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Messages - alrelax

#662
Related But Not Related / Re: Hanging out.
April 26, 2020, 11:34:42 PM
Well it is Sunday, together with a few people hanging out.  H-Money decided to come over and we cooked up some fantastic ribs and rice. The rice has some cilantro and lime mixed into it and the ribs we put some garlic, black pepper and an Asian sweet chilli sauce called, 'Mae Ploy Sauce'. 

Cooked just right, here are a couple of pictures:


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#663
What I'm seeing is some of the lowest gas prices of many years, at least I have not seen it below what I paid for it last night after of the year 2000 anyway. $1.11a gallon.

Pictures of the pump 2 days ago.

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As far as the store shelves, as of this morning with two major retailers just about everything was back in stock and well stocked up with exception of about half of the paper goods isle and some specialty products like Lysol disinfectant and those sanitizing wipes in single service containers and a very few other select items were either very low or not in stock.  But I would say 90% of the store is back. I do not believe there was ever a problem with the supply chain, it was with the the trucking of it, the manpower and the labor including the packaging to deliver it and get it into the stores, which takes some time to do.

Pictures this morning of what was about the number one complaint from most everybody was the paper goods aisle.

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#664
Related But Not Related / Re: Hanging out.
April 26, 2020, 02:23:09 AM
Hey, thanks for stopping by, just sharing a plate of meatballs made with beef and veal in a fantastic sun dried tomato and mushroom sauce.

[attachimg=1]
#665
Related But Not Related / Re: Hanging out.
April 25, 2020, 12:42:27 AM
Friday night and hanging out.  Spicy shrimp with sausage and risotto rice Cajun style.

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We have four movies planned for tonight.  FIrst one Casino, second is Den of Thieves, third  Apocalypse Now and the final one, Yellow Submarine.
#666
This morning the transaction was announced.

25 million dollars has to be to buy of the century in my opinion for this property on the boardwalk. Yes it was older and needs some renovation.   I know the property well but with a little bit of money, it can be a Premier Property once again on the boardwalk, when the business comes back. Never thought I'd see something sold for 25 million dollars with this kind of value
.

https://www.hotelbusiness.com/twin-river-acquires-ballys-atlantic-city-other-resort-casinos/
#667
A little bit about the re-opening of casinos or should I say, the attempted re-opening of them?:

"While casinos are not included in phase one of reopening the state, Sisolak says the Gaming Control Board will ultimately sign off on any casino reopening plan. Wynn Las Vegas already revealed a plan for reopening the resort and hoped that those protocols could be implemented in mid- to late May.

Sisolak will update his previous directives to reflect his plans later this week."


https://vegas.eater.com/2020/4/21/21230544/nevada-governor-plan-reopen-nevada-covid-19-cases-dropping-coronavirus-pandemic
#668
So is it safe to say that most of the Asian restaurants over west of the I-15 on Spring Mountain are closed?

Anyway, here it is from the other day:


https://vegas.eater.com/2020/4/22/21231752/las-vegas-mayor-carolyn-goodman-cnn-anderson-cooper-reopen-casinos
#670
I am certain it would have been tournament chips, 'No Cash Value' chips, etc.  Sentence number 17 will expose that fact.  ".........Before tournament play commences..........."

I believe the $22,500.00 referenced was the money it cost him to qualify/get the points required to be allowed to participate in the tournament.

Supposedly from my understanding he qualified with the proper points accumulated through the hours played, etc.  Then he was denied the tournament spot.

I was focusing on the article from the standpoint as to how today's Bac players allow the casinos to change all the rules into the properties favor since 2005ish.  Several casinos in the Midwest attempt to use auto shufflers with those new automatic card value readers, etc.  The players would not have it.  All the players got together and after 2 weekend of empty Bac tables, the casino removed those auto readers.  That is just one example. 

But the cash the guy lost in the referenced article, would have been the out-of-pocket money it cost him to qualify. 



#671
I have written about baccarat tournaments in the past.  Everything since around the beginning of the removal of the big table bac (the 14 seat players 2 sided tables with the 3 dealers and the players dealing the shoe, etc.) has changed for the favor of the casino.  All of this started in the early 2000s and really picked up speed to curtail and change it all in favor of the casino probably around 2007 to 2010 or so. 

Attached is a claim against the Venetian in Las Vegas regarding one of their baccarat tournaments.  I will not comment of the validity of it or the plaintiffs merits cited within.  However, I will about the tournaments and how they have changed.  This all happened just prior to and along side of the entire comp/points awarding issue al changing for the casinos favor also, which was right around the same time and extending up to 2014/2015 or so. 

Back to tournaments.   Prior to what I mentioned above the way tournaments were handled were no-charge to the player.  Simply an invite status based upon their hosts and their play records, points.  There were no entrance fees and if there were, those would have been at some of the smaller casinos outside of the larger gaming jurisdictions. From the mid 80's, through the entire 90's and the early 2000's I never seen an entrance fee or anything of the likes of today with qualifying with points, etc., etc.  It was strictly an invite, upon arrival the player always was given a nice gift of some type, like Baccarat Crystal or other worthwhile items, a private buffet set-up in a near-by convention room just for the baccarat players with an absolute over-the-top assortment of foods.  The gift always having a value of $300.00 to the $600.00 range easily, if not greater. There also was never a required play demanded prior to the tournament itself.   

Most of the tournaments were a "Winner Take All", or if not that they were awarding the cash prizes to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place winners.  Then after a while, probably the latter part of the 90's even into the early 2000s, instead of cash prizes came the awarding of promotional chips in place of the cash.  Still okay, not as good but decent.  Those promotion chips were usually lay until you lost the promo chip hands you were wagering.  Not one time use chips lke so many casinos have today.  Another change that enormously favors the casino.

IMO, this claim is right up to par with the Venetian and its Hosts/Marketing Department.  I went there many times when they first opened around 2000 up to 2005 or so.  Each time their Hosts became more and more skimpy with their comps as well as sitting down with the player after the visit and scrutinizing every aspect of his play, etc.  Compared to the other properties, a huge difference in comping RFB&I, etc.

The Overview of the Claim:

https://www.courthousenews.com/the-venetian-runs-a-crooked-game-baccarat-player-says/

The Court Filed Compliant:

http://files.courthousenews.com/2007/10/22/Markowiak.pdf
#672
So many people, I am certain to say the clear majority of players, do not understand the game of baccarat and at the same time are unwilling to make trade offs regarding the actual presentments the shoe is producing. 

A blanket policy or schedule of pre-set wagering is detrimental to winning the majority of your hands.  The presentments of the bac shoe will never match what you desire or want it to produce, except on a rare occasion.

Once you gain an understanding of events, the numbers, the Sections of a shoe, and the numerous other items that are present throughout a typical bac shoe, you can win nicely with positive progressions never risking anything more than a flat bet unit.  You must recognize false positives to keep any winning going.  As well, you must have an absolute understanding as well as control of your emotions. And thus, that is where a good Money Management Method will be your best partner and your best chance.

Reality and Fallacies of Money Management Methods

M.M.M.'s are probably the most important thing a player must be conscious of during play, master the use of and consistently use throughout his sessions.  Without the use of a M.M.M. that suits the player, the player will only be guided by his desires, his emotions and the rest of the players and people present.  The latter will be a disaster to the player more than it helps him and that has been proven over and over again, countless times. 

M.M.M.'s must be pivotal.  Very important!  They must adjust to your play with the winning or losing you are experiencing, NOT DESIRING.  You will automatically adjust by adhering to the M.M.M.  And that is where most players go wrong with their M.M.M. or their understanding of one.

M.M.M. is procedure, not scheduling of what to wager.  Do not confuse it with Bet Selection.

M.M.M. will allow you the ability to keep winning while you set aside certain portions of those wins.

M.M.M. will allow you to cash out your wins without giving it all back and falling prey to the casino, when you lose a certain amount, if you follow a proper M.M.M.




#674
Math & Statistics / Re: Statistical Strangeness
April 20, 2020, 04:44:45 PM
I was not looking at the article reference C-19, etc.

I thought there was a nice comparison on how something might or might not be applied and as well, where the event comes from and why.  Things most all do not even think about when it comes to:

Statistics
Paradoxes
Fallacy
Probability


Thanks, Alrelax

#675
Math & Statistics / Statistical Strangeness
April 20, 2020, 03:31:04 PM
"Nowadays, researchers can access a wealth of software packages that can readily analyse data and output the results of complex statistical tests. While these are powerful resources, they also open the door to people without a full statistical understanding to misunderstand some of the subtleties within a dataset and to draw wildly incorrect conclusions.

Here are a few common statistical fallacies and paradoxes and how they can lead to results that are counterintuitive and, in many cases, simply wrong."



https://getpocket.com/explore/item/paradoxes-of-probability-and-other-statistical-strangeness?utm_source=pocket-newtab