Hi!
I will share 1 or 2 Daily tips with you, i will only play singelgames and i will use the regression system up and pull by John Patrick.From the start i will use the serie 50,25,35,60,80.
The Point is that i will try to pick at least 50% right picks and be in profit.
If i lose the first pick in the serie i will start over with 50.
Agesta
Hi!
My first pick will be
Modena -Livorno,Italy serie B ,This afternoon at 3 pm
My pick: Modena
Odds: 2.10
50 Swedish kR around 5 euros
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 08, 2014, 11:23:56 AM
Hi!
My first pick will be
Modena -Livorno,Italy serie B ,This afternoon at 3 pm
My pick: Modena
Odds: 2.10
50 Swedish kR around 5 euros
Agesta
Result: loss, game ended 0-0
Next 50swe kr again
Agesta
Next tip:
Automobilist Yekaterinburg - Jokerit, Icehockey, KHL,3 pm
Tip: Jokerit
Odds: 1.95
50 Swe Kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 09, 2014, 09:29:39 AM
Next tip:
Automobilist Yekaterinburg - Jokerit, Icehockey, KHL,3 pm
Tip: Jokerit
Odds: 1.95
50 Swe Kr
agesta
Result: Loss 4-0
Next tip:
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals ,NHL toninght at 01.35
Tip: over 5.5 goals
Odds:1.92
50 Swe KR
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 09, 2014, 06:15:38 PM
Next tip:
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals ,NHL toninght at 01.35
Tip: over 5.5 goals
Odds:1.92
50 Swe KR
agesta
Finally a win!
Result: 3-5
Next bet 25 Swe KR
agesta
Today:
Sabadell - Las Palmas, spanish segunda at 8 pm
Tip: Las Palmas
Odds: 2.21
25 Swe KR
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 10, 2014, 12:02:17 PM
Today:
Sabadell - Las Palmas, spanish segunda at 8 pm
Tip: Las Palmas
Odds: 2.21
25 Swe KR
agesta
Result: loss, 2-2
agesta
Game:Blues - Ässät ,icehockey, Finland , 17.30pm
Tip: Over 4,5 goals
Odds: 1.84
50 Swe KR
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 11, 2014, 10:54:29 AM
Game:Blues - Ässät ,icehockey, Finland , 17.30pm
Tip: Over 4,5 goals
Odds: 1.84
50 Swe KR
Result:Loss 1-2
agesta
game:Buffalo Sabres vs Calgary Flames, NHL
Tip:Buffalo Sabres ML
Odds:2.36
50 SWE KR
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 11, 2014, 07:51:15 PM
game:Buffalo Sabres vs Calgary Flames, NHL
Tip:Buffalo Sabres ML
Odds:2.36
50 SWE KR
agesta
Result:Win! 4-3
agesta
Today:TSG Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt
Tip:Hoffenheim
Odds:1.81
25 Swe kr
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 12, 2014, 04:09:38 PM
Today:TSG Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt
Tip:Hoffenheim
Odds:1.81
25 Swe kr
Result:3-2, Win!
agesta
Do you work on a minimum odds cut-off point? Below which it's a No Bet?
Hi Esoito!
I work with odds around evens.
If the odds are below 1.7 i must have a confidence of 85% or it is a no bet.
e.i i played Barcelona a couple of weeks ago, they played aginst one of the lowest ranked teames in Spain, i got a odds for Barca that they
would have more than 6.5 corners to a odds of 1.66 , i was really Confident that they would accomplish that and they did.
I made 660 swe kr on that bet.
agesta
Hi all!
After discussion with are good and helpful member Sputnik i will modify my staking plan and the up and pull serie to this:
Staking plan 1,2,2
Serie 50, 25, 50,50,75,100,125 etc
If i had done that from the beginning i would no be at a level situation instead of my current situation.
Agesta
Todays tip:
Game: Empoli-Torino, italy, serie A , 7 pm
Tip: Empoli
Odds:2.33
50 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 15, 2014, 11:58:53 AM
Todays tip:
Game: Empoli-Torino, italy, serie A , 7 pm
Tip: Empoli
Odds:2.33
50 Swe kr
agesta
Result:Loss, 0-0
Todays Tip:
Game: Hamburger SV - VfB Stuttgart, German bundesliga at 8 pm
Stuttgart has played bad all season and is in the bottom of the leage but they have produced a lot of goals playing from home
and Hamburger SV has also made a lot of goals and they both need 3 Points tonight, so i will go fore goals tonight.
Tip:over 2.5 goals
odds: 1.93
100 Swe kr
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 16, 2014, 04:35:12 PM
Todays Tip:
Game: Hamburger SV - VfB Stuttgart, German bundesliga at 8 pm
Stuttgart has played bad all season and is in the bottom of the leage but they have produced a lot of goals playing from home
and Hamburger SV has also made a lot of goals and they both need 3 Points tonight, so i will go fore goals tonight.
Tip:over 2.5 goals
odds: 1.93
100 Swe kr
Agesta
Result: Loss, 0-1
agesta
Today:
Game:Bournemouth-Liverpool in the Capital One Cup quarter-finals
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:1.90
100 Swe KR
Liverpool will play with the best players and it is an importent game for the players and for the Managern Brendan Rodgers.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 17, 2014, 01:24:46 PM
Today:
Game:Bournemouth-Liverpool in the Capital One Cup quarter-finals
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:1.90
100 Swe KR
Liverpool will play with the best players and it is an importent game for the players and for the Managern Brendan Rodgers.
agesta
Result:Win!1-3
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Tjeckien vs Sweden, channel one cup, Icehockey ,6.30 pm
Tip: Sweden
Odds:2.47
75 Swe kr
Sweden won the last tournament simular like this.
Sweden has a good team there most of them play in SHL which is the second or third best league in the World, and with this
odds , no doubt.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 18, 2014, 01:53:05 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Tjeckien vs Sweden, channel one cup, Icehockey ,6.30 pm
Tip: Sweden
Odds:2.47
75 Swe kr
Sweden won the last tournament simular like this.
Sweden has a good team there most of them play in SHL which is the second or third best league in the World, and with this
odds , no doubt.
agesta
Result:Win! 4-6
agesta
Hi!
Todays game:
Q.P.R- West Bromwich, English premier League at 3 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
50 Swe kr
Q.P.R are decent at Loftus Roud, all 14 Points have been taking at home and they have beaten very good teams and they need 3 Points
this afternoon to stay ahead.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 20, 2014, 09:55:27 AM
Hi!
Todays game:
Q.P.R- West Bromwich, English premier League at 3 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
50 Swe kr
Q.P.R are decent at Loftus Roud, all 14 Points have been taking at home and they have beaten very good teams and they need 3 Points
this afternoon to stay ahead.
agesta
Result:Win! 3-2
Agesta
Hi!
Today tip:
Game:Liverpool-Arsenal, Premier League at 5 pm
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:2.73
50 Swe kr
Liverpool really has to win this game if they wan`t to be in the top 4 this season and they have gained some confidence after the win earlier this week and i Think they have more then 50% chance of winning this game and with this odds i will give this a go.
agesta
This is how i tought it should be using regression up & pull...
Here is the LW-Registry:
LLWL
LWWL
LWWW
L 50 -50
L 100 -150
W 100 -50
L 25 -75
Accept a small loss...
L 50 -50
W 100 +50
W 25 +75
L 50 +25
Keep a small win after having a chanse to ride a strike with up & pull
L 50 -50
W 100 +50
W 25 +75
W 50 +125
On a winning strike with up & pull (if next bet lose you keep +75 and if it continue to strike you are up +175)
The regression progression is 50 25 50 50 75 100 125 150 and so on ...
The staking is 50 100 100 to catch a win to ride with up & pull ...
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 21, 2014, 03:16:48 PM
Hi!
Today tip:
Game:Liverpool-Arsenal, Premier League at 5 pm
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:2.73
50 Swe kr
Liverpool really has to win this game if they wan`t to be in the top 4 this season and they have gained some confidence after the win earlier this week and i Think they have more then 50% chance of winning this game and with this odds i will give this a go.
agesta
Result:Loss, 2-2
Agesta
Hi!
Hope that all have a great Chrismas!!
Today:
Leeds-Wigan, Premier League
Tip: Leeds
Odds:2.65
50 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 26, 2014, 09:05:50 AM
Hi!
Hope that all have a great Chrismas!!
Today:
Leeds-Wigan, Premier League
Tip: Leeds
Odds:2.65
50 Swe kr
agesta
Result:Loss
0-2
Agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Dundee - St Mirren, Scottish premier League at 4 pm
Tip:St Mirren x2
Odds: 1,80
100 Swe kr
They have played good away from home this season, they have picked up 6 more Points away then playing at home.
Dundee are one of the worst home team in the League.
I am Confident that they will take some Points today.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 27, 2014, 01:15:38 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Dundee - St Mirren, Scottish premier League at 4 pm
Tip:St Mirren x2
Odds: 1,80
100 Swe kr
They have played good away from home this season, they have picked up 6 more Points away then playing at home.
Dundee are one of the worst home team in the League.
I am Confident that they will take some Points today.
agesta
Result:win! 1-3
Agesta
Nice Agesta
Hi and Thanks Sputnik!
Today tip:
Game:Q.P.R-Crystal P, Premier League at 4 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
25 Swe kr
I have a good Confident that Qpr will continue there good play at home, they are a different team playing at home.
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 28, 2014, 01:54:59 PM
Hi and Thanks Sputnik!
Today tip:
Game:Q.P.R-Crystal P, Premier League at 4 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
25 Swe kr
I have a good Confident that Qpr will continue there good play at home, they are a different team playing at home.
Agesta
Result:Loss, 0-0
Agesta
That is still good, you did not lose it all back and had a chance to strike ...
+25 and you are still winning ...
Still waiting for you to hit 6 to 8 winnings in a row :-)
I have many times and also chicken out sometimes - then i have wagering 121212 instead of Up & Pull ...
But that is test results - real world is something else !!!
Hi!
Today:
Game: Fulham- Brighton, England, Championchip at 9 pm
Tip:Fulham
Odds:2.08
50 Swe Kr
Brighton is real bad away from home and overall they have played bad all season and Fulham won the last time they played and i Think they will do that again tonight.
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 29, 2014, 05:05:52 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game: Fulham- Brighton, England, Championchip at 9 pm
Tip:Fulham
Odds:2.08
50 Swe Kr
Brighton is real bad away from home and overall they have played bad all season and Fulham won the last time they played and i Think they will do that again tonight.
Agesta
Result:loss, 0-2
agesta
Hi!
A late tip:
Game:Derby vs Leeds , Championship at 9 pm
Tip: both team score
Odd:1.90
100 kr Swe kr
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on December 30, 2014, 07:21:25 PM
Hi!
A late tip:
Game:Derby vs Leeds , Championship at 9 pm
Tip: both team score
Odd:1.90
100 kr Swe kr
Agesta
Result: loss, 2-0
agesta
Hi and happy new year to all!
Today:
Game:Hull vs Everton, premier League at 4pm
Tip:Everton
Odds:2.18
100 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 01, 2015, 10:55:17 AM
Hi and happy new year to all!
Today:
Game:Hull vs Everton, premier League at 4pm
Tip:Everton
Odds:2.18
100 Swe kr
agesta
Result:loss, 2-0
This was my first total loss of a attack.
It is more hard work now, i must do better analyses....
agesta
The great news is that you got a small loss.
I been thinking - that with 122 you are down 1 with last bet and in losing territorium.
But we could minimize that using 113 - where you win or break even - that way you would only be down -25 if you don't hit a strike when break even and not -125 as with LLWL sequense.
Both have the same amount of totals 5 units.
I am not sure - but it's a tought.
Quote from: Sputnik on January 02, 2015, 07:30:37 AM
The great news is that you got a small loss.
I been thinking - that with 122 you are down 1 with last bet and in losing territorium.
But we could minimize that using 113 - where you win or break even - that way you would only be down -25 if you don't hit a strike when break even and not -125 as with LLWL sequense.
Both have the same amount of totals 5 units.
I am not sure - but it's a tought.
Hi!
I will do some math of this, i will study my old spreadsheets and see what results i get but at first lock of this says that you are on to something good!!
Thank you!
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Belenense-Academ.C, Portugueseimeira Liga at 9.30 pm
Tip: Belenenses to win
Odds:1.92
50 Swe kr
Academica have only won 1 of their previous 15 matches and have not scored in 4 of their 7 away games.
Belenses are in a very good form, they will win this game.
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 02, 2015, 05:53:10 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Belenense-Academ.C, Portugueseimeira Liga at 9.30 pm
Tip: Belenenses to win
Odds:1.92
50 Swe kr
Academica have only won 1 of their previous 15 matches and have not scored in 4 of their 7 away games.
Belenses are in a very good form, they will win this game.
Agesta
[/quote
Result: loss, 0-0
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Colorado Avalanche - Columbus Blue Jackets, NHL at am
Tip:Colorado
Odds:1.92
50 Swe kr
Columbus are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Columbus are 6-19 in the last 25 meetings in Colorado.
Colorado will win this game.
Agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 04, 2015, 07:39:35 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Colorado Avalanche - Columbus Blue Jackets, NHL at am
Tip:Colorado
Odds:1.92
50 Swe kr
Columbus are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Columbus are 6-19 in the last 25 meetings in Colorado.
Colorado will win this game.
Agesta
result:Loss, 3-4
agesta
Hi!
Tonight:
Game:Minnesota Wild vs San Jose Sharks,NHL at 2 am
Tip: Minnesota
Odds:2.08
150 Swe kr
San Jose are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota among other statistic things.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 06, 2015, 07:02:17 PM
Hi!
Tonight:
Game:Minnesota Wild vs San Jose Sharks,NHL at 2 am
Tip: Minnesota
Odds:2.08
150 Swe kr
San Jose are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota among other statistic things.
agesta
Result: loss 3-4 after overtime
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Gateshead-Woking, England, Conference national
Odds:2.20
Tip: Gateshead
50 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 07, 2015, 06:33:44 PM
Result: loss 3-4 after overtime
agesta
You should have PM'ed someone from the board that is from Minnesota and they probably could have gave you some insight as to the inevitable happening which happened on the game the other night. (P.S. There was way too much money on Minnesota and it was a 'sure thing' as the sports bettor would say)
Quote from: alrelax on January 07, 2015, 07:56:46 PM
You should have PM'ed someone from the board that is from Minnesota and they probably could have gave you some insight as to the inevitable happening which happened on the game the other night. (P.S. There was way too much money on Minnesota and it was a 'sure thing' as the sports bettor would say)
Hi!
That would had been good but i do not no who on this board to Contact but thank you!!
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 07, 2015, 06:46:54 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Gateshead-Woking, England, Conference national
Odds:2.20
Tip: Gateshead
50 Swe kr
agesta
Result: Loss, 0-0
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Calgary Flames - Florida Panthers, NHL at 3.05 am
Tip:Calgary
Odds:2.08
50 Swe kr
Florida are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings etc.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 09, 2015, 04:01:32 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Calgary Flames - Florida Panthers, NHL at 3.05 am
Tip:Calgary
Odds:2.08
50 Swe kr
Florida are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings etc.
agesta
Result:Loss, 5-6
Hi!
Today:
Game:Mirandes-Llagostrera Spanish secunda division at 5 pm
Tip: Mirandes
Odds:1.90
150 Swe kr
Mirandes are right now placed 8 in the League but in the form table they are first with 4 wins and 1 draw the last 5.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 11, 2015, 02:52:09 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Mirandes-Llagostrera Spanish secunda division at 5 pm
Tip: Mirandes
Odds:1.90
150 Swe kr
Mirandes are right now placed 8 in the League but in the form table they are first with 4 wins and 1 draw the last 5.
agesta
Result: Win!! 1-0 I hope my bad downsving is over now....
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Ipswich v Southampton -FA cup at 8 pm
Tip:Southamton
Odds:1.85
25 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 14, 2015, 01:30:56 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Ipswich v Southampton -FA cup at 8 pm
Tip:Southamton
Odds:1.85
25 Swe kr
agesta
Result: Win!! 0-1
agesta
Hi!
Today;
Game:Ivory Coast-Sweden- Friendly game
Tip: Ivory coast
Odds:1.80
50 Swe kr
I am sorry to say that i am confident that Sweden will lose to night in this game, they are on a training camp with lot`s of new Young players.
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 15, 2015, 03:59:30 PM
Hi!
Today;
Game:Ivory Coast-Sweden- Friendly game
Tip: Ivory coast
Odds:1.80
50 Swe kr
I am sorry to say that i am confident that Sweden will lose to night in this game, they are on a training camp with lot`s of new Young players.
agesta
result: Loss, 0-2
Once again a lesson, never bet on a that you fancy!!!
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Nantes v Lyon, French legue cup
Tip: Lyon
Odds: 2.15
50 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 20, 2015, 11:34:49 AM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Nantes v Lyon, French legue cup
Tip: Lyon
Odds: 2.15
50 Swe kr
agesta
result: Loss, 3-2
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Ek.Guinea vs Burkina F, African Nations Cup at 4 pm
Tip: Burkina Faso
Odds:1.95
50 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 21, 2015, 12:54:17 PM
Hi!
Today:
Game:Ek.Guinea vs Burkina F, African Nations Cup at 4 pm
Tip: Burkina Faso
Odds:1.95
50 Swe kr
agesta
Result: Loss, 0-0
Agesta
Hi!
Game:China v Australia, Asien Championchip
Tip:Both team to score
Odds:2.37
150 Swe kr
agesta
Quote from: Agesta1 on January 22, 2015, 09:46:56 AM
Hi!
Game:China v Australia, Asien Championchip
Tip:Both team to score
Odds:2.37
150 Swe kr
agesta
Result: Loss, 0-2
agesta
Hi!
Today:
Game:Bolton v Fulham,England championchip at 7.45
Tip:Fulham
Odd:3.10
50 Swe kr
Bolton have 9 players on there indjurylist, so Fulham will have a great oppertunity to pick 3 Points.
Agesta