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Messages - alrelax

#481
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
March 21, 2021, 05:27:35 PM
Anything can happen and everything will eventually happen.  There is not a schedule of events that can be guaranteed in anyway whatsoever, contrary to what every mathematical wiz will claim.

The streak of 11 Bankers with 3 Fortune 7s + three 3 card nines over player side of 0's, that occurred after  presentments of 15 singles and doubles; could easily have been a 10 Player streak with four Panda 8s and four 3 card nines over bankers side of 0's after 9 presentments of triple Bankers and triple Prayers as well. Or, how a series of 16 Players and Bankers chop chops will happen after a strong section or equally after ones, twos and threes that were presented in a section.

What I am trying to point out to those that still debate what actually happens will happen, verses it all has to have a schedule able to be figured out.  It does not and nobody will make money at the game Baccarat if you sit down trying to figure out what's going to happen, rather than creating a special way that suits your frame of mind and your emotional status to use a progressive wagering bet, that is in your favor when a certain series of presentments are happening within a section of the shoe.
#482
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
March 15, 2021, 05:52:50 AM
Reference Points, Flow, 3rd Card, Etc., resulting in streaks.

More so in the first half of the shoe then the second half. And more so with the player side than the banker side. But don't take that for players side only, because it will happen to the banker side as well, just more-so with the player side.

Particularly the prelude will be extremely choppy or very much equal for a pretty large section. And then it will generally start out say that the player will have seven and the bank will have six or the player will have a natural or two and the banker lose by one maybe two points each time. Or it could be close, where say the player had 6 and the bank had 5 and pulled the face card or the player had 6 or 7 and the bank had 1 and pulled a 4 or a 5.  And say it was making doubles or ones and twos. And then the player made a third hand which just literally should have lost and just squashed the bank, possibly say the player having a 1 and the bank had a 7 and the player pulled a 7 or 8 for its third card. And then the next hand on the player had zero on the first two cards and the banker had zero also.  Players side pulls a 9 for its third card and the banker side pulls a face card for its third card.  Then every hand after that for another 7, 8 or 9 is either a natural for the player or a very low-scoring first two cards and the bank had a decent hand with its first two cards and the player side surpassed it every time with unbelievable draws or even reducing the banker when the banker should have won the majority of times.  With several of those draws where the bank could only lose by drawing 1 certain card, everything else wins or ties, etc.  Like where the player had a 1 and the bank had a 2 and the player pulls a face card and the banker pulls an 8. 

Happens so many times and yet even the experienced baccarat player seldom sides with this one when it is happening and only says, he can't believe it and the other side has to come on and this will not continue.

#483
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: Learn to Learn
March 13, 2021, 05:35:38 PM
Learn

What luck is vs. what your skill is.

Anyone can win
Anyone can lose

The control is what each of us truly believes they have but really and rarely possesses.  Learn true and conscious control.  Super important and extremely difficult!

Take that a step further, if you actually possess control or when you are able to learn it, you must be totally conscious of it. And that means being able to turn it on and off in order to give you an advantage when the presentments are right to make wagers or stay out.

You must learn to respond to what is actually factual and happening. And not to what you think or is in your beliefs about what might happen because then you are indulging in fallacy and not the immediate presentment of what is going to be factual from the shoe.
#484
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: Learn to Learn
March 12, 2021, 04:41:13 PM
Most Important to be Learned & in Learning:

Discard Fallacy
Discard 'Talk'
DIscard Getting Rich
Realize what winning and losing sessions are
Establish 'Risk Capital' vs. a 'Irreplaceable One-Time Bankroll'

Concentration-Learning-Accuracy-Focus and Memory.  The 5 Points that need to be merged together in your decision-making.

Realize Fact
Stop Greed
Learn Patience
Learn and Abide by your true Level and Plateau of Wagering

Learn to wait comfortably between sessions

Being in complete control

Exiting Points must be learned and established with concrete rules which will reflect your ability in immediate switching of your frame of mind.
#485
Wagering & Intricacies / Learn to Learn
March 12, 2021, 03:09:13 PM
Learn How to Learn

Do not ignore the game to its true principles. And that is exactly what almost all players do because of their frame of mind. Ignore the past as it is truly relevant. When the fire erupts most all players will just pour more fuel on to it. And the single most important part of baccarat is learning the true principles of the game and how it affects the present hand as well as yourself.

Another very important item in the game of baccarat is your frame of mind and how you view the past the present and the future and applying it to the game. Be real careful and understand what you were getting into when you believe your own Visions as the highest and greatest amount of the time do not affect the outcome of the present.

Because people allow the past, whether the immediate past or earlier in the shoe or previous shoes or even yesterday or days before come into play. I'm telling you ignore the past, it is totally irrelevant. Do not fight the present, which if you do, you will squash most all of your chances to win the larger sums of money because you're stuck in the past. The past does not matter, as only the present does in each and every hand that's being presented in the game of Baccarat.

The present is also the continuance of the shoe and directly related to your intentions. Your intentions are to win and you cannot win in the past you can't win in the future. You only win in the present time with the present hand. When the present hand is the next hand, it is then the present hand. True the next hand turns into the future but you're not wagering on the future until you pass the present hand, you have to understand that.

So how do we learn how to learn?
#486
Quote from: KungFuBac on March 08, 2021, 05:18:02 PM
Thx Albalaha

I appreciate your replies. I did indeed notice a couple years back(2-3 maybe) you seemed to have hit a higher gear.
I continue to find gold nuggets in your essays (in your recent/as  well as older posts) as all your time/research is much appreciated.


My great grancester Confucius once say: " Do not seek all the answers at once, for a path is formed with first stone."


All the best,

Perfect.  Nice comments.

When one is conscious of his path he can add a lot of positive and great things to it.
#487
Ref #6: 

You are exactly right and I said it many times, stop loss does not help at all and all it does is prematurely stop people from winning if they are going to win. You never know when the point is that you really encounter the best section of your session or not. But you're buyin has to be risk capital rather than closely watched and stressed upon. 
#488
Alrelax's Blog / Asian New Year
February 14, 2021, 02:17:41 AM
Happy NewYears to all of my wonderful Asian members & friends!

2021 and beyond will be great!

Stay safe and God bless you guys. 

Happy New Year.
#490
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
February 11, 2021, 11:27:13 PM
1-3-2-6 and then if successful, use 4 or 6 units out of the 12 win and adhere to the 1/3-1/3-1/3rd I have discussed.  Or, use a 2-4-6 in the beginning and then devote 4 or 6 units out of the win and pull down subsequent wins, etc.
#492
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Superbowl 55
February 08, 2021, 07:46:38 PM
Mahomes press conference pretty much told it the way it was, he didn't try to get out of anything.   Said it was his number one game he got beat beat up the worst on in a long time. As well, all of his offense was double and triple covered and Tampa Bay's guys were spot-on, not one doubt about it Tampa Bay performed the way that I thought they would but I thought that KC would have been a tad bit on the more aggressive and positive side and would have completed everything that Mahomes attempted. But even the greatest teams and players at times lose, and this is a perfect example of what happens with great teams and great players and great records......there are losing times.

Doesn't much matter now but what was impressive was all those times where he ran 5-10-15 yards back and then was running out of bounds so he didn't get sacked and he was throwing it while he was in the air on the way down to the ground or the way out of bounds and all the ones were he was off-balance throwing it spot on to a guy in the end zone or near it, and they couldn't catch it.

And you are right, what astronomical odds would anyone have gave a great quarterback not to make a single touchdown in a superbowl game?
#493
Alrelax's Blog / Superbowl 55
February 07, 2021, 11:14:21 PM
Superbowl 55

My prediction. Kansas City 41 Tampa Bay 34.
#494
Hello everyone there will be a chunk of the weekend to get the reinstall done :nod:

There WILL be downtime since this is a biggie (upgrading core).

Ideally, we're talking some hours downtime only. We can go live again with the new layout / version & continue modifying it in smaller increments.

This one really fixes/clears a lot of former code (finally!) :cheer:

Please be patient and no need to p.m. or email, we know we will be off live for a little bit with the process we have to do.

Thanks Alrelax.
#495
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 28, 2021, 01:04:56 PM
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on January 25, 2021, 11:30:44 PM
A baccarat shoe is formed by a finite amount of two-card 'states', that is high card situations math  favoring remarkably the side where the highest point will fall at. 



Now we take a step further.
We want to discard some A or B events according to a precise plan. If the game is perfect randomly dealt and/or perfect flawless at any spot, the resulting registration shouldn't be affected by any means, and actually itlr A=B yet.
It remains to assess the very important AB distribution that should be insensitive to our place selection artifice that must confirm the randomness. That is increment steps of A or B. 

A simple combinatorial analysis show that whenever some spots are not included in our chosen data, some patterns are more likely than others. That is we can get a sure edge over the house.
I mean a great edge, not that miserable bj card counting edge.


as.

Asym,

And that is exactly correct, a GREAT EDGE over the house and on your side.

However, almost all players will outdo themselves as this is only possible to achieve when in a certain mind frame. 

There are several different distributions of the cards that can be defined.  But the problem arises most all the time as not holding any pattern or trend whatsoever to follow with or against.  So win one, lose one or win a few and lose a few, etc. 

Players believe they can affect the registrations of the winning or losing hands into their winning wagers.  But in reality they cannot.  The players fuel their own downfall because they believe themselves and their new magical powers they convince themselves they founded at the table.  So, when someone is able to define what caused him to win and that just plays and plays upon themselves until they really do believe they have finally founded the Holy Grail, etc., etc.  even experienced players repeat that exact same scenario, session after session after session after session.  They will not admit it, but an outside person can spot it if you truly take the time to look around the table and watch.     

There are several, probably 4 or 5 registrations (if we are talking the same things) that come about and they are so opposite of each other and so impossible to blanketly predict or expect, etc., a player cannot wager systematically hand after hand, section after section, wager using all of them together and come out ahead.