I caught a rare glimpse of Waldo at a gas station near the casino he works at early this morning.  Told me he just got off pulling 2 shifts straight. 

Here is a pic of his truck!  Gotta Love It!

5 Things:

One MUST UNDERSTAND IN EXTREME DETAIL the ability to identify situations presented by a shoe.

Understand that hands change value with no rhythm, rhyme or reason, as well as possibly follow rhythm, rhyme and reason.

One MUST TAKE ADVANTAGE when the shoe is presenting hands that fit anything that can be deciphered by the player.

One must leave a winner if he has won anything sizable by employing a concrete MMM without deviation.

One must never say, "I'll win it back tomorrow or next session".

NOTE:  UNLIKE SO MANY BELIEVE, THERE IS NO RIGHT AND WRONG IF YOU ARE WINNING HANDS.  YOU ARE SIMPLY WINNING.  THINK ABOUT THAT STATEMENT.  Why did I say that??  Because when a player consciously thinks he was 'right' on a winning hand, he begins to wager for what he just won and then he enters a mean and vicious cycle once he losses a repetitive wager.

"The shoe does not produce what a player desires".  Old school Confucius saying. 

Your last words within your response were, "pressing positive or negative situations are just for losers."

True, but only if one continuously applies that approach.  Do not blankety say that.  One can quite handsomely make large profits by employing a quick and short positive heavy progression if one can also employ self control, IMO. 

The table does not talk to us, the table does not give us hints, clues or even sarcastic remarks. The table remains silent, always, 24-7-365. But, however I do, and probably the highest majority of us have a very unique bond with the table.

The table has attraction, and an attraction different than most people can realize or even put into words that most people would never understand. That table never really changes. Once in a while, after an extended period of time the table will receive a new felt or even more in frequently, the table will receive a new padded rail. But that is it. The table remains the same.

The table gets pounded on with fists, palms and elbows. The table gets nasty kicks underneath the top of it all the time. Drinks gets spilled on the table so often the pit person has clean rags and heavy duty towels for quick response as if the table is going to melt away. On the other hand, tables are rubbed for good luck as well as having fingers tapped on them as if some sort of special secret voodoo vibes are going to travel along the felt to the shoe for a winning hand. Strange but true, I have occasionally witnessed a table kissed by a player as well.

Tables are continuously accused of taking one's money. Something along the lines of, "hey how did you do last night"?  Answer, "the table took my money and took all of it". Or, "the table was hot, cleaned up and profited $10K". I guess the table determines one's outcome? Oh yeah, some casinos have more than one table of baccarat, been there and done that, walked in with a player partner and first thing out of their mouth's are, "don't sit at that table there's no way you're going to win at that one". So all in all I assume, it's really the table that will determine ones outcome and nothing else.

Tables really do get the brunt of the reason for players that lose. When we win, sometimes we mention that table in our discussions, but only sometimes. In my opinion that's very unfair! But, it is what it is.

Tables, they are loved and they are hated. But when you have say an $8,000 wager up on the bankers side, derived from a $1,500 buy-in with several small winning positive progressions and the cards are dealt, you are almost certain to rub your hands on the table, as if caressing a beautiful woman's face.

Your $8,000 wager along with everyone else's bet is on the bankers side. The dealer flops a 7 and a 4 for the players and the bankers cards are slid to you on top of that table, along its felt and you wedge your fingers along the sides of the cards after the unconscious gentle rub you so graciously and meaningfully gave that table.

In fact another person will usually reach over to your spot and rub the table in a circular motion to somehow give you an advantage. Once again, the table. So you peek and peek at the cards, you flip over a total of a 6. The dealer slides out of the shoe the players card and it travels along the table top from her left side all the way over to the players cards exposed and as it is flipped over, you were calling for a monkey/face and subconsciously thinking Face/10-9-A-2-3-4. The dealer flops over a friggen 7.  Yeah, players up to 8. The dealer quickly pulls a card out of the shoe and slides it to you.  You place your fingers on top of the card and rub it on the table. Probably a good four or five even six circles you make with it on top of the table.  Some kind of magical secret really experienced bac players are forbidden to fully explain, sorry.  You peek and see it is  a one line card. You quickly announce, "lose tie or win. But we have a chance". Your right hand fingers are on the card with the more old-school players poking the middle of it down into the table in order to convince it to be the 3 card you really need. Your left hand is palm down on the table and once again, caressing the table as if it was a beautiful woman's face.

You turn the card from horizontal to vertical and peel it back slightly. You see a dot on the end. You announce, "tie or win can't lose". But once again with the card unexposed you have both of your hands, palms down, rubbing the table. As if mixing up all those advantaged secret voodoo vibes, that will produce a 3 card. Others have once again reached over to your spot and rubbed their hands on the table as well.

Eventually you flop the card and present the 3 while simultaneously slapping the table. And don't worry, the table knows the difference between a winning smack and those notorious losing ones. After all, the table knows.

The table is the stage! Not one doubt about it-not one! No fancy gimmicks, no light show, no name brands. Nothing phenomenally materialistic, No pyrotechnics, no strobe or neon lights.

Just the dealer, the chip rack and the shoe. The green felt is the ocean of effortless greatness. The ocean is your place where you basically jump in, splash and wind up swimming to success or sinking to failure. 

Buy-in, sitting at the table and looking at our chip stacks separated by colors directly in front of us.  Then continuously looking at the rack and imagining how many of the dealers chips we can manage to win. The words of the Talking Heads song, 'Burning Down The House', running through some of our heads. "Ah, watch out, you might get what you're after. Cool babies, strange but not a stranger. I'm an ordinary guy. Burning down the house".................. OMG, seriously so fitting!

Great moments and real bad moments and all kinds of in between ones form at the table. Great memories stick, bad memories most of us wipe out pretty darn quick. Real quick in fact.

Lots of players-lots of thoughts.  A few players-no less thoughts indeed.  Thinking to the max. Thinking the average person that doesn't play baccarat would never imagine happens within our heads.  The cards change the way most of us think for whatever reason. We attempt to follow the cards and the only one really thinking about everything is us, not the dealer, not the floor people, not the cards, not the chips and definitely not the table. But the table sure brings lots of drama and reaction out in every single one of us.

Funny how even after a bad session or two or three, we go right back to that same table with complete open arms and a new handshake once again. Really not very rational but in the mind of a baccarat player, 100% normal and expected as well as never really given a second thought at all.

"At baccarat there is no such a thing as "balanced" patterns lasting for long, even "overalternating" A/B patterns are a form of unbalanced scenarios.
Thus virtually only slight alternating patterns could pose a threat to our plan." 

Why look for long, a small section producing those balanced or unbalanced pattens are a gravy train of beautiful wins, quickly.

"As already sayed one millions of times here, simple B and P hands or B/P doubles, etc are patterns too much affected by volatility, we need more complicated patterns to rely upon." 

Personally, I learned and attempt not to rely upon anything from that shoe.

"In fact more hands are needed to form a pattern, less likely is the probability that just one hand or a couple of hands will disrupt the normal asymmetrical flow."

True, but (and a long long thought here, forming a pattern and looking for it is like fishing in a spot of a lake where there might be plenty of fish based on previous experiences, but the time you go right there and drop your line with confidence, nothing!  How long do you stay?

"And less hands we want to "guess" greater will be the probability of success, unless the actual distribution seems to be so deviated that we could think to "freerolling" with casino's money." 

Are you referring to what I do and explained with 1 Base win and 2 more, then using the profits to feel less frustration and emotion, etc.?


"The real problems any bac player will face aren't related to WHEN a given pattern will happen but HOW LONG given patterns that had already shown up will present." 

True, but as I explained many times, you have to be on it, rather than waiting for it to establish and seek additional of the same once it is burning itself out.


"Obviously cards do not give a lesser fk about our current W/L status, this is one of the best tools making casinos' fortune as 99% of players want to get even in too short terms." 

True, hence the brightly cool colored scoreboard for all the 'expert' bac players to point to and continually follow because the board shows, 'so and so'!

"Or, it's the same concept, winning too much in the same short terms."

And that is why a person should engage in my #1 defensive tool, my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd MMM.

"Every plan has an inherent degree of risk. But risk is the price you pay for opportunity".

 A.J. Cooper played by Tom Selleck

"Each pattern or classes of patterns will fight against an opposite scenario, whenever something didn't happen so far, well, we simply assume it doesn't exist."

It doesn't exist, until it exists.  That is the smartest anyone can play the game, IMO and with extensive experience I state that.

And, RNG and computer generated trials, are not the same because they are usually, if not always set with a true 50/50.  And the real shoe of bac does not generate a true 50/50. 

A numeric sequence is said to be statistically random when it contains no recognizable patterns or regularities; sequences such as the results of an ideal dice roll or the digits of π exhibit statistical randomness.[1]
Statistical randomness does not necessarily imply "true" randomness, i.e., objective unpredictability. Pseudorandomness is sufficient for many uses, such as statistics, hence the name statistical randomness.
Global randomness and local randomness are different. Most philosophical conceptions of randomness are global—because they are based on the idea that "in the long run" a sequence looks truly random, even if certain sub-sequences would not look random. In a "truly" random sequence of numbers of sufficient length, for example, it is probable there would be long sequences of nothing but repeating numbers, though on the whole the sequence might be random. Local randomness refers to the idea that there can be minimum sequence lengths in which random distributions are approximated. Long stretches of the same numbers, even those generated by "truly" random processes, would diminish the "local randomness" of a sample (it might only be locally random for sequences of 10,000 numbers; taking sequences of less than 1,000 might not appear random at all, for example).
A sequence exhibiting a pattern is not thereby proved not statistically random. According to principles of Ramsey theory, sufficiently large objects must necessarily contain a given substructure ("complete disorder is impossible").

REASON I POSTED THAT:  "In a "truly" random sequence of numbers of sufficient length, for example, it is probable there would be long sequences of nothing but repeating numbers, though on the whole the sequence might be random."

The felt is reality and unlike sitting behind a computer or tablet or phone and playing free practice games with unlimited fake chips and no investment, it is a totally different world in a casino.  (Kind of liken it to sitting on a motorcycle in a artificial intelligence arcade game flying through the air doing a couple hundred miles an hour and being on a real motorcycle on the highway).

The two pictures below represent a little bit of what I'm referring to and trying to keep it simple, what I found to give me great advantage winning. 

The first picture represents $1,500 in black chips to my right.  2 stacks of $700 in green chips. And another $225 in green and $50 in red.  I have $200 on the felt on bankers, $30 on dragon bonus and $20 of Fortune 7.

The green chips would represent my buy-in I believe it was 1,400.  I am actively wagering with the rest of the green and red on the table and the felt.  The black is colored up winnings. 

The second picture represents black and purple on the rail, buy-in and winnings, several times my buy-in.  The $600+ on the felt is my 2nd wager, because I started at $300 (first wager of a series of 3) when I took the picture.  I happened to wager $100 on the tie, and I very seldom wager the tie, but did and won.  (You will note the dealers rack is just about cleaned out, but the rack became just about whole again before they called for a fill.  As sadly, most all gave back all their winnings.

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on June 23, 2024, 09:22:22 PMCasinos are worried about certain $25/$50 bj players, not giving a fk about baccarat players betting thousands with a sure advantage.
LOL.
as.

Please read my post:

https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11740.msg72156;topicseen#msg72156

Where I will answer why casino do not, never did and never will care about players winning thousands and thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars at baccarat. 

Before you can truly win, you must be able to compound positive results at the table and manage those results into profits. It goes a little bit further beyond winning a few hands or a bunch of hands, but how you schedule and plan what you are going to do with your win money while you are winning. And that is not easy because of the psychological affects winning has on all of us. 

How much-how long-decision making skill or hot lucky streaks-following others winning, and so many more will come in to play. Wins are wins, no matter how you arrived at your win. Money from the dealers rack into your buy-in stack. Once it hits your stack, it is yours, of course. But, you have to give yourself positive profits you can apply a concrete Money Management Method (MMM) to.

We all have different goals and beliefs at the table. No matter how you win, when you win, you must hold portions of your wins and be able to get psychological and visual physical positiveness out of your wins. That will give you all good advantage over most anything else.

I have found that the highest majority of all baccarat players will wager more when they are losing than when they are winning. Cutting a long and complex explanation of the above statement, you must engage in a reversal of exactly that. Wagering smaller and then bigger. However the 'bigger' must not be your buy-in or stacked money. I will attempt to explain this as simple as I can.

You must also understand and be able to separate decision making for your bets and how to handle your winning wagers to give you advantaged winning.

AT A MINIMUM, BUT NOT OPTIMIZED:
* Holding portions of your win amounts religiously.
* Able to hold partial wins and use partial wins.
* Applying protocol.

THE ABSOLUTE OPTIMAL:
* Using only your winnings not your buy-in funds at some point.
* Applying protocol.

Use Winnings With Protocol:  Mine are, winning in excess of my buy-in gets divided up into 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd amounts. 1/3rd back into my buy-in stack, 1/3rd locked up for anything but gaming and 1/3rd into reserve. When certain amounts are won, those amounts are further divided up. I am governed by the losses of winnings, or simply in other words, not wining after winning according to protocol. 

So I am governed by the losses of the wins, rather than always relying on my buy-in and stacked chips with really no protocols. Thus I refrain from believing my wins won't stop or really getting 'sucked in' and giving it all back and losing my buy-in as well.

I am writing this from years (decades) of brick and mortar casino experience. I constantly witness experienced Players, friends and those that have extremely great BetSelection and Decision ability and other positive traits.  However most all have little or no MMM and that is what is killing their ability to win more sessions by far than what they lose.

Explaining what I mean by wagering smaller than bigger and how to handle your winning wagers to give you advantaged winning.  A realistic example and on the side of seriousness is a $180 base wager. Instead of a flat betting, pull down, add a partial unit of win or two and then wager again, etc., etc., I have found a solid and quickly aggressive strategy would be the following:

$180 Base wager.  If won, move to second;
$360 Second wager.  If won, move to third;
$720 Third wager.  If won, STOP. 

$1,440  $180 Back into buy-in.  $1,260 play money.

Or Another Example Would Be:

$300 Base wager.  If won, move to second;
$600 Second wager.  If won, move to third;
$1,200 Third wager.  If won, STOP. 

$2,400  $300 Back into buy-in.  $2,100 play money.

NOTE:  Replenish buy-in with whatever drawdown might have occurred prior to the, 'STOP'.

(Below I will post a couple of pictures of actual chip stacks of mine at the table and maybe you can imagine the psychological and visual physical advantages they give me).  I separate my chips, I know why and how I earned them as well the representation of drawdown or win, and the amounts by protocol with a quick glance. 

Back To Protocol.  You get the idea. Two wins past your base wager, with your risk money is not far-fetched and dreaming at all. I've done quite well at it and although I do not keep session by session records, I know I am up overall since I started to employ that several years back. And it helps me extremely well over just grinding it down or betting blindly and not having any outcome planned for the win money except to win more. Again you should get the idea. 

The protocol you must stick to, is that of the base wager, your first wager. If you lose, you are losing the wager from your buy-in amount. Yes that is your risk money, at least it is mine. If you win, you are governed by your win and you are allowing your winnings to earn you more winnings and within a short period of time you will apply your MMM to the wins by strict protocol.  Within my protocol is, that of my further win and generally I am governed by losing a buy-in worth of winnings, is my tap on the shoulder to wait or stop the session.

The reason I choose to wager and draw down on my buy-in, is because it gives me a greater alertness to wagering as well as a greater consciousness to make fewer and quicker wagers especially when winning. I have found that reserving win money and only increasing a small percentage of my base wager, works against me from my goal of base wager +2 additional wins before reverting back to my base wager.

The hardest, the most difficult and the greatest notorious killer of most all baccarat players as I said, is their inability to apply a solid concrete MMM to their winnings. But also, their inability to understand a flat betting grind and its adverse affect on the player. As well, the player winning a few and believing in the continuation of a hot streak or skilled decision making trend, etc., and then a few losses occur with the players quick attempt to recover what they just so foolishly gave back.

Sure it's hard not to continuously wager larger and larger bets, but with my way I am risking minimal base wagers and reaching out for three wins, two after a base win and then scaling back to my minimal base risk again. No matter if I am drawing down on my buy-in or if I am using my base wager from sole winnings.

Baccarat is probably the easiest game in the casino to win as well as lose. But, if you win you better learn how to handle it and what advantage you can easily employ to hold it.  Be Smarter-Be Better. Realize the power of winning-realize the power that losing has over most everyone as well. If you really do, you will become a better player, a more successful player and much happier. I promise you that.

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on June 21, 2024, 10:29:12 AM

No drama, no spam, no phishing, no posting unverified casino links, no posting links to businesses, etc., etc.

If you want to advertise and post banners, contact me.  If not, I highly suggest going to a forum such as WizardofVegas, etc.  or one of the others.   I am quite sure they will allow one to post all the links desired (LOL).   

"As you know after reading my pages, I'm referring to Richard Von Mises and Marian Von Smoluchoswki."

Lol, I thought at first you were going to refer to Sputnik and Jimske, especially with their $15.00 and $50.00 flat bets, I'm just so jealous over.    Again, lol.