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Messages - alrelax

#31
Very interesting article about a tiny tribe is getting pushback for betting big on a $600M casino in California's wine country.

The Koi Nation's chances of owning a Las Vegas-style casino seemed impossible until a federal court ruling in 2019 cleared the way for the tiny tribe to find a financial partner to buy land and place it into a trust to make it eligible for a casino.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/tiny-tribe-getting-pushback-betting-040604600.html
#32
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 29, 2024, 09:01:36 PM
I am going to delete my previously posted content as I only refer to actual B&M casino reality baccarat, that I played or witnessed in person. 

Why?  Because it is the 'short run' and what is clearly being played at the table.

So, my thoughts do not fit in here, IMO.

#33
KungFuBac / Re: Horrible session across 4+ shoes
September 29, 2024, 02:46:31 PM
I can't wrap my arms around those hours.  But, hey I understand most of your logic and thinking.  Not all, most. 

I used to play those hours, but not everyday, weekends and 2 or 3 day mid week trips.  However,  those were at the big 2-sided 14 player seats, 3 dealers and 2 floor people on each end of the table, type of games.  Almost non existent today. 

#34
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 25, 2024, 03:33:23 PM
Not intended in anyway for any type of drama. 

As you said,  Begin: "b) In the short/intermediate term, the asymmetrical nature of the deck will make more probable (at least at some spots) some one sided results.
And as Alrelax correctly pointed out, there are no privileged patterns to rely upon, yet we have to consider some pattern ranges in order to set up our plan."  End.

But, we only play in the absolute "Short Term".

Unless you have extremely huge bankrolls and are playing some type of multiple on-line 24/7 programmed wagering business, etc. 

Short Term, anything and everything happens consistently, IMO.  Grab it while it's happening, etc.
#35
Alrelax's Blog / Re: The Table!
September 22, 2024, 08:24:28 PM
The Table!

The table, let's really look at that semi circular, non-human, non A.I., non-mechanical, non-functioning, piece of covered wooden amazement.

A table can take your money and the table can pay you money. That is the bottom line. How much, either way, is entirely up to you and up to you alone. Tables do not make decisions for you, you make those. So often I hear, the table did this or the table did that, the table sucked me in, I wonder why I lost money at the table tonight, etc. etc.  All wrong, the table is the same as an asphalt street.  It offers you a pathway and that is it.

What makes up a table? Well it is 10 things as I see it. The felt with lettering and numbers; the sections dividing the felt into the players real estate zones; the rail with its drink holders; the dealers chip rack to hold all the chips and lammers; a discard box holder for the depositing of each used hand; the cash drop that is on the table with a box attached underneath it; the tip box for the dealers attached to the rear of the table; a scoreboard and its holder attachment to the table; various signs outlining Dragon Bonuses and min/max limits; and finally, a shoe.

Although, the shoe is not an intricate part and physically attached to a table, it is the single most important part and always on the table whether it is opened or closed.  So in all essence, the shoe is actually a part of the table, IMO. 

I do not want to get into the technical aspect of what a table can be expected to produce.  Such as a player focusing on what is produced instead of his conscious realization that the table is only a pathway to what the shoe and the shoe only is going to produce, by its preset and unchallengeable 80 or so hands to be played out in a period of about two or so hours.

The technical aspects of the production of the table is not the table's or the shoe's or the dealer's specified input or output. It is the presentation and presentment of each preset hand after a random shuffle and a random cut, given even greater unknown possible results to the 80 or so hands, ready to be produced at the table.

The table and what makes it up, is truly unique and very special in so many ways, that almost all of us simply do not understand what we sit down at, throw our money on top of, receive an equal amount of valued chips and the chance to profit at as well as the very real possibility of self surrendering our buy-in money we risked before any clue as to what would happened to the casino.

The table is special as I said, and an extreme attraction with all of its sections, divisions, attachments and wagering fallacies, etc. Understanding the table is only a path/roadway to numerous possibilities you commit true to with your wagers.  Nothing else.

BE SMART AND BE CAREFUL.

#36
Alrelax's Blog / Re: The Other Night At The Bac Table
September 22, 2024, 04:32:31 AM
Bump.  From 5 years ago.  :)
#37
Ron Paolucci, whose Loooch Racing Stable won multiple leading owner titles in Ohio and ranked second nationally by wins in 2017 and 2018, was sentenced on Sept. 16 to 52 months in prison and ordered to pay more than $38.9 million in restitution to the Internal Revenue Service.


https://paulickreport.com/news/the-biz/paolucci-who-gambled-and-lost-with-irs-gets-52-month-jail-sentence-ordered-to-repay-38-9-million
#38
On a side note here about The Wynn casino in Vegas.  I never had any problems whatsoever depositing and withdrawing of Front Money at the tables, except for The Wynn. 

I was in Vegas several years ago and a close California friend, that usually stays at The Wynn was there playing and I popped in.  I quickly gave Front Money, signed a CTR and got ID'd, etc., etc., at that one person VIP cash counter right there adjacent to their bac tables. 

At the table, I signed the slip of paper to withdraw half of my deposit and the pit manager looks on the computer, nothing.  He proceeds to call the lady at the counter that did my transaction and I also gave him my receipt.  Still nothing.

Now I am aggravated and frustrated.  My buddy told the guy, that knows him well to give me what I wanted, hold my receipt and let's get the shoe on the road.  He said he couldn't.  So my buddy gives me what I wanted in his chips and another floor manager came over and asked my friend not to do that. 

My buddy told them they are being ridiculous and we are going to play.  We did.  Of course I lost pretty quick.  Finally the pit said it's all figured out now and I can have withdrawals from my account. 

I told them forget it, I will go back to the Belligo and Caesars where they don't play games with Front Money deposits. 
#39
QuoteI tried to draw attention to this all the way back in the Gambler's Glen days. I called it the effectiveness states. It is the ability to ignore the biases. It's one thing to see a trend or a pattern. It's another to know if it is in a coincidental phase of working temporaraly or not. Knowing is everything.


Thanks again Mark.  Using this reply for a BUMP.  Your still around in my thoughts.  Thanks, Glen.
#40
OMG!  I simply love this 'Real Life No Bull' sheriff in Florida. 

He explains the attorney and his gambling pulsating desires!  AND ITS UP TO 4 MILLION DOLLARS NOW!

No better than this, please watch.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=FOOwz_aRe_I
#41
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 11, 2024, 03:10:14 AM
QuoteWhat's this (I mean the numbers)?

1-10 (Strong and Follow whatever is appearing)

11-16 (Stronger or Immediately turning weak and follow)

as.

The numbers represent Hands 1-10 and Hands 11-16 (although probably should be 11-20). 

I have witnessed the highest amount of strong hands/events occurring from jump street within the shoe, as well as subsiding.

Also in addition, Fortune 7s appearing.  At least for 1 or 2.

That is where I get those two sets of numbers and what they designate. 
#42
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 09, 2024, 03:45:07 AM
My way of picking out extremes.  Don't care what they are, chops, streaks, doubles, 1s and 2s, etc., etc.

Set aside all fallacy, all statistics and all of your desires of what should or shouldn't work, as follows:

Apply 0-1-2-3 Low Tie

Just One More

Equalization

1's and 2's

Bead Plate (Follow with the appearing right side)

1-10 (Strong and Follow whatever is appearing)

11-16 (Stronger or Immediately turning weak and follow)

Half'ish' Changes (Follow or Not.  Be prepared)

The above 8 are the most common and in my best interest the highest majority of the times to follow and wager with.
#43
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 09, 2024, 03:06:10 AM
OMG, I most certainly 1,000,000% believe you! 
#44
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
September 09, 2024, 01:18:23 AM
As you said:

"Extremes" rarely happening make the fortune of recreational players or of those very rare acute players capable to ride those unlikely situations; everything different than that will make the casinos' fortune or creating the basis where professionals will make money."

Yes, 'extremes' most certainly come and go with no protocols except gut feelings the highest majority of the times.  I have made handsome amounts of money when most others were either losing or stumbling enormously on the 'extremes'. 

One has to have a totally clear as well as a neutral mind-set when at the felt.  There is no other way, IMO. 

#45
To Recap.  Reality on the Felt.

Set aside all fallacy, all statistics and all of your desires of what should or shouldn't work.


Apply 0-1-2-3 Low Tie

Just One More

Equalization

1's and 2's

Bead Plate (Follow with the appearing right side)

1-10 (Strong and Follow whatever is appearing)

11-16 (Stronger or Immediately turning weak and follow)

Half'ish' Changes (Follow or Not.  Be prepared)

The above 8 are the most common and in my best interest the highest majority of the times to follow and wager with.