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Messages - alrelax

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#46

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr

February 05, 2025, 12:47:30 PM

You wrote above, "Since any shoe dealt is somewhat affected by a kind of conditional probability, it could be worthwhile to estimate the total of the actual number of cards utilized in relationship of an "expected value" verified by long term data."

Maybe you can (estimate the total/long term data), but I cannot envision nor trust for application to a 'Section' I am attempting to or in the process of smacking the casino.

Anything and Everything, no matter what. No Rhyme or Reason. Of course sometimes there is, but just as frequently there is not.

All IMO, I reiterate repetitively.

#47

Wagering & Intricacies / 7 Things

February 03, 2025, 01:53:13 AM

The Way Things Should Go In Today's Session

Do not allow frustration, anger and/or recouping to be your guideline/frame-of-mind. You have to be in control of the way you look at the shoe being presented. In place of frustration, anger and/or recouping, you must take action. Your response (not the response of the shoe) will dictate what generally occurs in your wagering decisions. A part of your decisions are completely uncontrollable and undefinable circumstances will occur, while the majority of them are decided by your outlook on previous presentments and your opinion on what should/has to occur next. Thus, you ultimately end up heavily dependent on playing your ends with the hopes of having them match your desires, instead of you matching what is being presented.

The Way You Used To Be

Simple! Do not dig too deep. You are NOT the same gambling person you were last month, a few months ago, a year ago, etc. Even though you realize a greater amount of reality and what can or generally does not happen from a shoe, you need to realize what is happening—is occurring and what is not, might very quickly happen. Most people do not and never will.

When you do, you will master change rather than allowing it to master you. So—please be humble when you play! Be absorbable and realize reality. Realize anything and everything can happen, but what is happening just happened. So many people do not and it's a concept of visualization taking over common sense.

Your Mistakes In Wagers

Forgive yourself for your bad decisions you have made in the past. For all the times you made stupid, unintelligent and blatantly obvious mistakes. Those were your vital lessons and that is all that matters. Period!

***Understand & Believing: Unchangeable***

It is simple, but so very difficult for most all to swallow, absorb and follow. Can I change what is happening or what will happen?

Whatever you do, do not attempt to change what is occurring (being presented). Truth be told in baccarat and other games, the most powerful moments will happen when you win. However, what you believe got you to that point (hand-section-series, etc) of wins will challenge your mindset. Realizing you did not change the results to meet your desires, changes everything for your huge benefit which will equal further advantage for yourself.

There is a great amount of unchangeable in baccarat. The quicker you understand that will be to your benefit in countless ways.

Fantasy of a Perfect Path

Way too often most of us totally waste money and time as well as incur huge amounts of frustration and bad circumstances that prevent positive progress.

You must leave the fantasy at the door, 100% in total. There is no other way to explain it. You can believe it or not.

The Unknown Familiarity

Most all sit down and fall into an unconscious familiarity at the baccarat table. There is no growth process, learning curve or struggle with them to play the game to their advantage.

Yes, it is sad but it is also uncontrollable behavior of their (at one time mine also) view on the game also. Why? Because at the Baccarat table there is no waiting, no walking, no physical labor, no taking back and redoing, nothing that really prevents circumstances that could prevent us from continually believing we know everything and will win. When losses occur, they do. When wins occur, they do. So kind of instant everything to a certain point. The trick is, IMO knowing the sheer reality and being able to handle both wins and losses to your advantage.

However if you believe in the reality of the game of baccarat and set aside your desires, you just completed one tiny (could be large) step and put on a great game face that can lead you down paths to your advantage.

The Struggle. The Results.

Struggling results are huge advantages in baccarat, no matter which way they go.

The struggle is your process during play. Uncomfortable at times and extremely comfortable during other times. The struggle you encounter each session should make you stronger, more educated and more experienced. The struggle will produce losses and wins. It is up to you to get in touch with reality and understand it while coupling a rock solid Money Management and Method.

Struggle does not mean you are always profitable. However if used correctly, struggle can lead you to success in so many ways. But you have to find it and know it.

The results are your losses and wins. How you handle those two will dictate the outcomes, session by session, month by month, year-by-year, etc.

READ CAREFULLY: Your results will be formed by your decision making process and your Money Management Method. Not much else. If you cannot be conscious of what your decision making process is, as well as a rock solid Money Management Method you are engaging with—pack it up. However if you do, there is a great chance you will define-describe and STRUGGLE into good profitable RESULTS.

#48

Off-topic / Re: On The Lighter Side. Great Gambling Clips.

February 01, 2025, 09:50:07 PM

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sXgVafWnsas

#49

Off-topic / Helping you guys define Asian accents

January 28, 2025, 06:38:58 PM

Watch this to help you define Asian accents at the casino!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=673PjkcBG00

#50

Off-topic / On The Lighter Side. Great Gambling Clips.

January 28, 2025, 03:26:47 PM

#51

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr

January 27, 2025, 03:28:33 AM

As Asym said; "Yep, after all at baccarat each bet wagered will get either a tremendously wrong or an astoundingly good result. Sometimes a hand won't be resolved (tie) and it's not a coincidence this situation happens way more often whenever six cards are utilized to form a final hand."

Please see my play and notes from the other night.

https://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/session-from-heaven/msg72591/?topicseen#msg72591

#52

Sports Betting Forum / Re: Today’s 2 NFL Wagers

January 27, 2025, 02:53:56 AM

Again, my Chiefs covered the -1.5 and I love it!

Badda Boom, Badda Bing once again! Lol. $4K today.

So, this is sports betting huh?

#53

Sports Betting Forum / Re: Today’s 2 NFL Wagers

January 26, 2025, 11:30:39 PM

Safe to say here at the 3:00 min mark left in the 4th.

Badda Boom, Badda Bing! Done Deal.

+ $2k for sitting watching a game, lol.

#54

Sports Betting Forum / Today’s 2 NFL Wagers

January 26, 2025, 04:36:41 PM

Well I normally do not do it. And it's been quite a long time since I wagered sports. And in addition, my four favorite NFL teams include the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Against my better judgment to wager favorites as a fan.

So with that said and taking into consideration a fantastic Bac win last night, which I'm going to outline in a new thread titled, "The Session From Heaven" in the Baccarat Forum here in just a bit.

Chiefs & Bills spread, took the Chiefs @ -1.5 for $2k

Eagles & Commanders spread, took the Eagles @ -6 for $2k.

Like I said they are my favorite teams but I'm not betting because of just that. And again like I said, it's kind of against my better judgment but I'm doing it.

#55

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr

January 22, 2025, 05:16:49 AM

I do not talk deducing down by theory and what should be. I talk from experience. Been there and done it. Lost. Won. Gave back winnings. Chased winnings gave back and lost additional. Won and held it and eventually gave it all back. And everything in between. But, when I finally learned about and defined a solid MMM, I became an advantaged player when compounded with the other things we discuss.

You said, "Thus we cannot know precisely when key cards will land or privilege one side or the another one, what we can do is just approximating at best the A/B streaks "average" lenght or A/B "average" streaks/singles apparition."

And that is so true. But, the player must know how to handle his wagering losing and winning hands during the course of the shoe and session. And I have written plenty about that.

#56

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr

January 20, 2025, 03:15:36 AM

You said, "On average, way more than 75% of total hands dealt are unguessable by any means."

And yes, could be. Might also be greater than 75%. But, could be less than 75%, might be far less than 50% in a shoe or so.

However, most players do not have the tenacity and the stuff hanging to really bang it out hard when something definable is there, being presented and happening, etc. So, the casino doesn't care and understands what will happen with the common type of bac players 99-99.9% of the time. They will lose, or win and give it back or win and leave and never reset, return and then give it all back and attempt to recoup with additional and repetitive buy-ins.

#57

Alrelax's Blog / Re: Starting & Finishing in Just A Few Hands!

January 19, 2025, 10:09:59 PM

KFB, as I said, "IMO winning right away or losing right away are both extremely dangerous to one's play and thought process. Reality is powerful and blinding. You have to push yourself down a path to perform under extreme stressful situations for periods of time. Somehow you have to remove yourself from the stress, but physically remain there performing. Not easy as so many pretend it is."

Normally for my winning MMM, and this one was certainly one of them, I would have put away the buy-in and applied my 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd application. But I didn't. Just walked because of what I explained.

It's just too easy to get caught up in a win, then if a loss comes, the frustration sets in and the chase to recoup what was mine follows.

#58

Alrelax's Blog / Starting & Finishing in Just A Few Hands!

January 19, 2025, 06:32:56 PM

The other night my friend and I sat down at a brand new shoe just starting. In fact he cut the deck and it was in the range of the cards that we like, which was between a 3-6.

This was a 5-Treasures layout on a midi (Macau style) table. We tend to lean a bit towards the Bankers side most times but not set in stone. Anyways we went to the casino to play possibly 2 or 3 shoes, so figure on 5-7 hours depending on problems and drawn out hands, etc. So we both buy-in and get set.

First hand we both wagered Bankers and F7 ($50) and 777s ($25). Players returned an 8/A and Bankers returned a 7/2. We both stayed the same and replaced the $75 that was swiped away after the tie.

Second hand Players returned a 3/9 and Bankers had a Face/10. Players flopped a 5 and our side flopped a 7 for a beautiful 200:1 3-card 7 both sides tie on the 777s wager. After the payout and the celebratory actions, we both looked at each other and simply nodded our heads. A bit larger on the Bankers base bet and the same on the F7 and the 777s wagering. Most others, if they were on the 777s, actually did not wager again on it, with the exception of a lady seated next to us.

Third hand Players returned a Blackjack A/10 and the Bankers had a 4/Face. Players pulled and flopped a 6 card. I looked at my buddy and told him (as I do you guys and even posted actually pics on here, of the table with the F7 being formed by its third card a 6) of that happening. Well here is where it gets down and dirty. The dealer, a super cute young Asian lady pulls the 3rd card from the shoe and is about to slide it to the highest wagering person on the Bankers side, but stalls with a few of her fingernails on the edge of it and says, "if you guys really want a 3, let me flip it". We all look at each other like it's going to matter and one of us says, "at least if we do, we can blame her for not getting it".

Pit supervisor comes over and says to the dealer, "are you trying to convince the people you have some kind of magical powers again?" Well we told her okay. She doesn't flip it right away, but she picks it up so the back is towards us. She shakes her head no and slowly and I mean slowly flops it over. It was a 3. OMG, High-5s and loud acknowledgements occurred. Beautiful and almost unprecedented by us back-to-back with the 777s 200:1 wagers.

We both got up, colored up and planned to cash out and leave after just the 3 hands. Not our best or greatest win, but probably one of our quickest. Possibly could have won 20 Xs the amount and as well, could have been blind sided by the ease of it and lost it all and chased what we gave back and then donated our buy-in.

IMO winning right away or losing right away are both extremely dangerous to one's play and thought process. Reality is powerful and blinding. You have to push yourself down a path to perform under extreme stressful situations for periods of time. Somehow you have to remove yourself from the stress, but physically remain there performing. Not easy as so many pretend it is.

Finding a deep sense of meaning with the game that is not totally dependent upon winning. Because you cannot win all the time. And it took me a long stretch of playing the game to learn that.

Winning comes, and when it does you must be able to pour it on, hit it extremely hard and take advantage. But doing so from an outside view looking in, instead of from the player's view of waiting for something special to happen, will allow you great advantage and clarity. Looking 'in' so to say, will allow you to hopefully not get lost by winning. Getting lost in winning or losing, tends the highest majority of all times to drag you down and make you lose your clarity. And clarity is an advantage in this game.

So what was it like? I will tell you what it was like. It was ecstasy with fresh homemade ice cream, topped with luscious whipped cream and fresh cherries. It was carte blanche to go, fast, quick and without any frustration or thought whatsoever.

But I have respect for the game that is so darn volatile. We went out to eat afterwards and not at the property's steakhouse which we could've easily been comped for. We went off property, out of the casino-out of the realm of the action with possible additional wins and as well where the usual losses are occurring and reoccurring.

At the off property restaurant, where we pay out of pocket of course, we ate and told our stories. We laughed and enjoyed ourselves. And let me tell you something, there was no pressure to drive back a few miles to attempt greater wins at the casino. We were done for the session. And we rehashed about rebooting and forgetting about those wagers, at least repetitively trying for them in the future.

Not that I am right or wrong or any of you are in our casino plays. But, as the sage say, "hope comes in many forms". Looking back now a few days later, our unplanned dinner out with the unpretentious discussion about the few hands we played, actually in total was many fold the time of the session itself, comical and rare but such a memory and always will be.

I am going to borrow a line from someone that I admire. "Relax, sit down and serve yourself up a taste of life".

#59

Civil & Criminal Topics / US Attorneys Office Arrest In $700,000 Casino Heist

January 19, 2025, 09:17:28 AM

Click on the following link to read the initial official press release from the US Attorney's Office.

https://www.justice.gov/usao-wdmi/pr/2024_0307_arrest_casino_heist

Click on the following link to read the guilty conviction of the case.

https://apnews.com/article/michigan-casino-theft-conviction-8ca602f79391bd321d6a960e0b78ae09

#60

Online Casinos / Re: online casinos better?

January 18, 2025, 03:09:37 PM

In response to everyone reference online gambling sources.

I have touched on it briefly in the past and will not go in great detail about it. BUT, be extremely careful and extremely leery of all online gaming sources.

I say this because of my forum experience with those previous clickable banners I had on BetSelection.cc a couple of years ago. They are deceitful, dishonest and immoral. Period. They cheated and lied to me and IMO they will and do, in their normal course of business to their players around the world.

I cannot go in detail because I signed 'Do Not Disclose' agreements with them. But I can and will say, they did not pay the commissions and bonuses earned by BetSelection.cc as agreed upon.

And believe me pal, if they did, I would not have 86ed them!! Why would I? Easy peasy money, lol. But as I said, they engage in deceitful and immoral business practices as standard operating protocol.

And I will not promote that to my members. Other forums will, I will not! Period.

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