Here is another shoe with 4 Fortune 7s from a couple of weeks ago.

Good shoe, good rhythm, excellent flow. 

F7's at hands 19-25-46-72.

See picture 2, there was another playing only banker bets on the top and bottom lines of the Bead Plate.  Every time it would come up adjacent and to the right side.

New shoe.  Actual B&M play a few days ago.  Personally, I love this I wrote above: "But understand that you also have to understand losing. Because you cannot win without losing at times." And that means, you can not win every session.  But also it most certainly means, you have to lose hands being played in order to win.  I laugh so incredibly hard when I read on the internet, how most preach their 3 or 4 unit stop loss, etc.  Why?  Because to me, that is absolute insanity as well as employing roadblocks to nice size wins.

Sat down at hand 33. There was an empty table. And hand 33 was the natural player after two back to back players. One tie was out.  My thoughts, 0-1-2-3 ties, shoe usually produces clumps of events and they continue for sections. With that in thought, absolutely spot on in what was happening.

I wagered for Banker and won. Wagered for a second Banker and lost.  I wagered again for the banker for the cut, only one tie out previously and it did cut but also, the shoe was strong in the beginning (Section 1) and it was producing weak events after that (Section  2). Just came off of a 12 chop chop section. There was a few doubles and it was starting to clump again. It was a tie, and it was a three card 9-9 tie, which at the 5-Treasures Baccarat game would've been 75 to 1 for the side bet.  Anyways, I wagered the bankers side after the tie, now was hand 38 coming up. Parlayed the full win for a second Banker and it was a natural 9 Banker over a natural 8 for the players side. 

I cut down about half of the wager and another tie came out. I cut it down a bit more as I did really like the cut to the player side after that third tie came out, but I just felt a few bankers were due because it was clumping up a little bit. I was wrong. I lost the wager. Now several people sat down and a group of four were clearly talking how they were going to outsmart the shoe, etc.

They were all on the players side. One other person was with my way of thinking. He put table max on the bankers and I put about 3Xs what I had in my last wager that I lost. Bankers comes out. Everyone is now hell-bent on the chop chop reappearing. Both verbally as well as their wagers are placed on the players side of course. I wagered the bankers and F7 for $20.00 as well as the dragon bonus for $30.00. I was wagering the F7 for $20.00 since I sat done as well as a few dragon bonuses.  Hit several dragons which pretty much funded my F7s. 

Now here we're go with the next 8 hands and 3 Fortune 7s within those as well as a 3 card 8-0 dragon bonus win, since it's still fresh on my mind.  First picture I snapped is hands 1-52.  I am going to outline below hand 42 through hand 52. 

Hand 42.  9/A players.  10/2 bankers.
          Face card players 3rd.  5 for bankers 3rd.
          Fortune 7 plus dragon 6:1 bonus.

As I always said, I would have to roughly estimate that after a Fortune 7 it cuts to the players about 85% of the times.  I stayed wagering for the bankers and of course everyone continues with extreme confidence on the players side.

Hand 43.  Players natural 9. Bankers 2/face.

I remained on the bankers and neg martingale as well.

Hand 44.  Players face/7.  Bankers 10/6.

I remained on the Bankers with a second negative martingale. 

Hand 45.  Players 3/3.  Bankers 10/7.
An exact opposite of the previous hand.

Cut down a little for the next wager.  Remained hell bent on the Bankers and still felt that clumping up forthcoming. 

Hand 46.  Players 10/A.  Bankers 10/10.
      Players 3rd card face.  Bankers 3rd card 10.

Once again, remained on Bankers with the exact same feelings and thoughts as I did on hand 46. My wager included another $20.00 F7 and a $30.00 Dragon.

Hand 47.  Players 7/5.  Bankers 3/7.
      Players 3rd card 9.  Bankers 3rd card 7.
      Fortune 7. Plus dragon 4:1 bonus. 

Once again, everyone was focused on the chop chop and verbally reasoned it out as they were all placing their wagers on the players side. 

I remained on the bankers while increasing my bankers side wager and keeping my F7 and Dragon bets as well.


Hand 48.  Players 9/2.  Bankers 6/5.
        Players 3rd card face.  Bankers 3rd card 8.
        Bank won by 8.  Dragon 10:1 bonus.

I remained on the Bankers side with the side bets.

Hand 49.  Players 5/5.  Bankers 9/7.
        Players 3rd card 6.  Bankers 3rd card A.
        Fortune 7.  (See picture below, yes a bit
          unusual).

I remained on the Bankers with the same side bets.

Hand 50.  Players 10/5.  Bankers 8/3.
        Players 3rd card face.  Bankers 3rd card 5.

I remained on Bankers with the same side bets.

Hand 51.  Players 9/6.  Bankers 10/4.
        Players 3rd card 10.  Lost.

I remained on Bankers with the same bets.

Hand 52.  Players natural 8.  Bankers natural 8. Tie
          Push the Bankers bet and push the Dragon bet.

Now the rest of the shoe and briefly what happened.  See the 3rd picture below.

Hand 53.  Players 6/6.  Bankers 8/4.
        Players 3rd card 6.  Bankers 3rd card 6.
        Tie.  Lost both side bets.

Hands 54-58.  5 players back to back making up a total of 6 players and 2 back to back ties.  The players hands were strong. Like reducing the bank to zero or 1 on 2 of them and the other 2 non-naturals, the players 3rd cards would increase the players side to a total of 8 or 9. 

The table was all wagering on the players except for me.  I just didn't feel it, especially after the back to back ties and the natural for the players that followed those ties. I lost easily at least $1,500 of my win money.

I remained on the bank and caught all four back to back bankers hands 59 through 62. I parlayed a couple of times so I got back basically what I lost. That is what I meant when I say said before, you have to know how to lose in order to win at times. Please remember that.  Is it a scientific mathematical calculation that is supported by statistical results?  Absolutely not.  But there are other possibilities and advantaged probabilities that you learn from experience. 

The rest of the shoe was ones and twos after those four back to back bankers. I caught a few singles and a couple of the doubles. I did not wager every hand.  Probably lost as many as I won in that last Section of the shoe. 

I won several thousand. I should not have continued Wagering against those players after the F7s and that first set of 4 back to back bankers.  But I was confident on the bank and could not get away from that frame of mind.

It was a nice balance out with the 8 players to the 7 bankers after that second 4 back to back Bankers (hands 59-62), towards the end of the shoe I must say again. If you break it down in Sections as you are playing you will gain a huge advantage along with the other things that I continually talk about and this was a perfect example in so many ways.

Fortune 7s are the bankers wins with the red/blue dots at the 11:00 and the 4:00 positions.  I circled them in the picture for those that are unfamiliar with them.

We all make mistakes, personally, business wise and financially.  But I would like to say, I do believe Gizmo, AKA Mark, is a good person and of course, extremely knowledgeable in the gambling/casino world.

I talked to him today and I buried that proverbial hatchet.  He is most welcomed back here with a clean slate.

I would be grateful if he accepts my offer to return and calls BetSelection.cc home. 

Respectfully,
Alrelax
Administrator & Forum Owner

Quote from: XXVV on May 08, 2023, 10:26:06 PMMore will follow soon.

Today I send my best wishes, gratitude and praise to Max/ Esoito - RIP and my condolences to his dear wife and family. 10 years I knew Max met through Victor and his work. Sincere, honest, articulate and a gentleman and scholar.

Best
Richard
XXVV

Esoito, fine and outstanding gentleman by all means!  Condolences to the highest degree.

Respectfully,
Alrelax
Administrator & Board Owner

Be careful.  There are ways the casino can track you and have it appear they are not.  I have some minor detailed info on this.  Not handy right now, but I will dig out the email I received from an out of country, live online casino personnel, whom gave me some detailed operating tricks they use/used, etc.  I will find it and post what I was told.

You said, "......at least for me Im not out there consistently winning 25/30 consec decisions,...etc."

I agree, but this was a perfect presentment of a simple balanced and valued pattern/trend. 

I went against my beliefs and every good wagering decision making placement I can think of. 

Not necessarily a boom or bust technique, but a strong 15-17 wagers with positive progressions on top of winning parlays that i normally would have played but for some strange reason didn't see it 100% at the time, had told to me in a way, and when I did bet—-I wagered otherwise or cut the amount of the wager way down. 

We take for granted events will happen as well as events not happening.

And both cost us money, all of us. I was at the casino the other night. Bought in at nearly the end of a shoe, few hands left. Won a few and lost a few. Ready for a new shoe. Shuffle, cut and burn. Shoe began.

Shoe starts, Natural 9 player. So I thought here comes the player dominating in the beginning once again. I bet Banker and lost the first hand. Then a double Banker came and won both. Stayed Banker for the 4th hand, but a strong player came and it was a Banker with a seven and player had zero for its first two cards. Third card for the player was an eight. So floor is quiet and it's just myself and one other player.  Floor person is well-known and talkative. Gives out max comps plus. Comes over and says, look easy game 1-2-1-2. Now lost two and won two. Slightly ahead, since I parlayed second Banker and cut it back for the third Banker that didn't appear.

So we are sitting at the 5th hand coming and wagered Banker, I won. 6th hand wagered banker and won again. Floorman said again, look easy game, 1-2-1-2.

I wanted to wholeheartedly follow that but something inside of me said not to. Why? I don't know.

Granted, anything can happen, pattern/trend or otherwise. But I preach, when it is there to follow it when it's not, don't attempt to change it. 

Also no ties. My 0-1-2-3 no or low ties, was also present, big time. Which to me defines itself as, repetitive presentments and clumping, no matter how winning hands are grouped, etc.  The 3 tangible items present are the following:

1)  Beginning of the shoe;

2)  No ties;

3)  Pattern/Trend clearly present.

So we are sitting on the 7th hand coming:

P-BB-P-BB
 
Won four, lost two. Sitting with a slight profit, very slight from the two wins. I stay for Banker and once again the player comes through with a natural.

P-BB-P-BB-P

I actually wanted to wager on the second player but did not. Once again I wagered banker. And banker won. Wagered again banker and banker won again for another third set of doubles. Such a darn perfect 1-2-1-2-1-2.

Same thing, floorman says easy game 1-2-1-2. Dealer looks at me and she says, 'Glen this is not you'. I'm sitting with three losses, my wins have three of them wiped out. I should have had an easy six wins with only two losses the way I was looking at it. Which would have been the 1st hand and the 4th hand as a loss. I failed to fall into an easy groove is what simply happened. 

Now I continue but go light on banker. Another huge mistake!  Win the next two hands.  So we are sitting at the following:

P-BB-P-BB-P-BB

Lose the 10th hand as after the two bankers a perfect player wins once again. The hand was player had 1 and bankers had a two face cards.  Players third card was a 7 and bankers draw was only an Ace.  So now I am sitting there with 10 hands out.

Lost 4 Players
Won 4 Bankers
Net 2 wins and just a over even

I should have had six parlayed wins, not one doubt. Not one problem. But I fought it and tried to change it, big time.

Not over yet!  Read on. Two more bankers appear, both strong valued wins.  One was a natural and the other one reduced players to a zero and bankers took the easy win.  Now we are sitting at hand 13 coming up looking like the following:

P-BB-P-BB-P-BB-P-BB

Once again I strongly desired player, but stayed with Banker. Didn't parlay at all. In fact I reduced my bet a little bit. Player had a 4 and banker had a 5. Luckily Player drew a nine and banker won the hand. Was not a huge win but a win nonetheless. I stayed, didn't parlay and I couldn't believe what I was actually doing and how I was actually wagering. Player had a 7 and banker had a natural win. So now we are sitting at the following:

P-BB-P-BB-P-BB-P-BBBB

Sitting with 4 losses
Sitting with 10 wins reduced by 4
Net 6 wins

Please Note:  My win was not what it should have been by any means.  Which were positive progressions with a minimum of parlayed amounts, if not greater. 

Now I parlay for the 5th Banker. But a player wins. And with each hand coming I wagered for a subsequent Banker to reappear and I lost the 16th, the 17th, and the 18th hands.  Perfect matching side by side, 4 players right next to the 4 bankers. 

So now we are sitting with the following:

P-BB-P-BB-P-BB-P-BBBB-PPPP

The emotions and the frustrations are inside of myself. Yes, again something else I write about and I know extremely well. But what I am experiencing was my failure to just follow a simple pattern/trend, that was perfect, solid and could have been extremely profitable.

To me, I lost a sure and extremely easy $10,000 plus. I allowed numerous things to take over my wagering decision making. Among those were:

*  Ego
*  Emotions/Frustrations
*  Wagering for what I desired

After the 4 players won parallel to the 4 Bankers, a single banker won. Which was followed by a winning player without a second banker for the first time.

Nothing can be changed. But you can sure follow winning presentments with a handsome positive and energetic motivated play the way I look at it.

The shoe fizzled after the 20th hand with a combination of chop, 1s and 3s, ties and nothing in my book that could be followed or even wagered against with success more than winning 1 and losing several, type of results.

FROM: CNBC

'Crypto is dead in America,' says longtime bitcoin bull Chamath Palihapitiya

PUBLISHED MON, APR 24 20231:40 PM EDTUPDATED MON, APR 24 20232:59 PM EDT

Tech investor Chamath Palihapitiya, who previously claimed bitcoin has replaced gold and would eventually get to $200,000, now says "crypto is dead in America."

"The United States authorities have firmly pointed their guns at crypto," Palihapitiya said on the latest episode of the All-In podcast.

The SEC has ramped up its enforcement of the crypto industry, bearing down on companies and projects that were allegedly selling unregistered securities.

Tech investor Chamath Palihapitiya, who said two years ago that bitcoin has replaced gold and predicted the digital currency would climb to $200,000, has a much more cautious view on cryptocurrencies these days.

"Crypto is dead in America," Palihapitiya said in the latest episode of the All-In podcast.


Palihapitiya blamed crypto's demise largely on regulators, who have gotten much more aggressive in their pursuit of bad actors in the industry. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has said crypto trading platforms should abide by strict U.S. securities laws.

In answering questions in front of lawmakers recently, Gensler connected the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank with the crypto industry.

"You had Gensler even blaming the banking crisis on crypto," Palihapitiya said. "The United States authorities have firmly pointed their guns at crypto."

The SEC has ramped up its enforcement of the crypto industry, bearing down on companies and projects that the regulator alleges were selling unregistered securities.

In February, the agency proposed rules that would change which crypto firms can custody customer assets. In March, the SEC issued crypto exchange Coinbase a Wells notice — typically one of the final steps before it files charges — warning the company that it identified potential violations of U.S. securities law. Last week, the SEC charged the crypto asset trading platform Bittrex and its ex-CEO with operating an unregistered exchange.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong told CNBC that his company is preparing for a yearslong court battle with the commission, and is also considering relocating outside the U.S. if it doesn't get improved regulatory clarity. Meanwhile, Bittrex has already announced it would wind down U.S. operations specifically due to "continued regulatory uncertainty."

They "were probably the ones that were the most threatening to the establishment," said Palihapitiya, referring to crypto companies. "And they were the ones that, in fairness to the regulators, did push the boundaries more than any other sector of the startup economy."

"Now they're paying the price for that," he said. "The bill has come due for them."

Gensler faced similar criticism from House Republicans over the agency's crackdown on cryptocurrency platforms during four hours of congressional testimony last week.

"Regulation by enforcement is not sufficient nor sustainable," said House Financial Services Committee Chairman Rep. Patrick McHenry, R-N.C. "You're punishing digital asset firms for allegedly not adhering to the law when they don't know it will apply to them."

McHenry said the SEC's approach was "driving innovation overseas and endangering American competitiveness."

Gensler defended the agency's actions.

"We have a clear regulatory framework built up over 90 years," he said, adding that the exchanges "are "noncompliant generally, and they need to come into compliance."

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, reached a record of about $69,000 in November 2021, when the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate was near zero and investors were flooding into risk. The market changed in a hurry last year, as the Fed began steadily raising rates to fight inflation.

In early 2021, Palihapitiya predicted on CNBC that bitcoin would rise from $39,000 at the time to $100,000 and then up to $200,000.

"In what period, I don't know," he said. "Five years, 10 years, but it's going there. And the reason is because every time you see all of this stuff happening, it just reminds you that, wow, our leaders are not as trustworthy and reliable as they used to be."

Later in 2021, just before the peak, he said bitcoin had "effectively replaced gold."

Bitcoin is currently trading at just over $27,300, down 60% from its all-time high.

It is this simple.  What the house holds from each game has nothing to do with the long term average H.E. 

A whale could dump multi millions in a weekend.  Hundreds of players will lose in a night, while considerably fewer win and cash out. 

I was extremely close with a director of marketing at a Midwest casino that has several $5,000.00 max bac tables.  I was told their hold on bac is always over 20% of their bac drop. 

People do not lose 1% or there abouts of their buy-in.  The highest majority of them will lose 100% of it.

PART 2

So much writing on the Internet about patterns and trends with money management applied. But unfortunately not really explained and it virtually all involves unlimited Bankroll in the way that they are doing their testing and publishing the results. Of course that is coupled with totally unrealistic limits at the table which you will hardly or never ever find such table limits as $1.00 to $30,000, etc. 

Let's just get the table limits published here.  In 99% of casinos you will find the following:

$10.00/$25.00 to $1,000.00
$25.00/$50.00 to $2,000.00/$2,500.00
$25.00/$50.00 to $5,000.00
$25.00/$50.00 to $10,000.00
$100.00 to $10,000.00
$200.00 to $15,000.00
$300.00/$500.00 to $20,000.00
$500.00 to $25,000.00

With a very trivial amount of Casio properties you might come across a slight variation from the above. 

And people are talking about swings of -150 to -400 units etc. So let's just think about this for a quick second. Let's take $25 as a minimum. And if you lose 150 units you're talking $3,750.00.  If you started with $100 as a minimum and you lost 150 units you talking about $15,000.00.  Starting with $25 and losing 300 units you would have lost $7,500.00.  Starting with $100 minimum and losing 300 units you talking about losing $30,000.00.  And you need at least 10 sessions to even find out if your system works because you're gonna lose some sessions and win some sessions (hopefully) and you're talking about almost always in all of the systems as far as I read about, flat betting. 

Go ahead and take every swing and analyze the events prior to an attempt to define and discover triggers that appear at 50% and greater of the time. Sure there will be a few here and there but how do you know that they are going to continue in every consecutive shoe that is played?  The reasoning and belief is so far-fetched and so impossible, it stuns me to imagine how people fall for it and purchases the systems that guarantee and promise such events to happen.

Simply, repetitiveness does not exist.  It does not exist in any published order of any type.  Never did and never will.  The shoe you are playing might produce a single player after ever single time the banker produces a natural or a '3 card whatever', and then for 6 consecutive shoes, the exact opposite occurs and you gave back your triggered win and lost 5 times the total amount counting on the trigger to win once again.  Possibly a few triggers here and there can be and are highlighted, but their appearances will never even reach close to 50%.  Never ever.  Period. 

I read so often, flatbet until losses occur and you will be safe. One unit or two units or four units, etc. A realistic Drawdown until you are able to recoup and restock your buy-in loss, will always be hundreds of units most of the time. And by flat betting and winning a few units at a time, it is such a far-fetched possibility to have a winning system, again it just stuns me.

And the playtime. I guess some of these results are published from high speed computer analysis which is basically worthless at the table. Talking about 8 to 10 shoes of nothing before something happens in one of their upswings where the magical trigger(s) are at, etc. How are you going to sit through and play baccarat shoes in a brick and mortar casino at an average of 1.5 hours a shoe?  You would be talking 15 hours of straight play time to go through 8 to 10 shoes.

Every single grind will lose if played repeatedly and consecutively. It has to. It does. Every single grind will win only trivial times in the game Baccarat. However, the loss will well outnumber the wins and that is why the game exists in Casinos. Simple. Do not try to beat what is established and proven for decades and decades by purchasing a system for $500.00 or $2,000.00 or $5,000.00. It is ludicrous to the max.

A small Bankroll and a small Buy-in will never ever survive the swings a.k.a. DRAWDOWNS. The few times it might, out of say 20 times playing, will never ever allow you to be even at the end. You need a decent sized Bankroll and you need to buy in for a small percentage of that bank roll each time allowing for losses. But this is what the system sellers and all of the guaranteed money people on the Internet will always fail to tell you.

It is possible to win money and I am talking about wins that far outweigh your buy-ins. However, it is a huge combination of understanding and adhering to MMM and emotional control and most of all, understanding shoe presentments and wagering with large positive progressions while risking the win money when and if it comes your way. Otherwise, IMO you were not going to profit from the game Baccarat.

Winning consistently includes losses/losing sessions. Yes it does, you will fail if you do not subscribe to that and keep it in your conscious every single time you sit down the play. That I guarantee you.

Don't get me wrong, an extremely large amount of shoes, consecutively, playing whatever it is on the grind will eventually be in your favor. But only for an undisclosed and never to be determined amount of upcoming hands.  And those hands are going to be presented with total randomness that is never going to be the same from previous ones in an exact order with the exact triggers that were preached upon in systems.  The winning hands might be the same but predicting and knowing when they are coming is impossible to place upon any shoe in any game of baccarat.

I have studied several 5,000 shoe test results. While one will produce profits another will not. I will not disclose what method it was, but it was a common, 'so many players' and then wager for so many bankers in a 7-8-9-10-11 step Martingale type of system.  And that is why it is so ridiculous with the way that they test them. Give the results. Highlight what they want. And with such fictitious table limits that I labeled it all as ridiculous and ludicrous to the max.

Now in reality.  The amount of units required would be about 750,000 to profit plus or minus 10%, for 75,000 units. The profit is 10% max of the total Bankroll. But you would also have other times within the 5,000 shoe sessions where you would either lose or profit a very trivial amount above the mark of even.  Once all the profits and losses are added and deducted, every single 5,000 shoe session was a loser. EVERY SINGLE ONE WAS A LOSER!

And again that is why baccarat tables exist in casinos.

If you have never witnessed 8-9-10-12 or more back to back players, you have a very limited table experience. As well, 7 or 8 players back to back followed by one or two bankers and then another 6-7-8-9 or so players immediately being presented.  That is what repetitively and nightly, wipes out peoples buy-ins when they are betting on one thing only, no matter if it's player only or banker only or a certain hand after a natural or a certain hand after a tie or a conglomeration of various triggers to happen. 

Lose a few of those and realize that buy-ins from realistic bankrolls are doomed, plain and simple, counting on some trigger method to produce your win.  I have said it many times before, do not wager for what you want, wager with what the shoe is presenting.  Hopefully I got my point across?

Casinos were 100% exclusively 5% commission charged on winning Banker hands.  They are in large part gone now and replaced by the EZ Bac version. But a few years, back when the game really picked up speed with the addition of numerous versions of the game with various side bets, etc., a great amount of casinos dropped the commission version of the original game. All of this happens for a reason. And today's player is so oblivious to the real facts and reasoning behind how the game is presented and what the game is about, I physically laugh how they research and study lawnmowers, TVs or a computer before purchasing one, more than they will before they gamble thousands and thousands of dollars on the game Baccarat.

However all beliefs and most all theories are based on the assumption the banker wins almost 51% of the time and the player wins slightly over 49% of the time. But this is not in every shoe or every session you will play.

In Hardcore reality, both sides have a 50-50% chance for wins and losses of all types when you were playing.  Both sides can form any amount of random style events that many will say, "wow I never thought that could happen", or something along those lines. Almost every session that I play, I see that exact same thing happening.

Here is something I wrote back in 2017 on this forum:  "Take any statistic you desire and apply it to a real game of baccarat.  Keep applying it and see how much you win from using statistics to wager on.  Betting for something to happen instead of betting for what the shoe is producing, is certainly a way to drain your bank roll faster than most anything else, IMO."

Why? Because the stats/results are from millions of shoes and multi millions of hands. You are not sitting down to play even a fraction of a percent of those stats, even if you add up your yearly total cumulative count.  Simple.  Seriously think!

Sometimes I have succeeded and sometimes I have failed, but always I have taken heart from what I have experienced, accomplished or been subjected to.

Put the blinders on, tune out the wannabe fantasies and apply the correct focus employing dedicated one section/one session, combating wrongful belief against current presentments of the shoe.  Just remember, please.  Why? Because the 'anything and everything can and will happen agenda-but with absolute true and complete randomness', and that is what the highest of the highest majority will never ever figure out.  Never.

There most certainly is a path to righteousness, but it is certainly unclear exactly what that path is and how to continuously follow it.  And there is where most all on these forums, as well as at the tables, are seeking to discover and get filthy rich from.  It will never ever happen, because you can't beat randomness with mathematical science, structured into wagering triggers that will prove repetitively positive. 

• Here, a perfect quote  IMO.  Theodore Roosevelt once said about the man in the arena, "whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again because there is not effort without error and shortcoming, but who does actually strive to do the deed, who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause, who at the best knows in the end the triumphs of high achievements and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly".

PART 1

The Internet has done its share of negativity to gambling.

Especially in games like baccarat. Why? Because most everyone wants the 'Google and Find' answers no matter what level they are at. Including accuracy, success and positive results they will have in every session. A complete fallacy but they chase it in every means possible without really focusing on what will help them in my opinion.

Maybe 'Google and Find' works in a great amount of things; How to replace parts, how to work certain equipment, guidelines for troubleshooting broken mechanical things, directions to places, reviews of locations, recipes for cooking, statistics on towns-cities-states and worldwide locations, history of all sorts, corporate backgrounds, etc., etc., etc.  But 'Google and Find' will not offer you the triggers and mechanical wagering schedules most seem to believe really do exist that will offer a continuous and repetitive winning wagering plan.

The Internet does offer a very limited amount of resources to anyone as well as some experienced players that attempt to engage in serious and real discussion regarding gambling. But during the previous years they have fizzled out extremely with ridiculous and childish behavior, that the highest majority seem to engage in on a daily repetitive showing.

However along with all the ridiculous infighting, circle of exclusive friends and drama driven people that only offer one line non factual or insightful and totally meaningless posts, demeaning and humiliating comments, as well as total negativity, so many of the long-term experienced forum players either do not post any longer and simply refuse to engage in forum exchanges with the types I just mentioned. Sad but brutally true!

I have noticed, as well as a great amount of others, there is a much larger amount of rejection and dismissal of whatever experienced and knowledgeable people say these days, both on the forums  as well as at the tables. Why? I would have to attribute it to the masses of people are just not familiar with the 'anything and everything can and will happen agenda-but with absolute true and complete randomness', trying to be explained, shown and discussed.

Since most people start playing Baccarat by some sort of stumbling on the game with no prior research, trial and error or coaching, they are highly subjected to all the systems and easy money selling talk of one type or another on the Internet before those people finally come across a forum with serious members and less drama then all the other ones.

And throwing their good money after bad (lost at gambling and system sellers) money they all experience for a while, they immediately side with so many of the drama driven, one liners, etc. I guess I'm just assuming, it's just their subconscious way of getting back at anything that really makes sense in gambling? 

What is really sad, and I witness it over and over and over again, but so very true, are most being 100% hypocritical of experience, real results and factual findings.

Bump for many reasons. 

You know what is so sad at the bac table, witnessing all those people believing the written hype and B.S. on the Internet!

This is going to be a tough thought to get across, but it set into me the other night right at the active table. And that is, do not get emotionally attached or detached from what is going on. It will probably equal out and most all the times it does, referring to the Players/Bankers winning hand count within the played shoes. How it does, is usually different than the previous time, reference when and how it does. And that is kind of a key factor in successful wager, IMO.  Most certainly there are times it does not, like 40s and 20s or 30s and 20s, etc.  But far greater amount of shoes end much closer, such as a + - 1 to + - 5 range.  Remember that if you are trying to gauge yourself in some type of wagering pattern depending on the count.

There most certainly are reasons why it does but those probably never will be discovered and exposed. As far as how and when the equalization occurs in the shoes being played, that part will always be truly random allowing for all of the reasons why people wager how they do.

One of the problems with all this is the scoreboard, roads and beliefs, all staring you in the face and coupled with your beliefs, thoughts, chips and greed, power overcomes rationale at most every single turn of the game. Simple and I challenge any single one of you to say different.

Can it help? Sure. Can it hurt? Absolutely. And that is the point I am trying to get across.  Thoughts and beliefs are the two single greatest things that will either make you or break you in gambling my friend. 

You have to be able to recognize and be neutral to what and how the presentments are occurring, not for the why.  Just think about, winning. It does not matter one bit why you win, it matters what and how you won.  Remember that.

The true randomness is, what and how the presentments happen/are happening. Not why they did. Once again, you will never ever figure out the why of it. Simple.  Period.

All the writings about fictive this or that, up on losses and down on wins, adhering to random pieces of wishful thinking, etc., etc., which are believed by most to have to be presented, are such total BS it is sad and if played regularly will take your money most every single session. Might be great writing and great hope, but zero advantages and only luggage on your shoulders at the tables.

The most powerful things are, positive progressive wagering and a M.M.M., that includes 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd in your session. 

Chart all the losses you want. Chart all the wins you want as well. Does not mean anything! Never did and never will.  That is what is truly random in this game. What wins one time, loses another or wins again in a slightly different way. There is no telling, no mechanical predicting in any way whatsoever that can make a steady profit. All of the results from tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, millions of hands and shoes will never ever allow the serious player to earn a profit. All those results, triggers and math 'anything' will never be translated into session by session. Never ever.

What does make money in this game, serious money? That is positive progressions that you were able to wager on the side that is simply, winning. Does not matter if it is the side that is catching up, pulling ahead or both sides remaining equal in the hand count. A win is a win. What is your advantage is to be able to win more positive progressive wagers and walk out with a greater amount then your buy-in on a repetitive basis.

YOU SAID:

"a) Taking for grant that bac shoes are really randomly offered;

b) It's the corollary of the above point, that is considering baccarat as any other gambling game where the 'whole' findings (infinite shoes) matter instead of focusing about 'single shoe' dependent features and properties."

And, what you said above, is probably 2 of the biggest mistakes most all make.  First, one assumes and believes that all the forthcoming presentments are truly random (and without reason) from the shoe. 

And, second that most all will be continuously (CONTINUOUSLY) running their findings together as a constant play rather than a finite or sectioned event.

Think about it, really sit down and give it thought.  Personally, I certainly stopped the all too famous and popular, "well so and so happened, so now such and such must occur", etc., etc., wager justification rants at the table.  Except maybe, when it is at those +10 and at or near that +20 count. Other than that, I am most certainly wagering for what is being presented rather than wagering for those dream full whole findings to come out and match up with math/stats/results and so on.