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Messages - alrelax

#406
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
October 31, 2022, 03:24:31 AM
As you said in Post 706:

" The only way casinos are losing serious money is whenever strong univocal situations happen (and it doesn't happen so often), thus the only way we players might win serious money is by wagering the opposite more likely counterpart or to bet the univocal situations up to a point. Or, better yet, not to bet at all."

And..............when it's there..............whatever it might be............you pounce on it——-HARD.  To a point as I say ( and as you said as well, spot on, then back to one's Level and Plateau. 

#407
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
October 26, 2022, 09:08:00 PM
A couple places I play at any side three-card 8/9 is a 200:1 payout.  $25.00 quarter is a $5,000.00 pay!

Also both sides, anyway naturals 8/9 (one side 8 and one side 9) is a payout of 50:1.

#408
Off-topic / The Vesper Martini!
October 22, 2022, 10:55:26 PM
Okay everyone, here is a golden classic, The Vesper Martini. 

What is it?  Well it's a Martini that was introduced by Vesper Lynd, a fictional character from the James Bond author, Ian Fleming in the original 1953 Casino Royale movie. 

Here is a link to Vesper Lynd's bio.  Now bear in mind the catchphrase, "Shaken, Not Stirred", which was immortalized in Bond films.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vesper_Lynd

3 oz Gin
1 oz Vodka
1/2 oz Lillet aperitif
Lemon twist

However, a bit of a twist with the same ingredients.

Equal parts of the 3 alcohol products.

Gin
Vodka
Lillet aperitif
Lemon twist

Shaken extremely well with 1 ice cube, rub the inside of the lemon twist on the rim of the glass all the way around it and drop it in the glass.

Enjoy!



#409
Yes Sir!  Absolute openness, fairness and expression is available here without the drama queens ganging up with their mission to destroy.  As well, we fight spamming and all those one time link posters to all kinds of unrelated sites as well as the renegade system sellers, etc. 

Our platform is here and will stay.  Period.

Good Bless All.  Stay Safe.

Administrator and Forum Owner,
Alrelax
#410
Off-topic / Bernie Mac
October 15, 2022, 09:40:24 PM
#411
Thanks for a good link.  :thumbsup:
#412
QuoteThanks VLS  :applause:  :applause:  :applause:  AWESOME

Great!
#413
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
October 05, 2022, 04:32:38 PM
It is truly random, BUT.........The Key Lies in the Following:

.........."So, if it is impossible to predict randomness, what can we do to predict winning hands? I would strongly say, that we should expect some sequences to be perfectly parallel as well as, those that look non-random or simply lopsided. Do not limit yourself to the consistency or the inconsistency as the indication of what to wager. Rather, be alert to the sequences producing parallel or lopsided outcomes and siding with those."
#414
Stats for most all states concerning sports betting revealing the following:

Handle: Amount wagered over the time period.

Revenue: Amount of money kept by sportsbooks out of the amount wagered.

Hold %: How much revenue sportsbooks keep as a function of handle.

Taxes/state revenue: Taxes collected by state and local jurisdictions; or state share of proceeds in revenue-sharing markets.

The numbers reflect all reported numbers starting in June 2018 to date.


https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/
#415
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Realization At The Baccarat Table
October 03, 2022, 05:24:07 AM
And as we talked the other day about this in particular, a player that does just the opposite of following, plays the exact opposite as to what the largest people betting are doing, especially when everyone is wagering one side.  And he does exactly that at his own admission, because the casino will not consistently pay-out the largest bettors hand after hand.  As well, those losing will lose more hands than they win.  And he does fairly well (all in proportion of course) wagering small money against everyone and playing for short periods.

#416
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
October 03, 2022, 04:30:22 AM
As you said, "Baccarat is a game of clusters getting different levels of appearance. Each level follows a general probability to happen that must be compared to the actual probability."

Which can happen at any time, 'due' or not.  As well, might and very well be extremely large at times bringing about words describing such clusters as 'rare' and 'unbelievable'. 

And, what sends me ROMAL with real tears from my eyes  caused by laughing so hard, are all the forum bac/gambling mathematicians, when they carry over their stats shoe after shoe after shoe, stating how their numbers are correct because they run continuously and cannot be limited to each shoe, etc.

#417
#1. "That people tend to seek information that aligns with their views."

#2.  Quote from another post of mine.........."Gamblers have a stronger misconception of randomness and are so willingly to bet on it".  Please understand the words, Misconception, Understanding, Interpretation, Inaccurate and Inadequate, they are specifically different and very relative to gamble, but in the attempt to keep this from being way too long, I am saying, Misconception.  I have termed it, probability matching, and that is a side effect all humans are subjected to at the gaming table.  Especially when they are winning large or losing large.  It was instilled in our pre-human ancestors when they were out hunting and searching for food."
#419
I like the 'Titanic' as well!

We simply label those shoes, 'The shoe from hell'.
#420
You can win with either 'side'.  And that's the tuff part, like I said for the novice and the seasoned.

BTW I was not only referring to jackpot type shoes.  But, your mind cannot easily adapt to wagering for chops, 1s-2s-3s, cuts after ties and/naturals, etc., etc., if you are into strong clumping, streaks and side bets/bonuses and so on and vice versa.