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[esoito]

Do you work on a minimum odds cut-off point? Below which it's a No Bet?

[Agesta1]

Hi Esoito!
I work with odds around evens.
If the odds are below 1.7 i must have a confidence of 85% or it is a no bet.
e.i i played Barcelona a couple of weeks ago, they played aginst one of the lowest ranked teames in Spain, i got a odds for Barca that they
would have more than 6.5 corners to a odds of 1.66 , i was really Confident that they would accomplish that and they did.
I made 660 swe kr on that bet.

agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi all!
After discussion with are good and helpful member Sputnik i will modify my staking plan and the up and pull serie to this:
Staking plan 1,2,2
Serie 50, 25, 50,50,75,100,125 etc
If i had done that from the beginning i would no be at a level situation instead of my current situation.

Agesta

[Agesta1]

Todays tip:
Game: Empoli-Torino, italy, serie A , 7 pm
Tip: Empoli
Odds:2.33
50 Swe kr

agesta

[Agesta1]

Todays tip:
Game: Empoli-Torino, italy, serie A , 7 pm
Tip: Empoli
Odds:2.33
50 Swe kr

agesta

Result:Loss, 0-0

[Agesta1]

Todays Tip:
Game: Hamburger SV - VfB Stuttgart, German bundesliga at 8 pm
Stuttgart has played bad all season and is in the bottom of the leage but they have produced a lot of goals playing from home
and Hamburger SV has also made a lot of goals and they both need 3 Points tonight, so i will go fore goals tonight.
Tip:over 2.5 goals
odds: 1.93
100 Swe kr

Agesta

[Agesta1]

Todays Tip:
Game: Hamburger SV - VfB Stuttgart, German bundesliga at 8 pm
Stuttgart has played bad all season and is in the bottom of the leage but they have produced a lot of goals playing from home
and Hamburger SV has also made a lot of goals and they both need 3 Points tonight, so i will go fore goals tonight.
Tip:over 2.5 goals
odds: 1.93
100 Swe kr

Agesta

Result: Loss, 0-1

agesta

[Agesta1]

Today:
Game:Bournemouth-Liverpool in the Capital One Cup quarter-finals
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:1.90
100 Swe KR

Liverpool will play with the best players and it is an importent game for the players and for the  Managern Brendan Rodgers.

agesta

[Agesta1]

Today:
Game:Bournemouth-Liverpool in the Capital One Cup quarter-finals
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:1.90
100 Swe KR

Liverpool will play with the best players and it is an importent game for the players and for the  Managern Brendan Rodgers.

agesta

Result:Win!1-3

agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi!
Today:
Game:Tjeckien vs Sweden, channel one cup, Icehockey ,6.30 pm
Tip: Sweden
Odds:2.47
75 Swe kr

Sweden won the last tournament simular like this.
Sweden has a good team there most of them play in SHL which is the second or third best league in the World,  and with this
odds , no doubt.

agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi!
Today:
Game:Tjeckien vs Sweden, channel one cup, Icehockey ,6.30 pm
Tip: Sweden
Odds:2.47
75 Swe kr

Sweden won the last tournament simular like this.
Sweden has a good team there most of them play in SHL which is the second or third best league in the World,  and with this
odds , no doubt.

agesta

Result:Win! 4-6

agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi!
Todays game:
Q.P.R- West Bromwich, English premier League at 3 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
50 Swe kr

Q.P.R are decent at Loftus Roud, all 14 Points have been taking at home and they have beaten very good teams and they need 3 Points
this afternoon to stay ahead.

agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi!
Todays game:
Q.P.R- West Bromwich, English premier League at 3 pm
Tip: Q.P.R
Odds:2.40
50 Swe kr

Q.P.R are decent at Loftus Roud, all 14 Points have been taking at home and they have beaten very good teams and they need 3 Points
this afternoon to stay ahead.

agesta

Result:Win! 3-2

Agesta

[Agesta1]

Hi!
Today tip:
Game:Liverpool-Arsenal, Premier League at 5 pm
Tip: Liverpool
Odds:2.73
50 Swe kr

Liverpool really has to win this game if they wan`t to be in the top 4 this season and they have gained some confidence after the win earlier this week and i Think they have more then 50% chance of winning this game and with this odds i will give this a go.

agesta

[Sputnik]

This is how i tought it should be using regression up & pull...
Here is the LW-Registry:

LLWL
LWWL
LWWW

Code Select Expand


L  50   -50
L  100 -150
W 100 -50
L  25   -75


Accept a small loss...

Code Select Expand


L  50   -50
W 100 +50
W 25   +75
L  50   +25


Keep a small win after having a chanse to ride a strike with up & pull

Code Select Expand


L  50   -50
W 100 +50
W 25   +75
W 50   +125


On a winning strike with up & pull (if next bet lose you keep +75 and if it continue to strike you are up +175)

The regression progression is 50 25 50 50 75 100 125 150 and so on ...
The staking is 50 100 100 to catch a win to ride with up & pull ...