Needless to say my buddy"s a little worried at this point! Of course they only need a field goal and they would cover with the points but they ain't going to try for no field goal they're going to want a touchdown or nothing, my opinion.

San Fran exploding!  I must say that's some exemplary touchdowns!

I must say that was pretty darn fast, what everyone screaming over here is saying boom boom boom. Done deal,  that was a lightning quick seven points running that ball down in the second quarter for San Fran!

H-Money increased his wager to $11,000.00.

H-Money wagered $8,000.00 on the 49ers just now.  He did get +2 . 

All people want is what they want. Regardless of logic and Common Sense.

There is a huge spread between belief and reality and I cannot close that Gap.

I really cannot!  Alrelax.

Wins and wins.  Losses and losses.  Goes through periods of winning large amounts on a fairly consistent basis.  Then does the exact same thing with losing. 

However, when he loses he most noticeably continues his buy-ins with aggressive and consistent actions.  Cannot wait, cannot walk away.  At times, but sporadic at best, he would recoup and when he did, most noticeably he would still continue his play seeking winning money.  Even if he did, his whole cycle would just repeat itself once again until he lost. 

A few times he would cash out and walk away, but I mean---seldom. 

This went on for a good year or better.  Just the other night, I pass him on the way to the Bac room.  I ask him if he won.  He shook his head no.  He said, "I have to stop and reset".  "I have to stop for several weeks, I cannot think in there any longer", he also told me. 

He was a multi thousand dollar buy-in type of player.  Usually bringing $5,000.00 to $10,000.00 and buying in with $1,000.00 to $3,000.00 at a time. 

Yes, at times he would buy in with a single transaction of $2,000.00 and quickly get up to $5,000.00 or even $8,000-$10,000.00.  But he would generally, few exceptions, stay and continue his play.  Losing all the win money as well as his buy in and continued buy ins.  About the only time he would generally leave with win money or a sizeable win, was when he recouped his loss he just experienced and was late in the evening after several hours of play.  And generally he only recouped his losses from that session. 

The look on his face and his actions the other night were extremely noticeable, if you were acquainted with this individual.  When I got to the Bac room it was late into the evening.  He already told me, that he lost.  He bought back in with $100.00 and then $60.00. I have never once witnessed him with less than a $500.00 buy in, not once.  But these two small buy ins, both of which I have never seen him do in the past, out of all the times I have played at the same table while he was there.  And this is at a $25.00 min table. 

I got him off to the side and mentioned about my own Money Management Method with wins and levels and plateaus, etc.  He firmly agreed and told me without hesitation, that he knows all that but he just cannot apply it with willpower at the table.

Food for thought.   

What a joke, the process of answering questions from Senators.  What a waste of time, writing it down, handing it off, waiting for the card to be passed, reading them out loud.  What the hell? 

Seriously, I have to look at this process like a baccarat player that needs, say a one line or a two line card to win and anything else losses for him.  He gets a face card and turns it on all four sides peeking at it, that same black line is on all four sides no matter what, but he still continues to peek and peel the card numerous times.  The same exact process, a complete waste of time!

Okay, anyway I saw last night the following 2 questions being read out loud and read by the Chief Justice:

"The next question from Senator Banker from New York is:  Will the Banker repeat itself with the next hand being dealt because the Banker side won a hand following a tie event"?

Then the very next question was:

"The next question from Senator Player from California is:  Will the Player repeat itself with the next hand being dealt because the Player won a hand following the Banker side losing with 3 face cards to 2 face cards and an Ace for the Players side"?

http://www.cc.com/video-clips/5y9sui/the-daily-show-with-trevor-noah-the-magical--wonderful-road-to-impeachment---pelosi-greenlights-impeachment-articles-against-trump

......"and there is no balancing win or even any long stretch of successive wins to exploit somehow"......

That is absolutely correct.  No better said. 

Here you go.  Great shoe, player side strong.  Most lost money.  My buddies and I capitalized on it! 

Another Player heavy shoe.  So many people these days only wager for the Banker and they get wiped out.  Both sides win, but the hype is always for the Banker. 

Key points that hold true so often.  When they are there and presenting themselves, we stick with it.

Every single natural for the Banker side cut.
Every single Tie cut.
Again, as I often write about, 0-1-2-3 ties, (AKA--low ties), cause the shoe to stay strong in whatever it presents, streak, clumps, chop-chop, etc.  Including one side natural cuts, etc.
Sections worked out well, concentrate on the Section without looking at the previous or even thinking about prediction, just follow. 

The orange marks I edited on the picture, are to point out the Banker Naturals and cutting to the Player side.  Several times the Banker had 7s and natural 8s as well, Player had 8s or 9s, at least 4 of those cuts were just that.  And that convinced the majority of the people to stay on Banker, they kept citing Banker strong, Banker coming back, but as you see the Banker did not. 

[attachimg=1]

2:15AM.  Closing up the restaurant and on the way to the casino with three buddies we'll see what happens.   Promise to post a picture or two in the morning...

Bac shoe the other night:

 
[attachimg=1]

We divided it up into three Sections.  We followed the Sections as they were presented, basically 95% anyways. 

Section A:  Produced a classic strong Player beginning and followed shortly thereafter with a strong Banker.  First F-7 of the shoe.

Section B:  Produced 15 Chop-Chops.  Do not pay attention to the doubles.

Section C:  Produced two F-7s.  Soon as it made that 3rd banker with that one being an F-7, everyone went heavy on the Banker, real heavy!  Counting the one cut to the Players side and the fall-off to the Player the second time, there were 5 good hits on the Banker side. 

Other Notes:  Every single natural for the Players side cut, except for the one just before the 6 Bankers came out at the end of Section A, where the Players made a double.  After a few I urged my comrades to adhere to the, 'Player will most likely cut' presentments, which it was doing.  (When it is repeatedly doing something, follow it, IMO). 

Just playing the chop-chop after Section A, would have produced 16 chops for you and you would have lost only 2 to those doubles. 

Another Board Member said:

"Such aggressive progressions will win till losing all back in one bad stretch. Not wise at all".

I Said:

"You are correct and countless people will no doubt give it all back.

I do not. A few of the people there will not either. Others will no doubt, just fuel for their fire that will wipe them out and cause worse financial harm.

H-Money has finally gotten over it, I do believe. I have written about the subject of real money management method immensely on the board here. Money Management Method is everything.

I live by my one-third, one-third, one-third MMM of my wins application. That has helped my game enormously and I would have to put it at the very top of what is most important, while I'm sitting there thinking what is going to happen with the rest of the shoe or the rest of the session".

Some Background of something I wrote in regards to my position and M.M.M. to get ahead in the game of Baccarat:

"What is Pounce-On-It??

Game On!  There, but not there.  Seconds--Minutes--Hours.  A few hands or numerous hands.  One or two shoes.  Never a long, unlimited time, IMO and my experience.

When it comes--it is the absolute heaven and organismic moments of the game.  If you play with your head down into your hand that is propped up on the table and you expect to lose, or you are playing with a mechanical strategy built up from some kind of criteria of playing those cuts, where as the person is wagering for the opposite side, please skip reading this and just block me on here because we will never see eye-to-eye and you have nothing to learn from me and I have nothing to learn from yourself.

Otherwise, experience it--treasure the pounce on it moments and take advantage of them, because that is the cream and the cherry on top of the cake, within this game.  I emphasis the cream and the cherry big time!

But, and a large but.  Do not live for them or bet only them every time.  Attempting to do so, will break you.  Just like those people that wager every hand with the Fortune 7s, the Panda 8s and the other ones that pay 200:1, etc. You will win and you will lose.  Again, and I have repeatedly said it.  If you keep wagering for something in baccarat you will lose, sometimes the same night and always after a series of playing.  You will never come out ahead unless you play all sides, alternate your wagering, use positive progressive very aggressively and use negative progressions extremely sparingly and more.   

Game on, is a difficult situation to catch all the time, actually IMO, impossible.  Because the game of baccarat is open to interpretation by each of us, we are influenced by many different things, such as:

   Our experience(s)
   Other players
   Dealers
   Our own perceptions
   Our dreams and goals
   Our greed
   Not stopping during a good thing (greed/think we can get more)
   Not stopping during a bad thing (have to get it back, thinking you can)
   Following the fallacy of wrong info and data that will not apply to the
    shoe you are playing, not that it is wrong, just will not apply.

Those, along with others will disallow yourself to 'pounce-on-it' when others are or you very well could have been!

And so many more things for each of us.

Take Friday night for instance.  The Thursday night session I postponed until Friday night because  I had to do something else and I would have been too tired to drive back and open the business in the morning.  My buddy and I went.  Speculation?  Yes.  Hype and talk on the way to the casino?  Sure.  But do we always do what we plan or say we are going to do?  Of course not, the same as an NFL game I can only imagine.

And, as I wrote about and boasted a bit on the board here with the $5k plus win on Friday night playing a total of 4 hands.  Will there always be a '143' F-7 outcome with the same leading up to events?  Hell no!  And I don't expect it to.   But, that one did come around through friendship, playing together and being in the right place at the right time.  Nothing else.  No magic.  However, there is a point here I am getting to.  And that was the 2 following hands!  We 'pounced on it', both my buddy and I with table max wagers on the banker side.  That is the positive side of camaraderie and the pouncing on it at work.  We overpowered the shoe.  Not that we changed it, just overpowered it with our wins, that we would have won $100.00 as easily as we did $2,000.00 per wager.  Our screaming, yelling, clowning around, putting cash on the table for the dealer if she makes an F-7 (dealers keep their own tips at this place) and all that.  That F-7 would have come about anyway, yes.  But the aura changes, the mood gets going, win is in the air, etc.  Even if we were betting for a streak, and a streak comes.  We can do those things on every single hand and when it is time to cut the streak, the streak will end no matter what anyone says or does.  But we can overpower the shoe with the right frame-of-mind.

But, you have to let it go.  As I say, reset and refresh, it is the only way to be successful and have your game ready each time. Experiencing the best and accepting the worst. That is why I am convinced about the smaller buy-ins and the buy-in is 100% risk money.  I do not subscribe to the worthless theory, IMO--of 'loss stop', like - 4 or -6 units and stop.  Senseless, IMO.  I do well with the buy-in as pure 'risk'.  I know overall my wins are countless times greater than my buy-ins.  And as long as I, employ 99.9% of the times use and follow my M.M. system, I will stay ahead--well ahead of the losses baccarat will incur.

We are mature--but you have to have that 'peace' within your self when you lose a buy-in.  You cannot sit there and continue to buy-in repeatedly in the thought, that you will recoup your losses right then and there.  That is the exact reason that my other buddy H-Money lost in excess of $50,000.00 of his own money in a very short period of time.  Even when he won certain sections of his sessions, he would continue and continue to play and eventually lose the win, the buy in and whatever else he had available.  That is the way this game is.  If you don't realize it, play that way and come back in a few months and then maybe learn something?

Like I said, H-Money did not believe me and follow me.  It cost him $50k to $60k of his 'blood sweat and tears' savings.  Welcome to reality, pure 100% reality.

What you do and win within any section of the shoe or the entire shoe, you very well might not be able to do with later or the next session.  Period.  If you believe you can, any casino will welcome you and take care of you in the way of comps and promotions because they know 100% what will happen.

As well, as I have said many times--"What you win doing in one shoe--you will lose in another one and possibly even the same one".  That is why every system that is pre-scheduled and conceived from a criteria that the player waits for a certain event--will ultimately lose more than he wins".

It was said on our board here: "I wonder that most of the players do not progress in knowledge or skill even slightly after wasting decades".

How very true!  Absolutely and without question.  Not only in baccarat, but in so many other aspects of business as well, no different. 

Here, my response.  Something I read a while back, made a copy and shelved.  Fits right in and provides such an insight to many things.

"There is a world of difference between a person who has a big problem and a person who makes a problem big.  For several years I would do between 20 and 30 hours of counseling a week.  I soon discovered that the people who came to see me were not necessarily the ones who had the most problems.  They were the ones who were problem conscious and found their difficulties stressful.  Naive at first, I would try to fix their problems, only to discover that they would go out and find others.

A study of three hundred highly successful people, people like Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Helen Keller, Winston Churchill, Albert Schweitzer, Mahatma Gandhi, and Albert Einstein, reveals that one-fourth had handicaps, such as blindness, deafness or crippled limbs.  Three-fourths had either been born into poverty, came from broken homes, or at least came from exceedingly tense or disturbed situations. 

Why did the achievers overcome problems, while millions and millions are overwhelmed by theirs?  They refused to hold on to the common excuses for failure.  They turned their stumbling blocks into stepping-stones.  They realized they could not determine every circumstance in life or whatever it was they were attempting to get done, but they could determine their choice of attitude toward every circumstance.

The Los Angeles Times recently ran this quote:  "If you can smile whenever anything goes wrong, you are either a nitwit or a repairman."  I would add: or a leader in the making--one who realizes that the only problem you have is the one you allow to be a problem because of your wrong reaction to it.  Problems can stop you temporarily.  You are the only one who can do it permanently."

Something I wrote a while back, IMO fits in here and playing along side others at the table.

Conflict has a lot to do with playing baccarat in my opinion.  Because, conflict will change your frame-of-mind and how you wager with or without your conscious thought.  And that is not good for you.  Be aware of conflict and how and why it comes about.

Conflict is the result of events, usually events that went the opposite way you wanted them to go or if you were remaining neutral but had a feeling it was going to be a result, and that result came about and others at the table began to proper nicely, conflict can also come.  Be aware.

Conflict:  Events, Comments, Situations.  The various things that lead to those three and usually opposite of what you desired or spot-on, but you were not wagering at all or cut way down in the amount of wager.

Perceived Conflict/Felt Conflict:  The perceived conflict is the logical and factual events which are based around the conflict itself.  In other words, whatever lead up to the exact point of the event.  The felt conflict is your feelings, your hostility, your hurt and other feelings when you see those winnings given to your table-mates whether you like them or not.

Factual Reaction:  Aggression, Competition, Debate, Withdrawal, Tilt.  They all happen and if you do not think so, you better take your time, look at yourself and realize they do.  Fix the problems and play better without a doubt.  We are dealing with lost money or money not rightfully earned here and it gets emotional, admit it or not.  Once you do, you can fix it for the most part.  I have narrowed it down to 5 parts at the baccarat table. 

Aggression

Competition

Debate

Withdrawal

Tilt

Agreement or Defeat:  We tend to enter into agreement with others that we do or even do not normally agree with at the table, depending on how they are doing at various times.  Follow your own thoughts, rules, beliefs, protocols, etc., sometimes win everything you touch, and other times lose.  Follow others that are winning or going against them when they are losing, works as well sometimes and other times it blows up in your face.  And that is exactly why following or going against someone else is disaster waiting to happen.  Because, IMO you will blame them and not yourself.  You will blame them for their mistakes and that event will launch you even further into frustration and confusion.  So be careful and realize when camaraderie and team-work is beneficial.  If you must ask, you will not use it the correct way anyway.  Using it as a crutch or a catch-all, is not the proper way.

Putting it all Together:  Realize what is happening, why you are making the decisions you are.  Are those decision from the cards, the shoe, the events themselves?  Or, are they from the results you have deduced down from the other people there playing at the table?  Huge difference and huge consequences will come about.  I promise you that.  Learn how and why you do things at the table, you will help yourself to better, clearer decisions and being better focused and dealing with the events as they should be.