and offered solutions to those that do win, but little to none responded, commented or expanded on the discussion and offerings. It is fine, they will learn the hard way after they finally get their system refined with the super-secret bet-selection that will never ever fail, shoe after shore, session after session.  I can only assume.

But hey—let me offer a system with a 75% or even a 80% reward for placing your wager, say on the losing side after two winnings repeats, if that was succeeded by a single-chop cut, then we get huge response, interest and input with something like 30 replies and a thousand plus view in one or two days.  Typical responses along the lines of "I have to try that", to "It will work but here is my input on it to make it better" and let's not forget, "OMG! Gold! Possibly the real deal!!!", etc.  Who are these people, where is their proof, where is the certified and audited results that they are promising, packaging and selling?  There is much more required on any player's part than merely reading a $9.99 book or purchasing a $99.99 or a $1,500.00 system.  All those and more, are geared towards the greedy, the selfish and of course the know everything player looking for that quick score.  In other words, many of the 'Hindsight Haphazard Players' will also have been victim or believer in those as well.  Sorry if you fall into the aforesaid couple of sentences, but what I said, is just about 'spot-on' and I have no doubt about that.  Okay, live and learn.

Baccarat, playing successful baccarat takes work.  It takes extended trials and errors to be learned and ingrained in yourself.  It takes a few years to even become acquainted with the better half of what can happen and what may not happen in each shoe.  I said acquainted, but unfortunately not knowing everything with definitive knowledge.  It will also take years of winning and losing sums of money to "Get your head straight", and be able to rationalize what is possible and the reality of all systems and those super-secret methods that the sellers offer sales techniques that are fairy tales and definitive fallacy, hoping the unsuspecting buyers will not question, just pay money to have the 'elite and special limited chance' to become rich playing baccarat.     

So many players look to a system—what cards produced won and why.  Then they deduce down their own answers with each new holy-grail or proven "Set of best triggers", etc.  And they are still missing the bulk of what can really help them.  The part that the harder work comes into the picture is along with the following.  The player's psych, the player's guaranteed hold on wins and how to construct one, understanding the reasoning with conscious thought throughout all aspects of playing.  There are additional ones as well, the relevancy of happening, the 3 or 4 sections and turning points in each shoe, following and not following other players, and so much more.

The problem is baccarat is easy.  Baccarat is picked up by the average person who was either dragged into the game by another or he overheard/read about how all the other people are winning so much easy money playing it.  That is it and then it starts.  He winds up at Bet-Selection or another internet message board and learns all kinds of stuff, the wrong stuff in many cases.  He is intelligent overall, it is just the game of baccarat over rode his common-sense and he fell suspect to easy money and quick riches.  In other words, he got sucked in and convinced by a group of unscrupulous failed gamblers turned con-men.  The real sad part is for the average person starting baccarat and risking his money—he knows more about every other thing he every tackled.  Such as golf, fitness, health, mountain biking, sporting teams and entire sporting leagues of historical scores.  And yet he sits at the baccarat table, explaining the game and its inner secrets and innuendoes to another person, while he drinks alcohol, chain smoking and blowing his snot form his nose on the floor—barely missing the shoes of the person so thrilled with what he is hearing.  EZ money, quick riches, quit the full time job and gamble, all the fallacies running in the player's head each and every session.  In fact, evidentially he will learn more about baccarat from every aspect and angle while he is attempting and trying numerous systems in his hopes to get paid back for all the money he has lost.

And this is the same person—the same player that is now going to show all the rest of us about his baccarat knowledge and skill level.  The typical player that will rationalize it all out while he states how and why he placed the wager each time.  Then how quickly he defends his wrong decision with the all-purpose, "Well we can't all be right every time", or the other one---"I should have listened to you—what do you think now"?

It is a never ending cycle with the baccarat players of today.  Nothing easy comes to those with no time or effort to invest.  Not just in baccarat, but really with just about everything.   

The game has its presentments which comes and goes either one of two ways.  First, with pure unfollowable, off-the-wall, out of the blue, pattern and trends that you are best off to sit back and wait it out or stop playing.  Second, with clear and concise, or at least ones that are readable—emerging patterns and trends that will be strong and long, or weak with great consistency.  Those are the proven and the givens.  No statistical or testing results will offer you any more or less mathematical or scientific data as to when those patterns/trends come and leave with consistency.  There is no discovery or learning any set of rules that will allow you to realize anything in this game with consistency that will prevail in every shoe or session.  It is a combination of lots of things that will help and assist the player to be successful more than he is unsuccessful with baccarat.

Once you get serious and really desire to be a successful baccarat player, you will realize the game is not about approaching it from one direction, let's say that is from the 'North'.  The way more successful players approach it is from 8 different directions, 'North-Northeast-East-Southeast-South-Southwest-West and the Northwest'.  That is the difference between wagering on the side that lost after two repeats which was succeeded by 'such-and-such' and the successful player that does not blow snot on the floor, chain smoking into other player's faces while explaining almost every wager and why it won or why it lost.

My only question is this.  How come that player wagered on the losing side with his detailed knowledge with the definitive reasoning already known, as to why his wager lost?