Thanks.

Recently I had a discussion with someone who says in no way will one be a winner in the long run and how his computer simulation model has proven it. Well many of us know the Law of Large numbers, Random Walk, etc., and how the vig ties into that. However, based on observations, I don't believe laws of Large numbers are something that can be measured in a few visits or over a 1-2 hours of play. And Kanzen's Roulette Strategy website certainly brings up some points to illustrate this. However, we must know that they exist if we know what's good for us. But just as this law exists, so does the "cluster principle." We must know that we'll hit lucky streaks, unlucky streaks and choppiness over perhaps as little as just one hour of play. We must be prepared for these events.

After reading a few books, taking notes to my own mistakes, I  compiled some rules that I had to obey if I had any chance of consistently taking home (small) profits in roulette. And it was not until I started obeying these rules that my game really started to improve. Here is what I came up with. I have grouped them together and call it "THE NATURAL TENDENCY PARADOX:"

Play even money and/or 1:2 bets (No large bets without Green hedges) on a Single Zero wheel if possible
Never increase when you lose (Please!!!).
Don't panic when losing - this leads to compulsive betting. You must be patient. Due to natural laws, one or 2 trends will begin to take shape shortly - No pressing until it does. (Rule number 5 will protect you if it doesn't.)
You MUST PRESS WHEN YOU WIN!!! This is your only chance! Unfortunately, its probably the toughest to do.
Don't get caught into continuum. Take several 10-15 minute breaks but never break when you're winning. Set loss limits and win limits. Leave when its time.
Now I have strictly adhered to rules 1-3. I am still struggling with 4 and 5.

Based on these rules, I would venture that most don't think very much of what I am about to say because they just want to win. Ever hear of "I wouldn't have that job for all the money in the world"? That's what I've discovered gambling to be. It is hard!!! Why? Because sticking to the rules above goes against one's natural tendencies. Gambling to win is not fun!!! People think, "Oh gee, there must be a system out there." But they don't think of that gut-wrenching, energy-draining process that it takes to win just a few dollars.

Now I'm not an expert. I'm not even an amateur. But the rules that I mention above are rules that I would guess 95% of the people will never ever be able to abide by, myself included sometimes. They compulsively press out of desperation when losing (I did this early), are too scared to press when winning (I still do this at times but I'm getting much better, especially when I've seen that it really works!) and wind up in that play continuum that just inevitably exposes them to the "NATURAL TENDENCY PARADOX"  all over again. And for the players that are good at pressing when winning, most of them have another problem - GREED!!! But remember, all this is natural. And that to me is what encompasses the House edge - not the mathematics!!!

My conclusions have been based on 3 things:

Self-observations concerning inevitable trend-development
My own self-evaluation of what I have done wrong during play
Information gathered from different books, particularly a book called "Gamble to Win" (R. D. Ellison).
In "Gamble to Win" R. D. points out that Gambling is hard work. When I first read that, it was at a time when I thought gambling was fun and that it wasn't hard at all. But then the losses came. So it has only taken me a couple of years to find this to be true and that everything he says in his book is for the most part accurate.

By obeying my rules, rules which are mostly found in many books about gambling, I have seen some consistency with wins. But it is hard work. Finally if you are able to see long-term results, then start focusing on the low profile rule - don't brag about your wins if you know what's good for you.

ildado.com/article05.html

Thank you for your valuable feedback. I have here a lot to study and learn.
The fact that you took the time to answer is greatly appreciated.

Walter

Please do not forget Gamble To Win Roulette. Author: R.d. Ellison

http://www.roulette-king.com/books-roulette.php?book=9

QuoteBankroll suggestion: 200 units

Please check my math.

40% - 80 units

15% - 30 units.

Is it not the same as:

Bankroll suggestion total: 80 units

Win goal for the session: +30 units.

or I mistook it already?

I do not understand instructions like these:

QuoteWin-Target/Stop-Loss: +15%/-40% of original bankroll amount.

Is it not the same to say:

Bankroll: 40 units

Target Gain: +15 units

Thanks for the clarification.

Quote from: ADulay on February 22, 2013, 03:55:44 PM
Al,

  It seems I'm also not aware of your "extreme variance control technique" either.

  Where might one find this link or thread so I can bring myself up to speed on it?

  AD

Same here. Interested.

Can we have casino news section in the forum?

Thank you.

I don't see any difference.

Exactly the forum same entrance here.

Quote from: Sputnik on February 20, 2013, 02:05:52 PM
Sad, i do ...

Apologies. I thought I was responding to this other topic:

http://betselection.cc/general-discussion/i-don 't-understand-does-the-forum-now-have-two-entering /

I mistook the window.

What a great idea you have and hopefully many other posters were so generous.
Thanks and good luck.

Thank you for your effort to share what you know. To build on what others have left in the past is the way forward. I wish more people share openly instead of going reinventing separately.

Please receive my appreciation.

I don't see any difference.

Quote from: TwoCatSam on February 17, 2013, 09:41:12 PM
It's a very good program. 

And you're welcome to it for--------------free!

Sam

Sorry, I can not get the hat off neither to what you did nor what was done to you.

It is like Look, I plunder and the loot is there for everyone and the group feast. It is just not right.

Funny how the people of that forum applaud it and download in droves while getting the hats off  to it.

With that group of people if they had not been shared some loot you would be instead called stupid, scammed or unintelligent by them right now. They support systems selling for thousands of dollars with no right to complain. When was the last time you saw that left a genuinewinner complaint published?

Not exactly a good group to cherish. It is him this time. The next time it may be you who is fed to the sharks or anyone else. I decide not to get there.

Perhaps they all deserve each other.

What I mean is that if someone wins in the double-streets the same method can be adjust to the colors, then fit to the quads, and thus successively.

For purposes of camouflaging the winner game.

Thank you.

Quote from: Ralph on February 16, 2013, 07:55:14 PM
Stick to red, it will soon come up.

Said the martingale man